Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - July 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH EMPRESS         (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 7% 12.80    
2  LA CHANCE Jun14         (vazquez )SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
3  MADDIE'S GRACE         (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★    
4  LADY MINE Jun25 Jun03       (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.00    
5  IM JUST KIDDIN         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
6  CAMP AKEELA         (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
7  THE SPLENDID ONE         (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 7% 12.80    
 
SAR-2   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMAIN ANONYMOUS Jun09 May14 May03 Apr16 Feb10 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Jun23 May19 Apr29 Mar26 Feb18 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00    
3  INVALUABLE Jun17 May26 May01 Apr01 Jan30 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
4  BUSTIN BAY Jun19 May13 Apr23 Mar26 Feb06 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 ★    
5  GRUDGE Jun26 May12 Apr03 Feb06 Jan08 (jones ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 ★    
6  MELTING SNOW Jun09 Apr24 Mar20 Feb19   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 17% 5.10    
7  CADEAU DE PAIX Jul03 Jun12 Mar31 Mar04 Jan23 (englehart je)BRIDGMOHAN X 122 8.00    
 
SAR-3   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUR MISSION         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 ★    
2  KINGDOM ON PAWS Jun30 May22       (mc john)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 ★    
3  WHISTLER'S HONOR May30         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
4  BIONDI May30 Apr24       (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  MR. CONNECTICUT May30 Apr24       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 6% 15.70    
6  URAGANO May30 May06 Apr08 Mar05   (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
7  BERNARDINO May30         (serpe m)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
8  RUSH TO HONOR Jun02 Apr01 Feb13 Jan06   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM May29 May01 Apr07 Feb05   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
SAR-4   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACTUALIZE Jun02 Apr01 Feb26 Feb03   (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 22% 3.60    
2  OFFUTT COLE Jun18 May13 Apr27 Apr02   (barkley )SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
3  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY         (trites lands)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
4  INSPIRED MISCHIEF Jun04         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  PAPI ON ICE Jul01 Jun19 Jun02 Apr16 Mar19 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
6  JUST LIKE THIS Jun11         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 ★    
7  SUPPRESSOR Jul04 Apr23 Apr08 Feb18 Jan30 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
8  MARCO POLO Jun18         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 18% 4.40    
 
SAR-5   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONAL IMPACT May29 Apr15 Mar11 Feb13 Jan21 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 ★    
2  GOOCH GO BRAGH Jun05 Apr02 Mar06 Jan08   (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
3  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Jun09 May12 Mar31 Feb13 Jan20 (caramori )LEPAROUX R 123 30.00 ★    
4  BALI'S SHADE Jun18 May21 Apr23 Jan09   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
5  JUULSTONE Jun16 May27 May05 Mar04 Feb19 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 39% 1.50    
6  SEIZING THE DREAM Jun18 Feb17       (tagg barcla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
7  BAIL OUT Jun05 May15 Apr15     (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00    
8  THE MAN TO SEE Jun04         (gaudet lacey)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
9  LORD OF WAR Jun05 Apr16 Mar27 Jan09   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
10  AL'S PRINCE Jun05 Apr15 Mar05     (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 10% 8.80    
11  AMEDEUS MUSIC Jun25 May20 Apr30 Apr14 Mar18 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
12  BORN A GAMBLER Jun18 Apr03 Mar06 Feb06 Jan09 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT Jun16 May05       (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
 
SAR-6   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COTTON Jun18 May21       (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
2  BAR FOURTEEN Jun19 May20 May01 Mar26 Mar11 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
3  GHOST GIANT Jun16 May28 Apr15     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 8% 11.70    
4  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Jun19 May20 Apr16     (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
5  STRAW INTO GOLD May15 Apr16       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
6  SARATOGA FLASH Jun19 Apr30       (tagg barcla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
7  RUSE Jun19 May20 Apr07     (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 7% 14.30    
8  BARRAGE May28         (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
9  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Jun19         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
10  QUIET OUT EAST Jun19 Jun02 May15     (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 122 30.00    
11  REGAL SPEAKER Jun03 Mar02 Jan05     (gargan dan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   07/15/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORKMAN May29 Apr30 Mar31 Feb20 Feb11 (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00    
2  JADE'S DREAM Jun19 May20 Apr07 Mar19   (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIX PERCENT May29 May08       (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 41% 1.50    
4  AMERICAN PURE May21 Apr20 Mar12 Feb16   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
5  WILL E SUTTON Jun17 May06 Mar19 Feb12   (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 10% 9.40    
6  I AM THE CASH MAN Jun27 May30 Apr03 Feb20 Feb03 (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FOREVER WICKED Jul04 Jun16 May29 May08 May01 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00    
8  DONTBELATE Jun16 May01 Apr10 Feb25 Feb03 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 120 15.00    
9  ROMAN EMPIRE Apr30 Mar26 Feb13 Jan20   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
 
SAR-8   07/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARISSA'S LADY May06 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12   (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BENBANG Jun12 May15       (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) May14 Apr10       (ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  ARTOS (IRE) Jun19 May14 Mar26     (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
5  SWEET SOLARE Jun12 May07 Mar19 Feb25 Jan28 (de h)SANTANA JR 120 50.00    
6  DERRYNANE Jun19 May28 Apr15     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 6% 14.80    
7  STATIC FIRE May28         (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00    
8  POPPY FLOWER Jun19 May19       (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
9  LADY SCARLET May20 Apr10 Mar19 Feb26   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MYSTIC EYES May14         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
11  EMPRESS TIGRESS May22         (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jun19 May07 Mar27 Feb25   (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
 
SAR-9   07/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SET PIECE (GB) May21 Apr15       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of PORTODORA by KINGMAMBO)
2  WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST Jun18 May22 Apr02 Mar12 Jan29 (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
3  MIRA MISSION May07 Apr15 Mar05 Jan15   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION (GB) out of KAZAMIRA by DYNAFORMER)
4  YES AND YES Jun23 Jun09 May05     (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
  (by SIDNEY'S CANDY out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  CLEAR VISION May21 Mar05 Feb05 Jan08   (o'connor matthe)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of REFRESHING by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
SCR  ANALYZE IT May28         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 8% 12.20    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SWEET ASSAY by CONSOLIDATOR)
7  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) Jun18 May07       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
  (by KINGMAN out of PARLE MOI by MONTJEU (IRE))
8  ATONE May21 Apr15 Jan29     (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CAPTIVATING LASS by A.P. INDY)
9  GET SMOKIN Jun04 Feb05       (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 ★    
  (by GET STORMY out of HOOKAH LADY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
10  CITY MAN May30 May07 Apr09     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 ★    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CITY SCAMPER by CITY ZIP)
11  SCUTTLEBUZZ Jun11 Apr30       (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
12  SANCTUARY CITY Jun18 May30 May01 Apr09   (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of CONSIDERATE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
SCR  ART COLLECTOR         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 124 0.60 66% 0.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DISTORTED LEGACY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
SAR-10   07/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY CLEVER Jun17 May19 Apr03 Mar18   (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
2  ROSSA VELOCE May27 Apr22 Mar31 Mar04 Feb06 (morey william )PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  KHALI MAGIC Jun17 May20 Apr08 Mar13 Feb18 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  WAILIN JOSIE Jun17 May20 Apr08 Feb27 Feb13 (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
5  VALLARAND         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
6  MOSIENKO Jun17 Jun04 Apr29 Apr03 Mar25 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
7  THINKING IT OVER May28 Apr30 Mar18 Feb21 Jan22 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
8  OK HONEY Jun02 May05 Mar26 Feb13 Jan02 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 ★    
9  SHESAWILDJOKER Jan22         (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.