Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Friday - July 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MINE 4 5 1nk 1½   1½ 11 (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.00 8.30  
IM JUST KIDDIN 5 4 3 31   2½ 21 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 39% 1.50 1.10 P
MADDIE'S GRACE 3 1 2nk 2½   3 3 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 6.50 S
IRISH EMPRESS 1 3 4 4   4 414¾ (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 7% 12.80 7.80  
LA CHANCE 2 2 7 7   515 521¼ (vazquez ju)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 24.00  
THE SPLENDID ONE 7 6 5 6   618 630½ (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 7% 12.80 10.00  
CAMP AKEELA 6 7 6 57   722 740 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 19% 4.30 3.10  
 
SAR-2   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:23 :454 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMAIN ANONYMOUS 1 1 1½ 13   1 1 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.70 W
INVALUABLE 3 2 2½ 33   2 2 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 15% 5.70 5.70 P
MELTING SNOW 6 5 6 5   59 3 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 17% 5.10 6.30 S
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 2 6 4 23   35 4 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 3.80  
BUSTIN BAY 4 4 31 4   4 5 (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 19.20  
CADEAU DE PAIX 7 7 7 712   717½ 620 (englehart jere)BRIDGMOHAN X 122 8.00 23.00  
GRUDGE 5 3 53 610   615½ 720¼ (jones edua)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 27.50  
 
SAR-3   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:253 :52 1:171 1:40   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLER'S HONOR 3 6 6 5 41 3.2 1 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 2.80  
YOUR MISSION 1 8 7 6 6 5 2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 3.20 P
MR. CONNECTICUT 5 4 5 31 3½ 2nk 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 6% 15.70 5.50 S
BIONDI 4 2 1nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 4 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 33% 2.10 3.05  
BERNARDINO 7 3 31 4 52 4 5 (serpe m)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 11.50  
URAGANO 6 7 8 8 74 7 6 (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 5.60  
RUSH TO HONOR 8 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 6 7 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 32.50  
KINGDOM ON PAWS 2 1 4 7 8 8 8 (mc john)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 29.75  
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
SAR-4   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST LIKE THIS 5 4 2½ 1½   14 1 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 2.40  
OFFUTT COLE 1 3 1½ 2½   24 2 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 14.70  
INSPIRED MISCHIEF 3 5 4 3   39 318¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 24% 3.10 3.55 S
PAPI ON ICE 4 7 7 710½   714½ 419¼ (persaud randi)HARKIE K 119 30.00 21.60  
SUPPRESSOR 6 2 32 4   411 522 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 14% 6.40 2.15  
MARCO POLO 7 1 54 66   513½ 622½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 18% 4.40 5.40  
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY 2 6 64 56   614 726¾ (trites lands)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 9.00  
SCR  ACTUALIZE               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 22% 3.60    
 
SAR-5   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124 1:352   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUULSTONE 5 3 21 21 2nk 13 14 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 39% 1.50 6.20 W
GOOCH GO BRAGH 2 2 4 3 3 23 24 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 6.50  
10  AL'S PRINCE 10 8 8 7 7 35 3 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 10% 8.80 2.40 S
12  BORN A GAMBLER 12 4 3 43 4 45 4 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 30% 2.40 4.80  
ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) 3 10 10 9 115 7 56 (caramori ed)LEPAROUX R 123 30.00 19.60  
LORD OF WAR 9 6 75 8 8 9 6 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 11.70  
BAIL OUT 7 7 64 64 6 5 7 (englehart jeffr)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 16.50  
TONAL IMPACT 1 11 12 12 12 1110¼ 8 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 11.00  
SEIZING THE DREAM 6 9 9 10 95 88 98 (tagg barclay)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 9.10  
11  AMEDEUS MUSIC 11 12 11 11 105 1211¼ 1010¾ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 48.25  
THE MAN TO SEE 8 5 5 54 5 10 1112¼ (gaudet lacey)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 28.00  
BALI'S SHADE 4 1 11 11 1nk 67 1213¾ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 26.75  
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
 
SAR-6   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:11 1:35   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 4 8 86 10 8 3½ 11 (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 7.10  
BARRAGE 8 9 9 87 64 4¾ 21 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 13.00  
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR 9 10 10 9 10 9 31 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 16% 5.20 2.65 S
GHOST GIANT 3 2 5 6 7 5 41 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 8% 11.70 14.20  
STRAW INTO GOLD 5 7 7 77 9 82 5 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 43% 1.30 3.05  
RUSE 7 5 31 3 3½ 1½ 6 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 7% 14.30 4.10  
SARATOGA FLASH 6 6 42 44 4 6 73 (tagg barclay)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 31.50  
10  QUIET OUT EAST 10 11 11 1110¼ 11 104 8 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00 45.25  
COTTON 1 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 2½ 9 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 24.00  
11  REGAL SPEAKER 11 1 64 55 53 116 10 (gargan danny)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 15.20  
BAR FOURTEEN 2 4 2nk 2½ 2nk 7 119 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 14.10  
 
SAR-7   07/15/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:121 1:383   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIX PERCENT 3 6 4 5 4 16 110¼ (englehart jeremi)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 41% 1.50 6.60 W
I AM THE CASH MAN 6 4 75 7 64 26 210¼ (progn)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 8.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
FOREVER WICKED 7 8 8 9 9 610½ 312 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 36.75  
CORKMAN 1 7 9 8 8 5 412¾ (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00 11.40  
WILL E SUTTON 5 2 54 3½ 1nk 3 515½ (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 10% 9.40 5.10  
AMERICAN PURE 4 9 65 4¾ 2nk 48 622¼ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 17% 5.00 1.15  
ROMAN EMPIRE 9 3 3 6 7 813½ 725¾ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 18.00  
DONTBELATE 8 1 21 2nk 3½ 713 826¼ (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 120 15.00 44.25  
JADE'S DREAM 2 5 11 1nk 53 921½ 955 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
 
SAR-8   07/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:214 :442 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  EMPRESS TIGRESS 8 2 2½ 2½   1 1½ (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 13% 6.80 3.60 W
POPPY FLOWER 5 7 7 7   3 2½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 7.10  
DERRYNANE 3 5 5 5   7 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 6% 14.80 3.35 S
STATIC FIRE 4 8 6 6   2 4 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 1.80  
ARTOS (IRE) 1 6 32 32   4 5 (arnold r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 10.10  
LADY SCARLET 6 4 42 42   5 66 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
10  MYSTIC EYES 7 3 1½ 1½   6 712 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 10.40  
SWEET SOLARE 2 1 8 824¼   857¾ 898¼ (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 50.00 46.75  
SCR  BENBANG               (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA               (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  MARISSA'S LADY               (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE)               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
SAR-9   07/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:11     1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CITY MAN 9 9 7 7 7 3½ 1 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 12.30  
ATONE 7 5 54 5 3½ 2½ 2 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 6.10  
PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) 6 4 66 6 6 4¾ 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 2.65  
GET SMOKIN 8 6 3 2nk 2nk 1½ 4 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 21.20  
SET PIECE (GB) 1 11 1112 1110¼ 115 6 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 2.20  
MIRA MISSION 3 7 9 9 9 7 64 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 3.65  
WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST 2 1 4 43 5 5¾ 7 (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 28.75  
12  SANCTUARY CITY 11 10 1010 10 105 11 8 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 34.25  
11  SCUTTLEBUZZ 10 8 8 8 83 9 96 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 45.25  
CLEAR VISION 5 3 22 32 41 8 1010¾ (o'connor matthew )CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00 80.00  
YES AND YES 4 2 12 1nk 1nk 104 1112¾ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 24.50  
SCR  ANALYZE IT               (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  ART COLLECTOR               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 124 0.60 66% 0.50    
 
SAR-10   07/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHALI MAGIC 3 3 42 3   2½ 1 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 18% 4.50 6.90 W
MOSIENKO 6 4 11 1   1½ 2 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 27.00  
WAILIN JOSIE 4 8 9 5   44 3 (jerkens st)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 29.25  
THINKING IT OVER 7 5 21 2   3 4 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 23% 3.30 5.40  
OK HONEY 8 6 8 8   6 510¾ (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 15.20  
VALLARAND 5 2 5 6   7 611½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 8.60  
ROSSA VELOCE 2 1 32 4   5 713 (morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 23% 3.30 1.40  
PRETTY CLEVER 1 7 7 9   810½ 815 (begg bentle)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 12% 7.50 14.00  
SHESAWILDJOKER 9 9 6 7   911½ 915 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 4.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.