Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - July 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UP TO THE MARK 6 2 32 3½   11 14¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 39% 1.60 0.90 W
5  CITIZEN MACK 5 5 54 44   34½ 24¼ (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 10.80  
2  FRAT PACK 2 4 44 54¼   45 35¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 10% 9.00 4.30 S
4  BE THERE 4 1 21 2nk   21 46¼ (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 ★ 31.00  
3  INSOMNIAC 3 6 616 614¼   615 515¼ (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 ★ 13.90  
1  DRINK THE WIND 1 3 11 1nk   59 621¼ (catalano wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70 2.35  
 
SAR-2   07/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Handicap ($25K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:13 1:381   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NO BURN 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 13½ 15¾ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 48% 1.10 3.55 W
6  PALACE COUP 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 23½ 25¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 14% 6.00 4.00 P
5  PERCEIVED 5 4 54 54½ 43 45½ 36¾ (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 ★ 2.15 S
1  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 1 6 42 31½ 32 35 47 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 ★ 1.95  
2  KUMAR 2 3 31½ 43½ 54 511 518¼ (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 117 4.50 ★ 10.90  
3  BLAKE B. 3 5 64½ 68½ 613 628 646¼ (romero jesus)CANCEL ERIC 116 15.00 24.75  
 
SAR-3   07/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:124     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AL'S PRINCE 5 5 33 42½ 43 4¾ 1¼ (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 ★ 4.20  
1  I AM THE LAW 1 4 43 32½ 32½ 2nk 2¼ (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 125 10.00 1.55  
3  CASH IN A FLASH 3 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 33¼ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.50 8% 11.20 3.00 S
2  HATCH (GB) 2 2 21 21 2½ 3.2 43¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 2.35  
4  RESILIENT COURAGE 4 3 56½ 59½ 521 525¾ 561¼ (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 12.90  
SCR  HOMETOWN               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 0.60 38% 1.60    
SCR  ICARUS               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  INSPIRATION POINT               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-4   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  V MART 4 2 1½ 1½   14 18¾ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 119 6.00 3.25  
6  CLEAR THE DECK 5 5 42½ 53½   58 28¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 11% 8.40 3.15 P
4  KBCYA LATER 3 1 2½ 2½   24 38¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 ★ 9.20 S
1  RUN POPPY 1 4 53 43   47½ 413 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 38% 1.60 1.55  
3  FORBIDDEN SECRET 2 3 31½ 32½   37½ 514½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 16% 5.40 4.30  
7  FOURFAITH 6 6 63 66   619 636 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 23.40  
SCR  SMART PRIZE               (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  TYVER               (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
 
SAR-5   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DOMINEER 5 1 13½ 13   12 11 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 ★ 4.20  
8  MY GIRL LEXI 8 3 44½ 43½   32½ 21 (ferraro )DAVIS A 124 15.00 14.20  
2  AIDANIKE 2 4 23½ 33   22 31½ (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.95 S
1  BIG AL'S GAL 1 7 78 65   43½ 43¼ (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
3  BAY JEWEL 3 2 55½ 54½   64½ 54¾ (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 17.20  
4  GREATEST LOVE 4 6 88¼ 76½   76½ 66½ (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.50 33% 2.10 1.70  
7  GUNS BLAZING 7 5 33½ 23   53½ 76½ (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 9% 10.30 6.30  
6  SONG OF HONOR 6 8 66 87   87 87 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 11.70  
 
SAR-6   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  JEREMY'S JET 6 1 1½ 1½   14½ 18¾ (mcentee paul)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 ★ 2.35  
4  A WESTERN YARN 2 2 46 48½   47½ 28¾ (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 5.30  
3  BARZINI 1 3 33½ 33½   35 312½ (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 26% 2.80 2.65 S
7  THREE ZERO 5 4 2½ 2½   24½ 413 (abreu fernan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 6.00 ★ 5.00  
5  IN DETAIL 3 6 57½ 510   511 521¼ (camejo m)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 ★ 3.25  
6  CARA'S PRINCE 4 5 68 610   611½ 628½ (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 14.30  
SCR  EE YAH               (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  NOBLE CONNECTION               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   07/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:213 :443 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 4 1 11 11   13 1¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 60% 0.70 2.25 W
6  BIG PACKAGE 5 4 44 42½   33 2¾ (donk david)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 ★ 1.65 P
1  SMOOTH B 1 3 21 21   23 34 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 ★ 15.90 S
2  PRINCIPLED STAND (GB) 2 2 31½ 31   44½ 47¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 13% 7.00 3.15  
4  IT'S A GAMBLE 3 5 54½ 55½   58½ 57¾ (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 3.70  
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  NOTHING BETTER               (duarte jorge )ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:132 1:393   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CARAGATE 3 5 21 2½ 2nk 11 14½ (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.80 W
7  MIA BEA STAR 6 3 53¾ 52½ 42 32½ 24½ (persaud ran)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00 6.00  
2  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 2 4 31 31 3½ 21 38¼ (cash russel)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 ★ 6.50 S
1  U GUYS ARE NO FUN 1 2 41¼ 42 52¼ 45½ 410¼ (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 125 1.80 19% 4.10 2.75  
5  STIMULUS CHECK 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 512½ 535¾ (iorio jr)CARMOUCHE K 125 12.00 13% 6.90 10.40  
6  REIGNING CHICK 5 6 64¼ 65 611¼ 637½ 685¾ (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 3.75  
SCR  ELEGANT LAOBAN               (o'brien )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-9   07/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:243 :50 1:15 1:384   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRACTICE SQUAD 5 5 44½ 44 43½ 1½ 1nk (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 14% 6.20 5.30 W
4  DAKOTA GOLD 4 2 31½ 32½ 32 31 2nk (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 123 0.80 47% 1.10 0.35 P
3  COINAGE 3 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 2½ 33 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 8% 11.00 3.65 S
2  SUNDAESWITHSANDY 2 4 56½ 56 54½ 43½ 45¼ (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 ★ 13.20  
1  STOP THE SPREAD 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 54½ 59 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 118 50.00 34.00  
SCR  COMPROMISER               (grossman r)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  SEAVER               (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  TIMBUKTU               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7% 14.20    
 
SAR-10   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:22 :461 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AMERICAN ROCKETTE 5 9 78½ 78¼   52½ 12½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 21% 3.70 4.50 W
1  TELL ME WHEN 1 4 31½ 41¼   31½ 22½ (hamm timothy)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 18% 4.50 3.80 P
8  DETERMINED JESTER 6 1 21½ 1nk   11½ 34¼ (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 14.20  
11  BINSKY 9 8 812 913¼   75½ 45½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 6.50  
10  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY 8 7 914 811¼   86½ 55¾ (sideris nich)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00 40.50  
9  GEORGEES SPIRIT 7 3 42 3.2   21½ 65¾ (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 3.65  
2  SUGAR MAMAS CAKERY 2 6 53½ 52¾   42 76 (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 ★ 4.70  
3  FACTOR THAT 3 2 11½ 2nk   63 818¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 18% 4.60 8.30  
4  SHACKLED BY LUST 4 5 65 67¼   99 923 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 10.70  
SCR  MARGARET BURBIDGE               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  STRUT               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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