Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Thursday - July 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/14/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:391   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL TRYST 8 7 810 7 75 1nk 1 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 5.60  
KERSHAW 9 5 5 54 53 2nk 2 (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 52% 0.90 2.90 P
GIOCARE 7 9 912 811½ 89 7 33 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 12% 7.60 3.95 S
DARK STORM 4 6 6 6 64 6 4 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 9.50  
AUBURN HILLS 3 1 11 11 1½ 3½ 5 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00 17.10  
BEAR ALLEY 6 3 4 32 2½ 41 65 (morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 6% 16.50 3.45  
PARSIMONY 1 2 3 4 31 5 7 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50 9% 10.60 6.80  
WARRIOR IN CHIEF 2 4 21 21 43 811¼ 818½ (clarke dylan)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 20.00 21.40  
SMOOTH OPERATION 5 8 7 911½ 919 934¼ 995¼ (grusmark karl)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 25.50  
 
SAR-2   07/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF A CHANCE 1 1 1 11   1 1½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 43% 1.30 2.25 W
SPELTERINI 2 6 55 5   45 2½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 13.60 P
CHOCOLATE GELATO 6 5 2 21   2 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 33% 2.00 0.55 S
TWO MINUTE DRILL 5 4 4 32   35 4 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 20.80  
WILL BE FAMOUS 3 3 6 68   6 5 (brown r)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 15.50  
THIRTY THOU KELVIN 4 2 3 42   5 6 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 10.60  
 
SAR-3   07/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:114 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH TIDE 2 6 6 6 5 31 1 (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50 28% 2.60 1.35 W
GRAND JOURNEY 6 1 12 12 1nk 1nk 2 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 18% 4.50 4.70 P
ATTENTIVE 4 5 5 44 3 4 32 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 29% 2.50 3.80 S
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 5 2 22 22 2nk 2nk 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 5.60  
STREET COPPER 3 3 4 55 65 5 5 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 14.50  
TAKAFUMI (BRZ) 1 4 3 3 42 6 6 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 4.70  
SCR  BALLAGH ROCKS               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
SCR  BE HERE               (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00    
SCR  HAMMERIN AAMER               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 125 2.00    
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SCR  NO BURN               (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.50    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
 
SAR-4   07/14/2022 7260ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:163 1:421 2:061 2:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOW'S ISLAND 6 7 7 7 6 1½ 1½ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 8.70  
TIZ A GIANT 1 3 3 32 4 4 2½ (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80 P
REMOTE 3 5 6 6 7 5 32 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 46% 1.20 1.80 S
VINTAGE YEAR 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 3½ 4 (arnold r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
TIMO 2 8 86 8 8 7 5 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 9.80  
AFJAN 7 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 6 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 23% 3.30 6.40  
GOOD SOLDIER 8 4 43 42 3 6 77 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5.20  
GRAND CAY 5 6 5 53 52 8 810¾ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 4.70  
SCR  CHEEKY TICO               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
 
SAR-5   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJORITY PARTNER 3 8 4 4   1½ 13 (englehart jere)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 1.65  
TOMMY GUN 4 1 1nk 1½   2½ 23 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 13% 6.60 3.05 P
CATCHING CUPID 2 2 5 52   33 3 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 28% 2.60 5.60 S
SENSIBLECONCLUSION 5 9 910¾ 911½   77 4 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 20.70  
COLD WALKER 6 6 2nk 2½   43 510¾ (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 29% 2.40 13.60  
10  WARALO 9 5 7 7   8 614 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 30.00 35.00  
HEREBY 8 4 6 65   6 715 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
THE INSTITUTE 7 3 3½ 3½   5 818¾ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 5.20  
CLINGMAN 1 7 8 87   98 920¾ (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 14.00  
SCR  JOSIE'S THUNDER               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
 
SAR-6   07/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINTER SON 3 6 7 7   3½ 1¼ (arenas marcel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 43.50  
JUST SAY WHEN 4 1 2½ 4   2nk 2¼ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 41% 1.50 1.55 P
STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT 1 9 10 105   6 31 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 16.70  
KING MOONRACER 9 10 85 8   4¾ 4 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 3.00  
10  PROPENSITY 10 5 41 3.2   1nk 5 (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 10.40  
U. S. STEEL 6 8 9 9   9 6 (lucas bonn)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
11  ME 'N SAP 11 4 6 6   7 7 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 124 15.00 38.75  
COLD AS HELL 7 11 11 118   11 8 (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
DARK TIMBER 2 3 52 5   8 9 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 10.60  
STANHOPE 8 7 3½ 2nk   5 10 (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 15.90  
FAST N FEARIOUS 5 2 1½ 1nk   10 1114 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 30% 2.30 7.20  
SCR  LIFE CHANGER               (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50    
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES               (reynolds patri)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50    
SCR  VIKRAM               (englehart s)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
 
SAR-7   07/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:133     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARABI 6 2 2 22 2½ 1nk 1¾ (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.20 W
GODDESS OF FIRE 1 6 66 54 54 3 2¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00 3.05  
ANGITUDE 4 1 1 12 1½ 2nk 3¾ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 17% 4.90 6.30 S
GINA ROMANTICA 2 3 3 3 32 42 47 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 10.80  
FAVOR 5 5 44 43 4 5 5 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 6.60  
ST MAARTEN GIRL 3 7 7 7 68 611½ 621¼ (vazquez ju)SANTANA JR 120 30.00 38.00  
A MO REAY 7 4 5 6 79 714 728 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 19% 4.10 7.10  
SCR  LET'S BE CLEAR               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
SCR  SWEET SOLARE               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
 
SAR-8   07/14/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:151 1:382   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANISY 1 1 1½ 11 11 11 1¾ (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 30% 2.30 3.65 W
LADY PUCHI 7 3 2½ 21 21 21 2¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 28.00  
MYRISKYAFFAIR 3 4 6 6 3 31 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 27% 2.70 3.70 S
CUSTOMER LIST (FR) 5 6 10 9 8 63 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 2.70  
12  LINDA'S GIFT 10 9 31 42 4 52 5 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 7% 12.60 10.60  
BRAVO KITTEN 2 2 4 32 52 4 64 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 13% 6.40 10.10  
CANDY LIGHT 8 7 7 8 9 75 74 (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
13  SANTA GIULIA (FR) 11 10 8 7 7 8 8 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5.60  
LOVE TO RUN 6 5 5 5 63 97 9 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 15.10  
BIG TENTATIONS 4 8 9 10 10 1010 1015 (vazquez ju)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 57.00  
10  SNOW LOVES A FIGHT 9 11 11 11 11 1116½ 1135 (noda orlando)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00 56.25  
SCR  MISSY GREER               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  QUEEN JUDITH               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  TEXIAN               (mcgaughey ii)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  WONKA               (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
 
SAR-9   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST CINDY 1 4 3 2½   1nk 1 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 2.10  
SUMMER PROMISE 7 5 2½ 1½   2nk 2 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 1.25  
JANIS JOPLIN 4 6 6 65   44 3 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 14.90  
ME AND MY SHADOW 5 2 4 42   3 45 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 38% 1.60 4.00  
VEDAREO 3 3 5 53   55 510½ (reid e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 34% 2.00 16.10  
MUSICMANSANDY 6 1 1½ 3   6 616½ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 30.00  
ADORA 2 7 7 77   710 718¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7% 14.10 10.60  
SCR  MOTOWN MISCHIEF               (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
SCR  SWEET HARMONY (IRE)               (terranova john )VELAZQUEZ R null      
 
SAR-10   07/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:211 :443 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABUSE OF POWER 6 5 6 53   1½ 1 (antonacci )SANTANA JR 122 2.50 18% 4.60 2.30 W
TWEAQUED 3 7 53 6   4 2 (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 29.50  
RIGBY 4 8 7 7   5 3 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.10 S
10  DAME TIME 10 6 8 8   7 4 (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 5% 18.60 11.00  
11  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 11 1 4 3½   2½ 5 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 9.80  
HALF BIRTHDAY 8 9 9 9   6 6 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 16.00  
FAST COREY 5 4 31 4   8 7 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 54% 0.80 3.45  
QUEENS DANCER 9 2 21 2½   3 8 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 120 20.00 29.75  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 2 11 11 11   9 910 (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
PROPER GRAMMAR 7 10 10 10   11 1011¾ (pregman j)SAMUEL L 122 50.00 65.50  
MAGNILOQUENT 1 3 11 1½   10 1118½ (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 10.10  
SCR  MOMMASGOTTARUN               (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.