The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Saturday - July 16, 2022
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SAR-1   07/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:243 :482 1:13     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER CHANGE 1 4 4¾ 42 33 35½ 1hd (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 34% 1.90 2.80 W
6  PSYCHIC INCOME 6 2 1nk 11 11½ 14 2hd (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 23% 3.40 2.30 P
5  NORTH POLE 5 3 3.2 21 21½ 24 3.15 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 11% 8.50 3.65 S
7  MISTICAL CURLIN 7 6 61¾ 52½ 44 45½ 42½ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 4.90  
2  READYSEEKGO 2 1 2nk 31½ 56 513½ 521¾ (antonucci m)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 9% 10.10 18.80  
4  KNOT THE ONE 4 7 72¼ 73½ 713 723¾ 635¾ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 ★ 11.70  
3  FIERY HEART 3 5 51¾ 63 612 623½ 741 (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 7.40  
 
SAR-2   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:221 :454 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHLOE ROSE 7 4 31 2nk   1½ 1¾ (rodriguez gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 26% 2.90 2.20 W
5  CUPIDS GIRL 5 7 78½ 66   33½ 2¾ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 13.50  
6  TEA OLIVE 6 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 33 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 19% 4.40 3.95 S
3  NEW YORK BANKER 3 6 65½ 77   64½ 44¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 ★ 7.70  
2  THIEF OF HEARTS 2 5 54½ 55   54½ 58¾ (rubley kelly)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 20.90  
4  QUICK MUNNY 4 2 42½ 43   44 68¾ (barkley jason)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 12% 7.10 2.55  
1  CLOSING DEALS 1 3 1nk 32½   75 741¼ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 18% 4.70 4.90  
 
SAR-3   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
:234 :481 1:121 1:35   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 1 1 32 32½ 21½ 1½ 13 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 23% 3.30 5.40 W
7  CAPE COD CAUSEWAY 7 5 65 66 64 44 23 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 38.25  
2  TARA DANCER 2 2 11½ 12½ 11½ 2½ 33¾ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 29.25  
10  SUCCULENT 10 12 118½ 118¾ 96¼ 75 44½ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 37.25  
11  JOCOSITY 11 6 76 76½ 74¼ 64½ 54½ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 9.90  
5  CERRETTA 5 8 54 54½ 53 33 64¾ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 32.50  
9  ARISAEMA 9 11 129 1210¼ 117¾ 97½ 76 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 ★ 14.70  
12  SALS DREAM GIRL 12 9 86 97¼ 85¾ 86 86¼ (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 7% 13.50 9.80  
4  ROBYN AND ELI 4 4 43 44 43 54½ 97½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 31% 2.20 1.30  
8  SARATOGA CHROME 8 10 107 107¾ 106¾ 109 1010¾ (nevin michelle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 18% 4.70 4.40  
6  SARAH'S SPLENDOR 6 7 96½ 86¾ 1210¼ 1215 1115½ (abreu r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 29.00  
3  WICKED LADY 3 3 21½ 22½ 32½ 1110½ 1219¾ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 39.75  
SCR  CAN'T FOOL ME               (de horacio)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
 
SAR-4   07/16/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
:234 :491 1:141 1:394   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HIGHER QUALITY 2 6 53½ 52 32 2nk 11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 66% 0.50 0.95 W
8  CRYO 7 7 32½ 31½ 21 1nk 21 (morey e)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 6% 17.10 3.85 P
1  RED REVOLUTION 1 3 11 1½ 11 3.2 34½ (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 7.20  
4  EAGLE IN LOVE 4 4 67½ 74½ 79½ 510¼ 415½ (atras rob)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
5  IT'S GRAVY 5 1 43 41½ 57½ 610¾ 519½ (breen j)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 ★ 9.20  
7  B C GLORY DAYS 6 2 21 2½ 42½ 48¼ 621 (barrera s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 17.00  
3  SCOTTO 3 5 79½ 63½ 69 713¼ 726¾ (parker joseph)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00 30.00  
SCR  KARL CARES               (ryan s)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-5   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:242 :482 1:121 1:361   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHUTTERS 8 11 93¾ 96¼ 105¼ 62¾ 11 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00 6.10  
3  FRONT LINE DANCER 2 5 105¼ 106½ 83¾ 41¼ 21 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 3.05  
2  BARREL OF QUESTS 1 1 31½ 41½ 52 31 31¾ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 43.50  
11  CITIZEN K 11 10 41½ 3½ 3½ 2nk 43 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 14.10  
10  MARINARA SAUCED 10 9 73¼ 74¼ 72¾ 73¼ 53¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.90  
1  SIMPLY 3 4 117¼ 119 116¼ 105 63¼ (buckley b)SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00 16.10  
7  SPETTRO 7 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 1nk 74¾ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 18.10  
5  MR. KRINGLE 5 7 83¼ 84¾ 93¾ 94½ 85 (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 10% 9.50 3.75  
9  RALLY SQUIRREL 9 8 51¾ 61¾ 41½ 52¾ 97 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 8% 12.00 5.00  
6  CUT THE CORD 6 6 62¼ 51¾ 62¼ 115½ 109 (englehart c)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 15.00 29.25  
4  LITTLE MADDY BROWN 4 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 83½ 1110¼ (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 125 30.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES               (schosberg richard)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
SAR-6   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
:223 :452 1:101     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAMINGO HAWK 1 1 31 32   12 16½ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 50% 1.00 3.25 W
8  ALCOOLS 7 3 2½ 2½   22 26½ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 10% 9.50 1.75 P
2  IN SKY WE TRUST 2 4 1½ 1½   33½ 311½ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 5.40  
5  LONG TERM THINKING 5 6 78½ 77   611 416 (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 6.60  
4  DOUBLE SHOT 4 7 68 65½   410 516¾ (breen j)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 7.90  
3  CHRIS AND DAVE 3 2 42½ 45   510½ 618 (englehart s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 7% 13.00 5.40  
6  MUSICAL AMERICA 6 5 53½ 55½   719½ 737 (jones e)HARKIE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
SCR  MR. PETE               (davis d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:221 :444 1:094     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BABY YODA 7 2 43 42   2nk 13 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 ★ 3.30  
6  ANSWER IN 4 5 53½ 53   41¾ 23 (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 23% 3.40 28.75 P
8  SIBELIUS 6 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 33½ (o'dwyer jeremiah)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 30.50  
2  NOVA RAGS 2 4 32 31½   3.2 43¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 10.90  
5  REINVESTMENT RISK 3 6 75½ 65   54¾ 56¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 39% 1.50 0.50  
7  RIVER DOG 5 3 1½ 2nk   614¾ 662 (breen j)ORTIZ L 126 20.00 7% 13.30 13.90  
1  DISCO PHAROAH 1 7 63½ 77½   740¼ 7100 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00 11.50  
SCR  FITZPATRICK               (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 30.00    
SCR  ZOOMER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   07/16/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:03
:222 :454 1:093     1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IN ITALIAN (GB) 6 1 11½ 11½ 12½ 1½ 11½ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 17% 5.00 8.30 W
1  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) 1 2 42½ 44 43½ 2½ 21½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 ★ 3.80 P
3  BLEECKER STREET 3 5 68½ 610 67 43½ 33 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 26% 2.80 0.80 S
4  ROUGIR (FR) 4 6 57 57½ 55½ 33½ 43¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 ★ 3.90  
5  DALIKA (GER) 5 4 32 32 32½ 56 510¼ (stall m)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 10% 9.20 28.25  
2  CREATIVE FLAIR (IRE) 2 3 21½ 21½ 22½ 615 636 (appleby charles)SPENCER P 120 8.00 9.10  
 
SAR-9   07/16/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
:224 :49 1:134 1:371   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CREDIT EVENT 4 2 83¾ 85¼ 94¼ 72½ 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 15% 5.60 4.60 W
1  SETNA THE WISE 5 1 31 41¾ 51¾ 31 2¾ (barkley jason)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 10.50  
7  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 6 5 62¾ 63¾ 83¾ 42 31¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 20.70  
2B  MO REWARDS 12 7 52½ 53¼ 62¾ 52¼ 41¾ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 9% 9.50 8.80  
10  DAUNT 9 12 126¾ 127 126¼ 103 52 (ribaudo j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 14.60  
3  FOREVER SOUPER 1 4 1nk 1nk 1nk 11 62 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 ★ 11.50  
1A  DRIPPING GOLD 11 6 41½ 31½ 3½ 62¼ 72¼ (mcgaughey iii)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 10.50  
9  FORT TICONDEROGA 8 8 73¾ 74¼ 41½ 93 82½ (mcgaughey iii)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 16% 5.10 1.30  
4  ANALOGY 2 10 115¾ 116½ 115¾ 82½ 93¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 6.50  
5  SUMMER ANTHEM 3 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 21 104¾ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 17.20  
2  ROYAL SPIRIT 10 9 105¼ 95¼ 73¼ 115 115¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★ 8.80  
8  PARQUETRY 7 11 94¾ 105½ 105¼ 127 129 (tagg barclay)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00 61.00  
SCR  NAVAL AVIATOR               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  WOLFE COUNTY               (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
 
SAR-10   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 6:13
:223 :46 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MO STRIKE 6 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 13½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 ★ 8.20  
3  GREAT NAVIGATOR 3 1 51¼ 61½   42 23½ (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00 18.50  
9  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE 9 2 3½ 3.2   2nk 33¾ (breen j)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 13% 6.90 4.20 S
4  FORTE 4 7 72¼ 74   74½ 45¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 33% 2.10 1.45  
5  CURLY JACK 5 3 1nk 1nk   31½ 55¾ (amoss m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 19% 4.20 8.00  
2  MAJOR DUDE 2 6 41 41¼   52½ 66¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 13.40  
10  ROMAN GIANT 10 12 104¾ 106½   85½ 78¼ (asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 11% 7.90 30.25  
7  PROVE RIGHT 7 5 61¾ 51¼   63 89½ (chapman k)SANTANA JR 120 30.00 57.50  
12  VALENZAN DAY 12 11 126¾ 1212   1110½ 916 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 7.00  
1  BOPPY O 1 9 82¾ 96   108 1016¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 39.00  
8  I'M WIDE AWAKE 8 8 93¼ 84½   97½ 1119 (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00 29.50  
11  PUTTHEBLAMEONME 11 10 116¾ 119½   1211½ 1222¾ (englehart c)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 30.00 36.00  
 
SAR-11   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
:232 :472 1:351     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  LOOKIN TO FLY 12 7 87½ 86 93¾ 42 11¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 7% 13.20 10.90 W
4  DIVA READY 4 4 54 52½ 3½ 11 21¼ (thomas jonathan)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 23% 3.30 2.10 P
9  PRINCESS BLAKELY 8 8 43 42 4¾ 32 32¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 4.20  
11  KEMBA 10 5 21½ 21 1nk 21 45½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 ★ 6.50  
5  CLARA BELLE 5 12 1214 1211½ 126 97¼ 56¼ (maker j)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 23.30  
10  FREEDOM MACHINE 9 10 109½ 107½ 104 107½ 66½ (schosberg richard)ORTIZ L 123 10.00 16.20  
6  BELLA CONCHITA 6 2 65½ 64 61¾ 63¼ 76½ (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 9% 10.30 5.40  
2  SYNONYMOUS 2 9 99½ 97 82¾ 75¾ 87 (pregman jr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00 40.50  
12  CONSTITUTIONALRAGE 11 6 32 31½ 2nk 53 97½ (brown r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 34.50  
3  NOBLE ENTERPRISE 3 11 1111½ 119 114½ 87¼ 108½ (pugh d)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 8.80  
1  LEMON TAFFY 1 1 76½ 74 71¾ 118 1112 (henry neville)DAVIS A 123 50.00 50.50  
8  RAINING CANDY 7 3 11½ 11 51¼ 1220½ 1239 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 25.75  
SCR  ALICIA'S WAY               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CHARMER               (aro c)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00    
SCR  HATARI               (maker j)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  MAYBE LATER               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.