Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/20/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :453       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND OAK (IRE) 6 1 1nk 1nk   1 1 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.00 42% 1.40 1.40 W
COWICHAN (IRE) 7 2 2nk 2nk   2 2 (ward a)GRAHAM J 119 1.80 24% 3.10 2.60 P
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 4 4 42 3   34 39 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5.50  
REALITOS 1 5 5 5   5 411¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 11.20  
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 2 6 64 66   6 512½ (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 26.10  
DOMINICANA 3 3 3 43   47 615¾ (ward a)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 8% 10.90 3.30  
YOU'RE A DANDY 5 7 75 710   714 722¼ (jazdzewski jon)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 20.00 37.10  
 
CD-2   05/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:222 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE SEPTEMBER 4 3 33     3 1½ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 19% 4.40 2.30 W
JEREMY'S JET 2 1 11     1nk 2½ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 5.00 5.80  
TIVY 5 4 21     2nk 31 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 39% 1.60 0.80 S
EASY BIG BOY 6 6 44     4 4 (asmussen stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 3.50 5.10  
EL GAVILAN 1 5 54     5 514½ (fernandez kelly )AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 6% 16.20 39.40  
LA MARI 3 2 67     613 619¼ (galindo-torres clim)DIAZ RENE 109 10.00 32.60  
SCR  ARCHARCH CAT               (aceved)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 12.00    
SCR  REVERE NOTE               (mitchell jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
SCR  YOU CHOSE WISELY               (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 116 5.00    
 
CD-3   05/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:142 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRY ON 6 5 3½ 3½ 11 1 14 (sharp joe)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 4.00 5.20  
KIMBERLEY DREAM 3 4 5 52 4 2 24 (winst)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.50 7.90  
MATT'S HONEY 1 6 6 6 6 48 310¾ (chaudoin c)BEJARANO R 118 1.60 23% 3.40 1.80 S
QUEEN LOUISE 4 3 1nk 1½ 21 3 416 (kordenbrock ma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 51% 1.00 1.60  
SHE WANTS MORE 2 1 2nk 2½ 31 5 516½ (londono genevie)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 23.80  
POSITIVE VIBES 5 2 4 4 5 611 622¾ (shifflett cheryl)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
 
CD-4   05/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:212 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ANNA 4 3 31 1nk   11 1 (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 48% 1.10 2.10 W
CAMI CAT 1 4 4 4   21 2 (mccarthy w)DIAZ RENE 111 5.00 3.00  
RUFA RED KNOT 2 1 1½ 2nk   33 3 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 18% 4.50 4.80 S
VERY WEALTHY 3 2 2½ 3.2   4 414½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.60 1.40  
SHRIMPIE 5 5 5 5   59 519 (luce nich)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 15.30  
SCR  DAY N THE STARS               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 8.00    
SCR  TONES               (drury thoma)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
 
CD-5   05/20/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:13 1:37   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT 5 2 12 1 1 12 1 (cowans willi)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 23% 3.40 2.70 W
INTRADAY (BRZ) 3 6 55 54 5 4 2 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 8.50  
ATTENTIVE 4 4 65 65 6 3 3 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 53% 0.90 0.90 S
COWBOY DIPLOMACY 2 3 22 2 2 22 4 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 6.20  
ARTEMUS EAGLE 1 5 3 3 32 6 5 (cundiff waylon)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 15.30  
GOOD JUJU 6 1 4 43 42 5 6 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
SCR  CELERITY               (cundiff waylon)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
 
CD-6   05/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:092     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINNESOTA READY 2 8 6 54   1½ 1 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 12.00 21.10  
ENGRAVE 3 5 4 3   2½ 2 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 28% 2.50 18.90 P
MUSTAZEED 4 4 53 6   5 3 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 15.00 5% 19.00 41.00 S
10  SEA FORCE 10 3 31 2½   31 45 (asmussen stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 5.00 6.70  
HILL OF GOLD 5 6 76 78   77 5 (gutierrez f)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 8% 11.00 3.40  
BEST BET 8 1 11 1½   42 610½ (cox h)SANTANA JR 124 1.80 33% 2.00 1.30  
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 7 9 8 915   811 710¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU null   20.60  
CAN'T HUSH THIS 1 7 21 43   6 811 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 111 8.00 10% 8.90 5.40  
OVERSLEPT 6 2 9 815   912½ 913¼ (lauer michael)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 33.10  
BLUEGRASS ROYALE 9 10 1011¼ 1020   1018½ 1021¾ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 10.00  
 
CD-7   05/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:212 :442 :562     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERB 4 1 1½ 1nk   13 11 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 25% 3.00 2.20 W
EMERALD EXPRESS 1 7 5 4   4 21 (maker michael)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 12.00 4.80  
PICASSO 3 6 65 5   55 3 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 123 10.00 21.90  
RODERICK 5 4 32 3.2   23 4 (ward a)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 3.50 9% 9.60 2.30  
FULL IMPACT 7 3 2½ 2nk   3 5 (cox h)LANERIE J 123 2.50 41% 1.50 2.90  
MAJESTIC WEST 2 5 7 6   613½ 615½ (cash l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00 22.60  
HOPE AND DIGNITY 6 2 42 711¾   716½ 724¼ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 9.70  
SCR  UNIFIED REPORT               (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
CD-8   05/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:122 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL KABONG 7 4 8 7 6 3½ 1½ (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 4.50 5% 19.00 5.00 W
SKYRO 5 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ (lynch a)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 27% 2.70 3.60 P
POINT ME BY 3 9 10 10 7 43 3 (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 4.00  
MONITION 6 1 3.2 2nk 2nk 2nk 4 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 50% 1.00 3.50  
12  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 12 7 7 6 5 5 55 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 16.20  
11  SPLIT THE WICKETS 11 12 11 117 10 8 6 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 10.70  
JIMMY DAN 4 11 12 12 12 7 7 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 18.40  
CONTINENTAL COINS 1 6 1nk 31 32 6 8 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 10.70  
SHACKLEFORD'S JOY 2 5 6 83 11 10 9 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 115 20.00 45.10  
10  ERON DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) 10 10 9 9 9 9 1011½ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00 27.20  
HAIG POINT 9 8 5 5 8 119 1114 (maker micha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
SPEITFUL SAM 8 3 4 4 4 1214½ 1225¼ (londono genevie)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 36.10  
SCR  MEGACITY               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 6.00    
SCR  MUTAKATIF (IRE)               (brown h)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00    
SCR  CULLUM ROAD               (danner doug)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  PIRATE'S PUNCH               (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00    
SCR  ATTORNEY TIM               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00    
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPEN ROAD 5 1 4 42   1 12 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 23% 3.30 2.30 W
PLAUSIBLE DENILE 2 3 32 32   2 22 (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 44% 1.30 1.70 P
PREDOMINATE 4 5 711 712   510 311½ (catalano m)ROCCO S 118 4.50 13.30  
KIAWAH BREEZE 1 6 22 21   3 412½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
PRIZE FIGHTER 3 4 12 11   46 516 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00 7.90  
PAID TWICE 7 7 6 6   612 619 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 4.20  
ROARING GAP 6 2 5 5   713 726¾ (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 10.00  
SCR  BOONE'S PATH               (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
SCR  YORK TAVERN               (devaux cher)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.