Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont Park
Thursday - May 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
BEL-1   05/19/2022 6600ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133 1:391   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYRISKYAFFAIR 3 2 43 3 31 1 114 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 116 2.00 47% 1.10 0.95 W
CHARGING LADY 4 1 2 23 2nk 2 214 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 2.80 P
OFFICE ETIQUETTE 5 3 3 44 44 312½ 322½ (stephens john)FRANCO MANUEL 116 20.00 17.60 S
REIGN OF LOVE 1 4 1 13 1nk 413½ 429½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 116 3.00 2.60  
MRS. POSTMAN 2 5 5 512 510 519½ 535¾ (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 12.00 10.00  
SCR  PERSONAL BEST               (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 116 1.40 28% 2.50    
 
BEL-2   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GASLIGHT 2 2 2½ 2½   2½ 1¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 39% 1.60 2.05 W
MOTION TO STRIKE 1 1 1½ 1½   1½ 2¾ (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00 3.80 P
WICKED MAD 5 4 5 46   3 33 (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 2.15 S
LABAN M MO 3 6 6 610   511 412¼ (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 19.80  
TAMBURRO'S SOX 6 3 3 35   410½ 519 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 123 6.00 7.20  
ACCEPTABLE RISK 4 5 43 5   613½ 622¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 37% 1.70 4.60  
SCR  LITTERBOX               (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
 
BEL-3   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY STONES 7 1 11 11   12 1 (delauro edwar)CARDENAS LUIS 121 5.00 17% 4.80 4.30 W
SHE'S A BLACK BELT 1 5 21 21   22 2 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 6% 16.00 1.95 P
CARLY HUSTLE 3 7 7 6   38 3 (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 7.20 S
MISS PEPPINA 4 4 4 34   48 411½ (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 31% 2.20 4.60  
MEBS WEB 2 6 31 55   5 511½ (avila c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 24.25  
MY GIRL LEXI 6 2 6 79   711½ 614½ (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 8.00 16.20  
BIG AL'S GAL 5 3 52 45   69 723¾ (arriaga ant)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.00 22% 3.60 2.65  
 
BEL-4   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAC THE PEE H DEE 2 1 1 1½   1½ 1 (duarte j)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 15% 5.80 3.55 W
SCREAMIN' BY 4 2 2 2½   2½ 1 (donk david)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 4.80 DH
GAL IN A RUSH 3 3 4 46   35 3 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.20 S
POPPY FLOWER 1 4 3 3   4 4 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 1.85  
SCR  ABUSE OF POWER               (antonacci p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  ANADOR (FR)               (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
SCR  STONY POINT               (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
BEL-5   05/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Handicap ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:103     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY TO BLESS 1 2 1½ 1½   2nk 1½ (ferraro )DAVIS A 125 1.80 20% 4.00 0.85 W
SHESALITTLE EDGY 5 1 2½ 2½   1nk 2½ (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 35% 1.90 1.70 P
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 2 4 4 32   32 3 (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 4.90 S
GREATEST LOVE 3 3 32 4   46 4 (rodriguez gus)ORTIZ JR 117 8.00 8% 11.50 9.40  
HANDLE THE TRUTH 4 5 53 56   517 526¼ (metivier rich)CARDENAS LUIS 113 50.00 29.75  
SCR  HONEY MONEY               (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR               (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 20.00    
 
BEL-6   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:224 :462 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DOT'S DOLLAR 5 2 11 11   1 1 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 46% 1.20 1.55 W
ON THE HILL 4 3 21 21   2 2 (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 10.00 13.90  
JUGGLER 1 1 4 3   36 3 (vazquez juan )ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 4.30 S
11  COUSIN ANDREW 6 4 3 4   48 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 28% 2.60 1.95  
BOOM BOOM KABOOM 2 6 52 5   5 514¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00 4.80  
LINDROS 3 5 64 66   615 622½ (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 125 8.00 23.10  
SCR  EQUULEUS               (sweezey kent)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00    
SCR  GIRAMONTE               (gyarmati leah)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
SCR  IMMORTALIZATION               (hemingway mic)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50    
SCR  KING MOONRACER               (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00    
SCR  MONTATHAM               (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
SCR  OUR TROUBADOUR               (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 
BEL-7   05/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALCOOLS 6 4 3 3   3 1hd (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 22% 3.60 0.85 W
CASALSA 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 2hd (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 2.85  
F F ROCKET 1 6 4 4   4 32 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 10.90  
REJECTED AGAIN 3 3 2½ 2½   2½ 44 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 7.10  
ZAEVION 5 5 53 55   55 5 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.50 32% 2.10 10.00  
SOMEBODY 4 2 65 68   6 6 (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 9.00  
SCR  DEMO DOCTOR               (klesaris robe)CARDENAS LUIS 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MATTY'S EXPRESS               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
SCR  UNO               (del)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
 
BEL-8   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  CHASING CARA 6 2 1 1   1 18 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 2.00  
BIG Q 2 3 3 2   2 28 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 7.30  
12  PRETTY CLEVER 5 5 42 3   37 312 (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 24% 3.20 1.25 S
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 1 6 5 57   513 415¼ (jones ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 12.20  
PURRAGEOUS DYNA 3 4 65 6   614½ 517½ (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00 22.50  
11  JILL'S A HOT MESS 4 1 2 44   412½ 618¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 4.50  
SCR  SASSY MELISSA               (englehart jere)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  PURE BODE               (ryerson jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS DREAM               (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  KHALI MAGIC               (englehart chris)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER               (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
SCR  GUARDIAN MOON               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE)               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GET THE CANDY               (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
 
BEL-9   05/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  BOLD VICTORY 7 6 7 5   1 1 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 49% 1.10 2.35 W
12  NORTH CAROLINA 5 4 4 32   2 2 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.00 14% 6.10 1.30 P
KING OF STING 2 7 52 2   3 39 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 2.75  
13  KOBE'S LEGACY 6 5 6 7   55 411¾ (englehart chris)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 13.40  
11  BECKENBAUER 4 1 21 42   6 512¾ (henry neville)RICHARDS G 124 50.00 40.75  
OVEREXAGGERATE 3 2 3 64   7 614½ (summers chad)CARDENAS LUIS 124 30.00 19.70  
MR. J. MCKAY 1 3 11 1   44 721¼ (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 15.70  
SCR  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT               (kimmel c)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00    
SCR  NECROMANCER               (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  JIMMY THE BOOT               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  ISLANDMAN               (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00    
SCR  EVERESTING               (johns)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00    
SCR  EMPIRE RIDGE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  COMMITTED               (begg ben)ROSARIO JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  VOCALIZE               (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 7% 13.50    
SCR  BROKEN SPUR               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.