The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Thursday - July 21, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
SAR-1   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:222 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UP TO THE MARK 6 2 32 3½   11 14¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 39% 1.60 0.90 W
5  CITIZEN MACK 5 5 54 44   34½ 24¼ (mcgaughey iii)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 10.80  
2  FRAT PACK 2 4 44 54¼   45 35¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 10% 9.00 4.30 S
4  BE THERE 4 1 21 2nk   21 46¼ (zito p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 ★ 31.00  
3  INSOMNIAC 3 6 616 614¼   615 515¼ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 ★ 13.90  
1  DRINK THE WIND 1 3 11 1nk   59 621¼ (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70 2.35  
 
SAR-2   07/21/2022 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Handicap ($25K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
:243 :49 1:13 1:381   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NO BURN 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 13½ 15¾ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 48% 1.10 3.55 W
6  PALACE COUP 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 23½ 25¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 14% 6.00 4.00 P
5  PERCEIVED 5 4 54 54½ 43 45½ 36¾ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 ★ 2.15 S
1  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 1 6 42 31½ 32 35 47 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 ★ 1.95  
2  KUMAR 2 3 31½ 43½ 54 511 518¼ (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 117 4.50 ★ 10.90  
3  BLAKE B. 3 5 64½ 68½ 613 628 646¼ (romero jesus)CANCEL ERIC 116 15.00 24.75  
 
SAR-3   07/21/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:25 :481 1:124     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AL'S PRINCE 5 5 33 42½ 43 4¾ 1¼ (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 ★ 4.20  
1  I AM THE LAW 1 4 43 32½ 32½ 2nk 2¼ (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 125 10.00 1.55  
3  CASH IN A FLASH 3 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 33¼ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.50 8% 11.20 3.00 S
2  HATCH 2 2 21 21 2½ 3.2 43¼ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 2.35  
4  RESILIENT COURAGE 4 3 56½ 59½ 521 525¾ 561¼ (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 12.90  
SCR  HOMETOWN               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 0.60 38% 1.60    
SCR  ICARUS               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  INSPIRATION POINT               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-4   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 2:49
:23 :462 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  V MART 4 2 1½ 1½   14 18¾ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 119 6.00 3.25  
6  CLEAR THE DECK 5 5 42½ 53½   58 28¾ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 11% 8.40 3.15 P
4  KBCYA LATER 3 1 2½ 2½   24 38¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 ★ 9.20 S
1  RUN POPPY 1 4 53 43   47½ 413 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 38% 1.60 1.55  
3  FORBIDDEN SECRET 2 3 31½ 32½   37½ 514½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 16% 5.40 4.30  
7  FOURFAITH 6 6 63 66   619 636 (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 23.40  
SCR  SMART PRIZE               (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  TYVER               (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
 
SAR-5   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
:22 :454 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DOMINEER 5 1 13½ 13   12 11 (d'angelo francisco)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 ★ 4.20  
8  MY GIRL LEXI 8 3 44½ 43½   32½ 21 (ferraro w)DAVIS A 124 15.00 14.20  
2  AIDANIKE 2 4 23½ 33   22 31½ (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.95 S
1  BIG AL'S GAL 1 7 78 65   43½ 43¼ (diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
3  BAY JEWEL 3 2 55½ 54½   64½ 54¾ (summers chad)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 17.20  
4  GREATEST LOVE 4 6 88¼ 76½   76½ 66½ (rodriguez gustavo)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.50 33% 2.10 1.70  
7  GUNS BLAZING 7 5 33½ 23   53½ 76½ (reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 9% 10.30 6.30  
6  SONG OF HONOR 6 8 66 87   87 87 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 11.70  
 
SAR-6   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
:221 :46 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  JEREMY'S JET 6 1 1½ 1½   14½ 18¾ (mcentee paul)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 ★ 2.35  
4  A WESTERN YARN 2 2 46 48½   47½ 28¾ (delacour arnaud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 5.30  
3  BARZINI 1 3 33½ 33½   35 312½ (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 26% 2.80 2.65 S
7  THREE ZERO 5 4 2½ 2½   24½ 413 (abreu fernando)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 6.00 ★ 5.00  
5  IN DETAIL 3 6 57½ 510   511 521¼ (camejo m)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 ★ 3.25  
6  CARA'S PRINCE 4 5 68 610   611½ 628½ (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 14.30  
SCR  EE YAH               (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  NOBLE CONNECTION               (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   07/21/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:213 :443 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 4 1 11 11   13 1¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 60% 0.70 2.25 W
6  BIG PACKAGE 5 4 44 42½   33 2¾ (donk david)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 ★ 1.65 P
1  SMOOTH B 1 3 21 21   23 34 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 ★ 15.90 S
2  PRINCIPLED STAND (GB) 2 2 31½ 31   44½ 47¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 13% 7.00 3.15  
4  IT'S A GAMBLE 3 5 54½ 55½   58½ 57¾ (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 3.70  
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE               (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  NOTHING BETTER               (duarte jr)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/21/2022 5940ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:243 :483 1:132 1:393   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CARAGATE 3 5 21 2½ 2nk 11 14½ (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.80 W
7  MIA BEA STAR 6 3 53¾ 52½ 42 32½ 24½ (persaud randi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00 6.00  
2  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 2 4 31 31 3½ 21 38¼ (cash j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 ★ 6.50 S
1  U GUYS ARE NO FUN 1 2 41¼ 42 52¼ 45½ 410¼ (englehart c)ORTIZ JR 125 1.80 19% 4.10 2.75  
5  STIMULUS CHECK 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 512½ 535¾ (iorio jr)CARMOUCHE K 125 12.00 13% 6.90 10.40  
6  REIGNING CHICK 5 6 64¼ 65 611¼ 637½ 685¾ (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 3.75  
SCR  ELEGANT LAOBAN               (o'brien keith)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-9   07/21/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD nongraded Stake   Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
:243 :50 1:15 1:384   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRACTICE SQUAD 5 5 44½ 44 43½ 1½ 1nk (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 14% 6.20 5.30 W
4  DAKOTA GOLD 4 2 31½ 32½ 32 31 2nk (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 123 0.80 47% 1.10 0.35 P
3  COINAGE 3 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 2½ 33 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 8% 11.00 3.65 S
2  SUNDAESWITHSANDY 2 4 56½ 56 54½ 43½ 45¼ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 ★ 13.20  
1  STOP THE SPREAD 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 54½ 59 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 118 50.00 34.00  
SCR  COMPROMISER               (grossman r)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  SEAVER               (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  TIMBUKTU               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7% 14.20    
 
SAR-10   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 6:13
:22 :461 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AMERICAN ROCKETTE 5 9 78½ 78¼   52½ 12½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 21% 3.70 4.50 W
1  TELL ME WHEN 1 4 31½ 41¼   31½ 22½ (hamm timothy)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 18% 4.50 3.80 P
8  DETERMINED JESTER 6 1 21½ 1nk   11½ 34¼ (schoenthal phil)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 14.20  
11  BINSKY 9 8 812 913¼   75½ 45½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 6.50  
10  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY 8 7 914 811¼   86½ 55¾ (sideris nicholas)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00 40.50  
9  GEORGEES SPIRIT 7 3 42 3.2   21½ 65¾ (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 3.65  
2  SUGAR MAMAS CAKERY 2 6 53½ 52¾   42 76 (asmussen m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 ★ 4.70  
3  FACTOR THAT 3 2 11½ 2nk   63 818¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 18% 4.60 8.30  
4  SHACKLED BY LUST 4 5 65 67¼   99 923 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 10.70  
SCR  MARGARET BURBIDGE               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  STRUT               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.