Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Percy Warner
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PW-1   05/14/2022 14520ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FEARSOME (GB)         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 158   ★    
2  SHAKA (GB)         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 144   ★    
3  FAST VISION (FR)         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 150   ★    
4  QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE)         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 158      
5  JUMP SHIP         (thompson ted)BOUCHER MELL 150   ★    
6  LJAY (IRE)         (brion keri)HAMILL MIKEY 154      
7  BASSMATCHI (FR)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 157   ★    
 
PW-2   05/14/2022 11880ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURTGEN FOREST Apr30         (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 146   42% 1.40    
2  BICKLEY         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154   30% 2.30    
3  MONTMARTRE D'ANGE (FR)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 146      
4  KING OF TSAVO (GB) Apr30         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 146   7% 12.60    
5  CAUGHTMEONCAMERA (IRE)         (brion keri)RUSSELL DAVID 154      
6  AWAKENED         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154   ★    
7  CAPTAIN MIDDLETON (IRE)         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 146   ★    
8  PROVEN INNOCENT Apr30         (fisher r)HANKIN CONNOR 146      
9  MACHENBANK (GER)         (brion keri)HAMILL MIKEY 146      
 
PW-3   05/14/2022 11880ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORPION'S REVENGE (IRE)         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 150   44% 1.30    
2  WELSHMAN         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 142      
3  DREWSCOURT (IRE) Apr30         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 153   12% 7.40    
4  GOING COUNTRY (IRE)         (brion keri)HAMILL MIKEY 153   ★    
5  DECISIVE TRIUMPH Apr30         (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 153   23% 3.40    
SCR  RECENT REVELATIONS (IRE)         (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 150   ★    
7  BOULETTE (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148      
 
PW-4   05/14/2022 15840ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL WHIPPED (IRE)         (henders)DEBOINVILLE NICOLAI 158      
  (by BENEFICIAL out of HOLIDAY TIME by LEMON DROP KID)
2  HISTORIC HEART (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158   ★    
  (by FRACAS out of IRISH QUESTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  SNAP DECISION         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 158   ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SALUTE by UNBRIDLED)
4  IRANISTAN         (brion keri)RUSSELL DAVID 158      
  (by UNKNOWN out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  MOSCATO (GB)         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 158   75% 0.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALBA STELLA (GB) by NASHWAN)
6  BRIANBAKESCOOKIES         (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 158   ★    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of KICKIN' THE CLOUDS by DIXIELAND BAND)
7  AMSCHEL (GB)         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 158   ★    
  (by NATHANIEL (IRE) out of DARINZA (FR) by DALAKHANI (IRE))
 
PW-5   05/14/2022 11880ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICKING MYSELF (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 139   ★    
2  BURN THE EVIDENCE (GB)         (elliot gordon)RUSSELL DAVID 151   ★    
3  DOWN ROYAL         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 155   60% 0.70    
4  CUP OF AIKEN         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 139   ★    
5  EVE'S CITY         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 151   16% 5.30    
 
PW-6   05/14/2022 15840ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN CRUSADER         (hendriks richar)FOLEY BARRY 155      
2  MONBEG STREAM (IRE)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 160   ★    
3  OUR LEGEND (IRE)         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 160   ★    
4  MOTIVATIONAL         (thompson te)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   23% 3.30    
5  NOTJUDGINJUSTSAYIN         (fisher r)HANKIN CONNOR 155   ★    
6  CHOSEN MATE (IRE) Mar27         (hendriks richa)HAMILL MIKEY 155      
7  ELUSIVE EXCLUSIVE (IRE) Mar27         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 165   51% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.