The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Saratoga
Wednesday - August 17, 2022

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SAR-1   08/17/2022 12540ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
4:324         4:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAP DECISION 6 11 11 1 1 110 113¼ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 164 1.20 62% 0.60 0.55 W
GOING COUNTRY (IRE) 4 44 3 6 210 213¼ (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 140 12.00 9.20  
REDICEAN (GB) 5 56 69 7 516½ 316¾ (young f)BESWICK HARRISON 142 15.00 26.25 S
BELFAST BANTER (IRE) 2 7711 710 4 415½ 417 (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 146 20.00 19.60  
SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) 3 336 4 3 617½ 518¼ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 153 2.50 12% 7.60 9.50  
DOWN ROYAL 1 65 5 55 719½ 620¼ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 143 4.50 4.50  
CHIEF JUSTICE (GB) 7 21 21 2 2 315 725¼ (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 144 10.00 10.00  
SCR  HISTORIC HEART (IRE)               (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 144 12.00    
 
SAR-2   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
:23 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK RETURN 3 2 2½ 1nk   13 1(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 1.55  
WINNING DRIVE 2 5 44 45   45 2(rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 4.30 P
O'TROUBLE 1 3 31 3   33(shirer a)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 2.15 S
CASALSA 4 1 1½ 2nk   23 4(jerkens t)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 2.85  
MANIFEST DESTINY 5 4 5 5   5510¼ (younghans william)HARKIE K 122 30.00 20.70  
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN               (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 124 0.50 74% 0.30    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:222 :46 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMMASGOTTARUN 5 3 2 2   2½ 12 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 33% 2.00 0.85 W
PERFECT PROVISION 3 2 1 1   1½ 22 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 13% 6.60 4.60 P
HANDLE THE TRUTH 1 6 5 5   411 315¾ (metivier richard)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 20.00 35.00  
BACKED BY GOLD 6 1 32 4   511½ 415¾ (diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 26% 2.90 3.30  
WICKED HAPPY 2 5 43 35   3516 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 7% 12.60 4.60  
KEEN DANCER 4 4 67 611   614 617¾ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 21.00  
SCR  GAME THEORY               (jones e)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
:252 :492 1:131 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEMBA 5 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 11 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 53% 0.90 1.85 W
I'M BUZZY 6 7 6 53 6 23 21 (dini mike)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 9% 9.60 3.90 P
FREEDOM MACHINE 1 3 31 3 32 33(schosberg richard)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 6.10 S
TALES OF MAKENNA 4 8 8 7 5 44(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 3.70  
FRENCH FRANC (FR) 7 5 4 4 4 65 56 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 6.10  
SYNONYMOUS 3 6 75 8 8 77 66 (pregman jr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 20.00  
MISS INVINCIBLE 8 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 57(chichakly amira)LUZZI J 120 20.00 11.80  
LEMON TAFFY 2 2 53 6 74 88 813½ (ferraro w)SAMUEL L 123 20.00 5% 19.00 40.75  
 
SAR-5   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:21
:223 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIALLY SELECTIVE 1 2 11 12   15 1(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 13.00  
PADMA 6 3 21 22   25 2(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 8.30 P
IMPLICATED 2 6 66 66   310½ 314 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5.30  
BULSARA 3 7 5 4   411 416½ (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 19.30  
MIJA 5 5 7 712½   722½ 524¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 18% 4.50 1.45  
SOUPER SLEWS CASH 4 4 43 34   516 626¼ (trombetta j)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 17.10  
JUSTIFYING 7 1 3 56   618½ 729¼ (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 31% 2.30 1.90  
SCR  BINSKY               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
SAR-6   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
:24 :483 1:12     1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 3 1 11 11 1 12 13 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9.60  
MACKILLOP 8 3 43 3 2 22 23 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 12% 7.20 2.60 P
MO REWARDS 5 4 65 8 86 73(rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 4.10  
ANALOGY 6 9 75 63 6 54(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 4.20  
WISH ME HOME 7 2 21 21 54 45 5(schoenthal phil)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 19.40  
EMBOITE (IRE) 1 6 9 9 97 86(maker j)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 12.80  
MARITIME WINGS (IRE) 4 5 3 52 33 35 7(pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 7.70  
HASHTAG NO WONDER 9 7 8 4 4 67 810 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 122 15.00 30.25  
SEAL BEACH 2 8 5 7 7 9910¾ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 4.90  
SCR  FUNNY JOKE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  ICARUS               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  MALIBU S S               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 12.00    
SCR  NABOKOV               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  TOTALIZER               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
SAR-7   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:29
:223 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U GLOW GIRL 6 1 2nk 13   11(cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 45% 1.20 1.15 W
RISK FREE 1 7 712¾ 7   32(delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 14.60  
CRYPTO MAMA 7 3 45 48   43(breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10 3.35 S
OH DONNA 4 6 3 23   2411½ (handal raymond)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 5.30  
HAPPY WARRIOR 8 4 5 58   5512¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 10.00  
RULER OF THE NIGHT 3 2 1nk 35   611½ 621¾ (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 14.40  
RED HOT CHICK 2 5 6 6   715 727 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 15.10  
AMAZON BARBIE 5 8 814¾ 817½   822 829¾ (catalano m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 13.70  
 
SAR-8   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:492 1:133     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSET LOUISE 4 6 31 3 2nk 11 1(levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 4.00  
CARAMOCHA 5 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 21 2(friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 4.60  
U GUYS ARE NO FUN 1 5 65 64 6 67 3(englehart c)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 25% 3.10 3.50 S
GRINGOTTS 3 3 4 5 56 449 (klesaris p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 13.40  
SILKEN DOLLAR 2 1 1½ 1½ 3½ 32 5(schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 36% 1.80 3.95  
MIA BEA STAR 6 4 5 42 4 5614¼ (persaud randi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.00 13% 6.60 2.05  
 
SAR-9   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
:234 :491 1:142     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA GOLD 6 5 11 1 11 13 11 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 52% 0.90 0.30 W
MARINARA SAUCED 4 3 6 6 6 421 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 10% 9.30 7.20 P
BORN DANCER 3 2 43 43 54 63(nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 22.30  
10  BARREL OF QUESTS 8 6 54 5 4 34(donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 14.80  
HE'S GOT IT 7 7 3 3 21 23 5(ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 63.75  
SHINSUN 2 8 86 8 8 76(tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 12% 7.60 5.60  
CAGNEY 1 1 21 2 3 54 7(schettino a)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 30.00 63.25  
SILENT RUNNING 5 4 7 7 7 8810 (bond james)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 29.25  
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD               (caramori eduardo)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
SCR  TETRAGRAMMATON               (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-10   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
:25 :50 1:144 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO BIG GREEN 4 6 86 8 7 43 1½ (amoss m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 55% 0.80 4.50 W
10  OCEAN AIR 8 4 21 22 2 11 2½ (giangiulio michelle)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 9% 10.30 4.10 P
CAFE FLEUR (FR) 5 7 75 6 53 32 3¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 5% 19.00 1.70 S
DIXIE CANNON 3 2 11 12 1 21 4(russell t)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 7.10  
PRINCESS PINKY 7 3 4 3 3 555 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00 7.60  
BOCA 2 5 64 75 6 665 (falk jacqueline)PIERMARINI T 123 20.00 32.75  
FUNWHILEITLASTED 6 8 5 5 8 810 713¾ (russell t)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50 5% 19.00 5.60  
BELLS ON HER TOES 1 1 3 43 43 78 818 (metivier richard)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00 34.25  
SCR  AZIZA               (hemingway michelle)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH               (barker r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  MORE MANGO               (ferraro w)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.