Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - July 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/14/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:391   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROYAL TRYST 8 7 810 77½ 75 1nk 11¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 5.60  
9  KERSHAW 9 5 53½ 54 53 2nk 21¼ (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 52% 0.90 2.90 P
7  GIOCARE 7 9 912 811½ 89 75¼ 33 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 12% 7.60 3.95 S
4  DARK STORM 4 6 65½ 65½ 64 62¾ 44½ (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 9.50  
3  AUBURN HILLS 3 1 11 11 1½ 3½ 54½ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00 17.10  
6  BEAR ALLEY 6 3 41½ 32 2½ 41 65 (morey william )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 6% 16.50 3.45  
1  PARSIMONY 1 2 31½ 42½ 31 51¼ 75¾ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50 9% 10.60 6.80  
2  WARRIOR IN CHIEF 2 4 21 21 43 811¼ 818½ (clarke dyla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 20.00 21.40  
5  SMOOTH OPERATION 5 8 77½ 911½ 919 934¼ 995¼ (grusmark karl)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 25.50  
 
SAR-2   07/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF A CHANCE 1 1 11½ 11   11½ 1½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 43% 1.30 2.25 W
2  SPELTERINI 2 6 55 56½   45 2½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 13.60 P
6  CHOCOLATE GELATO 6 5 21½ 21   21½ 31½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 33% 2.00 0.55 S
5  TWO MINUTE DRILL 5 4 43½ 32   35 46¾ (barkley )SANTANA JR 119 8.00 20.80  
3  WILL BE FAMOUS 3 3 67½ 68   67½ 56¾ (brown r)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 15.50  
4  THIRTY THOU KELVIN 4 2 31½ 42   56½ 69¼ (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 10.60  
 
SAR-3   07/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:114 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIGH TIDE 2 6 66½ 67½ 53½ 31 11¼ (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50 28% 2.60 1.35 W
9  GRAND JOURNEY 6 1 12 12 1nk 1nk 21¼ (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 18% 4.50 4.70 P
6  ATTENTIVE 4 5 54½ 44 31½ 41¼ 32 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 29% 2.50 3.80 S
7  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 5 2 22 22 2nk 2nk 43¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 5.60  
5  STREET COPPER 3 3 44½ 55 65 52¼ 53½ (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 14.50  
3  TAKAFUMI (BRZ) 1 4 32½ 32½ 42 64¾ 68¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 4.70  
SCR  BALLAGH ROCKS               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
SCR  BE HERE               (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00    
SCR  HAMMERIN AAMER               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 125 2.00    
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS               (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SCR  NO BURN               (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.50    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT               (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
 
SAR-4   07/14/2022 7260ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:163 1:421 2:061 2:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SNOW'S ISLAND 6 75¼ 74½ 73¾ 62¼ 1½ 1½ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 8.70  
1  TIZ A GIANT 1 32½ 31½ 32 41½ 41½ 2½ (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80 P
3  REMOTE 3 53½ 64½ 63½ 73¼ 51¾ 32 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 46% 1.20 1.80 S
4  VINTAGE YEAR 4 11½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 3½ 44½ (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
2  TIMO 2 85¾ 86 85¾ 84¾ 74¾ 55¼ (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 9.80  
7  AFJAN 7 21½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 65¼ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 23% 3.30 6.40  
8  GOOD SOLDIER 8 42½ 43 42 31½ 63¼ 77 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5.20  
5  GRAND CAY 5 63¾ 53½ 53 52 88¾ 810¾ (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 4.70  
SCR  CHEEKY TICO               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
 
SAR-5   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAJORITY PARTNER 3 8 41½ 41½   1½ 13 (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 1.65  
4  TOMMY GUN 4 1 1nk 1½   2½ 23 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 13% 6.60 3.05 P
2  CATCHING CUPID 2 2 51¾ 52   33 35½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 28% 2.60 5.60 S
5  SENSIBLECONCLUSION 5 9 910¾ 911½   77 47½ (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 20.70  
6  COLD WALKER 6 6 2nk 2½   43 510¾ (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 29% 2.40 13.60  
10  WARALO 9 5 75¼ 76½   87½ 614 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 30.00 35.00  
8  HEREBY 8 4 63¼ 65   66½ 715 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
7  THE INSTITUTE 7 3 3½ 3½   54½ 818¾ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 5.20  
1  CLINGMAN 1 7 85¼ 87   98 920¾ (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 14.00  
SCR  JOSIE'S THUNDER               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
 
SAR-6   07/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WINTER SON 3 6 73½ 72¼   3½ 1¼ (arenas marc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 43.50  
4  JUST SAY WHEN 4 1 2½ 41¼   2nk 2¼ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 41% 1.50 1.55 P
1  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT 1 9 106¾ 105   62¼ 31 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 16.70  
9  KING MOONRACER 9 10 85 83¼   4¾ 41½ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 ★ 3.00  
10  PROPENSITY 10 5 41 3.2   1nk 52¾ (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 10.40  
6  U. S. STEEL 6 8 95¼ 94¾   93½ 63½ (lucas bo)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
11  ME 'N SAP 11 4 62½ 61¾   73¼ 73¾ (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 124 15.00 38.75  
7  COLD AS HELL 7 11 119¾ 118   115½ 85¾ (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
2  DARK TIMBER 2 3 52 51¼   83¼ 97¼ (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 10.60  
8  STANHOPE 8 7 3½ 2nk   51¼ 107¾ (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 15.90  
5  FAST N FEARIOUS 5 2 1½ 1nk   104½ 1114 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 30% 2.30 7.20  
SCR  LIFE CHANGER               (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50    
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES               (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50    
SCR  VIKRAM               (englehart jeffrey)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
 
SAR-7   07/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:133     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TARABI 6 2 22½ 22 2½ 1nk 1¾ (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.20 W
1  GODDESS OF FIRE 1 6 66 54 54 31½ 2¾ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00 3.05  
4  ANGITUDE 4 1 12½ 12 1½ 2nk 3¾ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 17% 4.90 6.30 S
2  GINA ROMANTICA 2 3 33½ 32½ 32 42 47 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 10.80  
6  FAVOR 5 5 44 43 43½ 53½ 57¼ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 6.60  
3  ST MAARTEN GIRL 3 7 78½ 78½ 68 611½ 621¼ (vazquez )SANTANA JR 120 30.00 38.00  
9  A MO REAY 7 4 55½ 64½ 79 714 728 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 19% 4.10 7.10  
SCR  LET'S BE CLEAR               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
SCR  SWEET SOLARE               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
 
SAR-8   07/14/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:151 1:382   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANISY 1 1 1½ 11 11 11 1¾ (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 30% 2.30 3.65 W
8  LADY PUCHI 7 3 2½ 21 21 21 2¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 28.00  
3  MYRISKYAFFAIR 3 4 61¾ 63½ 31½ 31 31¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 27% 2.70 3.70 S
6  CUSTOMER LIST (FR) 5 6 104¾ 95¼ 83¾ 63 43¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 2.70  
12  LINDA'S GIFT 10 9 31 42 41½ 52 53¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 7% 12.60 10.60  
2  BRAVO KITTEN 2 2 41½ 32 52 41½ 64 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 13% 6.40 10.10  
9  CANDY LIGHT 8 7 71¾ 84¼ 95¼ 75 74 (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
13  SANTA GIULIA (FR) 11 10 82¼ 73¾ 73½ 85½ 85¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5.60  
7  LOVE TO RUN 6 5 51½ 52½ 63 97 99½ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 15.10  
5  BIG TENTATIONS 4 8 93¼ 105¾ 105¾ 1010 1015 (vazquez )SANTANA JR 118 20.00 57.00  
10  SNOW LOVES A FIGHT 9 11 116¼ 118¾ 117¾ 1116½ 1135 (noda orlando)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00 56.25  
SCR  MISSY GREER               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  QUEEN JUDITH               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  TEXIAN               (mcgaughey claude )RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  WONKA               (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
 
SAR-9   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CINDY 1 4 31½ 2½   1nk 12¼ (kenneally edd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 2.10  
  (by JUSTIFY out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
9  SUMMER PROMISE 7 5 2½ 1½   2nk 22¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 1.25  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAM OF SUMMER by SIBERIAN SUMMER)
5  JANIS JOPLIN 4 6 66¾ 65   44 34¼ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 14.90  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEEKING THE BLUE by ARCH)
6  ME AND MY SHADOW 5 2 41½ 42   33½ 45 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 38% 1.60 4.00  
  (by VIOLENCE out of SILHOUETTE by SMART STRIKE)
4  VEDAREO 3 3 51¾ 53   55 510½ (reid e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 34% 2.00 16.10  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of VERO AMORE by MINESHAFT)
8  MUSICMANSANDY 6 1 1½ 31½   66½ 616½ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 30.00  
  (by ACCELERATE out of FULL MOON FROLIC by VINDICATION)
3  ADORA 2 7 77¼ 77   710 718¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7% 14.10 10.60  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOUTHERN RING by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MOTOWN MISCHIEF               (hamm timoth)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SING SING DIXIE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  SWEET HARMONY (IRE)               (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R null      
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LAST WALTZ (IRE) by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-10   07/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:211 :443 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ABUSE OF POWER 6 5 63½ 53   1½ 11½ (antonacc)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 18% 4.60 2.30 W
3  TWEAQUED 3 7 53 63¼   41½ 21½ (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 29.50  
4  RIGBY 4 8 74½ 74¾   52½ 34¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 ★ 4.10 S
10  DAME TIME 10 6 84¾ 84¾   73¾ 44¾ (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 5% 18.60 11.00  
11  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 11 1 41½ 3½   2½ 56¼ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 9.80  
8  HALF BIRTHDAY 8 9 96¼ 96¾   63½ 67¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 16.00  
5  FAST COREY 5 4 31 41½   84¾ 79½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 54% 0.80 3.45  
9  QUEENS DANCER 9 2 21 2½   31½ 89¾ (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 20.00 29.75  
2  HIGHWAY QUEEN 2 11 118¾ 118¾   96¾ 910 (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
7  PROPER GRAMMAR 7 10 108¾ 108¼   118¼ 1011¾ (pregman john)SAMUEL L 122 50.00 65.50  
1  MAGNILOQUENT 1 3 11 1½   108¼ 1118½ (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 10.10  
SCR  MOMMASGOTTARUN               (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.