Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE CONNIE Jan02         (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
2  MASTER LEA Jun01 May15 Apr02 Feb26 Feb12 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
3  MAKE MY OWN LUCK May26 Jan22       (burton roger)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00    
4  AMAZING ROCKET Jun02 Apr24 Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 5% 17.50    
5  GO VIRTUAL Jun05 May19 Apr20     (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 6% 15.90    
6  POPSTER May26 May17 Apr22 Mar05 Feb18 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
7  PROJECT THUNDER Jun08 May06 Apr23     (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 124 8.00 6% 16.90    
8  JACKYS BACK May13 Apr16 Apr01 Mar13 Feb19 (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
9  OUT WORK'N Jun02 May13 Apr30 Mar06 Jan28 (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
10  BRUCE ON THE LOOSE May10 Apr20       (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
 
CD-2   06/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JULIA'S CHARDONNAY Apr10         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
1A  EVENING MERLOT         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
2  NUMERO SEIS         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
3  VIVID EXPOSURE         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 12.00    
4  BOLTS N RAINBOWS         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
5  MO BONITA May26         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  BLACK FOREST Jun03         (gutierrez fausti)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  KISS ME ON OCONEE Jun17         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
8  CHIQUITA MOSCA May26         (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00 ★    
9  DREAM STATE         (engler je)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
10  SHACKLED BY LUST         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 6% 16.20    
11  STAR POSE         (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
SCR  DANSE MACABRE         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
 
CD-3   06/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREENER PASTURES May30 Apr02       (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  MINNESOTA READY May20 Apr10 Feb19 Jan22   (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 4.50    
3  TANGO CHARLIE May22 Apr09 Mar05 Feb13 Jan16 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00    
4  QUICK TO BLAME May14 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29   (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  B DAWK May21 Apr24 Mar26 Feb21   (o'neill do)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 51% 0.90    
6  SOROS May29 Apr16       (cash l)COURT K 124 20.00    
7  CIVIL WAR May15 Apr08       (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
8  WAYAKIN Apr16 Mar18 Feb18     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 9% 10.70    
 
CD-4   06/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN GHENT         (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
2  MO MOVES         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00    
3  ANGLOPHILE         (lynch br)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HILL OF TARA May05         (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 8% 11.60    
5  ELI'S PROMISE         (divito jam)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  EAKLY         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 15.00    
7  LET HIM DO         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
8  DISARM         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
9  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE May27         (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
10  OUR DREAM RYE'D         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
11  MO STRIKE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
CD-5   06/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PRINCE OF GLORY Jun02 May15 Apr20     (cambray ignac)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
SCR  SILVESTRE May19         (cambray ignac)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
2  GRANTASTIC         (catalano )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
3  BLUNDER         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 8% 11.20    
4  FAST FELIX May22 Apr02 Mar12     (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 6% 17.00    
5  ONE AMERICA May14         (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
6  MR BOLDACIOUS         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
7  BEST BET May20 Apr22 Mar25 Mar04 Jan09 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
8  UNLEASH THE POWER May07         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
9  SCATTERSHACK May26 May03 Apr22 Mar12 Feb16 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
10  EDGE OF GLORY May04 Apr09 Mar12 Feb10   (ennis john)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 9% 10.80    
11  ACEHIGH ROYAL May22 Apr23 Mar17     (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   06/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEND BENJAMINS May22 Apr30 Mar31 Feb26 Feb18 (gon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 5.00 ★    
2  KEEN HEIR May19 Mar23 Jan22     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
3  DARK TIMBER May22 Apr23       (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50    
4  SWIFT TAP May29 May06 Apr10 Mar11 Feb11 (gutierrez fa)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  RED KNOBS May29 Apr09 Feb05     (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50    
6  GULFSTREAM WAY May29 Feb03       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  FLAGS UP May22         (baker james)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 32% 2.20    
8  BERNIE LOMAX May04 Mar27 Feb12 Jan08   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
 
CD-7   06/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIN N SIN May19 May04 Apr08     (roberson dennis)COURT K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LADY TERRA May21         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 ★    
3  WHY SHE DEW DAT         (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
4  CANDY KICK         (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
5  MISSED OPPORTUNITY Apr10         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
6  MERCI ROAD May06 Apr13       (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 ★    
7  CAMI CAT Jun10 May20       (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
8  YELLOW CREEK ROAD May19         (hancock john )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
9  EXAGGERATED HUMOR         (vance d)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
10  MCMANSION May19 Mar20 Feb27     (williamson bri)ROCCO S 124 10.00    
11  TRAVERSE Apr02 Jan09       (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 51% 0.90    
 
CD-8   06/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTARY May06 Mar31 Mar06 Feb12 Jan08 (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  TOMA TODO Apr30 Apr07 Mar06 Jan16   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 7% 13.10    
3  NAVAL AVIATOR May21 Apr29 Apr09     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 14% 5.90    
4  CARMICHAEL May21 Feb11 Jan12     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 4.00    
5  SOUTHERN PASSAGE May30 May12 Apr16     (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 6.00    
6  NEPOTISM May30 May12 Apr13 Mar04 Feb25 (scherer mari)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  COUSIN LARRY May28 Apr15       (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00    
8  JUST CALL RAY Mar06 Feb04 Jan09     (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
9  DOCTOR NASH Jan19         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 15.00 13% 6.90    
10  MOON DOG May30 Apr30 Mar20 Feb26   (glyshaw t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   06/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY RIVER May19         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
2  SCENT OF ROYALTY         (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
3  EIVISSA May19         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  JAG WARRIOR Jun04 May06 Jan14     (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
5  COCOA COLADA May19 Mar09       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
6  TAKE A STAND Apr30 Apr10 Feb26 Jan14   (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 9% 9.80    
7  LADY COMMANDER May28 Mar31 Mar06 Feb13 Jan07 (fires h)COURT K 125 5.00    
8  CATCH MAGIC May27 Mar26       (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 ★    
9  DONTGETABOVURAISIN May19 Apr15       (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  FEVER DREAMING May26         (medina r)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
11  NECK ON THE NILE May15         (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
CD-10   06/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMICABLE (IRE) Jun11 Jun01 May11 Apr19 Apr02 (livers charl)RAMOS D 118 50.00    
2  OPEN ROAD May20         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
3  TEJANO TWIST May07 Apr08 Mar09     (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 ★    
4  PEACEFUL WATERS Feb19 Jan22       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
5  RAYMOND May29 Apr23       (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 122 10.00    
6  PRAYFORPEACE May29 May14 Mar24 Feb28 Jan17 (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00    
7  MONEY SUPPLY May07 Apr08 Feb12     (brown c)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50 45% 1.20    
8  BLUE KENTUCKY May29 Apr14 Mar09 Jan22   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
9  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR May29 Mar26       (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MEAN JAKEY May07 Apr23 Apr02 Mar13   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  CONGRESSMAN May07 Jan29       (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
12  OSBOURNE May07 Apr08 Jan29     (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  HAPPY JACK May21 May07 Apr09 Mar05 Feb06 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
 
CD-11   06/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY May28 May07 Apr16 Mar13 Feb21 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  BAR ON THE BEACH         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
3  APPEAL DENIED         (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
4  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN May22 Apr29 Mar26     (barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLDEN LUNA May22         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
6  STIRDATPOT         (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
7  WARRIOR ROAD         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
8  WOODLINE May28 Apr29       (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
9  RUM 'N TONIC May22 Apr23       (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 3.50    
10  MY GRASS IS BLUE May22         (pitt)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00    
11  EMBRACE (IRE) May22         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH null   ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.