The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 19, 2022
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CD-1   06/19/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:23 :462 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  POPSTER 6 1 43 31½   2½ 13¾ (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 43% 1.30 5.50 W
1  PRIVATE CONNIE 1 6 32 43   42½ 23¾ (hancock a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 28.60  
9  OUT WORK'N 9 3 21 1½   1½ 35 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 15% 5.60 0.80 S
8  JACKYS BACK 8 10 1013 109½   65¼ 45¾ (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 45.50  
5  GO VIRTUAL 5 5 74½ 54   52¾ 56¾ (cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 12% 7.10 13.80  
2  MASTER LEA 2 2 11 2½   32½ 68 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 20.10  
4  AMAZING ROCKET 4 8 85½ 77   76¼ 713 (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 ★ 7.20  
7  PROJECT THUNDER 7 9 97 89   87¾ 813¾ (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 124 8.00 8% 12.10 14.70  
10  BRUCE ON THE LOOSE 10 4 64 99   99¾ 921¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 7.20  
3  MAKE MY OWN LUCK 3 7 54 66½   1012¾ 1034¼ (burton roger)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 25.30  
 
CD-2   06/19/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
:222 :46       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOLTS N RAINBOWS 4 4 54¾     53½ 11 (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 3.10  
6  BLACK FOREST 6 6 3.2     11 21 (gutierrez faustio)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 38% 1.60 2.60 P
2  NUMERO SEIS 1 1 42¼     42 32½ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 15.80  
8  CHIQUITA MOSCA 7 8 67¼     66 42¾ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00 ★ 33.90  
1  JULIA'S CHARDONNAY 2 2 1nk     21 54¾ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 10.00 8.00  
10  SHACKLED BY LUST 9 9 77¾     76½ 65½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 6% 15.70 4.10  
5  MO BONITA 5 5 2nk     31½ 75½ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 25% 3.00 3.90  
11  STAR POSE 10 7 910¼     89 89½ (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 17.20  
3  VIVID EXPOSURE 3 3 88¾     99½ 910½ (caramori eduardo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 12.00 33.20  
1A  EVENING MERLOT 11 10 1112¾     1111½ 1012¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 8.00  
9  DREAM STATE 8 11 1011¼     1011½ 1113 (engler jeff)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 38.50  
SCR  DANSE MACABRE               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  KISS ME ON OCONEE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 11% 8.20    
 
CD-3   06/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
:232 :47 1:111 1:231   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WAYAKIN 8 1 1nk 2nk 11 13 14½ (maker j)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 14% 6.10 4.40 W
4  QUICK TO BLAME 4 4 31½ 41¼ 42½ 23 24½ (barkley jason)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 5% 18.70 20.00 P
7  CIVIL WAR 7 6 54 84 76½ 78½ 37¾ (demeritte larry)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 34.40  
2  MINNESOTA READY 2 5 64¼ 31 65 56½ 48 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 4.50 5.10  
5  B DAWK 5 3 42 51¼ 21 33 58¾ (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 33% 2.00 1.00  
6  SOROS 6 2 2nk 1nk 32½ 44½ 69¼ (cash l)COURT K 124 20.00 ★ 47.10  
1  GREENER PASTURES 1 8 74¾ 62¾ 54 67 710¼ (mccarthy w)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 26% 2.80 3.60  
3  TANGO CHARLIE 3 7 85¼ 73 87½ 816½ 824 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00 15.30  
 
CD-4   06/19/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
:224 :462 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MO STRIKE 10 3 21 2nk   11 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50 2.50 W
9  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 8 7 63 52¾   21 2¾ (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 31% 2.20 5.00 P
8  DISARM 7 9 85¾ 86¼   65 32 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 23% 3.40 2.90 S
4  HILL OF TARA 4 5 41½ 3½   31½ 44 (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 ★ 19.20  
1  WESTERN GHENT 1 8 73¼ 64¼   77 57½ (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 31.50  
10  OUR DREAM RYE'D 9 10 95¾ 97¼   88 67½ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 30.50  
2  MO MOVES 2 4 52 42½   53½ 79¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 ★ 3.40  
3  ANGLOPHILE 3 6 1011¾ 1013¾   911½ 89¾ (lynch a)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 27.60  
5  ELI'S PROMISE 5 2 11 1nk   43½ 914¼ (divito p)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 10.90  
7  LET HIM DO 6 1 31 75¾   1018½ 1023 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 18.90  
SCR  EAKLY               (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00    
 
CD-5   06/19/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:231 :463 1:104     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEST BET 6 1 11 11   12½ 13 (cox h)SANTANA JR 124 2.00 32% 2.20 0.90 W
10  EDGE OF GLORY 9 2 21 21   22½ 23 (ennis john)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 18.00 11.80 P
3  BLUNDER 2 4 42 41½   32½ 39 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 18% 4.60 5.20 S
1A  PRINCE OF GLORY 10 5 52½ 54   46 411¾ (cambray ignacio)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 32.20  
9  SCATTERSHACK 8 8 84¼ 118¾   811 514¼ (cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 19% 4.30 7.10  
5  ONE AMERICA 4 3 31½ 31½   57 615 (beckman whitworth)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 30.00  
6  MR BOLDACIOUS 5 6 116¼ 85¾   79½ 715 (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 29.20  
11  ACEHIGH ROYAL 11 7 104¾ 64¼   68½ 817¾ (moquett e)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 11.70  
8  UNLEASH THE POWER 7 11 74 96¾   913 921 (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 34.30  
4  FAST FELIX 3 10 62½ 74¾   1014½ 1026¼ (cowans d)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 18.50 10.40  
2  GRANTASTIC 1 9 94¼ 107¾   1117 1127¾ (catalano m)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 22.20  
SCR  SILVESTRE               (cambray ignacio)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
 
CD-6   06/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:222 :453 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GULFSTREAM WAY 6 2 21 21   1½ 13½ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 2.00 45% 1.20 0.80 W
3  DARK TIMBER 3 1 11 11   2½ 23½ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 ★ 7.30 P
5  RED KNOBS 5 6 31½ 32½   33½ 34¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 9% 9.60 6.90 S
7  FLAGS UP 7 3 42½ 43½   43½ 44¾ (baker james)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 16% 5.20 3.60  
1  SPEND BENJAMINS 1 5 53 66   55 55¼ (gonzalez e)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 5.00 10.30  
4  SWIFT TAP 4 7 74½ 55½   66 67 (gutierrez faustio)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 7% 13.70 15.50  
8  BERNIE LOMAX 8 4 63½ 76½   76½ 77¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 22.90  
2  KEEN HEIR 2 8 87½ 813½   818½ 827 (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 30.10  
 
CD-7   06/19/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:223 :453 1:103     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TRAVERSE 11 6 1nk 11   11½ 1¾ (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 47% 1.10 3.00 W
5  MISSED OPPORTUNITY 5 1 42¼ 42   21½ 2¾ (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 18.60  
4  CANDY KICK 4 5 86 66   47½ 36¾ (medina robert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 21% 3.70 14.10 S
2  LADY TERRA 2 11 1010 1011½   58½ 49¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
6  MERCI ROAD 6 4 2nk 31½   36 511½ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 ★ 2.30  
3  WHY SHE DEW DAT 3 9 97½ 76½   711 613¾ (colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 30.30  
10  MCMANSION 10 7 64¼ 53   811 715¾ (williamson brian)ROCCO S 124 10.00 11.90  
7  CAMI CAT 7 2 32 21   69½ 818¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 5% 18.20 5.30  
1  GIN N SIN 1 3 75¾ 910   913 920 (roberson dennis)COURT K 118 10.00 12.30  
8  YELLOW CREEK ROAD 8 10 1113 1115   1017 1025¼ (hancock a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 60.90  
9  EXAGGERATED HUMOR 9 8 54¼ 89   1120 1139 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 30.00 39.70  
 
CD-8   06/19/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:241 :482 1:13 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NAVAL AVIATOR 3 10 87¾ 75¾ 41½ 2nk 1¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★ 1.90  
6  NEPOTISM 6 4 21½ 21 2nk 3½ 2¾ (scherer marianne)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 36% 1.80 2.90 P
8  JUST CALL RAY 8 5 54 42½ 31 1nk 3¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 20.00 12.90  
5  SOUTHERN PASSAGE 5 9 99¾ 98¼ 66 44½ 42 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 6.00 32% 2.20 7.00  
4  CARMICHAEL 4 3 11½ 11 1nk 54¾ 59¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 11.30  
7  COUSIN LARRY 7 7 75¾ 63¾ 54 67¼ 614¼ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 6.50  
1  NOTARY 1 8 1011¾ 1010¼ 76¼ 79¼ 717¼ (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 124 12.00 22.70  
10  MOON DOG 10 6 64¼ 85¾ 910¾ 812¾ 818½ (glyshaw tim)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 35.40  
2  TOMA TODO 2 1 31½ 31 88¾ 914¼ 923¼ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
9  DOCTOR NASH 9 2 43 53½ 1015¾ 1026¼ 1050 (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 118 15.00 7% 14.40 13.60  
 
CD-9   06/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:223 :453 1:111 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY RIVER 1 6 1nk 11 11 1½ 11¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 21% 3.80 1.20 DQ↓2
6  TAKE A STAND 6 1 52¾ 42 21 2½ 21¼ (oliver victoria)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 13% 6.80 7.00 W
2  SCENT OF ROYALTY 2 10 84¼ 95¼ 64½ 45½ 34¾ (casse w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 38.70  
3  EIVISSA 3 7 63¼ 31½ 43 33½ 48¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 45% 1.20 2.30  
11  NECK ON THE NILE 11 8 94¾ 74 54½ 57 511 (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 118 20.00 23.80  
4  JAG WARRIOR 4 5 2nk 21 75½ 69 615½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 ★ 16.90  
9  DONTGETABOVURAISIN 9 11 106¼ 84¼ 86½ 811 717¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 23.80  
7  LADY COMMANDER 7 9 116¾ 107¼ 910½ 914 822¾ (fires h)COURT K 125 5.00 9.40  
8  CATCH MAGIC 8 3 42¼ 63½ 32½ 79½ 924¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 ★ 23.20  
10  FEVER DREAMING 10 2 73¼ 1110¾ 1119½ 1029 1054 (medina robert)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 70.70  
5  COCOA COLADA 5 4 3.2 52 1018½ 1131 1179½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 35.10  
 
CD-10   06/19/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
:23 :454 1:10     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  HAPPY JACK 12 8 41½ 42¼   22½ 1½ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 ★ 5.00  
12  OSBOURNE 11 11 83½ 74¼   34 2½ (moquett e)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 4.30  
4  PEACEFUL WATERS 4 1 1½ 12   12½ 31½ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 19.40  
3  TEJANO TWIST 3 12 115½ 86¼   55½ 42¼ (calhoun bret)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 9.00  
7  MONEY SUPPLY 7 10 62½ 53¾   75¾ 52¾ (brown c)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50 26% 2.90 2.70  
6  PRAYFORPEACE 6 6 52 63¾   65½ 63¾ (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 ★ 13.80  
2  OPEN ROAD 2 7 94½ 108   98¼ 75¾ (cox h)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 22% 3.50 3.20  
8  BLUE KENTUCKY 8 5 105 119   88¼ 86¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 53.30  
1  AMICABLE 1 9 127 97¾   109¼ 97½ (livers charlie)RAMOS D 118 50.00 75.30  
5  RAYMOND 5 2 2½ 32   45 108 (asmussen m)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 16.20  
9  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR 9 3 73 1211   1110¾ 119¾ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 12.00 27.90  
10  MEAN JAKEY 10 4 31 22   1213¼ 1215½ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 47.90  
SCR  CONGRESSMAN               (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
CD-11   06/19/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
:222 :452 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 1 3 1½ 11   13½ 1¾ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 8% 11.40 2.30 W
8  WOODLINE 8 5 53½ 55   34 2¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 36% 1.70 4.90 P
11  EMBRACE 11 7 97½ 99½   66½ 32 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 8.40  
3  APPEAL DENIED 3 10 1111 1112   77 42¾ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 14.60  
5  GOLDEN LUNA 5 1 2½ 21   23½ 54 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 ★ 23.90  
4  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 4 2 42½ 43½   44 64¾ (barnett c)SANJUR SANTO 118 12.00 20.80  
9  RUM 'N TONIC 9 6 87 78½   88 76¾ (maker j)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 27% 2.60 2.00  
10  MY GRASS IS BLUE 10 8 76 89   99½ 87¼ (pitts c)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 66.50  
7  WARRIOR ROAD 7 11 109 1011½   1010½ 98¼ (morey e)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 17.80  
6  STIRDATPOT 6 4 3½ 31   56 1011¾ (londono genevieve)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 8% 12.00 18.00  
2  BAR ON THE BEACH 2 9 65½ 67½   1113½ 1117½ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 118 15.00 26.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.