Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   07/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:112 1:362   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY TYCOON 4 2 2nk 21 2nk 11 1 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 34% 1.90 1.80 W
DOUBLE CROWN 2 4 5 55 5 54 2 (cash l)COURT K 122 8.00 10% 8.70 6.90 P
SANTOS DUMONT 3 1 1nk 11 1nk 21 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00 2.90 S
INJUNCTION 5 6 45 4 44 44 44 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 29% 2.50 2.10  
CIVIL WAR 1 5 6 67 6 66 5 (demeritte l)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 22.80  
KEYSTONE FIELD 6 3 3 3 3 3 6 (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50 7.40  
 
CD-2   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST LIKE MAGIC 2 4 2½ 1½   12 1¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 12% 7.30 4.60 W
MAGICAL LUTE 3 12 87 8   33 2¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 10.70  
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 5 2 32 2½   22 3 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 32% 2.10 19.30 S
10  SHEZA SHINING STAR 10 1 54 54   7 4 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 7.20  
FRIENDLYPERSUASION 6 3 4 44   56 56 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 2.50  
FUN AND FEISTY 4 11 6 76   66 6 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00 8.40  
11  HIGH FASHION LADY 11 9 1213 1011¾   8 7 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 24.40  
B G WARRIOR 1 8 1½ 3   44 8 (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 119 20.00 47.10  
BOLTORO 8 10 109 9   9 910 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 33% 2.10 3.70  
BEST SELLER 9 7 7 65   10 1010 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 28.40  
12  BEA FLATTERED 12 6 1111 1113¾   1113¾ 1116¼ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 12.80  
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 7 5 9 1213¾   1216¾ 1222¼ (leonard georg)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 63.30  
SCR  DIVINE GRACE               (ewing michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
 
CD-3   07/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:091     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR SIPPI 6 6 43 4¾   1 1 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 23% 3.30 3.80 W
MOUNT ATHOS 7 7 64 5   3 2 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 3.30 P
NEPOTISM 5 3 3 3.2   2 34 (scherer marian)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 38% 1.70 1.20 S
PERFECT CUT 1 5 5 6   56 4 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 14% 6.00 7.50  
COLD AS HELL 3 2 2nk 1nk   44 5 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 4.50 9.90  
SPEND BENJAMINS 4 4 75 7   79 611¾ (gonza)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00 13.50  
MUMAYAZ 2 1 1nk 2nk   6 715 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 16.90  
SCR  FLAGS UP               (baker james)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
 
CD-4   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:221 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUGHTY GAL 6 2 2nk 1   15 1 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 2.80  
13  CHIQUITA MOSCA 11 1 8 6   5 2 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00 17.80  
AUDACIOUSNESS 2 7 32 45   3 310½ (stall albert)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 14.60  
STUNNINGLY 3 8 1nk 2   25 410¾ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 25% 2.90 2.40  
FOREVER DIXIE 5 9 4 34   4 510¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 26% 2.80 4.10  
12  EMPRESS ISABEL 10 3 9 710   711½ 613 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 12.00 8.20  
AUNT MISCHIEF 7 4 7 55   610 714¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 17.20  
10  RUN AND GUN 8 5 10 811½   815½ 821¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
CATHERINE BLAZE 1 6 6 1014½   917½ 923 (leonard georg)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 49.40  
BRISBANE ROAD 4 11 5 913½   1022½ 1038¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 9.40  
11  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN 9 10 1114¼ 1129½   1128½ 1150½ (reece claire)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.40  
SCR  ANACARO               (ennis john)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  CALLIE'S PASSION               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 7% 13.90    
 
CD-5   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:10 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYRO 6 3 31 31 2½ 1 1 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 27% 2.70 3.30 W
DOUBLY BLESSED 3 6 53 5 42 2 2 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.50 P
SHORTLIST 4 7 76 6 7 6 3 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 19.80  
RODERICK 5 1 11 11 1½ 3 4 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.50 8% 11.10 3.40  
GAGETOWN 2 2 21 21 31 4 5 (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
10  ERON DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) 7 5 6 7 6 7 618 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 29.70  
ENID 1 4 42 4 53 5 7100 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 7% 13.10 4.50  
SCR  BIG LAKE               (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00    
SCR  KOUFAX               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  RED LABEL               (demeritte l)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
 
CD-6   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GULFPORT 1 1 1½ 12   17 112¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 0.80 32% 2.10 0.20 W
OWEN'S LEAP 2 4 5 57   4 212¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 7.90 P
ANDTHEWINNERIS 3 6 6 35   27 312¼ (catalano m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 7.10 S
SIMPLY SUPER 6 5 2½ 22   3 419 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 21% 3.80 9.40  
STAYHONOR GOODSIDE 5 3 34 4   511 523¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 12.70  
MR. GORDY 4 2 4 612   616 626 (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 18% 4.40 31.10  
 
CD-7   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:213 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER WHEEL 3 5 1½ 1   1 1 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 1.80  
SABRA TUFF 4 6 7 7   46 2 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 9.20 P
LES BON TEMPS 5 3 42 33   3 38 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 28% 2.60 5.20 S
EMPIRE OF MY OWN 7 1 2½ 2   2 48 (asmussen st)LEPAROUX R 120 1.80 45% 1.20 1.70  
EYES OF GOLD 2 4 5 67   6 510¼ (demeritte l)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 22.40  
FRANGO ELECTRICO 6 2 64 4   57 612¼ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00 58.50  
CRACKALACKING 1 7 32 55   7 718¾ (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.50 4.30  
 
CD-8   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :453 1:092 1:213   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODY'S WISH 6 5 4 3½ 1½ 1nk 1¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.60 65% 0.50 0.70 W
THREE TECHNIQUE 4 6 6 65 4 2nk 2¼ (cook b)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 13.90 P
AWESOME GERRY 3 2 3 53 6 44 3 (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 9.90  
WEYBURN 2 3 5 4 3 32 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 6.50  
PLAINSMAN 5 4 2 2½ 54 5 514 (cox h)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 13% 6.70 2.80  
MISH 1 1 1 1½ 2½ 6 615¾ (joseph saffie )GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50 9.70  
SCR  RUNNIN' RAY               (sharp joe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   07/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:101 1:362   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDED AGE 5 1 810½ 919½ 916½ 6 1nk (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 11% 8.20 7.00 W
BRIGADIER GENERAL 3 4 25 212 26 1 2nk (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 4.60 P
WAR CAMPAIGN 7 10 1014 1022 815½ 7 31 (sims a)LANERIE J 122 8.00 5.80  
JUST CALL RAY 2 6 911 818 613½ 44 4 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 13.80  
WE ALL SEE IT 4 2 69 516 411 5 5 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 14.70  
WARRIOR JOHNY 9 8 4 313½ 3 2 62 (bauer philip)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 34% 2.00 2.10  
BRITAIN'S KITTEN 1 5 5 716½ 713½ 8 73 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00 36.70  
KEEPCALMCARRYON 8 11 1115 1125 1120½ 910¾ 8 (margolis steph)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 33.90  
10  GLACIAL 10 3 15 112 16 3 9 (casse norm )LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 31% 2.20 6.30  
11  EMIRATES ROAD 11 9 7 616½ 512½ 1011¾ 1019 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 9.80  
SKATE TO HEAVEN 6 7 36 414½ 1017 1117¾ 1131¾ (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00 31.00  
SCR  HIPPODROME               (cash l)COURT K 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.