Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - July 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   07/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULBERRY STREET         (vacc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 6.00    
SCR  BIG BOSS BEN May29 Apr15 Feb27 Feb11 Jan15 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  MR. HALFTIME May23 May01 Mar23 Feb23   (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
4  NINETIES COUNTRY May19 Apr16 Apr01 Mar12   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  ONCOMING TRAIN Jun05 Apr23 Feb11 Jan17   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 ★    
6  THUNDERHEART Jun05 May17 Apr09 Mar25 Feb12 (amoss tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 ★    
7  HOMETOWN HERO Jun08 May13 Apr24 Feb16   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
CD-2   07/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAMASCO Jun11 May26       (luce nichole)COURT K 118 20.00    
2  LANTERN'S CANDY Jun10 May28 Apr23 Mar22 Mar05 (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
3  AZAMANA EMPIRE         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  FROSTED DIAMOND Jun10 May22 Apr23 Feb16   (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 ★    
5  GIN N SIN Jun19 May19 May04 Apr08   (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
6  ONE FULL MOON Jun02 May06 Apr13     (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
7  DINGLE HARBOR         (reece claire)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 ★    
8  SOLID TUNE Apr15 Feb26 Jan20     (beckman )SANTANA JR 118 5.00 33% 2.10    
9  SWEET TRUFFLES Jun10 May05 Mar17     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
10  DIVINE HOPE Jun18 May26       (taylor br)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
 
CD-3   07/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MARY ROSE Jun12 May06 Apr02 Feb27 Jan30 (ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 30% 2.30    
2  LI'L TOOTSIE May30 Apr02 Mar11 Jan22   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 ★    
3  WILL'S SECRET Jun12         (lukas wayne)COURT K 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  ROC'S PRINCESS Jun02         (gowan willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 ★    
5  SYLVIA Q Jun25         (bauer philip)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 ★    
 
CD-4   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMT'S MUSE         (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 13% 6.80    
2  OLIVIA'S JOY May21         (gil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 10.00    
3  TIZMISSBETTY Mar12 Feb18       (brennan terry)MILLER CHASE 119 20.00    
4  MAYA'S WISH         (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 8% 10.80    
5  SWEET BEAUTY Jun25 Jun09 May19 Apr24 Mar27 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 26% 2.90    
6  NOGRATZ May30         (baker jame)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  BEL ARIA Jun22 Jun03 May12 Mar24 Mar11 (parker donald)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 8.00 ★    
8  PURRFECT MISTRESS Jun22 May08 Mar13 Feb19 Jan30 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 1.80 26% 2.90    
 
CD-5   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OFFUTT COLE Jun18 May13 Apr27 Apr02   (barkley )SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
SCR  ALPHA WHISKEY May28 Apr23 Mar17     (morse l)COURT K 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE JUDGE AND JURY Jun02 May22 Apr16 Feb23 Jan22 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
4  UNCLE NICK Jun18         (vacc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 20.00    
5  YOUNG TURK May28 Apr09 Mar19     (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00    
6  WHEN IN ROME         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOUDINI'S AWESOME         (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 13% 6.40    
8  BIG REDWHITEBLUE Jun09 May26       (mitchell jerr)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 11% 7.70    
9  DOUBLE DEALER         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
10  BAR ON THE BEACH Jun19         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
11  MAD MAGIC         (stall albert )GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
12  FUTURO         (porter michael)GRAHAM J 124 15.00    
13  VERSATILE Jun22 Jun03 Apr22 Feb19   (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00    
14  BRIGHT SPARK Jun24 Jun11 May15 Apr27   (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SCR  TITLE SHOT         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00    
SCR  MISSOURI GENT Jun03 May13       (manley ste)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
 
CD-6   07/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST WARPATH         (hiles a)LANERIE J 123 20.00    
2  MALIBU TIME Jun10 May13 Apr03 Mar06 Feb19 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
3  MOUNT KENYA Apr30 Jan29       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 50% 1.00    
4  RED KNOBS Jun19 May29 Apr09 Feb05   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00    
SCR  YEARN FOR VICTORY May28         (arnold r)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 13% 6.70    
6  SOROS Jun19 May29 Apr16     (cash l)COURT K 123 10.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  FORT DEFIANCE Jun12 Jan14       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 ★    
8  ISTHMIAN Jun24 Jun05 May15 Apr20 Mar19 (danner dou)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 ★    
9  NOTABLE EXCEPTION Jun12 May21 Apr20 Jan07   (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 123 12.00    
SCR  COMMANDER COMPTON Jun11 May14 Apr02     (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
 
CD-7   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHANIAH Jun17 Jan20 Jan01     (tomlinson)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
2  SHELL SHOCK Apr22         (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
3  RING ME DARLING Jun18 May22       (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
4  BIZZY ECHO May30 Feb03       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  A PAYCHEQUE SMILE May13 Jan07       (scherer m)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
6  DESIGNED BY KITTEN Jun12 Apr02 Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  SWEET CONFUSION Jun09 May21 Mar19 Feb21 Jan28 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
8  LEGERITY Jun17 Apr14 Jan23     (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
9  SPARKLE OF HOPE Jun08 May30 May15 Feb24   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
10  MY MY MUNNY Jun17 Jun09 May23 Feb25 Jan14 (stuart shea)PARKER L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  ON THE RISE May21 Apr22 Feb03     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
CD-8   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEJANO TWIST Jun19 May07 Apr08 Mar09   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 ★    
2  MY PRANKSTER May07 Apr08 Feb05     (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 120 1.60 16% 5.10    
3  GUNITE Jun03         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.00 50% 1.00    
4  OVERTAXED Jun11 May08 Apr02 Feb09   (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
5  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE May29 May04 Mar24 Feb28 Jan10 (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 ★    
6  HOIST THE GOLD Apr02 Mar09 Feb12     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMERALD EXPRESS Jun08 May20 Mar18 Feb21 Jan22 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
2  DEVIL'S TOWER Jun22 May30 Apr30 Mar20 Feb25 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
3  BOURBON CALLING         (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
4  MUCH BETTER Jun12 Apr24 Mar05 Jan01   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00    
5  VERB Jun12 May20 May03 Mar27   (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  COLTONATOR Jun12 May15 May03 Jan14   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00    
7  BANK May21 Apr16       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 13% 6.80    
8  KADRI Jun25 Jun11 May22 May13 Apr29 (cash l)COURT K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  READY TO POUNCE May30 Mar10 Jan27 Jan02   (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
10  STRONGCONSTITUTION Apr30         (o'neill do)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
11  A C EXPRESSWAY May30 May07 Apr02 Feb18 Jan16 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00    
 
CD-10   07/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISEDAROOFCHARLIE Apr09         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
2  THACH Jun12         (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
3  BOLD LOOKER         (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00    
4  CYCLONE Jun05 Apr29 Mar16 Feb17 Jan17 (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
5  ANARCHIST Apr24 Mar27       (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 12% 7.60    
6  AMERICAN MAYHEM Jun17 May28       (divito j)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 13% 6.80    
7  DRINK THE WIND Jun12         (catalano w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
8  STAND FOR FREEDOM Jun08         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
9  FILM STAR         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  SUPREMELY Jun09 May22       (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
11  SEAL BEACH Jun12         (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
12  MOUNT KISCO         (howell jessi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
13  EDGE OF GLORY Jun19 May04 Apr09 Mar12 Feb10 (ennis john)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  MALIBU MIKE         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.