Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULL HOLLOW May07 Mar20 Jan29 Jan07   (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 118 4.00 ★    
2  SOARING BIRD May12 Apr16 Feb17     (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
3  RANDELLO May18 May03 Mar26 Mar04 Feb18 (garcia genaro)RIQUELME J 120 3.50 ★    
4  FIRERY TALE Jun10 May27 Apr16 Apr09 Mar13 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00    
5  HONORARY DEGREE May27 Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 Feb21 (miller f)COURT K 118 12.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  COLONEL KLINK Jun11         (rainwater bradlee)BAIRD T 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
CD-2   06/26/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNGIUS         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 ★    
2  MATARO Jun10         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  DIVEMASTER         (catalano)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  STUCK N SNOW         (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
5  ACCIDENT         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 10.00 ★    
6  MUSICAL MAESTRO         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  REVERE NOTE May30 Apr28 Apr20     (butcher ma)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00    
8  JEREMY'S JET Jun09 May20 May12     (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
CD-3   06/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN GREY Jun08         (engler jef)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  CINCH UP         (bright de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 ★    
3  BOOK OF KELLS May29 May04       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 4.50    
4  LOUDMOUTHSOUP         (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 8.00 ★    
5  SMART PRIZE         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
6  UPTOWN SOCIAL Apr08         (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
7  RUN POPPY         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  MORIARTY         (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 116 20.00    
9  PROVE RIGHT Jun08         (cha)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
10  TREPAT         (ennis john)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   06/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG LIGHT Jun09 Apr30 Mar19 Feb05   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 ★    
1A  FAITH RUNNER May15 Mar03 Jan22     (stewart )SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME Jun05 Apr30 Apr01     (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 20.00    
3  OLD HICKORY Jun05 May15 Mar27 Mar11   (flint s)GRAHAM J 125 10.00 ★    
4  MISTICAL CURLIN Jan29         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
5  UNIFIED DREAMS May28 Apr29       (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
6  BEYBLADER Jun09 May05 Mar26 Feb19   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
7  PERFECT FLIGHT Jan02         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
8  MUCHO MOJO Jun03 Apr02 Mar12 Feb12   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 17% 4.70    
9  ENOUGH ALREADY May05 Apr09 Feb12     (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
CD-5   06/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT May05 Mar10 Feb10 Jan09   (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
2  SHADOW MATTER May28 Apr29 Feb21     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 ★    
3  HIGHER STANDARD Apr02 Mar09 Feb05     (amoss thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 2.50 15% 5.80    
4  SWIFTSURE         (brisset )SANTANA JR 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  WILD POPIT         (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00    
SCR  SPEITFUL SAM May20 Apr16 Mar09 Jan02   (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 ★    
7  NAKATOMI         (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
CD-6   06/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGMEISTER Jun02 May06 Jan16     (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  BLUE JAYS May28 Apr15 Feb25 Jan27   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  CRITICAL THREAT May30 Apr09 Mar12 Jan12   (walsh br)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 15% 5.60    
4  ENDLESS SUNSET Jun12 May27 May12 Feb11 Jan14 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00    
5  PICO D'ORO Jun08 May16       (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
6  SECOND OF JULY Jun03 May12 Apr16     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
7  HIGHESTDISTINCTION Jun02 Mar12 Jan22     (morse randy )GEROUX FLORENT 124 5.00 ★    
8  POLICY OPTION Jun02 May12 Mar10 Jan29 Jan08 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 11% 8.50    
 
CD-7   06/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARDUKAS Jun08         (engler jeff)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
2  MISSIN CURFEW         (diodoro rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 ★    
3  CRAVENS         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 12% 7.40    
4  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER         (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 ★    
5  CLEAR THE DECK Jun08         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  GHENT         (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
7  MIDNIGHT DREAMING Jun08         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
8  CORTESE Jun09         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 4.00 9% 9.60    
9  DOC BALLARD May29         (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
10  LET HIM DO Jun19         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
 
CD-8   06/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINUTE WALTZ Jun02         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  QUICK MUNNY May05 Apr15 Feb24 Jan28   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 125 5.00    
3  HAZY COMMAND May21 Apr10 Feb18 Jan22   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
4  MERCY WARREN Jun03 Apr13 Mar10 Jan22   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
5  LAVENDAR LANE Jan07         (lyster s)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
6  ARI OAKLEY May28 May01 Apr07 Feb26 Jan22 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 12% 7.30    
7  PORTILLA         (stall al)SANTANA JR 123 5.00 ★    
8  SOCIAL DILEMMA Jun02 May05       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
CD-9   06/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOROTHEA         (walsh p)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
SCR  STAGE QUEEN May21         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
3  HOT RUMOR         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  COURSE RUNNER         (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 ★    
5  SAINT EROS GIRL May20         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
6  TIMETABLE         (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00    
7  DANCE IT May27 Mar31       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 ★    
8  JUST GET IT         (margolis ste)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
9  LEAVE IT BE May21 Apr27       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
10  BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL May21 Apr27 Mar18 Feb11   (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00 14% 6.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.