The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Churchill Downs
Sunday - July 03, 2022

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CD-1   07/03/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:232 :47 1:112     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMETOWN HERO 6 4 2½ 2nk   11 1(diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 19% 4.20 1.10 W
ONCOMING TRAIN 4 2 42 4   21 2(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 16.50 P
THUNDERHEART 5 1 1½ 1nk   31 36 (amoss m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 3.70 S
NINETIES COUNTRY 3 6 32 31   43 46 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 17% 4.80 2.20  
MULBERRY STREET 1 3 66 5   55 5(vaccarezza carlo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 6.00 7.40  
MR. HALFTIME 2 5 5 66   613 621¼ (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 16.30  
SCR  BIG BOSS BEN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
CD-2   07/03/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:233 :464 1:122 1:252   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DIVINE HOPE 10 6 3 42 21 1nk 1(taylor brent)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 20.70  
SOLID TUNE 8 3 11 2½ 11 2nk 2(beckman whitworth)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 33% 2.10 15.00 P
LANTERN'S CANDY 2 2 86 8 32 33 35 (glyshaw tim)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 12.10 S
FROSTED DIAMOND 4 8 9 64 6 44 4(sims a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 4.90  
LAMASCO 1 4 7 7 7 68 512¾ (luce nichole)COURT K 118 20.00 19.30  
SWEET TRUFFLES 9 7 6 97 9 710 614 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 11.50  
AZAMANA EMPIRE 3 9 5 32 5 57 714½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.50  
GIN N SIN 5 1 42 5 8 810½ 818¼ (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 118 6.00 12.20  
ONE FULL MOON 6 5 21 1½ 42 912 930½ (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00 3.10  
DINGLE HARBOR 7 10 1013½ 1019 1026¼ 1034 1054 (reece claire)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 46.10  
 
CD-3   07/03/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($160K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
:231 :46 1:11 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LI'L TOOTSIE 2 1 2nk 2½ 1½ 13 1(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 3.20  
ROC'S PRINCESS 4 4 5 59 4 35 2(gowan william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 26.60 P
WILL'S SECRET 3 3 3.2 3 33 23 3(lukas wayne)COURT K 118 2.50 40% 1.50 4.30 S
SYLVIA Q 5 5 4¼ 4 57 5413¼ (bauer a)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 5.60  
THE MARY ROSE 1 2 1nk 1½ 2½ 4521¾ (ortiz alexander)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 30% 2.30 0.60  
 
CD-4   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:23 :464 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURRFECT MISTRESS 7 4 31 2½   1½ 1(garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 1.80 26% 2.90 2.10 W
SWEET BEAUTY 5 3 1nk 1½   2½ 2(asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 26% 2.90 0.90 P
KLIMT'S MUSE 1 7 6 43   33(humphries thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 13% 6.80 28.30 S
TIZMISSBETTY 3 1 42 6   59 413¾ (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 119 20.00 32.10  
NOGRATZ 6 5 2nk 31   4514 (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.60  
OLIVIA'S JOY 2 6 5 53   610 614¼ (gilliam b)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 10.00 5.60  
MAYA'S WISH 4 2 7 713¼   722 735¾ (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 8% 10.80 12.80  
SCR  BEL ARIA               (parker r)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 8.00    
 
CD-5   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:23 :463 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE JUDGE AND JURY 1 1 2½ 3   21 1nk (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 4.00 42% 1.40 3.60 W
YOUNG TURK 3 4 3 2   11 2nk (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 6.10  
DOUBLE DEALER 6 11 67 6   32 3¾ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5.20  
11  MAD MAGIC 8 7 1113¾ 1114¼   745 (stall m)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00 10.80  
13  VERSATILE 10 2 89 7   56 5(cano munoz)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 4.90  
WHEN IN ROME 4 10 53 4   66 610¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
10  BAR ON THE BEACH 7 6 1½ 1   4712¾ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 119 15.00 15.80  
12  FUTURO 9 3 7 1010¾   811½ 813¾ (porter michael)GRAHAM J 124 15.00 20.50  
14  BRIGHT SPARK 11 9 9 9   1012¼ 915½ (flint s)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 42.30  
UNCLE NICK 2 5 43 54   911¾ 1018 (vaccarezza carlo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 20.00 18.40  
BIG REDWHITEBLUE 5 8 10 88   1113¾ 1123¾ (mitchell jerred)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 11% 7.70 16.00  
SCR  ALPHA WHISKEY               (morse l)COURT K 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOUDINI'S AWESOME               (west w)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  MISSOURI GENT               (manley steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
SCR  OFFUTT COLE               (barkley jason)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
SCR  TITLE SHOT               (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00    
 
CD-6   07/03/2022 5610ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:241 :482 1:131 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOROS 5 2 11 1nk 1nk 1½ 1¾ (cash l)COURT K 123 10.00 11% 8.50 9.20 W
RED KNOBS 4 4 32 3 4 2½ 2¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 1.30  
NOTABLE EXCEPTION 7 1 21 2nk 2nk 32 3(shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 123 12.00 9.50  
ISTHMIAN 6 5 5 4 5 44(danner doug)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 4.80  
MOUNT KENYA 3 7 76 5 3 55(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 50% 1.00 2.80  
WEST WARPATH 1 3 4 6 6 614½ 628¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 123 20.00 9.90  
MALIBU TIME 2 6 64 7 7 717 730 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12.20  
SCR  COMMANDER COMPTON               (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
SCR  FORT DEFIANCE               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  YEARN FOR VICTORY               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
CD-7   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:224 :461 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RING ME DARLING 2 2 21 2½   11(garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 15.20  
SPARKLE OF HOPE 7 6 5 52   22(foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 7.00  
LEGERITY 6 8 8 8   53(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 17% 4.90 3.90 S
11  ON THE RISE 9 5 6 6   64(tomlinson a)ROCCO S 122 3.00 33% 2.10 3.00  
SHELL SHOCK 1 1 31 4   34 5(vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 9.10  
10  MY MY MUNNY 8 3 4 3½   4610½ (stuart shea)PARKER L 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
SWEET CONFUSION 5 9 9 9   7710¾ (cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 25.20  
DESIGNED BY KITTEN 4 7 7 7   89 817¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.50 23% 3.30 3.70  
BIZZY ECHO 3 4 11 1½   910 920¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 4.50  
SCR  A PAYCHEQUE SMILE               (scherer marianne)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
SCR  SHANIAH               (tomlinson a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
 
CD-8   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($160K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
:23 :461 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNITE 3 4 3 3   1½ 1½ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.00 50% 1.00 0.90 W
MY PRANKSTER 2 2 64 6   33 2½ (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 120 1.60 16% 5.10 1.40 P
HOIST THE GOLD 6 6 4 42   2½ 3½ (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 30.70  
TEJANO TWIST 1 3 5 5   43 4(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 6.30  
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE 5 5 21 21   5510¼ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 12.70  
OVERTAXED 4 1 11 11   65 613½ (moquett e)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 10% 9.20 18.30  
 
CD-9   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:224 :453 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO POUNCE 8 10 7 7   2nk 1¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 20.00 16.10  
11  A C EXPRESSWAY 10 9 6 4   52 2¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00 6.00  
VERB 4 7 41 5   3½ 3½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 20% 3.90 6.70 S
BOURBON CALLING 2 1 10 9   41 4¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 20% 4.10 7.50  
MUCH BETTER 3 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 5(asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 10.10  
10  STRONGCONSTITUTION 9 8 9 8   66(o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 14% 6.20 2.10  
COLTONATOR 5 4 8 10   97(foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 8.50  
KADRI 7 6 52 6   78(cash l)COURT K 122 15.00 5% 19.00 40.90  
BANK 6 2 3½ 3   89(asmussen m)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 13% 6.80 6.60  
DEVIL'S TOWER 1 3 2nk 2nk   1010(hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 9.50  
SCR  EMERALD EXPRESS               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
 
CD-10   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
:23 :463 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SEAL BEACH 10 2 42 3   2nk 1(maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.40 W
BOLD LOOKER 3 4 10 10   72(lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00 7.60  
DRINK THE WIND 7 3 2½ 2½   1nk 3(catalano m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 23% 3.40 5.30 S
STAND FOR FREEDOM 8 12 12 119   94(wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 31.50  
CYCLONE 4 6 11 9   56 5(sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 17.10  
AMERICAN MAYHEM 6 5 1½ 1½   31 6(divito p)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 13% 6.80 5.00  
13  EDGE OF GLORY 12 10 63 64   45 7(ennis john)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 23.30  
FILM STAR 9 11 8 74   88(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6.50  
ANARCHIST 5 1 3 42   699 (davis christopher)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 12% 7.60 23.70  
RAISEDAROOFCHARLIE 1 7 7 86   101011 (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 31.10  
THACH 2 8 5 53   1113¾ 1117¾ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 44.20  
12  MOUNT KISCO 11 9 9 1210   1219¼ 1230¾ (howell jessica)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 58.20  
SCR  MALIBU MIKE               (correas iv)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SCR  SUPREMELY               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.