Handicappers' Race Results

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Percy Warner
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PW-1   05/14/2022 14520ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
5:124         5:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST VISION (FR) 2 4 55 4 2nk 13 1 (young leslie)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
SHAKA (GB) 1 11 1 13 1nk 23 2 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 144     P
QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE) 3 54 45 5 6 35 313 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 158      
JUMP SHIP 4 6 6 69 54 415 444¼ (thompson ted)BOUCHER MELL 150      
BASSMATCHI (FR) 6 21 2 23 3½ 515½ 555 (young f)GARNER THOMAS 157      
LJAY (IRE) 5 3 3 35 41 6100 6100 (brion keri)HAMILL MIKEY 154      
SCR  FEARSOME (GB)               (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 158      
 
PW-2   05/14/2022 11880ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
4:20         4:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVEN INNOCENT 8 6 76 65 55 34 1 (fisher r)HANKIN CONNOR 146      
BICKLEY 2 2 22 21 1½ 1 2 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154   30% 2.30   P
CAUGHTMEONCAMERA (IRE) 5 33 3 33 4 2 3 (brion keri)RUSSELL DAVID 154      
AWAKENED 6 55 55 5 87 59 4 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
MONTMARTRE D'ANGE (FR) 3 45 4 44 2½ 46 513 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 146      
MACHENBANK (GER) 9 9 98 87 9 611 616¼ (brion keri)HAMILL MIKEY 146      
KING OF TSAVO (GB) 4 77 66 7 33 716 733¼ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 146   7% 12.60    
CAPTAIN MIDDLETON (IRE) 7 8 8 9 77 818 852½ (young leslie)BESWICK HARRISON 146      
HURTGEN FOREST 1 1 12 11 66 9100 9100 (kingsley archibald)WATTS MARK 146   42% 1.40    
 
PW-3   05/14/2022 11880ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
4:154         4:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORPION'S REVENGE (IRE) 1 632½ 638 639½ 614½ 33 1 (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 150   44% 1.30   W
DECISIVE TRIUMPH 5 28 212 222 11 13 2 (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 153   23% 3.40   P
GOING COUNTRY (IRE) 4 532 534½ 533½ 412 49 39 (brion keri)HAMILL MIKEY 153     S
DREWSCOURT (IRE) 3 323 328 427½ 513 512 414½ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 153   12% 7.40    
WELSHMAN 2 425 429½ 327 32 23 523 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 142      
BOULETTE (IRE) 6 18 112 122 21 615 6100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148      
SCR  RECENT REVELATIONS (IRE)               (hendriks ric)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
 
PW-4   05/14/2022 15840ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
5:401         5:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAP DECISION 3 2 21 21 2nk 17 1 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 158      
PISTOL WHIPPED (IRE) 1 1 11 11 1nk 39 2 (henderson)DEBOINVILLE NICOLAI 158      
AMSCHEL (GB) 7 67 5 54 5 49 3 (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 158     S
MOSCATO (GB) 5 44 43 43 35 27 412¾ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 158   75% 0.30    
BRIANBAKESCOOKIES 6 7 6 65 6 512½ 523 (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 158      
HISTORIC HEART (IRE) 2 3 3 33 4 617½ 6100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158      
IRANISTAN 4 56 712½ 713 718¾ 7100 7100 (brion keri)RUSSELL DAVID 158      
 
PW-5   05/14/2022 11880ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
4:241         4:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWN ROYAL 3 3 32 1½ 1nk 11 1 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 155   60% 0.70   W
BURN THE EVIDENCE (GB) 2 12 1nk 31 2nk 21 2 (elliot gordon)RUSSELL DAVID 151     P
KICKING MYSELF (IRE) 1 5 5 511 45 36 3 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 139     S
EVE'S CITY 5 4 44 46 5 426 449¼ (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 151   16% 5.30    
CUP OF AIKEN 4 22 2nk 2½ 34 5100 5100 (young leslie)BESWICK HARRISON 139      
 
PW-6   05/14/2022 15840ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
6:223         6:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONBEG STREAM (IRE) 2 23 24 26 23 14 1 (young f)GARNER THOMAS 160      
ELUSIVE EXCLUSIVE (IRE) 7 5 68 513 58 36 2 (young leslie)BESWICK HARRISON 165   51% 1.00   P
MOTIVATIONAL 4 35 4 410 4 24 3 (thompson ted)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   23% 3.30   S
OUR LEGEND (IRE) 3 46 36 36 3 46 455¾ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 160      
WESTERN CRUSADER 1 7 710 716¾ 718½ 6100 5100 (hendriks richard )FOLEY BARRY 155      
NOTJUDGINJUSTSAYIN 5 68 5 613¼ 6 5100 6100 (fisher r)HANKIN CONNOR 155      
CHOSEN MATE (IRE) 6 13 14 16 13 7100 7100 (hendriks richard)HAMILL MIKEY 155      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.