Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRINGTHEWINE Apr16         (rodrigu)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
LULI'S DANCER Apr15 Feb12       (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
UNTUTTABLE SPEED         (lucas bonnie)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
ONLY GIRL Apr13 Apr02 Mar23 Mar04 Feb13 (nunn douglas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
LA SUA PASTA Jan25         (breen kel)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
BAREFOOT DANCER         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
NONNA PATRIZIA Apr15 Mar16       (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00    
 
MTH-2   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN BELL         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 116 1.80 35% 1.80    
SCR  AMORE FIRE Apr21 Mar19       (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 12.00    
BENBANG         (thomas jonat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 1.50    
LANFRANKOPHILE Apr21 Mar19 Feb24 Feb03 Jan06 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 27% 2.60    
DAZZY Mar26         (hills timothy )CAMACHO SAMY 116 3.50    
LEVIOSA Mar19 Jan26       (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 4.00    
 
MTH-3   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS AWARE Mar27         (duarte jr)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00    
SCR  OFFICE ETIQUETTE         (stephens joh)BATISTA A 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
PRACTICAL PAULIE         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 5.00    
PRINCESS LEAN Apr14         (avila c)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
MY MAGGIE MOO         (mcgregor rober)RENDON JAIRO 123 6.00    
WORLD TRAVELER Apr14         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.50 50% 1.00    
CUPIDS GIRL Apr09 Feb25 Jan28 Jan13   (ryerson james )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
 
MTH-4   05/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALONG THE WAY         (mcgregor rober)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50    
CRYSTAL ORB Mar26 Mar09 Feb06 Jan19 Jan05 (mc joh)BATISTA A 121 10.00    
SPANIKOPITA Apr16 Apr08 Feb12 Jan28   (trombetta)VARGAS A 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
JOY'S PRIDE         (huston k)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
FOLK HERO Apr06 Mar23 Feb25 Jan29 Jan02 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 19% 4.40    
BAHAMA PEARL Apr13 Mar30 Mar19 Feb19 Feb05 (carvajal luis )MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 10% 9.40    
TWIN BRIDGES Apr10 Mar18       (einhorn)DE CRUZ 121 5.00    
 
MTH-5   05/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANOOCHEE Apr25 Mar28 Mar09 Feb01 Jan19 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
LIAM'S LADY May03 Apr13 Mar23 Mar14 Feb21 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 20.00    
MARICOPA Mar02 Jan30 Jan09     (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  SUCCESSFUL LEGACY Apr05 Feb15 Feb01 Jan19   (farro patric)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
NOT A TRACE Apr12 Mar28 Feb23 Jan25 Jan10 (crowell susa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 5.00    
OBSTINATE Apr12 Mar28 Feb22 Feb02 Jan05 (lake a)FERRER C 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
BIG BASE May01 Mar20 Feb21     (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00 12% 7.40    
GOLDEN GRANT Apr15 Mar06 Feb25 Feb10   (tessore )HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
 
MTH-6   05/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICARDE         (foglia antho)BATISTA A 123 20.00    
MAGIA NERA Apr09 Feb26 Jan29     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00    
MUTASALLEM Apr26 Apr10       (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 123 3.50 60% 0.70    
HELLMAN Apr22 Mar25 Mar04 Jan02   (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.00 11% 8.40    
COGNITIVE BIAS Apr09         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00    
SCR  WHIZWIT Apr23         (perkins jr)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00    
SUPREME BEING Apr26 Apr13       (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 15.00 5% 17.40    
BURGEE Apr02 Mar11 Feb12     (trombetta)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
 
MTH-7   05/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEFANO         (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
MIDNIGHT CHROME Apr16 Mar20       (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 2.50    
HANDY Mar27 Feb21 Jan22 Jan05   (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
AWESOME LAUNCH         (huston k)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
SHALDAG Apr20 Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 Feb06 (schistl rafael)FERRER C 122 5.00    
ORBERT         (poalucci fra)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
STYNER Mar27 Feb19 Jan22     (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
BOLD PAYNTER Apr20 Feb11       (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
 
MTH-8   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN BROWN         (mcgregor rober)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00 19% 4.10    
NO CENTS         (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 6% 15.90    
ROYAL URN         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
OPTIC WAY         (ryan s)FERRER C 118 10.00    
PICKIN' TIME         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
SPEAKING         (owens eddi)CORRALES GERARDO 117 4.50 25% 3.00    
AMATTEROFTIME         (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00    
OUR MAN LUKE Apr19         (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 117 30.00    
IRISH MEADOW Apr22 Mar31 Mar10 Jan27   (gonzale)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
10  PNUTBUTTER SPECIAL Mar09 Feb15       (milian carlos )ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00    
 
MTH-9   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEAST Apr14 Feb06 Jan21     (delgado h)FERRER C 120 3.50    
AERONAUT Mar25 Feb16 Jan21     (russo frank )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  SICILIA MIKE Apr29 Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Jan27 (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
BASSO Apr22         (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 120 12.00    
SMITHWICK'S SPICE         (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 10.00 6% 14.80    
HERO TIGER Apr16 Mar31 Mar03 Feb02   (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
DUE VINI Apr24 Mar24       (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.