The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 16, 2022

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BAQ-1   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
:23 :471 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK HAMMER 6 2 31 2   11 1(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 27% 2.80 3.00 W
SIGNATOR 4 7 53 55   32(mcgaughey iii)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 3.95 P
WARMAN ROAD 7 1 11 1   21 3(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 18.50  
SPACE 5 4 42 4   47 410½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 14% 6.20 7.10  
UNKNOWN AGENDA 3 3 7 714½   716½ 515½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 34% 2.00 1.25  
SCOOTSCOOT 2 5 21 3   58 615½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 40.75  
KALIK 1 6 6 611   616 717¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.70  
 
BAQ-2   09/16/2022 7260ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
2:131         2:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM WORKS (FR) 5 111 1½ 1 11(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 43% 1.40 1.00 W
SPACE LAUNCH 4 23 3 32 22(clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 17% 5.00 4.70 P
MEGAYACHT 1 55 5 5 54 334 (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 14.90 S
FOUNDER 3 65 6 64 6 547 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 3.80  
BLUEGRASS PARKWAY 6 44 42 43 47 5(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 8.60  
TIDE OF THE SEA 2 33 21 2½ 2 6611¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 15% 5.80 5.70  
 
BAQ-3   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
:233 :474 1:131     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 7 2 2½ 1nk 12 11(atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 1.45  
GAGLIANO 6 9 99 6 7 310 2(barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 13.60  
WICKED LADY 3 5 3 3½ 22 23(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 15% 5.50 2.20 S
CLARA BELLE 5 7 87 8 810¾ 712½ 412½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 42% 1.40 3.65  
GAME THEORY 1 8 5 5 49 411 513 (jones e)HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
SIMPLE SUGAR 4 4 42 41 6 511½ 613¼ (giglio gina)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 40.50  
KEEN DANCER 8 3 6 7 59 814½ 718¼ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00 79.75  
U CANT HANDLE THIS 2 6 1½ 2nk 3 612½ 818½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 12% 7.10 10.10  
ELEGANT LAOBAN 9 1 7 9 918¾ 921½ 927¼ (o'brien keith)DAVIS A 123 30.00 5% 19.00 38.25  
 
BAQ-4   09/16/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
:224 :462 :574     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLITTER UP 6 4 1 1   11(hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 2.40  
WISH LIST 8 6 4 32   22(terranova p)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 12.20  
SIXTH STREET (FR) 1 1 64 7   45 3(walsh p)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 5% 18.10 6.00 S
WESTERN LANE 3 8 8 86   66 4(lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00 52.75  
EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) 4 5 53 5   55 5(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.20 50% 1.00 1.30  
YAMAS 5 2 32 2   34 64 (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 25.00  
DIAMOND STATUS 2 7 75 6   77(martin f)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 11.30  
ADAM'S ANGEL 7 3 2 43   89 814¼ (mcgaughey iii)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 7.90  
SCR  ARROGANT LADY               (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
BAQ-5   09/16/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
:224 :48 1:134 1:374   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' WRECK 1 2 31 31 4 11 13 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 10.60  
PROVISION 7 6 52 4 31 33 23 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 29% 2.40 0.85 P
10  THETHRILLOFVICTORY 9 9 8 8 8 43 3(maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.80 S
BARRY THE BUILDER 2 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 21 4(rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 3.65  
GENERAL BANKER 6 8 7 6 6 55(ferraro w)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 9.50  
WAR PRINCE 3 5 6 7 7 6612¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 26.00  
EXALTED ONE 8 10 10 108 9 811 713 (o'brien keith)DAVIS A 119 20.00 58.50  
LIOTTA 5 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 710 815¼ (hills a)SAMUEL L 119 30.00 95.25  
BEAR'S CORRECT 4 3 4 5 5 914 918¼ (hemingway michelle)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00 45.75  
11  WIDMARK 10 7 9 9 1011¼ 1017 1019¼ (schettino a)LUZZI J 119 20.00 79.00  
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 1.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  D'ARPINO B C               (gargan danny)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
:234 :474 1:12     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETSY BLUE 5 4 31 31   11(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.00 32% 2.10 0.40 W
PIECE OF MY HEART 4 3 2½ 2½   32(rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 31% 2.20 6.20 P
DEALING JUSTICE 2 2 1½ 1½   23(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 4.10 S
SHARP STARR 3 5 5 43   4413¼ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 10.20  
WHOLEBODEMEISTER 1 1 4 55   515½ 537¼ (hemingway michelle)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
 
BAQ-7   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
:241 :48 1:124     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUST DEVIL 3 7 31 4 4 2½ 1¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 34% 2.00 1.90 W
CHRIS AND DAVE 2 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 1½ 2¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 12% 7.30 4.70 P
SCILLY CAY 7 1 41 31 31 33(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 13% 6.50 3.60 S
HAMMERIN AAMER 5 6 6 6 57 54(levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 3.20  
AMOUNT 6 4 73 7 79 65(brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 9.00  
VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD 4 2 52 5 68 7618¼ (rodriguez gustavo)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 11.80  
STRIKING SPEED 1 5 1½ 1nk 2½ 4718¼ (jones e)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 24.00  
SCR  BLUE JAYS               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
BAQ-8   09/16/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:41
:231 :463 :581     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FONTANAFREDDA 6 7 4 31   1nk 1¼ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 15% 5.90 4.90 W
JILL'S A HOT MESS 2 1 3 4   3½ 2¼ (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 11% 7.90 5.50 P
TOWERING ORBIT 4 6 1½ 1½   2nk 3¾ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 2.70  
KOKOPELLI 9 3 84 8   643 (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 18% 4.50 3.80  
THEODORA GRACE 8 2 63 6   45(klesaris p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 6.00  
SOCIAL WHIRL 5 5 52 52   56(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 16% 5.10 5.20  
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 1 9 95 9   97(jones e)SAMUEL L 121 12.00 10% 9.00 20.30  
SHESAWILDJOKER 3 8 7 7   88(donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 26.00  
GRUDGE 7 4 2½ 2½   79(jones e)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 79.75  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME               (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/16/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
:223 :462 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEZOS 6 3 11 1   119 (maker j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 5.60  
MATTY'S MARAUDER 2 8 8 6   410½ 29 (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 3.75  
INSPIRATION POINT 4 6 6 8   514½ 3(englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 6.10  
STREET CULTURE 5 5 3 2   2411 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 28% 2.60 2.25  
MACH ONE 1 7 55 46   310½ 512¾ (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
BOURBON'S HOPE 3 4 4 5   618 620½ (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 2.85  
NATURE BOY 8 1 21 35   718¼ 722½ (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 20.00 70.50  
RAW COURAGE 7 2 7 79   824¼ 837¼ (toscano t)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
SCR  POWER AGENDA               (arriaga antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 36% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.