Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/17/2022 12540ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN ROYAL Jul20 May14       (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 143 4.50 ★    
  (by ALPHABET SOUP out of MISS CROWN by HIGH YIELD)
2  BELFAST BANTER (IRE)         (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 146 20.00    
  (by JEREMY out of SUMTIN NICE by SIMPLY GREAT)
3  SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 153 2.50 12% 7.60    
  (by MEDICEAN (GB) out of SWENI HILL by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
4  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Aug03 May14       (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 140 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FRANKLY NATIVE by BE MY NATIVE)
5  REDICEAN (GB) Jul20         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 142 15.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of RED HALO (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
6  SNAP DECISION Jul27 May14       (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 164 1.20 62% 0.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
7  CHIEF JUSTICE (GB) Jul20         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 144 10.00 ★    
  (by ACCLAMATION (GB) out of FREEDOM PASS by GULCH)
SCR  HISTORIC HEART (IRE) Jul20 May14       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 144 12.00    
  (by FRACAS out of IRISH QUESTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
SAR-2   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 Mar19 Feb21 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 124 0.50 74% 0.30    
2  O'TROUBLE Jul17 Jul04 May08     (shirer m)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 ★    
3  WINNING DRIVE Jun18 May12 Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 ★    
4  QUICK RETURN Jul28 Jun22 May12 Apr28 Mar18 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 ★    
5  CASALSA Jul10 May19 Apr08 Feb06   (jerkens steven)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 ★    
6  MANIFEST DESTINY Jul09 Jun18 Mar04 Feb20 Jan27 (younghans willi)CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDLE THE TRUTH Jul27 Jul04 Jun05 May19 Apr28 (metiv)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 20.00    
2  WICKED HAPPY Apr29 Mar31 Feb27 Jan09   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 7% 12.60    
3  PERFECT PROVISION Jun30 Apr08 Mar16     (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  KEEN DANCER Jul27 Jul04 Jun25 May20 May08 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  GAME THEORY Aug07 Jul09 Jul04 Jun17 May29 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
6  MOMMASGOTTARUN Jul17 Jun11 May12 Apr16 Mar04 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 33% 2.00    
7  BACKED BY GOLD Jul20 Jul04 Jun03 Apr28 Mar19 (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM MACHINE Jul16 May30 May06     (schosber)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 ★    
2  LEMON TAFFY Jul16 Jun17       (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SYNONYMOUS Jul16 Jun19 May15 Apr14   (pregman joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00    
4  TALES OF MAKENNA May06         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 ★    
5  KEMBA Jul16 Jun19 May21 Apr24   (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  I'M BUZZY Jul22 Jun10 Apr27 Apr02 Mar09 (dini mike)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 9% 9.60    
7  FRENCH FRANC (FR) Jul29 May15 Apr17     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
8  MISS INVINCIBLE Jul27 Jun19 Jun12 May22 Apr24 (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
 
SAR-5   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
2  IMPLICATED         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
3  BULSARA         (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 ★    
4  SOUPER SLEWS CASH         (trombett)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
5  MIJA         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  PADMA         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  BINSKY Jul21         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
8  JUSTIFYING         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
SAR-6   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBOITE (IRE) Jul24 Jul02 May29     (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  TOTALIZER Jul24 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Jan27 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
2  MO REWARDS Jul16         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  FUNNY JOKE Jul04 Jun05 Mar13     (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
3  SEAL BEACH Jul03 Jun12       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
4  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE Jul28 Jul03       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
5  MARITIME WINGS (IRE) May29         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
6  ANALOGY Jul16 Jun18 Apr23 Mar12   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 ★    
7  WISH ME HOME Aug05 Jul18 Jan22 Jan02   (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
8  MACKILLOP May05 Mar27       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
9  HASHTAG NO WONDER Jul31 Jun18 May13 Apr09 Mar19 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 122 15.00    
SCR  MALIBU S S May31 May07 Mar26     (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 12.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY Jul04 Jun18 May07 Apr14 Mar04 (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jul02 Jun03 May07 Apr08 Feb05 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  ICARUS Jun18 Apr29 Mar05 Feb10   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  NABOKOV Jul02 May15 Apr14     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
SAR-7   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK FREE         (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
2  RED HOT CHICK         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
3  RULER OF THE NIGHT         (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
4  OH DONNA         (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
5  AMAZON BARBIE         (catalano w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 ★    
6  U GLOW GIRL Jul20         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  CRYPTO MAMA Jul24         (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
8  HAPPY WARRIOR         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U GUYS ARE NO FUN Jul21 Jun15 May18     (englehart jere)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 25% 3.10    
2  SILKEN DOLLAR Jul29 Jun19 May30 May07   (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  GRINGOTTS Jul22 Jun25 May27 Apr29 Apr08 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 ★    
4  SUNSET LOUISE Jun24 Jan06       (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 ★    
5  CARAMOCHA Jul22         (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50    
6  MIA BEA STAR Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 Jun18 May27 (persaud ran)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
 
SAR-9   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TETRAGRAMMATON Jul30 Jul19 Jun25 May28 Apr29 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAGNEY (BRZ) Jun23 May20 Apr01 Feb25 Jan16 (schet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 30.00    
3  SHINSUN Jul23 Jun17       (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 12% 7.60    
4  BORN DANCER Jul09         (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
5  MARINARA SAUCED Jul16 Jun19 May21     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 10% 9.30    
6  SILENT RUNNING Jun30 Apr22 Feb05     (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD Jul21 Jun13 May28     (caramori ed)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
8  DAKOTA GOLD Jul21 Jun19       (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 52% 0.90    
9  HE'S GOT IT Jul09 Jun18 Apr23 Mar18 Feb11 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
10  BARREL OF QUESTS Jul16 Jun19 May13 Apr24 Apr07 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-10   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLS ON HER TOES Jul27 Jun12 May13 Feb26 Feb04 (metivier richar)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
SCR  MORE MANGO Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 May22   (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
3  BOCA Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 May16 Apr13 (falk jacquelin)PIERMARINI T 123 20.00    
4  DIXIE CANNON         (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
5  GO BIG GREEN Jun07 Apr21 Feb13 Jan23   (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 55% 0.80    
6  CAFE FLEUR (FR) Jul03 May19 Jan29     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 5% 19.00    
7  FUNWHILEITLASTED Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 Apr14   (russell brit)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AZIZA Aug06 Jun11 Jun04 Apr15   (hemingway mich)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  PRINCESS PINKY Jun19         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00    
10  OCEAN AIR         (giangiulio michel)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jun26 Jun03 Mar20 Feb12 Jan13 (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.