Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/17/2022 12540ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN ROYAL Jul20 May14       (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 143 4.50 ★    
2  BELFAST BANTER (IRE)         (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 146 20.00    
3  SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER)         (young f)GARNER THOMAS 153 2.50 12% 7.60    
4  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Aug03 May14       (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 140 12.00    
5  REDICEAN (GB) Jul20         (young leslie)BESWICK HARRISON 142 15.00 ★    
6  SNAP DECISION Jul27 May14       (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 164 1.20 62% 0.60    
7  CHIEF JUSTICE (GB) Jul20         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 144 10.00 ★    
SCR  HISTORIC HEART (IRE) Jul20 May14       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 144 12.00    
 
SAR-2   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 Mar19 Feb21 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 124 0.50 74% 0.30    
2  O'TROUBLE Jul17 Jul04 May08     (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 ★    
3  WINNING DRIVE Jun18 May12 Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 ★    
4  QUICK RETURN Jul28 Jun22 May12 Apr28 Mar18 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 ★    
5  CASALSA Jul10 May19 Apr08 Feb06   (jerkens t)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 ★    
6  MANIFEST DESTINY Jul09 Jun18 Mar04 Feb20 Jan27 (younghans william)CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDLE THE TRUTH Jul27 Jul04 Jun05 May19 Apr28 (metivie)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 20.00    
2  WICKED HAPPY Apr29 Mar31 Feb27 Jan09   (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 7% 12.60    
3  PERFECT PROVISION Jun30 Apr08 Mar16     (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  KEEN DANCER Jul27 Jul04 Jun25 May20 May08 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  GAME THEORY Aug07 Jul09 Jul04 Jun17 May29 (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 122 20.00    
6  MOMMASGOTTARUN Jul17 Jun11 May12 Apr16 Mar04 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 33% 2.00    
7  BACKED BY GOLD Jul20 Jul04 Jun03 Apr28 Mar19 (dipri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM MACHINE Jul16 May30 May06     (schosberg )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 ★    
2  LEMON TAFFY Jul16 Jun17       (ferraro james )SAMUEL L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SYNONYMOUS Jul16 Jun19 May15 Apr14   (pregman john )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00    
4  TALES OF MAKENNA May06         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 ★    
5  KEMBA Jul16 Jun19 May21 Apr24   (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  I'M BUZZY Jul22 Jun10 Apr27 Apr02 Mar09 (dini mike)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 9% 9.60    
7  FRENCH FRANC (FR) Jul29 May15 Apr17     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
8  MISS INVINCIBLE Jul27 Jun19 Jun12 May22 Apr24 (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
 
SAR-5   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
2  IMPLICATED         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
3  BULSARA         (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 ★    
4  SOUPER SLEWS CASH         (trombetta )SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
5  MIJA         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  PADMA         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  BINSKY Jul21         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
8  JUSTIFYING         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
SAR-6   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBOITE (IRE) Jul24 Jul02 May29     (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  TOTALIZER Jul24 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Jan27 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
2  MO REWARDS Jul16         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  FUNNY JOKE Jul04 Jun05 Mar13     (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
3  SEAL BEACH Jul03 Jun12       (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
4  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE Jul28 Jul03       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
5  MARITIME WINGS (IRE) May29         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
6  ANALOGY Jul16 Jun18 Apr23 Mar12   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 ★    
7  WISH ME HOME Aug05 Jul18 Jan22 Jan02   (schoenthal ph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
8  MACKILLOP May05 Mar27       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
9  HASHTAG NO WONDER Jul31 Jun18 May13 Apr09 Mar19 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 122 15.00    
SCR  MALIBU S S May31 May07 Mar26     (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 12.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY Jul04 Jun18 May07 Apr14 Mar04 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jul02 Jun03 May07 Apr08 Feb05 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  ICARUS Jun18 Apr29 Mar05 Feb10   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  NABOKOV Jul02 May15 Apr14     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
SAR-7   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK FREE         (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
2  RED HOT CHICK         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
3  RULER OF THE NIGHT         (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
4  OH DONNA         (handal raymond)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
5  AMAZON BARBIE         (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 ★    
6  U GLOW GIRL Jul20         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  CRYPTO MAMA Jul24         (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
8  HAPPY WARRIOR         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U GUYS ARE NO FUN Jul21 Jun15 May18     (englehart jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 25% 3.10    
2  SILKEN DOLLAR Jul29 Jun19 May30 May07   (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  GRINGOTTS Jul22 Jun25 May27 Apr29 Apr08 (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 ★    
4  SUNSET LOUISE Jun24 Jan06       (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 ★    
5  CARAMOCHA Jul22         (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50    
6  MIA BEA STAR Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 Jun18 May27 (persaud randi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
 
SAR-9   08/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TETRAGRAMMATON Jul30 Jul19 Jun25 May28 Apr29 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAGNEY (BRZ) Jun23 May20 Apr01 Feb25 Jan16 (schetti)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 30.00    
3  SHINSUN Jul23 Jun17       (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 12% 7.60    
4  BORN DANCER Jul09         (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
5  MARINARA SAUCED Jul16 Jun19 May21     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 10% 9.30    
6  SILENT RUNNING Jun30 Apr22 Feb05     (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD Jul21 Jun13 May28     (caramori edua)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
8  DAKOTA GOLD Jul21 Jun19       (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 52% 0.90    
9  HE'S GOT IT Jul09 Jun18 Apr23 Mar18 Feb11 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
10  BARREL OF QUESTS Jul16 Jun19 May13 Apr24 Apr07 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-10   08/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLS ON HER TOES Jul27 Jun12 May13 Feb26 Feb04 (metivier richard)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
SCR  MORE MANGO Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 May22   (ferraro ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
3  BOCA Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 May16 Apr13 (falk jacqueline)PIERMARINI T 123 20.00    
4  DIXIE CANNON         (russell brittany )CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
5  GO BIG GREEN Jun07 Apr21 Feb13 Jan23   (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 55% 0.80    
6  CAFE FLEUR (FR) Jul03 May19 Jan29     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 5% 19.00    
7  FUNWHILEITLASTED Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 Apr14   (russell britta)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AZIZA Aug06 Jun11 Jun04 Apr15   (hemingway michel)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  PRINCESS PINKY Jun19         (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00    
10  OCEAN AIR         (giangiulio michelle)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jun26 Jun03 Mar20 Feb12 Jan13 (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.