The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Friday - July 22, 2022
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SAR-1   07/22/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
:211 :443 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  APPRAISE (IRE) 6 1 32½ 32   11 1nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 ★ 11.40  
7  INFLATION NATION (IRE) 7 2 44 53¾   21 2nk (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7.90  
2  WICO (IRE) 1 5 54¼ 43½   43½ 36¼ (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 18% 4.50 3.25 S
4  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 4 6 66¼ 65¾   65 47½ (o'brien patrick)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 22% 3.60 1.30  
5  DATAMAN 5 7 79¾ 79¼   77½ 59¼ (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 8.40  
3  ALIBI IKE 3 4 2nk 2nk   33 611¼ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 ★ 8.40  
1  CLUBHOUSE 2 3 1nk 1nk   54 714¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 6.90  
SCR  BAT FLIP               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
SCR  GODS GLORY               (camejo m)SANTANA JR 119 30.00    
SCR  RARIFY               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 116 1.00 37% 1.70    
 
SAR-2   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
:25 :50 1:143     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IMPULSIVENESS 5 5 1½ 11 1½ 11 1¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 19.30  
1  INDEMNIFY (FR) 3 2 41½ 43 41½ 41½ 2¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 55% 0.80 0.50 P
6  OGLETHORPE 6 6 2½ 21 2½ 21 31½ (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 22% 3.60 2.50 S
3  THE PRINCE'S SPUR 2 3 65 65 63 54 43¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 ★ 9.40  
1A  GROWTH CAPITAL 4 4 31½ 32½ 3½ 31½ 53¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 0.50  
2  CLUBBING 1 1 53½ 54 52 64¼ 63¾ (mcgaughey iii)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 ★ 8.70  
SCR  CAPITAL VELOCITY               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  CHEEKY TICO               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 ★    
 
SAR-3   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:242 :48 1:124     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LASTCHANCEATGLORY 5 1 11 1½ 11½ 1½ 12¼ (rodriguez gustavo)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 5.90  
1  PIONEER SPIRIT 3 2 31 41½ 32 2½ 22¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 19% 4.20 6.00 P
7  AMERICAN RULE 6 3 21 2½ 21½ 31½ 33¾ (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 4.20  
1A  MOUNT TRAVERS 7 4 41½ 31½ 42½ 43 46½ (kantarmaci mertkan)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 6.00  
2  HAMMERIN AAMER 1 5 73¾ 74½ 55½ 55½ 510¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 19% 4.20 4.90  
4  LONG TERM THINKING 2 7 53 64 76 78 617¼ (avila c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 11% 8.00 16.50  
5  AMOUNT 4 6 63¼ 53½ 65½ 68 721¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 27% 2.70 1.00  
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART               (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 123 4.00 ★    
 
SAR-4   07/22/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
:234 :484 1:13 1:364   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RHOMBIQUE 2 1 65½ 76½ 73¼ 32½ 1¼ (ribaudo j)SAMUEL L 124 15.00 8.60  
3  MISS BONNIE T 3 2 32 32 31½ 21½ 2¼ (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 17% 4.80 2.20 P
4  WHISKEY LULLABY 4 3 11 1½ 1½ 11½ 32½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 ★ 4.90 S
5  CANDLESTICK MAKER 5 7 54 54 63 45 43½ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 8.10  
1  AWESOME ALLY VEE 1 4 76½ 65 52 55½ 56¾ (lauer michael)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 19.30  
6  REGINA 6 6 43½ 42½ 41½ 66½ 69½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 ★ 13.20  
7  I'M GLAD (IRE) 7 5 21 2½ 2½ 79 718 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 20% 3.90 1.60  
SCR  BEACHFRONT BID               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  TOOSWEETTOBESOUR               (begg bentley)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:24 :473 1:123     1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BRICCO 3 4 46 55½ 2½ 1½ 1½ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 9.50  
8  FUTURE VICTORY 8 6 89¼ 88½ 74 62¾ 2½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 10% 9.40 1.65 P
1  CHESS'S DREAM 4 10 67½ 77½ 63 41½ 3½ (maker j)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 52% 0.90 4.50  
10  GUSSY MAC (IRE) 11 3 32½ 32 31 31½ 41¼ (saville niall)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 9.60 DH
2  BARNEGAT LIGHT 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 41¼ (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00 10.70 DH
9  SONIC SPEED 9 9 1010¾ 1010½ 105¼ 83¾ 62 (russell t)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 16.70  
1A  VOLIERO 10 5 56 45 52½ 52½ 72¼ (maker j)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 ★ 4.50  
7  GIRL DAD 7 7 1111¼ 1112½ 115¾ 104 82¾ (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5% 17.80 8.90  
6  OUR COUNTRY 6 8 77¾ 67 94¼ 73¼ 93½ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.50 5.70  
5  PRAYER BOOK 5 11 99¼ 99 84 93¾ 104 (chichakly amira)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00 28.75  
3  SPECTATORLESS 2 2 2½ 2½ 42 116½ 1111 (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 123 30.00 36.25  
SCR  CAERUS               (lucas bonnie)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE               (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
 
SAR-6   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
:243 :49 1:142     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIA'S ANGEL 1 7 64½ 52½ 1nk 14 17½ (de horacio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 22% 3.60 1.90 W
9  DATESFREEDOM 9 8 74½ 62¾ 3½ 24 27½ (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 54.00  
8  LUCKY MUCHO MAN 8 6 85 85¼ 79¼ 613 316¾ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 18.00 11.50 S
7  MAKART 7 5 42 31½ 2nk 37 416¾ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 14% 6.20 6.20  
3  TUESDAY'S CHILD 3 2 31 41½ 64¼ 511½ 522 (sciacca gary)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
4  SLOW DECISION 4 3 1½ 1½ 4¾ 411½ 625½ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.65  
6  TYRANNOSAURUS REX 6 9 98 95¾ 810¾ 818½ 731½ (davis d)HARKIE K 118 30.00 27.50  
5  CLINGMAN 5 4 2½ 2½ 51¾ 714½ 843¾ (hennig mark)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 23.80  
2  SOUTHERN CIVILITY 2 1 53½ 73¾ 912¼ 923½ 949¾ (reynolds j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 25.75  
 
SAR-7   07/22/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:242 :483 1:122 1:381   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPMEINMIND 1 4 63½ 64 52¾ 1½ 12¾ (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.00 43% 1.30 0.80 W
4  NAVAL AVIATOR 3 7 76½ 74½ 73¼ 32 22¾ (sharp joe)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 6% 14.70 12.10 P
6  TIWANAKU 5 2 11½ 11½ 11½ 2½ 33¼ (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 8% 12.20 6.10 S
5  COMPLETE AGENDA 4 6 53 42 21½ 42 43¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 13.60  
3  SKYLANDER 2 1 21½ 21½ 31½ 55 513¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00 23.60  
7  EFFICIENCY 6 3 32 31½ 42½ 67½ 616¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 19% 4.20 3.30  
8  FIGHTER IN THE WIN 7 5 42½ 52½ 63¼ 79 717 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 11.60  
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   07/22/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:214 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKIN MY MOVE 1 5 42½ 42½   31 1¾ (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 ★ 3.75  
8  JILL'S A HOT MESS 8 1 31½ 31½   1nk 2¾ (lucas bonnie)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 10.60  
2  GET THE CANDY 2 3 11 11   2nk 32¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 15.00  
5  PALACE GOSSIP 5 6 21 21   51¾ 43 (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 5% 19.00 3.35  
7  BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY 7 9 95¼ 95   84¼ 53¼ (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 ★ 17.80  
3  KOKOPELLI 3 8 74¼ 73½   41¼ 63¼ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 35% 1.90 4.00  
6  SASSY MELISSA 6 4 52½ 63   62¾ 74½ (englehart c)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 32% 2.20 2.65  
4  BIG Q 4 7 84¼ 84   73¼ 84¾ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 20.00 20.50  
10  ITSAKEYPER 9 2 62¾ 53   95¾ 911¼ (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00 27.50  
SCR  QUALITY STONES               (quick j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 30.00    
SCR  VIOLENT POINT               (barrera s)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:39
:241 :482 1:122     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DOLCE ZEL (FR) 4 3 33 32½ 41½ 21 1hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 18% 4.40 3.30 W
6  EMINENT VICTOR 5 7 43½ 43½ 31 31 2hd (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 23% 3.40 1.75 P
4  KOALA PRINCESS 3 4 65 64½ 52½ 52 31¾ (delacour arnaud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 4.10  
3  AL QAHIRA 2 1 11½ 11½ 1½ 11 42 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 9.80  
8  SKIMS (GB) 7 5 54½ 54½ 63 62½ 52¾ (mcgaughey iii)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 16% 5.10 5.50  
7  SISTER LOU ANN 6 2 21½ 21½ 2½ 41½ 63 (joseph a)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
9  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) 8 8 76½ 85¾ 84 83½ 74¼ (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 13.90  
2  HEAVENLY HELLOS 1 6 86½ 75½ 73½ 73 84¾ (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00 53.00  
SCR  REPUBLIQUE               (joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 16% 5.40    
 
SAR-10   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
:221 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LET HER INSPIRE U 8 6 41¼ 31   11½ 13¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 37% 1.70 1.05 W
5  SILVER FIST 3 4 2nk 2nk   21½ 23¾ (lawrence lee)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 34.50  
6  FANCY FELINE 4 9 53¾ 45½   43½ 34¼ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 9.10  
7  LEELOO 6 7 63¾ 56   66 46¾ (correas iv)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 32% 2.10 4.80  
4  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 2 3 1nk 1nk   32 57¼ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 20.40  
2B  TRUE EMPRESS 7 11 107½ 76¾   55 68½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 7.60  
1A  CARAMOCHA 11 10 96½ 97¼   78 710 (friedman mitchell)HARKIE K 124 15.00 42.75  
3  GRINGOTTS 1 8 86 108¼   88½ 810¾ (klesaris p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 17.00  
11  HANNAH DANCES 10 2 1114½ 1118¼   1114½ 913¼ (ferraro anthony)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 43.75  
10  READY A. P. 9 1 74 66¼   910 1022¾ (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 8% 10.90 5.60  
2  QUEEN ARELLA 5 5 31 86¾   1012 1127 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 8.00 ★ 7.60  
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA               (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
SCR  KISS ME SMILE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME               (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.