Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER CHANGE   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 34% 1.90 2.80 W
6  PSYCHIC INCOME   (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 23% 3.40 2.30 P
5  NORTH POLE   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 11% 8.50 3.65 S
7  MISTICAL CURLIN   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 4.90  
2  READYSEEKGO   (antonucci jena )CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 9% 10.10 18.80  
4  KNOT THE ONE   (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 ★ 11.70  
3  FIERY HEART   (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 7.40  
 
SAR-2   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHLOE ROSE   (rodriguez gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 26% 2.90 2.20 W
5  CUPIDS GIRL   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 13.50  
6  TEA OLIVE   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 19% 4.40 3.95 S
3  NEW YORK BANKER   (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 ★ 7.70  
2  THIEF OF HEARTS   (rubley k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 20.90  
4  QUICK MUNNY   (barkley )SANTANA JR 124 3.00 12% 7.10 2.55  
1  CLOSING DEALS   (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 18% 4.70 4.90  
 
SAR-3   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 23% 3.30 5.40 W
7  CAPE COD CAUSEWAY   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 38.25  
2  TARA DANCER   (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 29.25  
10  SUCCULENT   (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 37.25  
11  JOCOSITY   (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 9.90  
5  CERRETTA   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 32.50  
9  ARISAEMA   (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 ★ 14.70  
12  SALS DREAM GIRL   (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 7% 13.50 9.80  
4  ROBYN AND ELI   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 31% 2.20 1.30  
8  SARATOGA CHROME   (nevin mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 18% 4.70 4.40  
6  SARAH'S SPLENDOR   (abreu jorge )GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 29.00  
3  WICKED LADY   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 39.75  
SCR  CAN'T FOOL ME   (de h)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
 
SAR-4   07/16/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HIGHER QUALITY   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 66% 0.50 0.95 W
8  CRYO   (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 6% 17.10 3.85 P
1  RED REVOLUTION   (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 7.20  
4  EAGLE IN LOVE   (atras ro)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
5  IT'S GRAVY   (breen j)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 ★ 9.20  
7  B C GLORY DAYS   (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 17.00  
3  SCOTTO   (parker joseph)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00 30.00  
SCR  KARL CARES   (ryan s)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-5   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHUTTERS   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00 6.10  
3  FRONT LINE DANCER   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 3.05  
2  BARREL OF QUESTS   (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 43.50  
11  CITIZEN K   (de horacio)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 14.10  
10  MARINARA SAUCED   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.90  
1  SIMPLY   (buckley jonathan )SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00 16.10  
7  SPETTRO   (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 18.10  
5  MR. KRINGLE   (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 10% 9.50 3.75  
9  RALLY SQUIRREL   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 8% 12.00 5.00  
6  CUT THE CORD   (englehart je)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 15.00 29.25  
4  LITTLE MADDY BROWN   (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 125 30.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES   (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE   (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT   (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
SAR-6   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAMINGO HAWK   (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 50% 1.00 3.25 W
8  ALCOOLS   (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 10% 9.50 1.75 P
2  IN SKY WE TRUST   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 5.40  
5  LONG TERM THINKING   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 124 4.50 6.60  
4  DOUBLE SHOT   (breen j)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 7.90  
3  CHRIS AND DAVE   (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 7% 13.00 5.40  
6  MUSICAL AMERICA   (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
SCR  MR. PETE   (davis edmun)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BABY YODA   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 ★ 3.30  
6  ANSWER IN   (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 23% 3.40 28.75 P
8  SIBELIUS   (o'dwyer jere)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 30.50  
2  NOVA RAGS   (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 10.90  
5  REINVESTMENT RISK   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 39% 1.50 0.50  
7  RIVER DOG   (breen j)ORTIZ L 126 20.00 7% 13.30 13.90  
1  DISCO PHAROAH   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00 11.50  
SCR  FITZPATRICK   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 30.00    
SCR  ZOOMER   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   07/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IN ITALIAN (GB)   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 17% 5.00 8.30 W
  (by DUBAWI out of FLORENTINA by REDOUTE'S CHOICE (AUS))
1  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE)   (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 ★ 3.80 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of SEALIFE by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
3  BLEECKER STREET   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 26% 2.80 0.80 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LEMON LIQUEUR by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  ROUGIR (FR)   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 ★ 3.90  
  (by TERRITORIES out of SUMMER MOON (FR) by UNKNOWN)
5  DALIKA (GER)   (stall al)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 10% 9.20 28.25  
  (by PASTORIUS (GER) out of DRAWN TO RUN (IRE) by HURRICANE RUN (IRE))
2  CREATIVE FLAIR (IRE)   (appleby charles)SPENCER P 120 8.00 9.10  
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of HIDDEN GOLD by KEY TO CONTENT)
 
SAR-9   07/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CREDIT EVENT   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 15% 5.60 4.60 W
1  SETNA THE WISE   (barkley jason)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 10.50  
7  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 20.70  
2B  MO REWARDS   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 9% 9.50 8.80  
10  DAUNT   (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 14.60  
3  FOREVER SOUPER   (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 ★ 11.50  
1A  DRIPPING GOLD   (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 10.50  
9  FORT TICONDEROGA   (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 16% 5.10 1.30  
4  ANALOGY   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 6.50  
5  SUMMER ANTHEM   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 17.20  
2  ROYAL SPIRIT   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★ 8.80  
8  PARQUETRY   (tagg barclay)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00 61.00  
SCR  NAVAL AVIATOR   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  WOLFE COUNTY   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
 
SAR-10   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 6:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MO STRIKE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 ★ 8.20  
  (by UNCLE MO out of FEATHERBED by SMART STRIKE)
3  GREAT NAVIGATOR   (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00 18.50  
  (by SEA WIZARD out of ALL EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
9  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE   (breen j)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 13% 6.90 4.20 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MY EVERY WISH by LANGFUHR)
4  FORTE   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 33% 2.10 1.45  
  (by VIOLENCE out of QUEEN CAROLINE by BLAME)
5  CURLY JACK   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 19% 4.20 8.00  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CONNIE AND MICHAEL by ROMAN RULER)
2  MAJOR DUDE   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 13.40  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MARY RITA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  ROMAN GIANT   (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 11% 7.90 30.25  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BESTINTHEBUSINESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  PROVE RIGHT   (chapman )SANTANA JR 120 30.00 57.50  
  (by JUSTIFY out of JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
12  VALENZAN DAY   (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 7.00  
  (by KHOZAN out of RADICAL GRACE by UTOPIA)
1  BOPPY O   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 39.00  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PAPPASCAT by SCAT DADDY)
8  I'M WIDE AWAKE   (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00 29.50  
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
11  PUTTHEBLAMEONME   (englehart je)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 30.00 36.00  
  (by OUTWORK out of BLAME KRIS by BLAME)
 
SAR-11   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  LOOKIN TO FLY   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 7% 13.20 10.90 W
4  DIVA READY   (thomas jonatha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 23% 3.30 2.10 P
9  PRINCESS BLAKELY   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 4.20  
11  KEMBA   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 ★ 6.50  
5  CLARA BELLE   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 23.30  
10  FREEDOM MACHINE   (schosberg rich)ORTIZ L 123 10.00 16.20  
6  BELLA CONCHITA   (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 9% 10.30 5.40  
2  SYNONYMOUS   (pregman joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00 40.50  
12  CONSTITUTIONALRAGE   (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 34.50  
3  NOBLE ENTERPRISE   (pugh d)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 8.80  
1  LEMON TAFFY   (henry ne)DAVIS A 123 50.00 50.50  
8  RAINING CANDY   (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 25.75  
SCR  ALICIA'S WAY   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CHARMER   (aro c)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00    
SCR  HATARI   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  MAYBE LATER   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.