Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/17/2022 12540ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAP DECISION   (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 164 1.20 62% 0.60 0.55 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
GOING COUNTRY (IRE)   (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 140 12.00 9.20  
  (by YEATS out of FRANKLY NATIVE by BE MY NATIVE)
REDICEAN (GB)   (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 142 15.00 26.25 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of RED HALO (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
BELFAST BANTER (IRE)   (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 146 20.00 19.60  
  (by JEREMY out of SUMTIN NICE by SIMPLY GREAT)
SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER)   (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 153 2.50 12% 7.60 9.50  
  (by MEDICEAN (GB) out of SWENI HILL by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
DOWN ROYAL   (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 143 4.50 4.50  
  (by ALPHABET SOUP out of MISS CROWN by HIGH YIELD)
CHIEF JUSTICE (GB)   (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 144 10.00 10.00  
  (by ACCLAMATION (GB) out of FREEDOM PASS by GULCH)
SCR  HISTORIC HEART (IRE)   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 144 12.00    
  (by FRACAS out of IRISH QUESTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
SAR-2   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK RETURN   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 1.55  
WINNING DRIVE   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 4.30 P
O'TROUBLE   (shirer m)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 2.15 S
CASALSA   (jerkens steven)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 2.85  
MANIFEST DESTINY   (younghans wi)HARKIE K 122 30.00 20.70  
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN   (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 124 0.50 74% 0.30    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMMASGOTTARUN   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 33% 2.00 0.85 W
PERFECT PROVISION   (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 13% 6.60 4.60 P
HANDLE THE TRUTH   (metiv)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 20.00 35.00  
BACKED BY GOLD   (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 26% 2.90 3.30  
WICKED HAPPY   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 7% 12.60 4.60  
KEEN DANCER   (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 21.00  
SCR  GAME THEORY   (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEMBA   (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 53% 0.90 1.85 W
I'M BUZZY   (dini mike)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 9% 9.60 3.90 P
FREEDOM MACHINE   (schosber)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 6.10 S
TALES OF MAKENNA   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 3.70  
FRENCH FRANC (FR)   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 6.10  
SYNONYMOUS   (pregman joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 20.00  
MISS INVINCIBLE   (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 120 20.00 11.80  
LEMON TAFFY   (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 123 20.00 5% 19.00 40.75  
 
SAR-5   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIALLY SELECTIVE   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 13.00  
PADMA   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 8.30 P
IMPLICATED   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5.30  
BULSARA   (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 19.30  
MIJA   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 18% 4.50 1.45  
SOUPER SLEWS CASH   (trombett)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 17.10  
JUSTIFYING   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 31% 2.30 1.90  
SCR  BINSKY   (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
SAR-6   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9.60  
MACKILLOP   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 12% 7.20 2.60 P
MO REWARDS   (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 4.10  
ANALOGY   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 4.20  
WISH ME HOME   (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 19.40  
EMBOITE (IRE)   (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 12.80  
MARITIME WINGS (IRE)   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 7.70  
HASHTAG NO WONDER   (david a)RENDON JAIRO 122 15.00 30.25  
SEAL BEACH   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 4.90  
SCR  FUNNY JOKE   (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  ICARUS   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  MALIBU S S   (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 12.00    
SCR  NABOKOV   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  TOTALIZER   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER   (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY   (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
SAR-7   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U GLOW GIRL   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 45% 1.20 1.15 W
RISK FREE   (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 14.60  
CRYPTO MAMA   (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10 3.35 S
OH DONNA   (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 5.30  
HAPPY WARRIOR   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 10.00  
RULER OF THE NIGHT   (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 14.40  
RED HOT CHICK   (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 15.10  
AMAZON BARBIE   (catalano w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 13.70  
 
SAR-8   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSET LOUISE   (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 4.00  
CARAMOCHA   (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 4.60  
U GUYS ARE NO FUN   (englehart jere)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 25% 3.10 3.50 S
GRINGOTTS   (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 13.40  
SILKEN DOLLAR   (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 36% 1.80 3.95  
MIA BEA STAR   (persaud ran)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.00 13% 6.60 2.05  
 
SAR-9   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA GOLD   (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 52% 0.90 0.30 W
MARINARA SAUCED   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 10% 9.30 7.20 P
BORN DANCER   (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 22.30  
10  BARREL OF QUESTS   (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 14.80  
HE'S GOT IT   (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 63.75  
SHINSUN   (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 12% 7.60 5.60  
CAGNEY (BRZ)   (schet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 30.00 63.25  
SILENT RUNNING   (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 29.25  
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD   (caramori ed)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
SCR  TETRAGRAMMATON   (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-10   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO BIG GREEN   (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 55% 0.80 4.50 W
10  OCEAN AIR   (giangiulio michel)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 9% 10.30 4.10 P
CAFE FLEUR (FR)   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 5% 19.00 1.70 S
DIXIE CANNON   (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 7.10  
PRINCESS PINKY   (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00 7.60  
BOCA   (falk jacquelin)PIERMARINI T 123 20.00 32.75  
FUNWHILEITLASTED   (russell brit)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50 5% 19.00 5.60  
BELLS ON HER TOES   (metivier richar)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00 34.25  
SCR  AZIZA   (hemingway mich)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH   (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  MORE MANGO   (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.