Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NONNA PATRIZIA 7 1 11½ 11   11 11¼ (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 ★ 3.40  
2  LULI'S DANCER 2 2 21½ 21   21 21¼ (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 3.00 17% 5.00 1.50 P
4  ONLY GIRL 4 7 66½ 68   48 312½ (nunn douglas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00 43% 1.30 1.30 S
6  BAREFOOT DANCER 6 3 32 34   36 413 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 12.70  
1  BRINGTHEWINE 1 6 56 58   58 517 (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 118 15.00 37.90  
3  UNTUTTABLE SPEED 3 4 43 46½   68¼ 621½ (lucas bonnie)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00 16% 5.20 24.70  
5  LA SUA PASTA 5 5 710½ 714   714¼ 727½ (breen kel)VARGAS A 118 8.00 ★ 48.70  
 
MTH-2   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 F PT-12:43
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN BELL 1 5 1½ 1nk   2nk 1½ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 116 1.80 35% 1.80 4.00 W
3  BENBANG 2 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2½ (thomas jonat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 1.50 ★ 0.30 P
4  LANFRANKOPHILE 3 3 42 45   45 310 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 27% 2.60 14.50 S
6  LEVIOSA 5 1 31½ 32½   34 410½ (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 4.00 ★ 8.90  
5  DAZZY 4 4 54 55½   55¼ 511½ (hills timothy )CAMACHO SAMY 116 3.50 7.30  
SCR  AMORE FIRE               (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 12.00 ★    
 
MTH-3   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WORLD TRAVELER 5 3 21 1nk   13 15½ (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.50 50% 1.00 1.30 W
3  PRACTICAL PAULIE 2 4 31½ 32½   34 25½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 5.00 ★ 5.80 P
4  PRINCESS LEAN 3 2 42 53¼   45 35¾ (avila c)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 ★ 10.90 S
7  CUPIDS GIRL 6 1 64½ 43   55 47½ (ryerson james )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 ★ 2.10  
1  ALWAYS AWARE 1 5 11 2nk   23 511 (duarte jr)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 4.70  
5  MY MAGGIE MOO 4 6 54½ 65¼   68 614¾ (mcgregor rober)RENDON JAIRO 123 6.00 15.50  
SCR  OFFICE ETIQUETTE               (stephens joh)BATISTA A 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
MTH-4   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPANIKOPITA 3 3 51¾ 52   43 11½ (trombetta)VARGAS A 121 3.00 32% 2.10 2.70 W
5  FOLK HERO 5 2 2½ 41   22 21½ (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 19% 4.40 7.10 P
6  BAHAMA PEARL 6 4 4¾ 1nk   12 31½ (carvajal luis )MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 10% 9.40 3.20 S
1  ALONG THE WAY 1 5 1½ 3½   33 44¾ (mcgregor rober)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50 9.00  
4  JOY'S PRIDE 4 7 77¼ 76½   76¼ 55¾ (huston k)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50 15% 5.80 10.80  
2  CRYSTAL ORB 2 6 64¾ 64   66¼ 68 (mc joh)BATISTA A 121 10.00 6.60  
7  TWIN BRIDGES 7 1 3½ 2nk   56 719¾ (einhorn kim)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 ★ 2.70  
 
MTH-5   05/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:124 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GOLDEN GRANT 7 3 22 22½ 21 11 15¼ (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00 3.40  
6  OBSTINATE 5 2 12 12½ 11 21 25¼ (lake a)FERRER C 124 1.60 35% 1.80 0.70 P
3  MARICOPA 3 1 54 34 33½ 33 38 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 9% 9.90 14.90 S
1  CANOOCHEE 1 5 66 67½ 69½ 59½ 415¾ (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 14.50  
5  NOT A TRACE 4 6 32½ 44½ 48½ 49 517 (crowell susa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 5.00 ★ 8.20  
7  BIG BASE 6 4 43 55½ 58½ 611 622¾ (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00 12% 7.40 5.80  
2  LIAM'S LADY 2 7 76 79½ 712½ 715 727½ (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 20.00 27.60  
SCR  SUCCESSFUL LEGACY               (farro patric)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
 
MTH-6   05/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:132 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAGIA NERA 2 1 2½ 21½ 2½ 1nk 12 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00 ★ 1.10  
3  MUTASALLEM 3 2 1½ 11½ 1½ 2nk 22 (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 123 3.50 60% 0.70 4.90 P
4  HELLMAN 4 7 64¼ 42½ 31½ 32½ 37¼ (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.00 11% 8.40 4.90 S
8  BURGEE 7 4 74¼ 53½ 43½ 45 411¾ (trombetta)VARGAS A 118 10.00 15.30  
5  COGNITIVE BIAS 5 3 32½ 32½ 56½ 69¼ 512¼ (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00 ★ 2.50  
7  SUPREME BEING 6 5 42½ 65½ 67½ 59 612¾ (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 15.00 5% 17.40 28.40  
1  PICARDE 1 6 54 77½ 78½ 712¼ 718¼ (foglia antho)BATISTA A 123 20.00 36.90  
SCR  WHIZWIT               (perkins jr)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00    
 
MTH-7   05/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:114     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STYNER 7 4 21 1nk 1½ 12½ 13 (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 18% 4.60 4.40 W
2  MIDNIGHT CHROME 2 1 11 2nk 2½ 22½ 23 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 2.50 ★ 2.30 P
1  STEFANO 1 2 31½ 41½ 34½ 37½ 38½ (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 10.00 11.70  
8  BOLD PAYNTER 8 6 85¼ 61¾ 45 48 48¾ (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.50 18% 4.70 5.90  
4  AWESOME LAUNCH 4 8 75 72¾ 66 510 511¼ (huston k)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 24.10  
6  ORBERT 6 3 41½ 51¾ 56 613 628½ (poalucci fra)BATISTA A 120 20.00 35.90  
3  HANDY 3 7 64½ 83 711 719 739½ (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.30  
5  SHALDAG 5 5 52½ 3½ 8100 8100 8100 (schistl rafael)FERRER C 122 5.00 ★ 6.50  
 
MTH-8   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROYAL URN 3 6 63¼ 41¼   1nk 1½ (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 ★ 17.60  
2  NO CENTS 2 5 21 2nk   2nk 2½ (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 6% 15.90 10.70 P
5  PICKIN' TIME 5 2 31½ 1nk   32 31¼ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.00 S
7  AMATTEROFTIME 7 10 97¼ 83¾   66¼ 41¼ (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 29.50  
6  SPEAKING 6 4 51¾ 31   44½ 53¾ (owens eddi)CORRALES GERARDO 117 4.50 25% 3.00 4.10  
1  GOLDEN BROWN 1 7 73¾ 51¾   56 66½ (mcgregor rober)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00 19% 4.10 6.40  
9  IRISH MEADOW 9 9 1011¼ 106¾   810¼ 77¾ (gonzale)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 15.00 14.70  
4  OPTIC WAY 4 3 41½ 73¾   78¼ 88¾ (ryan s)FERRER C 118 10.00 39.50  
8  OUR MAN LUKE 8 8 84¾ 94¾   911¼ 910½ (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 117 30.00 39.90  
10  PNUTBUTTER SPECIAL 10 1 11 62¾   1011¼ 1013½ (milian carlos )ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00 9.10  
 
MTH-9   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:214 :443 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEAST 1 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 1hd (delgado h)FERRER C 120 3.50 2.10  
6  HERO TIGER 5 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2hd (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 32% 2.20 1.20 P
4  BASSO 3 3 43 32   34 311¼ (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 120 12.00 13.20  
5  SMITHWICK'S SPICE 4 5 53¼ 54¼   47 412¼ (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 10.00 6% 14.80 14.70  
7  DUE VINI 6 2 64¾ 67¼   68½ 513¼ (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 3.50 ★ 5.20  
2  AERONAUT 2 6 33 44   57½ 616¼ (russo frank )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 19% 4.20 6.30  
SCR  SICILIA MIKE               (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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