The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 26, 2022

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CD-1   06/26/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
:231 :46 1:104     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOARING BIRD 2 5 5 53   2½ 1(cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 33% 2.10 2.30 W
HONORARY DEGREE 5 4 4 42   1½ 2(miller f)COURT K 118 12.00 11% 8.50 7.60 P
FIRERY TALE 4 3 3 32   32 3(garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 2.50  
RANDELLO 3 2 21 2   42 4(garcia genaro)RIQUELME J 120 3.50 1.90  
BULL HOLLOW 1 1 11 1   5510¾ (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 118 4.00 4.90  
SCR  COLONEL KLINK               (rainwater bradlee)BAIRD T 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
CD-2   06/26/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
:22 :454       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVEMASTER 3 5 511½     46 1(catalano m)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 6.30  
JEREMY'S JET 6 2 2½     2nk 2(mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 22% 3.60 7.00 P
MUSICAL MAESTRO 5 3 36     33(asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 23% 3.40 2.90 S
MATARO 2 1 1½     1nk 4(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 34% 2.00 1.00  
RUNGIUS 1 4 49     57 56 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 4.90  
ACCIDENT 4 6 619½     613 6(short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 10.00 30.40  
SCR  REVERE NOTE               (butcher malcolm)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  STUCK N SNOW               (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
 
CD-3   06/26/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
:221 :454 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVE RIGHT 9 5 2½ 1½   12 1(chapman k)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 4.50 26% 2.90 5.40 W
RUN POPPY 7 6 6 56   45 2(asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 28% 2.60 0.90 P
SMART PRIZE 5 10 810¾ 7   53(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 25.10  
JOHN GREY 1 1 1½ 2½   22 4(engler jeff)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 25% 3.00 4.80  
CINCH UP 2 2 55 6   75(bright derrick)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 59.00  
10  TREPAT 10 8 42 3   35 613¾ (ennis john)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 19.20  
UPTOWN SOCIAL 6 3 32 42   6714¼ (beckman whitworth)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 33.70  
MORIARTY 8 7 912¼ 914   815¾ 824¾ (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 116 20.00 63.40  
BOOK OF KELLS 3 4 710¾ 812½   915¾ 925¼ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 119 4.50 9.70  
LOUDMOUTHSOUP 4 9 10100 10100   10100 10100 (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5.90  
 
CD-4   06/26/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:241 :49 1:131 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT FLIGHT 6 2 2½ 3.2 3½ 11 1(brisset rodolphe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 23% 3.30 7.60 W
OLD HICKORY 1 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 21 2(flint s)GRAHAM J 125 10.00 28.80 P
STRONG LIGHT 4 9 9 9 5 54 34 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 6.10 S
BEYBLADER 5 4 6 5 4 44(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 4.60  
ENOUGH ALREADY 9 8 8 8 9 659 (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 36% 1.80 0.60  
MISTICAL CURLIN 2 6 4 2nk 1nk 3612¼ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 26.90  
1A  FAITH RUNNER 7 5 7 7 7 713½ 722 (stewart dallas)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 6.10  
MUCHO MOJO 8 3 3 4 6 815 824 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 17% 4.70 11.70  
UNIFIED DREAMS 3 7 5 6 88 920 932 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 42.90  
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME               (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 20.00    
 
CD-5   06/26/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:222 :452 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAKATOMI 6 6 5 5   21 1(ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 1.60 30% 2.30 0.40 W
HIGHER STANDARD 3 2 2 21   11 2(amoss m)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 2.50 15% 5.80 4.50 P
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 1 1 1 11   43(habeeb j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 41.60  
SWIFTSURE 4 3 4 31   54(brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 31% 2.20 3.80  
SHADOW MATTER 2 4 3 4   356 (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 10.40  
WILD POPIT 5 5 6 6   6612 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 21.00  
SCR  SPEITFUL SAM               (londono genevieve)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
 
CD-6   06/26/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:224 :451 1:10 1:223   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECOND OF JULY 6 2 3½ 31 1½ 11(mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 10.00  
POLICY OPTION 8 3 65 6 53 22(cano munoz)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 11% 8.50 12.50 P
ENDLESS SUNSET 4 5 76 8 6 55 3(garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00 11.20  
BLUE JAYS 2 8 8 7 4 32 44 (cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.50 22% 3.60 4.20  
HIGHESTDISTINCTION 7 6 4 42 3½ 45(morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 7.80  
PICO D'ORO 5 4 2½ 21 2½ 67 617½ (caramori caio)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00 17.30  
CRITICAL THREAT 3 7 54 5 7 7718½ (walsh p)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 15% 5.60 4.40  
KINGMEISTER 1 1 1½ 11 8 812 829½ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 23% 3.40 1.30  
 
CD-7   06/26/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
:223 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARDUKAS 1 4 3 3   1½ 1¼ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 119 15.00 44.80  
CORTESE 8 5 52 42   2½ 2¼ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 4.00 9% 9.60 4.80 P
CLEAR THE DECK 5 1 6 5   52 3(mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 56% 0.80 1.20 S
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 4 9 9 74   44(davis christopher)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 14.30  
10  LET HIM DO 10 7 8 8   653 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 12.30  
MISSIN CURFEW 2 2 11 1½   3½ 68 (diodoro robertino)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 20.70  
CRAVENS 3 6 21 2½   77(asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 12% 7.40 3.40  
DOC BALLARD 9 10 10 1010¾   98(joseph a)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 18.60  
MIDNIGHT DREAMING 7 3 42 6   8912½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 17.10  
GHENT 6 8 74 9   101015¼ (hamilton sarah)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 17.40  
 
CD-8   06/26/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:212 :443 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARI OAKLEY 5 1 11 1½   11 1¼ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 12% 7.30 2.20 W
PORTILLA 6 2 21 2½   21 2¼ (stall m)SANTANA JR 123 5.00 14.80 P
HAZY COMMAND 2 4 5 3   33(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 31% 2.20 5.00 S
LAVENDAR LANE 4 3 6 6   64(lyster s)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 32.80  
MINUTE WALTZ 1 5 3 4   45 511¼ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.00 23% 3.30 2.30  
MERCY WARREN 3 6 4 5   5612 (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5.40  
SOCIAL DILEMMA 7 7 7 7   79 715¼ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 11% 8.00 4.20  
SCR  QUICK MUNNY               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 125 5.00    
 
CD-9   06/26/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:222 :45 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE IT 6 2 4 4   1nk 1(asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 12.80  
DOROTHEA 1 5 1nk 11   2nk 2(walsh p)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 8.30  
10  BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL 9 1 3½ 31   32 34 (medina robert)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00 14% 6.20 4.20 S
COURSE RUNNER 3 7 6 54   44(arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 16.10  
SAINT EROS GIRL 4 3 2nk 21   55(moquett e)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 40% 1.50 3.20  
HOT RUMOR 2 6 54 65   6612¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 23% 3.30 1.20  
LEAVE IT BE 8 4 76 78   7712¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 23.80  
TIMETABLE 5 8 8 810   810¼ 816¼ (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00 34.00  
JUST GET IT 7 9 99 912½   911¾ 916¾ (margolis r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 29.50  
SCR  STAGE QUEEN               (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.