The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Sunday - August 21, 2022
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SAR-1   08/21/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:05
:232 :481 1:123 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PLEASANT PASSAGE 4 4 57 56 63¼ 3.2 1¼ (mcgaughey iii)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 15.60  
1  LETTER OF GOLD 1 8 811 89½ 86¾ 4¾ 2¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 21.50  
7  HOLA GATA 7 6 46 45½ 42 61 31 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 ★ 8.00 S
6  TREASURED GEM 6 2 34 34 32 5¾ 41¼ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00 ★ 13.50  
3  HAY STACK 3 7 79 78 74¾ 72 52½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 24% 3.10 2.45  
5  COOKIE CRUMBS 5 5 67½ 67 53 82½ 62½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6.70  
8  CORNINGSTONE 8 3 21½ 21½ 2½ 1nk 74½ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 42% 1.40 3.55  
2  POSITIVE MESSAGE (GB) 2 1 11½ 11½ 1½ 2nk 84¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 2.70  
SCR  MISINTENTION               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 2.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
:224 :453 :563     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PHANTOM SMOKE 7 1 11 1½   11 1½ (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 40% 1.50 1.40 W
2  DEEP COVER 2 2 31½ 31½   21 2½ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 2.50 ★ 2.40 P
6  YARROW 6 4 53 52½   31½ 32¼ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 3.70  
5  BREW PUB 5 7 42 42   52 42½ (arenas marcelo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 20.00 30.25  
3  DR. DUKE 3 3 21 2½   42 54¼ (antonucci m)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 13.20  
4  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY 4 6 74½ 65½   65 67 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 7% 12.90 14.40  
1  BUSTIN SHOUT 1 5 64 76   77½ 79 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 7.90  
SCR  EXCELLENT TIMING               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 ★    
SCR  QUICKFLASH               (lynch natalia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS               (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
 
SAR-3   08/21/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:231 :462 1:114     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FORTY SMOOTH 3 2 1½ 11   12½ 12¾ (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 63% 0.60 2.70 W
1  VIRADIA 2 5 2½ 21   22½ 22¾ (englehart s)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 ★ 6.10 P
2  MY GIRL LEXI 1 4 42½ 44½   34½ 36 (ferraro w)DAVIS A 124 5.00 ★ 2.00 S
1A  THAT IS KEY 4 7 63 55   68½ 46 (englehart s)LEPAROUX R 124 4.00 6.10  
6  MISS PEPPINA 7 1 53 65½   48 56¾ (cruz lenin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 19.70  
4  LINNY KATE 5 3 31½ 33½   58 67 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 ★ 4.30  
7  RED PEPPER GRILL 8 8 810 812   711½ 717¼ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 12% 7.20 5.70  
5  NURSE RACHETT 6 6 73½ 79   818 825¼ (camejo m)CASTELLANO J 117 10.00 12.60  
 
SAR-4   08/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
:224 :462 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARTHURIAN 4 2 1½ 1½   11½ 13¾ (caramori caio)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 41% 1.40 4.60 W
7  ICON 7 7 52 2½   21½ 23¾ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.65 P
5  MATTY'S MARAUDER 5 5 73¾ 54   34 35¼ (donk david)ORTIZ L 117 8.00 ★ 6.20 S
3  EL SEGUNDO 3 3 41½ 43   44½ 411 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 4.00  
2  VINCENT 2 1 31½ 32½   55½ 511½ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 124 4.50 ★ 6.50  
1  SCOTTO 1 8 814¾ 812½   712½ 613¾ (parker joseph)LUZZI J 122 10.00 ★ 26.25  
6  CAJUN COMMANDER 6 6 62¼ 74½   610 721 (barrera s)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 6.00 12.50  
8  NATURE BOY 8 4 2½ 64   812½ 844 (noda orlando)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 15.00  
 
SAR-5   08/21/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:252 :501 1:133 1:362   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 7 4 21 21 2½ 1nk 1¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00 13.20  
6  GRAND JOURNEY 5 1 11 11 1½ 2nk 2¼ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 15% 5.70 4.50 P
2  ATTENTIVE 2 9 96 95¾ 95¾ 65¾ 3¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 11% 8.50 7.70 S
7  THE LAST ZIP 6 6 64 73¾ 74½ 55½ 41¾ (abreu fernando)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00 16.60  
3  DEVAMANI (FR) 3 2 53 62¾ 52½ 44½ 52 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 1.50  
10  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) 9 8 42½ 42 31½ 33 62¼ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 40% 1.50 4.00  
5  HEALING 4 5 84½ 85¼ 85½ 89¼ 77 (joseph a)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00 10.70  
1  REUX (GB) 1 3 31½ 31 41½ 76¼ 88 (kantarmaci mertkan)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
9  BATTALION 8 7 74 52½ 63½ 911¾ 912½ (klesaris p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00 34.00  
SCR  CRAFTY DADDY               (persaud randi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  KUMAR               (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 8% 11.10    
SCR  LOCALLY OWNED               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 3.00    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT               (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00 ★    
SCR  REGAL SPEAKER               (gargan danny)SAMUEL L 123 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL TRYST               (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 125 5.00    
 
SAR-6   08/21/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:52
:22 :45 1:104     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GRAND LOVE 1 1 11 11   12½ 14¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 ★ 4.70  
5  RARIFY 3 4 21 21   22½ 24¾ (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 52% 0.90 1.80 P
9  PEAK POPULARITY 7 3 66 59   510 36½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 15.70  
7  SPELTERINI 5 7 32½ 34   34½ 47 (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 24% 3.20 2.00  
6  SPUN SPECIAL 4 6 43 45   45 513 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 35.50  
8  ROSIE'S ALIBI 6 2 54 612½   614½ 624½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★ 3.60  
4  MRS. MACOMBER 2 5 79 719   724½ 730¼ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 35.00  
SCR  GOOD SAM               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  GORMLEYESQUE               (catalano m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
 
SAR-7   08/21/2022 7920ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
:244 :503 1:151 1:401 2:04 2:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BALTHUS (IRE) 3 21 31½ 51½ 31 22 11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 9% 10.30 1.15 W
6  AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM 5 11 1nk 1½ 1½ 12 21 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 13.30  
7  REIGNING SPIRIT 6 51¾ 41¾ 31 41½ 33 32 (stall m)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.50 12% 7.10 4.70 S
2  FOUNDER 2 72¾ 84½ 84¾ 73 53½ 42 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 8.00  
1  MUD PIE 1 62¾ 74 62½ 62½ 64 53¼ (arnold r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 13% 6.80 5.10  
9  OFFLEE NAUGHTY 8 41½ 62 41 51½ 75½ 64 (mccarthy w)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 19.50  
5  KINENOS 4 83 2nk 2½ 2½ 43½ 78¾ (morley thomas)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 8.50  
8  CIBOLIAN 7 31 51¾ 72¾ 86 812 813¼ (brisset rodolphe)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 13.80  
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART               (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 122 0.80 39% 1.60    
SCR  TIDE OF THE SEA               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 6% 15.20    
 
SAR-8   08/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
:221 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REPEALING 2 6 1½ 11   14 1½ (stall m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 54% 0.80 1.25 W
6  TO A T 6 8 87½ 86   24 2½ (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 ★ 13.30 P
7  FIRING CAROL 7 7 76 44½   35½ 37¼ (legall e)SAMUEL L 124 15.00 19.20  
8  BABA 8 1 53 65   66½ 49 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 12% 7.60 2.95  
1  RUVIES IN TIME 1 2 65 55   56½ 510 (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 23.10  
3  AWESOME INDRA 3 5 2½ 21   46 610½ (morey e)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 9% 10.30 7.60  
5  EXXALTRESS 5 4 41½ 75½   87¾ 712 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 8.70  
4  CHLOE ROSE 4 3 31 32½   76¾ 816 (rodriguez gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 ★ 7.30  
 
SAR-9   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:35
:222 :444 :561     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOVE REIGNS (IRE) 2 2 21½ 2½   1½ 12½ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 40% 1.50 0.70 W
8  DANSE MACABRE 7 5 53 54   44 22½ (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 18% 4.50 5.30 P
7  REDIFINED 6 9 75 64½   54½ 33¼ (dutrow w)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 11.20  
3  NO KAY NEVER (IRE) 3 4 32 32½   34 43¾ (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 17.10  
9  SWEET HARMONY 8 1 11½ 1½   2½ 55½ (terranova p)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 ★ 6.90  
6  AZTEC NIGHTS 5 8 64 74½   77¼ 66¼ (catalano m)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 10% 8.70 15.20  
4  KERRY 4 6 85 85   87¾ 77½ (clement christophe)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 9% 9.80 13.40  
1  SICILIAN GRANDMA 1 7 96½ 97½   98¼ 87½ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 26.25  
10  MOTOWN MISCHIEF 9 3 42½ 43½   67 99 (hamm timothy)ORTIZ L 122 20.00 31.75  
SCR  GRAND OAK (IRE)               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/21/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
:231 :471 1:111 1:353   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BAYOU WIND 2 6 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 1½ (caramori eduardo)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 15.00 5% 18.70 23.50 W
3  BELLESHAZZA 3 1 55½ 67 66 33½ 2½ (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 10.70  
8  VAGARIES (IRE) 8 3 66 56½ 44 43½ 31 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 55% 0.80 2.75 S
6  MISCREANT 6 9 1114¼ 1114 109½ 67¾ 42 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 6% 17.10 6.10  
4  GEOMETRIQUE 4 11 911¾ 912 98 57½ 53¼ (ribaudo j)SAMUEL L 118 20.00 58.75  
7  HOPE OVER FEAR 7 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 23 65 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 10.70  
9  CANDLESTICK MAKER 9 10 811½ 811 87½ 713¾ 712½ (levine bruce)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 12% 7.40 2.45  
1  IRONIC LADY 1 8 710 710 77 915¼ 816¾ (o'brien keith)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 11.70  
10  LORDHEARMYPRAYER 10 7 1012¼ 1013 1111½ 1018¼ 922¾ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 48.00  
11  RICELLE 11 5 3½ 31½ 33½ 1118¼ 1023¼ (legall e)DAVIS A 124 30.00 62.00  
5  EMPRESS THEODORA 5 2 42½ 45½ 55½ 814¼ 1126¾ (albertrani thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00 ★ 5.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.