Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - July 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLUBHOUSE         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
SCR  BAT FLIP         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
2  WICO (IRE) Apr28         (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
3  ALIBI IKE Apr13         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 ★    
4  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB)         (o'brien josep)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 22% 3.60    
5  DATAMAN         (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
6  APPRAISE (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 ★    
7  INFLATION NATION (IRE)         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  GODS GLORY         (camejo j)SANTANA JR 119 30.00    
SCR  RARIFY         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 116 1.00 37% 1.70    
 
SAR-2   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDEMNIFY (FR)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 55% 0.80    
1A  GROWTH CAPITAL Jun24 Apr16 Feb26     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00    
2  CLUBBING Jun03         (mcgaughey c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 ★    
3  THE PRINCE'S SPUR Jun03         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 ★    
4  IMPULSIVENESS Jun26         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  CAPITAL VELOCITY Jun26         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
6  OGLETHORPE Jun03         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  HAPPY BOB Jun26         (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 ★    
SCR  CHEEKY TICO Jul01 Jun11 May07 Apr21 Feb03 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
 
SAR-3   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEER SPIRIT Jun18 Apr21 Mar20 Feb04   (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
1A  MOUNT TRAVERS Jun30 May27 Apr30 Mar26 Feb18 (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
2  HAMMERIN AAMER Jun16 Apr21 Mar26 Feb04 Jan14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART Jun30 Jun05       (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 123 4.00 ★    
4  LONG TERM THINKING Jul16 Jul01 Jun05 May08 Apr09 (avila a )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 11% 8.00    
5  AMOUNT Jun16 May08 Mar31 Feb24 Jan13 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  LASTCHANCEATGLORY Jun18 Mar20 Mar06 Jan29   (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00    
7  AMERICAN RULE Jun16 May15 Apr21 Apr09 Mar25 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 123 4.50    
 
SAR-4   07/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ALLY VEE Jun24         (lauer mi)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
2  RHOMBIQUE Jun17 Jun04 May01 Apr08   (ribaudo robe)SAMUEL L 124 15.00    
3  MISS BONNIE T Jun04 May01       (antonacci phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
4  WHISKEY LULLABY Jun04 Apr09       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 ★    
5  CANDLESTICK MAKER May20 Apr14       (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
6  REGINA Feb24 Jan23       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 ★    
7  I'M GLAD (IRE) May28 Apr15       (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  BEACHFRONT BID Jun25 May14 Apr08 Feb27   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  TOOSWEETTOBESOUR Jul01 Mar03       (begg bentle)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHESS'S DREAM Jun23 Mar27 Feb27 Feb12   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
1A  VOLIERO Jun09 Apr24 Feb17 Jan13   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 ★    
2  BARNEGAT LIGHT Jun13 May30       (hamm timoth)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPECTATORLESS Jul04 Jun16 May28 May05 Apr16 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 123 30.00    
4  BRICCO Jun23         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
5  PRAYER BOOK Jun18 May20 Apr23 Mar11 Feb13 (chichakly a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00    
6  OUR COUNTRY Jun05 Apr21 Feb17 Jan20   (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.50    
7  GIRL DAD Jun23         (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5% 17.80    
8  FUTURE VICTORY Jul02 May28 Apr23     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 10% 9.40    
9  SONIC SPEED Jun24 Jun05 Apr23 Feb11 Jan09 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00    
10  GUSSY MAC (IRE) Jun29 Jun03 Apr08     (saville nial)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Jun16 Mar31 Feb03     (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  CAERUS Jul07 May06 Apr02 Feb23 Jan15 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
 
SAR-6   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIA'S ANGEL Jun17 May01 Apr02 Mar19 Feb12 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Jul08 May13 Jan16     (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
3  TUESDAY'S CHILD Jul02 May28 May05 Apr03 Feb13 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SLOW DECISION Jun19         (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
5  CLINGMAN Jul14 Jun18       (hennig m)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
6  TYRANNOSAURUS REX Jun21 May21 Apr24     (davis edmund)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
7  MAKART Jun18 May15 Feb25     (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
8  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Jul02 Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar31 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 18.00    
9  DATESFREEDOM Jul02 Jun18 May22     (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
 
SAR-7   07/22/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPMEINMIND         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 Jan14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00 ★    
3  SKYLANDER May05 Apr16 Feb25 Jan15   (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
4  NAVAL AVIATOR Jun19 May21 Apr29 Apr09   (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 6% 14.70    
5  COMPLETE AGENDA May14 Apr21 Feb26 Jan29   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
6  TIWANAKU Jun30 Jun09 Apr22 Mar18 Feb13 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 8% 12.20    
7  EFFICIENCY May07 Mar20       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
8  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Jun18         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
 
SAR-8   07/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKIN MY MOVE Jul02 May28       (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 ★    
2  GET THE CANDY Jun26 May27       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
3  KOKOPELLI         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
4  BIG Q Jun17 May19 Mar20 Feb27 Jan06 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 20.00    
5  PALACE GOSSIP Jun11 May14 Apr14     (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  SASSY MELISSA May27 Apr14 Mar11     (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
7  BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY Feb27 Feb06       (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 ★    
8  JILL'S A HOT MESS May27 May19       (lucas bonnie)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
SCR  QUALITY STONES Jun17 May19 Apr29 Apr07 Mar26 (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 30.00    
10  ITSAKEYPER May27 Jan29       (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00    
SCR  VIOLENT POINT Jul03 Jun19 May27 May12 Apr15 (barrera s)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REPUBLIQUE Jul02 May29 Apr14     (joseph saffie)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 16% 5.40    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of CASHMERE by PHONE TRICK)
2  HEAVENLY HELLOS May18 Apr08 Apr02 Mar19 Jan01 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of RICH FIND by EXPLOIT)
3  AL QAHIRA (GER) May04 Apr10 Feb02     (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by BIG SHUFFLE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  KOALA PRINCESS         (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of KOALA QUEEN by LONHRO (AUS))
5  DOLCE ZEL (FR) May06 Apr09 Mar12     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOLCE ATTESA by DR FONG)
6  EMINENT VICTOR Jun25         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by MR. Z out of JULIET VICTOR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
7  SISTER LOU ANN Jun11         (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of GRANNY MC'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  SKIMS (GB) Jun09 Apr09 Feb16     (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of ROYAL DECREE by REGAL INTENTION)
9  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) Jun16         (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SUPREME SPIRIT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
 
SAR-10   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CARAMOCHA         (friedman mit)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA Jun25 May28 Apr30 Mar25 Mar18 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
2  QUEEN ARELLA May09         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 8.00 ★    
2B  TRUE EMPRESS May30 Apr30 Apr02 Feb19 Jan08 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
3  GRINGOTTS Jun25 May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar26 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
4  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Jun22 May23 May09 Mar18 Feb25 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00    
5  SILVER FIST Jun28 May28 Mar27     (lawrence james )CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
6  FANCY FELINE Apr30 Mar25 Feb25 Jan23   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
7  LEELOO Mar18 Jan22       (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 32% 2.10    
8  LET HER INSPIRE U Jun16         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME Jun19 May28 Apr23 Apr02   (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
10  READY A. P. May28 Apr14 Mar18     (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
11  HANNAH DANCES Jan29         (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KISS ME SMILE Jul02 Jun12 May15 Mar19 Feb19 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.