Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/17/2022 12540ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
4:324         4:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SNAP DECISION 6 11 11 13½ 13½ 110 113¼ (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 164 1.20 62% 0.60 0.55 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
4  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) 4 42½ 46½ 37½ 65¼ 210 213¼ (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 140 12.00 9.20  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FRANKLY NATIVE by BE MY NATIVE)
5  REDICEAN (GB) 5 53½ 68½ 69 76¼ 516½ 316¾ (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 142 15.00 ★ 26.25 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of RED HALO (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
2  BELFAST BANTER (IRE) 2 75½ 711 710 44½ 415½ 417 (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 146 20.00 19.60  
  (by JEREMY out of SUMTIN NICE by SIMPLY GREAT)
3  SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) 3 31½ 36 47½ 34½ 617½ 518¼ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 153 2.50 12% 7.60 9.50  
  (by MEDICEAN (GB) out of SWENI HILL by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
1  DOWN ROYAL 1 63½ 57½ 58½ 55 719½ 620¼ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 143 4.50 ★ 4.50  
  (by ALPHABET SOUP out of MISS CROWN by HIGH YIELD)
7  CHIEF JUSTICE (GB) 7 21 21 23½ 23½ 315 725¼ (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 144 10.00 ★ 10.00  
  (by ACCLAMATION (GB) out of FREEDOM PASS by GULCH)
SCR  HISTORIC HEART (IRE)               (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 144 12.00    
  (by FRACAS out of IRISH QUESTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
SAR-2   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUICK RETURN 3 2 2½ 1nk   13 16¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 ★ 1.55  
3  WINNING DRIVE 2 5 44 45   45 26¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 ★ 4.30 P
2  O'TROUBLE 1 3 31 31½   34½ 38¾ (shirer m)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 ★ 2.15 S
5  CASALSA 4 1 1½ 2nk   23 49¼ (jerkens steven)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 ★ 2.85  
6  MANIFEST DESTINY 5 4 58½ 58½   58½ 510¼ (younghans wi)HARKIE K 122 30.00 20.70  
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN               (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 124 0.50 74% 0.30    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MOMMASGOTTARUN 5 3 21½ 21½   2½ 12 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 33% 2.00 0.85 W
3  PERFECT PROVISION 3 2 11½ 11½   1½ 22 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 13% 6.60 4.60 P
1  HANDLE THE TRUTH 1 6 56½ 59½   411 315¾ (metiv)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 20.00 35.00  
7  BACKED BY GOLD 6 1 32 45½   511½ 415¾ (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 26% 2.90 3.30  
2  WICKED HAPPY 2 5 43 35   39½ 516 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 7% 12.60 4.60  
4  KEEN DANCER 4 4 67 611   614 617¾ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 ★ 21.00  
SCR  GAME THEORY               (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:131 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KEMBA 5 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 11 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 53% 0.90 1.85 W
6  I'M BUZZY 6 7 63½ 53 63½ 23 21 (dini mike)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 9% 9.60 3.90 P
1  FREEDOM MACHINE 1 3 31 31½ 32 33½ 32½ (schosber)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 ★ 6.10 S
4  TALES OF MAKENNA 4 8 85½ 73¼ 52½ 43½ 42¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 ★ 3.70  
7  FRENCH FRANC (FR) 7 5 41½ 41½ 42½ 65 56 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 6.10  
3  SYNONYMOUS 3 6 75 85¼ 85½ 77 66 (pregman joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 20.00  
8  MISS INVINCIBLE 8 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 54½ 77¾ (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 120 20.00 11.80  
2  LEMON TAFFY 2 2 53 63¼ 74 88 813½ (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 123 20.00 5% 19.00 40.75  
 
SAR-5   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE 1 2 11 12   15 17¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 13.00  
6  PADMA 6 3 21 22   25 27¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 ★ 8.30 P
2  IMPLICATED 2 6 66 66   310½ 314 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5.30  
3  BULSARA 3 7 55½ 44½   411 416½ (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 ★ 19.30  
5  MIJA 5 5 78½ 712½   722½ 524¾ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 18% 4.50 1.45  
4  SOUPER SLEWS CASH 4 4 43 34   516 626¼ (trombett)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 17.10  
8  JUSTIFYING 7 1 31½ 56   618½ 729¼ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 31% 2.30 1.90  
SCR  BINSKY               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
SAR-6   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:12     1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 3 1 11 11 11½ 12 13 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★ 9.60  
8  MACKILLOP 8 3 43 31½ 21½ 22 23 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 12% 7.20 2.60 P
2  MO REWARDS 5 4 65 84¾ 86 77¼ 33¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 4.10  
6  ANALOGY 6 9 75 63 64½ 56½ 45¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 ★ 4.20  
7  WISH ME HOME 7 2 21 21 54 45 56½ (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 19.40  
1  EMBOITE (IRE) 1 6 97¼ 95¼ 97 87¾ 66½ (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 12.80  
5  MARITIME WINGS (IRE) 4 5 32½ 52 33 35 76¾ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 7.70  
9  HASHTAG NO WONDER 9 7 85¼ 41½ 43½ 67 810 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 122 15.00 30.25  
3  SEAL BEACH 2 8 53½ 73¼ 74½ 98¼ 910¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 4.90  
SCR  FUNNY JOKE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  ICARUS               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  MALIBU S S               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 12.00    
SCR  NABOKOV               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  TOTALIZER               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
SAR-7   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  U GLOW GIRL 6 1 2nk 13   15½ 17¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 45% 1.20 1.15 W
1  RISK FREE 1 7 712¾ 79½   37½ 27¼ (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 14.60  
7  CRYPTO MAMA 7 3 45 48   47½ 38½ (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10 3.35 S
4  OH DONNA 4 6 33½ 23   25½ 411½ (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★ 5.30  
8  HAPPY WARRIOR 8 4 58½ 58   58½ 512¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 ★ 10.00  
3  RULER OF THE NIGHT 3 2 1nk 35   611½ 621¾ (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 14.40  
2  RED HOT CHICK 2 5 68¾ 68½   715 727 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 15.10  
5  AMAZON BARBIE 5 8 814¾ 817½   822 829¾ (catalano w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 ★ 13.70  
 
SAR-8   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:492 1:133     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SUNSET LOUISE 4 6 31 31½ 2nk 11 15¾ (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 ★ 4.00  
5  CARAMOCHA 5 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 21 25¾ (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 4.60  
1  U GUYS ARE NO FUN 1 5 65 64 67½ 67 38½ (englehart jere)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 25% 3.10 3.50 S
3  GRINGOTTS 3 3 42½ 52½ 56 46½ 49 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 ★ 13.40  
2  SILKEN DOLLAR 2 1 1½ 1½ 3½ 32 59½ (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 36% 1.80 3.95  
6  MIA BEA STAR 6 4 52½ 42 45½ 56½ 614¼ (persaud ran)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.00 13% 6.60 2.05  
 
SAR-9   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:142     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DAKOTA GOLD 6 5 11 11½ 11 13 11 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 52% 0.90 0.30 W
5  MARINARA SAUCED 4 3 64½ 64¼ 64¼ 43½ 21 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 10% 9.30 7.20 P
4  BORN DANCER 3 2 43 43 54 64¼ 33½ (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 22.30  
10  BARREL OF QUESTS 8 6 54 53¼ 42½ 33½ 43¾ (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 ★ 14.80  
9  HE'S GOT IT 7 7 31½ 31½ 21 23 54¾ (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 63.75  
3  SHINSUN 2 8 86 85¼ 86¼ 76¼ 65¼ (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 12% 7.60 5.60  
2  CAGNEY (BRZ) 1 1 21 21½ 32½ 54 76½ (schet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 30.00 63.25  
6  SILENT RUNNING 5 4 75½ 74¾ 75¾ 87¾ 810 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 29.25  
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD               (caramori ed)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
SCR  TETRAGRAMMATON               (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-10   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:144 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GO BIG GREEN 4 6 86 86½ 75½ 43 1½ (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 55% 0.80 4.50 W
10  OCEAN AIR 8 4 21 22 21½ 11 2½ (giangiulio michel)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 9% 10.30 4.10 P
6  CAFE FLEUR (FR) 5 7 75 64½ 53 32 3¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 5% 19.00 1.70 S
4  DIXIE CANNON 3 2 11 12 11½ 21 41½ (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 7.10  
9  PRINCESS PINKY 7 3 42½ 32½ 32½ 54½ 55 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00 7.60  
3  BOCA 2 5 64 75 64½ 64½ 65 (falk jacquelin)PIERMARINI T 123 20.00 32.75  
7  FUNWHILEITLASTED 6 8 53½ 53½ 86½ 810 713¾ (russell brit)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50 5% 19.00 5.60  
1  BELLS ON HER TOES 1 1 31½ 43 43 78 818 (metivier richar)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00 34.25  
SCR  AZIZA               (hemingway mich)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH               (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  MORE MANGO               (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.