Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - July 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   07/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:112     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMETOWN HERO 6 4 2½ 2nk   11 1 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 19% 4.20 1.10 W
ONCOMING TRAIN 4 2 42 4   21 2 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 16.50 P
THUNDERHEART 5 1 1½ 1nk   31 36 (amoss thoma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 3.70 S
NINETIES COUNTRY 3 6 32 31   43 46 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 17% 4.80 2.20  
MULBERRY STREET 1 3 66 5   55 5 (vaccar)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 6.00 7.40  
MR. HALFTIME 2 5 5 66   613 621¼ (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 16.30  
SCR  BIG BOSS BEN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
CD-2   07/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:122 1:252   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DIVINE HOPE 10 6 3 42 21 1nk 1 (taylor bren)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 20.70  
SOLID TUNE 8 3 11 2½ 11 2nk 2 (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 5.00 33% 2.10 15.00 P
LANTERN'S CANDY 2 2 86 8 32 33 35 (glyshaw tim)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 12.10 S
FROSTED DIAMOND 4 8 9 64 6 44 4 (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 4.90  
LAMASCO 1 4 7 7 7 68 512¾ (luce nichole)COURT K 118 20.00 19.30  
SWEET TRUFFLES 9 7 6 97 9 710 614 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 11.50  
AZAMANA EMPIRE 3 9 5 32 5 57 714½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.50  
GIN N SIN 5 1 42 5 8 810½ 818¼ (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 118 6.00 12.20  
ONE FULL MOON 6 5 21 1½ 42 912 930½ (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00 3.10  
DINGLE HARBOR 7 10 1013½ 1019 1026¼ 1034 1054 (reece claire)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 46.10  
 
CD-3   07/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:11 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LI'L TOOTSIE 2 1 2nk 2½ 1½ 13 1 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 3.20  
ROC'S PRINCESS 4 4 5 59 4 35 2 (gowan william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 26.60 P
WILL'S SECRET 3 3 3.2 3 33 23 3 (lukas wayne)COURT K 118 2.50 40% 1.50 4.30 S
SYLVIA Q 5 5 4¼ 4 57 5 413¼ (bauer a)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 5.60  
THE MARY ROSE 1 2 1nk 1½ 2½ 4 521¾ (ortiz a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 30% 2.30 0.60  
 
CD-4   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURRFECT MISTRESS 7 4 31 2½   1½ 1 (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 1.80 26% 2.90 2.10 W
SWEET BEAUTY 5 3 1nk 1½   2½ 2 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 26% 2.90 0.90 P
KLIMT'S MUSE 1 7 6 43   3 3 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 13% 6.80 28.30 S
TIZMISSBETTY 3 1 42 6   59 413¾ (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 119 20.00 32.10  
NOGRATZ 6 5 2nk 31   4 514 (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.60  
OLIVIA'S JOY 2 6 5 53   610 614¼ (gilli)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 10.00 5.60  
MAYA'S WISH 4 2 7 713¼   722 735¾ (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 8% 10.80 12.80  
SCR  BEL ARIA               (parker r)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 8.00    
 
CD-5   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE JUDGE AND JURY 1 1 2½ 3   21 1nk (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 4.00 42% 1.40 3.60 W
YOUNG TURK 3 4 3 2   11 2nk (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 6.10  
DOUBLE DEALER 6 11 67 6   32 3¾ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5.20  
11  MAD MAGIC 8 7 1113¾ 1114¼   7 45 (stall m)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00 10.80  
13  VERSATILE 10 2 89 7   56 5 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 4.90  
WHEN IN ROME 4 10 53 4   66 610¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
10  BAR ON THE BEACH 7 6 1½ 1   4 712¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 15.00 15.80  
12  FUTURO 9 3 7 1010¾   811½ 813¾ (porter michael)GRAHAM J 124 15.00 20.50  
14  BRIGHT SPARK 11 9 9 9   1012¼ 915½ (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 42.30  
UNCLE NICK 2 5 43 54   911¾ 1018 (vaccar)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 20.00 18.40  
BIG REDWHITEBLUE 5 8 10 88   1113¾ 1123¾ (mitchell jerred)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 11% 7.70 16.00  
SCR  ALPHA WHISKEY               (morse l)COURT K 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOUDINI'S AWESOME               (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  MISSOURI GENT               (manley steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
SCR  OFFUTT COLE               (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
SCR  TITLE SHOT               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00    
 
CD-6   07/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:131 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOROS 5 2 11 1nk 1nk 1½ 1¾ (cash l)COURT K 123 10.00 11% 8.50 9.20 W
RED KNOBS 4 4 32 3 4 2½ 2¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 1.30  
NOTABLE EXCEPTION 7 1 21 2nk 2nk 32 3 (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 123 12.00 9.50  
ISTHMIAN 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 (danner doug)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 4.80  
MOUNT KENYA 3 7 76 5 3 5 5 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 50% 1.00 2.80  
WEST WARPATH 1 3 4 6 6 614½ 628¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 123 20.00 9.90  
MALIBU TIME 2 6 64 7 7 717 730 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12.20  
SCR  COMMANDER COMPTON               (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
SCR  FORT DEFIANCE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  YEARN FOR VICTORY               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
CD-7   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RING ME DARLING 2 2 21 2½   1 1 (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 15.20  
SPARKLE OF HOPE 7 6 5 52   2 2 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 7.00  
LEGERITY 6 8 8 8   5 3 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 17% 4.90 3.90 S
11  ON THE RISE 9 5 6 6   6 4 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 3.00 33% 2.10 3.00  
SHELL SHOCK 1 1 31 4   34 5 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 9.10  
10  MY MY MUNNY 8 3 4 3½   4 610½ (stuart shea)PARKER L 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
SWEET CONFUSION 5 9 9 9   7 710¾ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 25.20  
DESIGNED BY KITTEN 4 7 7 7   89 817¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.50 23% 3.30 3.70  
BIZZY ECHO 3 4 11 1½   910 920¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 4.50  
SCR  A PAYCHEQUE SMILE               (scherer mar)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
SCR  SHANIAH               (tomlinson m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
 
CD-8   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNITE 3 4 3 3   1½ 1½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.00 50% 1.00 0.90 W
MY PRANKSTER 2 2 64 6   33 2½ (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 120 1.60 16% 5.10 1.40 P
HOIST THE GOLD 6 6 4 42   2½ 3½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 30.70  
TEJANO TWIST 1 3 5 5   43 4 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 6.30  
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE 5 5 21 21   5 510¼ (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 12.70  
OVERTAXED 4 1 11 11   65 613½ (moquett ronald)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 10% 9.20 18.30  
 
CD-9   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO POUNCE 8 10 7 7   2nk 1¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 20.00 16.10  
11  A C EXPRESSWAY 10 9 6 4   52 2¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00 6.00  
VERB 4 7 41 5   3½ 3½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 20% 3.90 6.70 S
BOURBON CALLING 2 1 10 9   41 4¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 20% 4.10 7.50  
MUCH BETTER 3 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 5 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 10.10  
10  STRONGCONSTITUTION 9 8 9 8   6 6 (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 14% 6.20 2.10  
COLTONATOR 5 4 8 10   9 7 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 8.50  
KADRI 7 6 52 6   7 8 (cash l)COURT K 122 15.00 5% 19.00 40.90  
BANK 6 2 3½ 3   8 9 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 13% 6.80 6.60  
DEVIL'S TOWER 1 3 2nk 2nk   10 10 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 9.50  
SCR  EMERALD EXPRESS               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
 
CD-10   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SEAL BEACH 10 2 42 3   2nk 1 (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.40 W
BOLD LOOKER 3 4 10 10   7 2 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00 7.60  
DRINK THE WIND 7 3 2½ 2½   1nk 3 (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 23% 3.40 5.30 S
STAND FOR FREEDOM 8 12 12 119   9 4 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 31.50  
CYCLONE 4 6 11 9   56 5 (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 17.10  
AMERICAN MAYHEM 6 5 1½ 1½   31 6 (divito jam)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 13% 6.80 5.00  
13  EDGE OF GLORY 12 10 63 64   45 7 (ennis john)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 23.30  
FILM STAR 9 11 8 74   8 8 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6.50  
ANARCHIST 5 1 3 42   6 99 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 12% 7.60 23.70  
RAISEDAROOFCHARLIE 1 7 7 86   10 1011 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 31.10  
THACH 2 8 5 53   1113¾ 1117¾ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 44.20  
12  MOUNT KISCO 11 9 9 1210   1219¼ 1230¾ (howell jessica)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 58.20  
SCR  MALIBU MIKE               (correas iv)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SCR  SUPREMELY               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.