Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Friday - July 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:211 :443 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPRAISE (IRE) 6 1 3 32   11 1nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 11.40  
INFLATION NATION (IRE) 7 2 44 5   21 2nk (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7.90  
WICO (IRE) 1 5 5 4   4 3 (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 18% 4.50 3.25 S
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 4 6 6 6   65 4 (o'brien joseph )VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 22% 3.60 1.30  
DATAMAN 5 7 7 7   7 5 (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 8.40  
ALIBI IKE 3 4 2nk 2nk   33 611¼ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 8.40  
CLUBHOUSE 2 3 1nk 1nk   54 714¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 6.90  
SCR  BAT FLIP               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
SCR  GODS GLORY               (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 119 30.00    
SCR  RARIFY               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 116 1.00 37% 1.70    
 
SAR-2   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:143     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPULSIVENESS 5 5 1½ 11 1½ 11 1¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 19.30  
INDEMNIFY (FR) 3 2 4 43 4 4 2¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 55% 0.80 0.50 P
OGLETHORPE 6 6 2½ 21 2½ 21 3 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 22% 3.60 2.50 S
THE PRINCE'S SPUR 2 3 65 65 63 54 4 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 9.40  
1A  GROWTH CAPITAL 4 4 3 3 3½ 3 5 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 0.50  
CLUBBING 1 1 5 54 52 6 6 (mcgaughey cla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 8.70  
SCR  CAPITAL VELOCITY               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  CHEEKY TICO               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00    
 
SAR-3   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:124     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTCHANCEATGLORY 5 1 11 1½ 1 1½ 1 (rodriguez gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 5.90  
PIONEER SPIRIT 3 2 31 4 32 2½ 2 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 19% 4.20 6.00 P
AMERICAN RULE 6 3 21 2½ 2 3 3 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 4.20  
1A  MOUNT TRAVERS 7 4 4 3 4 43 4 (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 6.00  
HAMMERIN AAMER 1 5 7 7 5 5 510¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 19% 4.20 4.90  
LONG TERM THINKING 2 7 53 64 76 78 617¼ (avila c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 11% 8.00 16.50  
AMOUNT 4 6 6 5 6 68 721¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 27% 2.70 1.00  
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART               (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 123 4.00    
 
SAR-4   07/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:13 1:364   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHOMBIQUE 2 1 6 7 7 3 1¼ (ribaudo robert)SAMUEL L 124 15.00 8.60  
MISS BONNIE T 3 2 32 32 3 2 2¼ (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 17% 4.80 2.20 P
WHISKEY LULLABY 4 3 11 1½ 1½ 1 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 4.90 S
CANDLESTICK MAKER 5 7 54 54 63 45 4 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 8.10  
AWESOME ALLY VEE 1 4 7 65 52 5 5 (lauer mich)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 19.30  
REGINA 6 6 4 4 4 6 6 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 13.20  
I'M GLAD (IRE) 7 5 21 2½ 2½ 79 718 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 20% 3.90 1.60  
SCR  BEACHFRONT BID               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  TOOSWEETTOBESOUR               (begg bentley)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123     1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRICCO 3 4 46 5 2½ 1½ 1½ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 9.50  
FUTURE VICTORY 8 6 8 8 74 6 2½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 10% 9.40 1.65 P
CHESS'S DREAM 4 10 6 7 63 4 3½ (maker j)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 52% 0.90 4.50  
10  GUSSY MAC (IRE) 11 3 3 32 31 3 4 (saville niall)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 9.60 DH
BARNEGAT LIGHT 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 4 (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00 10.70 DH
SONIC SPEED 9 9 1010¾ 1010½ 10 8 62 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 16.70  
1A  VOLIERO 10 5 56 45 5 5 7 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 4.50  
GIRL DAD 7 7 1111¼ 1112½ 11 104 8 (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5% 17.80 8.90  
OUR COUNTRY 6 8 7 67 9 7 9 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.50 5.70  
PRAYER BOOK 5 11 9 99 84 9 104 (chichakly ami)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00 28.75  
SPECTATORLESS 2 2 2½ 2½ 42 11 1111 (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 123 30.00 36.25  
SCR  CAERUS               (lucas bonn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE               (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
 
SAR-6   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:142     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIA'S ANGEL 1 7 6 5 1nk 14 1 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 22% 3.60 1.90 W
DATESFREEDOM 9 8 7 6 3½ 24 2 (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 54.00  
LUCKY MUCHO MAN 8 6 85 8 7 613 316¾ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 18.00 11.50 S
MAKART 7 5 42 3 2nk 37 416¾ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 14% 6.20 6.20  
TUESDAY'S CHILD 3 2 31 4 6 511½ 522 (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
SLOW DECISION 4 3 1½ 1½ 4¾ 411½ 625½ (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.65  
TYRANNOSAURUS REX 6 9 98 9 810¾ 818½ 731½ (davis d)HARKIE K 118 30.00 27.50  
CLINGMAN 5 4 2½ 2½ 5 714½ 843¾ (hennig mar)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 23.80  
SOUTHERN CIVILITY 2 1 5 7 912¼ 923½ 949¾ (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 25.75  
 
SAR-7   07/22/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:122 1:381   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPMEINMIND 1 4 6 64 5 1½ 1 (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.00 43% 1.30 0.80 W
NAVAL AVIATOR 3 7 7 7 7 32 2 (sharp joe)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 6% 14.70 12.10 P
TIWANAKU 5 2 1 1 1 2½ 3 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 8% 12.20 6.10 S
COMPLETE AGENDA 4 6 53 42 2 42 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 13.60  
SKYLANDER 2 1 2 2 3 55 513¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 23.60  
EFFICIENCY 6 3 32 3 4 6 616¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 19% 4.20 3.30  
FIGHTER IN THE WIN 7 5 4 5 6 79 717 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 11.60  
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00    
 
SAR-8   07/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:214 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKIN MY MOVE 1 5 4 4   31 1¾ (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 3.75  
JILL'S A HOT MESS 8 1 3 3   1nk 2¾ (lucas bonnie)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 10.60  
GET THE CANDY 2 3 11 11   2nk 3 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 15.00  
PALACE GOSSIP 5 6 21 21   5 43 (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 5% 19.00 3.35  
BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY 7 9 9 95   8 5 (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 17.80  
KOKOPELLI 3 8 7 7   4 6 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 35% 1.90 4.00  
SASSY MELISSA 6 4 5 63   6 7 (englehart jeremi)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 32% 2.20 2.65  
BIG Q 4 7 8 84   7 8 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 20.00 20.50  
10  ITSAKEYPER 9 2 6 53   9 911¼ (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00 27.50  
SCR  QUALITY STONES               (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 30.00    
SCR  VIOLENT POINT               (barrera s)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:122     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLCE ZEL (FR) 4 3 33 3 4 21 1hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 18% 4.40 3.30 W
EMINENT VICTOR 5 7 4 4 31 31 2hd (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 23% 3.40 1.75 P
KOALA PRINCESS 3 4 65 6 5 52 3 (delacour arna)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 4.10  
AL QAHIRA (GER) 2 1 1 1 1½ 11 42 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 9.80  
SKIMS (GB) 7 5 5 5 63 6 5 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 16% 5.10 5.50  
SISTER LOU ANN 6 2 2 2 2½ 4 63 (joseph saffie )CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) 8 8 7 8 84 8 7 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 13.90  
HEAVENLY HELLOS 1 6 8 7 7 73 8 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00 53.00  
SCR  REPUBLIQUE               (joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 16% 5.40    
 
SAR-10   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET HER INSPIRE U 8 6 4 31   1 1 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 37% 1.70 1.05 W
SILVER FIST 3 4 2nk 2nk   2 2 (lawrence le)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 34.50  
FANCY FELINE 4 9 5 4   4 3 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 9.10  
LEELOO 6 7 6 56   66 4 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 120 5.00 32% 2.10 4.80  
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 2 3 1nk 1nk   32 5 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 20.40  
2B  TRUE EMPRESS 7 11 10 7   55 6 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 7.60  
1A  CARAMOCHA 11 10 9 9   78 710 (friedman mitch)HARKIE K 124 15.00 42.75  
GRINGOTTS 1 8 86 10   8 810¾ (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 17.00  
11  HANNAH DANCES 10 2 1114½ 1118¼   1114½ 913¼ (ferraro antho)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 43.75  
10  READY A. P. 9 1 74 6   910 1022¾ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 8% 10.90 5.60  
QUEEN ARELLA 5 5 31 8   1012 1127 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 8.00 7.60  
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA               (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
SCR  KISS ME SMILE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME               (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.