The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Friday - July 15, 2022
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SAR-1   07/15/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:05
:224 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY MINE 4 5 1nk 1½   1½ 11 (chapman k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.00 8.30  
5  IM JUST KIDDIN 5 4 31½ 31   2½ 21 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 39% 1.50 1.10 P
3  MADDIE'S GRACE 3 1 2nk 2½   33½ 37¾ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★ 6.50 S
1  IRISH EMPRESS 1 3 41¾ 42½   49½ 414¾ (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 7% 12.80 7.80  
2  LA CHANCE 2 2 75¾ 78½   515 521¼ (vazquez carlos)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 24.00  
7  THE SPLENDID ONE 7 6 53¾ 67½   618 630½ (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 7% 12.80 10.00  
6  CAMP AKEELA 6 7 63¾ 57   722 740 (amoss m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 19% 4.30 3.10  
 
SAR-2   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:23 :454 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMAIN ANONYMOUS 1 1 1½ 13   14½ 16½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.70 W
3  INVALUABLE 3 2 2½ 33   24½ 26½ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 15% 5.70 5.70 P
6  MELTING SNOW 6 5 63½ 57½   59 37¼ (amoss m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 17% 5.10 6.30 S
2  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 2 6 41½ 23   35 47¼ (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 3.80  
4  BUSTIN BAY 4 4 31 44½   48½ 59¼ (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 ★ 19.20  
7  CADEAU DE PAIX 7 7 75½ 712   717½ 620 (englehart c)BRIDGMOHAN X 122 8.00 23.00  
5  GRUDGE 5 3 53 610   615½ 720¼ (jones e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 ★ 27.50  
 
SAR-3   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:253 :52 1:171 1:40   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WHISTLER'S HONOR 3 6 62¾ 52¼ 41 3.2 11½ (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 2.80  
1  YOUR MISSION 1 8 73¾ 62¼ 62½ 52¼ 21½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 ★ 3.20 P
5  MR. CONNECTICUT 5 4 51¾ 31 3½ 2nk 31½ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 6% 15.70 5.50 S
4  BIONDI 4 2 1nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 41¾ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 33% 2.10 3.05  
7  BERNARDINO 7 3 31 41¼ 52 41¼ 53¼ (serpe m)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 11.50  
6  URAGANO 6 7 84¼ 83¾ 74 74¼ 64½ (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 5.60  
8  RUSH TO HONOR 8 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 62¾ 76¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 32.50  
2  KINGDOM ON PAWS 2 1 41½ 72¾ 84¼ 85¼ 86½ (mc john)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 ★ 29.75  
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
SAR-4   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
:222 :454 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JUST LIKE THIS 5 4 2½ 1½   14 18½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 ★ 2.40  
2  OFFUTT COLE 1 3 1½ 2½   24 28½ (barkley jason)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 14.70  
4  INSPIRED MISCHIEF 3 5 42½ 32½   39 318¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 24% 3.10 3.55 S
5  PAPI ON ICE 4 7 79½ 710½   714½ 419¼ (persaud randi)HARKIE K 119 30.00 21.60  
7  SUPPRESSOR 6 2 32 43½   411 522 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 14% 6.40 2.15  
8  MARCO POLO 7 1 54 66   513½ 622½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 18% 4.40 5.40  
3  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY 2 6 64 56   614 726¾ (trites lands)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 9.00  
SCR  ACTUALIZE               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 22% 3.60    
 
SAR-5   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:24 :482 1:124 1:352   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUULSTONE 5 3 21 21 2nk 13 14 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 39% 1.50 6.20 W
2  GOOCH GO BRAGH 2 2 42½ 32½ 31½ 23 24 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 6.50  
10  AL'S PRINCE 10 8 85¼ 74¼ 73¼ 35 34½ (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 10% 8.80 2.40 S
12  BORN A GAMBLER 12 4 32½ 43 41¾ 45 45½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 30% 2.40 4.80  
3  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) 3 10 107¼ 96¼ 115 77½ 56 (caramori eduardo)LEPAROUX R 123 30.00 ★ 19.60  
9  LORD OF WAR 9 6 75 85¾ 84¾ 98¼ 66½ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 11.70  
7  BAIL OUT 7 7 64 64 62¾ 55½ 76½ (englehart s)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 16.50  
1  TONAL IMPACT 1 11 128¾ 128¾ 126½ 1110¼ 86¾ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 ★ 11.00  
6  SEIZING THE DREAM 6 9 97¼ 106¾ 95 88 98 (tagg barclay)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 9.10  
11  AMEDEUS MUSIC 11 12 117¾ 117¼ 105 1211¼ 1010¾ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 48.25  
8  THE MAN TO SEE 8 5 53½ 54 52¾ 109¾ 1112¼ (gaudet lacey)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 28.00  
4  BALI'S SHADE 4 1 11 11 1nk 67 1213¾ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 26.75  
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
 
SAR-6   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
:233 :47 1:11 1:35   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 4 8 86 108¾ 85¼ 3½ 11 (schettino a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 7.10  
8  BARRAGE 8 9 96¼ 87 64 4¾ 21 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 13.00  
9  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR 9 10 107¼ 98½ 106¼ 92½ 31 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 16% 5.20 2.65 S
3  GHOST GIANT 3 2 53½ 65½ 74¼ 51¼ 41 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 8% 11.70 14.20  
5  STRAW INTO GOLD 5 7 74½ 77 95¾ 82 51¼ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 43% 1.30 3.05  
7  RUSE 7 5 31 31½ 3½ 1½ 62¼ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 7% 14.30 4.10  
6  SARATOGA FLASH 6 6 42 44 42½ 61¼ 73 (tagg barclay)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 31.50  
10  QUIET OUT EAST 10 11 118¼ 1110¼ 117¼ 104 83¼ (brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00 45.25  
1  COTTON 1 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 2½ 94¼ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 24.00  
11  REGAL SPEAKER 11 1 64 55 53 116 108¼ (gargan danny)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 ★ 15.20  
2  BAR FOURTEEN 2 4 2nk 2½ 2nk 71¾ 119 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 14.10  
 
SAR-7   07/15/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:24 :48 1:121 1:383   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SIX PERCENT 3 6 43½ 51¼ 41½ 16 110¼ (englehart c)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 41% 1.50 6.60 W
6  I AM THE CASH MAN 6 4 75 72¾ 64 26 210¼ (progno christopher)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 8.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
7  FOREVER WICKED 7 8 88½ 97¼ 97¾ 610½ 312 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 36.75  
1  CORKMAN 1 7 98¾ 87¼ 87½ 58½ 412¾ (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00 11.40  
5  WILL E SUTTON 5 2 54 3½ 1nk 36½ 515½ (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 10% 9.40 5.10  
4  AMERICAN PURE 4 9 65 4¾ 2nk 48 622¼ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 17% 5.00 1.15  
9  ROMAN EMPIRE 9 3 32½ 62¼ 75½ 813½ 725¾ (giangiulio michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 18.00  
8  DONTBELATE 8 1 21 2nk 3½ 713 826¼ (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 120 15.00 44.25  
2  JADE'S DREAM 2 5 11 1nk 53 921½ 955 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
 
SAR-8   07/15/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:05
:214 :442 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  EMPRESS TIGRESS 8 2 2½ 2½   13½ 1½ (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 13% 6.80 3.60 W
8  POPPY FLOWER 5 7 75¼ 75¼   33½ 2½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 7.10  
6  DERRYNANE 3 5 53½ 53½   74¾ 32¾ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 6% 14.80 3.35 S
7  STATIC FIRE 4 8 63¾ 63¾   23½ 43¼ (lynch a)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 1.80  
4  ARTOS (IRE) 1 6 32 32   43¾ 55½ (arnold r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 10.10  
9  LADY SCARLET 6 4 42 42   53¾ 66 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
10  MYSTIC EYES 7 3 1½ 1½   64¼ 712 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 10.40  
5  SWEET SOLARE 2 1 87¾ 824¼   857¾ 898¼ (de horacio)SANTANA JR 120 50.00 46.75  
SCR  BENBANG               (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA               (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  MARISSA'S LADY               (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE)               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
SAR-9   07/15/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:39
:232 :471 1:11     1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CITY MAN 9 9 77½ 75¾ 71½ 3½ 12¾ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 ★ 12.30  
8  ATONE 7 5 54 53½ 3½ 2½ 22¾ (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 6.10  
7  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) 6 4 66 65½ 61¼ 4¾ 32¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 2.65  
9  GET SMOKIN 8 6 32½ 2nk 2nk 1½ 43¼ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 ★ 21.20  
1  SET PIECE (GB) 1 11 1112 1110¼ 115 61¼ 53¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 ★ 2.20  
3  MIRA MISSION 3 7 99½ 97¾ 93½ 72¼ 64 (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 3.65  
2  WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST 2 1 43½ 43 51¼ 5¾ 74¼ (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 28.75  
12  SANCTUARY CITY 11 10 1010 108¾ 105 114½ 85½ (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 34.25  
11  SCUTTLEBUZZ 10 8 87½ 87¼ 83 93¾ 96 (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 45.25  
5  CLEAR VISION 5 3 22 32 41 83¼ 1010¾ (o'connor brice)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00 80.00  
4  YES AND YES 4 2 12 1nk 1nk 104 1112¾ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 24.50  
SCR  ANALYZE IT               (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  ART COLLECTOR               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 124 0.60 66% 0.50    
 
SAR-10   07/15/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
:221 :45 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KHALI MAGIC 3 3 42 32½   2½ 13¼ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 18% 4.50 6.90 W
6  MOSIENKO 6 4 11 12½   1½ 23¼ (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 27.00  
4  WAILIN JOSIE 4 8 94¼ 55¾   44 34¾ (jerkens t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 29.25  
7  THINKING IT OVER 7 5 21 22½   33½ 45¾ (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 23% 3.30 5.40  
8  OK HONEY 8 6 84¼ 88¾   67½ 510¾ (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 ★ 15.20  
5  VALLARAND 5 2 52¼ 67¾   78½ 611½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 8.60  
2  ROSSA VELOCE 2 1 32 45½   56½ 713 (morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 23% 3.30 1.40  
1  PRETTY CLEVER 1 7 73¼ 99¼   810½ 815 (begg bentley)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 12% 7.50 14.00  
9  SHESAWILDJOKER 9 9 62¾ 78¼   911½ 915 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 4.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.