Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   07/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:112 1:362   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CANDY TYCOON 4 2 2nk 21 2nk 11 13¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 34% 1.90 1.80 W
2  DOUBLE CROWN 2 4 55¼ 55 54¼ 54 23¼ (cash l)COURT K 122 8.00 10% 8.70 6.90 P
3  SANTOS DUMONT 3 1 1nk 11 1nk 21 33½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00 ★ 2.90 S
5  INJUNCTION 5 6 45 43½ 44 44 44 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 29% 2.50 2.10  
1  CIVIL WAR 1 5 67¾ 67 66¾ 66 55½ (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 22.80  
6  KEYSTONE FIELD 6 3 33½ 33½ 31½ 32½ 68¼ (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50 ★ 7.40  
 
CD-2   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUST LIKE MAGIC 2 4 2½ 1½   12 1¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 12% 7.30 4.60 W
3  MAGICAL LUTE 3 12 87 86¼   33 2¾ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 10.70  
5  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 5 2 32 2½   22 34¼ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 32% 2.10 19.30 S
10  SHEZA SHINING STAR 10 1 54 54   77½ 44½ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 ★ 7.20  
6  FRIENDLYPERSUASION 6 3 42½ 44   56 56 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 2.50  
4  FUN AND FEISTY 4 11 65½ 76   66 67¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 10.00 8.40  
11  HIGH FASHION LADY 11 9 1213 1011¾   89½ 79¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 24.40  
1  B G WARRIOR 1 8 1½ 32½   44 89¾ (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 119 20.00 47.10  
8  BOLTORO 8 10 109 99¾   99¾ 910 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 33% 2.10 3.70  
9  BEST SELLER 9 7 76½ 65   109¾ 1010 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 28.40  
12  BEA FLATTERED 12 6 1111 1113¾   1113¾ 1116¼ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 ★ 12.80  
7  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 7 5 98½ 1213¾   1216¾ 1222¼ (leonard geo)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 63.30  
SCR  DIVINE GRACE               (ewing micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
 
CD-3   07/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:091     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MR SIPPI 6 6 43 4¾   13½ 12¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 23% 3.30 3.80 W
8  MOUNT ATHOS 7 7 64 51¾   33½ 22¾ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 ★ 3.30 P
5  NEPOTISM 5 3 31½ 3.2   23½ 34 (scherer mari)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 38% 1.70 1.20 S
1  PERFECT CUT 1 5 53½ 62¾   56 48½ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 122 12.00 14% 6.00 7.50  
3  COLD AS HELL 3 2 2nk 1nk   44 58¾ (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 4.50 9.90  
4  SPEND BENJAMINS 4 4 75 74¾   79 611¾ (gon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00 13.50  
2  MUMAYAZ 2 1 1nk 2nk   68½ 715 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 16.90  
SCR  FLAGS UP               (baker james)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 ★    
 
CD-4   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:221 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NAUGHTY GAL 6 2 2nk 11½   15 19¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 2.80  
13  CHIQUITA MOSCA 11 1 87¼ 67½   58½ 29¼ (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00 17.80  
3  AUDACIOUSNESS 2 7 32 45   37½ 310½ (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 14.60  
4  STUNNINGLY 3 8 1nk 21½   25 410¾ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 25% 2.90 2.40  
6  FOREVER DIXIE 5 9 42¼ 34   47½ 510¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 26% 2.80 4.10  
12  EMPRESS ISABEL 10 3 98¼ 710   711½ 613 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 12.00 8.20  
9  AUNT MISCHIEF 7 4 75¾ 55   610 714¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 17.20  
10  RUN AND GUN 8 5 109¼ 811½   815½ 821¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
1  CATHERINE BLAZE 1 6 65¼ 1014½   917½ 923 (leonard geo)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 49.40  
5  BRISBANE ROAD 4 11 54¾ 913½   1022½ 1038¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 9.40  
11  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN 9 10 1114¼ 1129½   1128½ 1150½ (reece claire)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.40  
SCR  ANACARO               (ennis jo)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  CALLIE'S PASSION               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 7% 13.90    
 
CD-5   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:10 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SKYRO 6 3 31 31 2½ 11½ 13¼ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 27% 2.70 3.30 W
5  DOUBLY BLESSED 3 6 53 52½ 42 21½ 23¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.50 P
6  SHORTLIST 4 7 76 64½ 75½ 66½ 36¾ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 19.80  
7  RODERICK 5 1 11 11 1½ 31½ 47¼ (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.50 8% 11.10 3.40  
3  GAGETOWN 2 2 21 21 31 43½ 58¼ (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
10  ERON DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) 7 5 63½ 74¾ 65½ 78½ 618 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 29.70  
1  ENID 1 4 42 41½ 53 54½ 7100 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 7% 13.10 4.50  
SCR  BIG LAKE               (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00    
SCR  KOUFAX               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  RED LABEL               (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
 
CD-6   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GULFPORT 1 1 1½ 12   17 112¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 0.80 32% 2.10 0.20 W
2  OWEN'S LEAP 2 4 55½ 57   48½ 212¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 ★ 7.90 P
3  ANDTHEWINNERIS 3 6 65¾ 35   27 312¼ (catalano m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 ★ 7.10 S
6  SIMPLY SUPER 6 5 2½ 22   37½ 419 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 21% 3.80 9.40  
5  STAYHONOR GOODSIDE 5 3 34 45½   511 523¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 12.70  
4  MR. GORDY 4 2 45½ 612   616 626 (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 18% 4.40 31.10  
 
CD-7   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:213 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WONDER WHEEL 3 5 1½ 12½   14½ 16¾ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 ★ 1.80  
4  SABRA TUFF 4 6 75½ 78½   46 26¾ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 ★ 9.20 P
5  LES BON TEMPS 5 3 42 33   34½ 38 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 28% 2.60 5.20 S
7  EMPIRE OF MY OWN 7 1 2½ 22½   24½ 48 (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 120 1.80 45% 1.20 1.70  
2  EYES OF GOLD 2 4 53½ 67   67½ 510¼ (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 22.40  
6  FRANGO ELECTRICO 6 2 64 44½   57 612¼ (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00 58.50  
1  CRACKALACKING 1 7 32 55   79½ 718¾ (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.50 ★ 4.30  
 
CD-8   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :453 1:092 1:213   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CODY'S WISH 6 5 41¾ 3½ 1½ 1nk 1¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.60 65% 0.50 0.70 W
5  THREE TECHNIQUE 4 6 65¼ 65 42½ 2nk 2¼ (cook b)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 ★ 13.90 P
4  AWESOME GERRY 3 2 31½ 53 65½ 44 34¼ (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 9.90  
3  WEYBURN 2 3 52¾ 41½ 31½ 32 45¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 ★ 6.50  
6  PLAINSMAN 5 4 21½ 2½ 54 57½ 514 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 13% 6.70 2.80  
1  MISH 1 1 11½ 1½ 2½ 67¾ 615¾ (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50 ★ 9.70  
SCR  RUNNIN' RAY               (sharp joe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   07/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:101 1:362   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GILDED AGE 5 1 810½ 919½ 916½ 66½ 1nk (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 11% 8.20 7.00 W
3  BRIGADIER GENERAL 3 4 25 212 26 13½ 2nk (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 ★ 4.60 P
7  WAR CAMPAIGN 7 10 1014 1022 815½ 76¾ 31 (sims a)LANERIE J 122 8.00 5.80  
2  JUST CALL RAY 2 6 911 818 613½ 44 41¼ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 13.80  
4  WE ALL SEE IT 4 2 69 516 411 55½ 51½ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 14.70  
9  WARRIOR JOHNY 9 8 47½ 313½ 38½ 23½ 62 (bauer phil)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 34% 2.00 2.10  
1  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 1 5 58½ 716½ 713½ 86¾ 73 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00 36.70  
8  KEEPCALMCARRYON 8 11 1115 1125 1120½ 910¾ 88¼ (margolis ste)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 33.90  
10  GLACIAL 10 3 15 112 16 33½ 98½ (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 31% 2.20 6.30  
11  EMIRATES ROAD 11 9 79½ 616½ 512½ 1011¾ 1019 (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 9.80  
6  SKATE TO HEAVEN 6 7 36 414½ 1017 1117¾ 1131¾ (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00 31.00  
SCR  HIPPODROME               (cash l)COURT K 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.