Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :471 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK HAMMER 6 2 31 2   11 1 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 27% 2.80 3.00 W
SIGNATOR 4 7 53 55   3 2 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 3.95 P
WARMAN ROAD 7 1 11 1   21 3 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 18.50  
SPACE 5 4 42 4   47 410½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 14% 6.20 7.10  
UNKNOWN AGENDA 3 3 7 714½   716½ 515½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 34% 2.00 1.25  
SCOOTSCOOT 2 5 21 3   58 615½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 40.75  
KALIK 1 6 6 611   616 717¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.70  
 
BAQ-2   09/16/2022 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
2:131         2:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM WORKS (FR) 5 1 11 1½ 1 1 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 43% 1.40 1.00 W
SPACE LAUNCH 4 2 3 3 32 2 2 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 17% 5.00 4.70 P
MEGAYACHT 1 55 5 5 54 3 34 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 14.90 S
FOUNDER 3 65 6 64 6 5 47 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 3.80  
BLUEGRASS PARKWAY 6 4 4 42 43 47 5 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 8.60  
TIDE OF THE SEA 2 33 21 2½ 2 6 611¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 15% 5.80 5.70  
 
BAQ-3   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:131     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 7 2 2½ 1nk 12 1 1 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 1.45  
GAGLIANO 6 9 99 6 7 310 2 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 13.60  
WICKED LADY 3 5 3 3½ 22 2 3 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 15% 5.50 2.20 S
CLARA BELLE 5 7 87 8 810¾ 712½ 412½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 42% 1.40 3.65  
GAME THEORY 1 8 5 5 49 411 513 (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
SIMPLE SUGAR 4 4 42 41 6 511½ 613¼ (giglio gina)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 40.50  
KEEN DANCER 8 3 6 7 59 814½ 718¼ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00 79.75  
U CANT HANDLE THIS 2 6 1½ 2nk 3 612½ 818½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 12% 7.10 10.10  
ELEGANT LAOBAN 9 1 7 9 918¾ 921½ 927¼ (o'brien ke)DAVIS A 123 30.00 5% 19.00 38.25  
 
BAQ-4   09/16/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:224 :462 :574     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLITTER UP 6 4 1 1   1 1 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 2.40  
WISH LIST 8 6 4 32   2 2 (terranova p)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 12.20  
SIXTH STREET (FR) 1 1 64 7   45 3 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 5% 18.10 6.00 S
WESTERN LANE 3 8 8 86   66 4 (lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00 52.75  
EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) 4 5 53 5   55 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.20 50% 1.00 1.30  
YAMAS 5 2 32 2   34 64 (jerkens ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 25.00  
DIAMOND STATUS 2 7 75 6   7 7 (martin f)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 11.30  
ADAM'S ANGEL 7 3 2 43   89 814¼ (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 7.90  
SCR  ARROGANT LADY               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
BAQ-5   09/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:224 :48 1:134 1:374   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' WRECK 1 2 31 31 4 11 13 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 10.60  
PROVISION 7 6 52 4 31 33 23 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 29% 2.40 0.85 P
10  THETHRILLOFVICTORY 9 9 8 8 8 43 3 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.80 S
BARRY THE BUILDER 2 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 21 4 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 3.65  
GENERAL BANKER 6 8 7 6 6 5 5 (ferraro ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 9.50  
WAR PRINCE 3 5 6 7 7 6 612¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 26.00  
EXALTED ONE 8 10 10 108 9 811 713 (o'brien ke)DAVIS A 119 20.00 58.50  
LIOTTA 5 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 710 815¼ (hills timothy )SAMUEL L 119 30.00 95.25  
BEAR'S CORRECT 4 3 4 5 5 914 918¼ (hemingw)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00 45.75  
11  WIDMARK 10 7 9 9 1011¼ 1017 1019¼ (schettino dominick )LUZZI J 119 20.00 79.00  
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 1.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  D'ARPINO B C               (gargan danny)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETSY BLUE 5 4 31 31   1 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.00 32% 2.10 0.40 W
PIECE OF MY HEART 4 3 2½ 2½   3 2 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 31% 2.20 6.20 P
DEALING JUSTICE 2 2 1½ 1½   2 3 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 4.10 S
SHARP STARR 3 5 5 43   4 413¼ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 10.20  
WHOLEBODEMEISTER 1 1 4 55   515½ 537¼ (hemingway michelle)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
 
BAQ-7   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:124     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUST DEVIL 3 7 31 4 4 2½ 1¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 34% 2.00 1.90 W
CHRIS AND DAVE 2 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 1½ 2¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 12% 7.30 4.70 P
SCILLY CAY 7 1 41 31 31 3 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 13% 6.50 3.60 S
HAMMERIN AAMER 5 6 6 6 57 5 4 (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 3.20  
AMOUNT 6 4 73 7 79 6 5 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 9.00  
VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD 4 2 52 5 68 7 618¼ (rodriguez gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 11.80  
STRIKING SPEED 1 5 1½ 1nk 2½ 4 718¼ (jones e)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 24.00  
SCR  BLUE JAYS               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
BAQ-8   09/16/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:41
See original race card.
:231 :463 :581     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FONTANAFREDDA 6 7 4 31   1nk 1¼ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 15% 5.90 4.90 W
JILL'S A HOT MESS 2 1 3 4   3½ 2¼ (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 11% 7.90 5.50 P
TOWERING ORBIT 4 6 1½ 1½   2nk 3¾ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 2.70  
KOKOPELLI 9 3 84 8   6 43 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 18% 4.50 3.80  
THEODORA GRACE 8 2 63 6   4 5 (klesaris r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 6.00  
SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE) 5 5 52 52   5 6 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 16% 5.10 5.20  
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 1 9 95 9   9 7 (jones eduardo )SAMUEL L 121 12.00 10% 9.00 20.30  
SHESAWILDJOKER 3 8 7 7   8 8 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 26.00  
GRUDGE 7 4 2½ 2½   7 9 (jones e)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 79.75  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME               (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEZOS 6 3 11 1   1 19 (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 5.60  
MATTY'S MARAUDER 2 8 8 6   410½ 29 (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 3.75  
INSPIRATION POINT 4 6 6 8   514½ 3 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 6.10  
STREET CULTURE 5 5 3 2   2 411 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 28% 2.60 2.25  
MACH ONE 1 7 55 46   310½ 512¾ (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
BOURBON'S HOPE 3 4 4 5   618 620½ (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 2.85  
NATURE BOY 8 1 21 35   718¼ 722½ (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 20.00 70.50  
RAW COURAGE 7 2 7 79   824¼ 837¼ (toscano john )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
SCR  POWER AGENDA               (arriaga antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 36% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.