Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KALIK         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
2  SCOOTSCOOT         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 ★    
3  UNKNOWN AGENDA         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 34% 2.00    
4  SIGNATOR         (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 ★    
5  SPACE Jul30         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
6  QUICK HAMMER         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 27% 2.80    
7  WARMAN ROAD         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/16/2022 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGAYACHT Jul31 Jun03 May01 Mar12 Feb13 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★    
2  TIDE OF THE SEA Aug24 Jul28 Jun03 May01 Apr02 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
3  FOUNDER Aug21 Aug06       (mott william )ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 ★    
4  SPACE LAUNCH Jul01 May29       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
5  DREAM WORKS (FR) Aug06         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 43% 1.40    
6  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Aug24 Jul27 Jul01     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME THEORY Aug07 Jul09 Jul04 Jun17 May29 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  U CANT HANDLE THIS Aug20 Jul20 Jul01 Jun09 May13 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
3  WICKED LADY Aug05 Jul16 Jun16     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 15% 5.50    
4  SIMPLE SUGAR Jul04 Jun17 May29 May13 Apr22 (giglio gina)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
5  CLARA BELLE Jul16 Jun19 May22 Mar09 Feb14 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
6  GAGLIANO Aug20 Jul04 Jun17 May29 Apr22 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
7  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Aug13 Jun24 May27 Apr30 Feb05 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
8  KEEN DANCER Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 Jun25 May20 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00    
9  ELEGANT LAOBAN May29 May08 Apr10 Mar18 Feb24 (o'brien )DAVIS A 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/16/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIXTH STREET (FR) Aug14 Jul23       (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 5% 18.10    
2  DIAMOND STATUS Aug19 Jun30 May15     (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
3  WESTERN LANE Apr15         (lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
4  EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) Apr15         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.20 50% 1.00    
5  YAMAS Aug14 Jul20       (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
6  GLITTER UP Aug14 Jul27 Jun19 Jan13   (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 ★    
7  ADAM'S ANGEL Jul27         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
8  WISH LIST         (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
SCR  ARROGANT LADY         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
BAQ-5   09/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMBLIN' WRECK Aug11         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
2  BARRY THE BUILDER Aug19 Jul17       (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  D'ARPINO B C         (gargan dann)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
4  WAR PRINCE         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
5  BEAR'S CORRECT Sep03 Jul15       (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
6  LIOTTA Aug19 Jul29       (hills timoth)SAMUEL L 119 30.00    
7  GENERAL BANKER Aug26 Aug10 Jul27     (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 ★    
8  PROVISION Aug19 Aug04       (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
9  EXALTED ONE Sep04         (o'brien )DAVIS A 119 20.00    
10  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Aug19         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
11  WIDMARK Aug19         (schettino dom)CARDENAS LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  CHULLIGAN Aug26         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
BAQ-6   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHOLEBODEMEISTER Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 Mar12   (hemingway michell)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEALING JUSTICE Aug07 May20 Apr22 Mar04 Feb04 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 ★    
3  SHARP STARR Apr16 Mar06       (de horacio)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 ★    
4  PIECE OF MY HEART Aug07 Jul20 May20 Apr22 Feb24 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  BETSY BLUE Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 May27 Mar31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.00 32% 2.10    
 
BAQ-7   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKING SPEED Aug20 Jul01 Jun19 Jun10 May27 (jones eduardo)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00    
2  CHRIS AND DAVE Jul16 Jun18 May29 May06 Mar25 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
3  DUST DEVIL Aug25 Jul23 May28 Apr28 Mar19 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Aug03 Jun26 May29 Apr28 Mar27 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
5  HAMMERIN AAMER Jul22 Jun16 Apr21 Mar26 Feb04 (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 ★    
6  AMOUNT Aug25 Jul22 Jun16 May08 Mar31 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00    
SCR  BLUE JAYS Aug07 Jun26 May28 Apr15 Feb25 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
8  SCILLY CAY Aug06 Jun10       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
 
BAQ-8   09/16/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Aug26 Aug18 Jun04 May19 May08 (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 121 12.00 10% 9.00    
2  JILL'S A HOT MESS Aug18 Jul22 May27 May19   (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 11% 7.90    
3  SHESAWILDJOKER Aug18 Jul15 Jan22     (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
4  TOWERING ORBIT Aug28 May20 Apr23 Mar25 Feb11 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
5  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE) Jun24 May27       (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 16% 5.10    
6  FONTANAFREDDA Aug18 Jul29 Jun11 Apr14   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 15% 5.90    
7  GRUDGE Aug12 Jul15 Jun26 May12 Apr03 (jones eduardo)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00    
8  THEODORA GRACE Aug12 Jun26 May14 Apr16   (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
9  KOKOPELLI Jul22         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 Mar18 Feb06 (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Aug06 Mar25 Feb27 Feb06   (rice linda)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACH ONE Aug21 Aug14 Jul29 Jul09 Jun10 (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MATTY'S MARAUDER Aug21 Apr28 Apr01 Mar05 Feb19 (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
3  BOURBON'S HOPE Aug15 Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 May21 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
4  INSPIRATION POINT Aug19 Jul04 May29 Apr10 Mar13 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
5  STREET CULTURE Aug13 Apr16 Mar13 Feb27   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  BEZOS Jun18 Jun05 Apr15     (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 ★    
SCR  POWER AGENDA Jul24 Jun11 May05     (arriaga antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 36% 1.70    
8  RAW COURAGE Aug03 Jul24 Jun23 May13 Apr29 (toscano joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  NATURE BOY Aug21 Jul28 Jun30 Jun02 Apr14 (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.