Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Thursday - July 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP TO THE MARK 6 2 32 3½   11 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 39% 1.60 0.90 W
CITIZEN MACK 5 5 54 44   3 2 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 10.80  
FRAT PACK 2 4 44 5   45 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 10% 9.00 4.30 S
BE THERE 4 1 21 2nk   21 4 (zito nicho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 31.00  
INSOMNIAC 3 6 616 614¼   615 515¼ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 13.90  
DRINK THE WIND 1 3 11 1nk   59 621¼ (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70 2.35  
 
SAR-2   07/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Handicap ($25K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:13 1:381   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BURN 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 1 1 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 48% 1.10 3.55 W
PALACE COUP 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 2 2 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 14% 6.00 4.00 P
PERCEIVED 5 4 54 5 43 4 3 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 2.15 S
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 1 6 42 3 32 35 47 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 1.95  
KUMAR 2 3 3 4 54 511 518¼ (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 117 4.50 10.90  
BLAKE B. 3 5 6 6 613 628 646¼ (romero jesus)CANCEL ERIC 116 15.00 24.75  
 
SAR-3   07/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:124     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AL'S PRINCE 5 5 33 4 43 4¾ 1¼ (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 4.20  
I AM THE LAW 1 4 43 3 3 2nk 2¼ (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 125 10.00 1.55  
CASH IN A FLASH 3 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 3 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.50 8% 11.20 3.00 S
HATCH (GB) 2 2 21 21 2½ 3.2 4 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 2.35  
RESILIENT COURAGE 4 3 5 5 521 525¾ 561¼ (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 12.90  
SCR  HOMETOWN               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 0.60 38% 1.60    
SCR  ICARUS               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  INSPIRATION POINT               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-4   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
V MART 4 2 1½ 1½   14 1 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 119 6.00 3.25  
CLEAR THE DECK 5 5 4 5   58 2 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 11% 8.40 3.15 P
KBCYA LATER 3 1 2½ 2½   24 3 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 9.20 S
RUN POPPY 1 4 53 43   4 413 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 38% 1.60 1.55  
FORBIDDEN SECRET 2 3 3 3   3 514½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 16% 5.40 4.30  
FOURFAITH 6 6 63 66   619 636 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 23.40  
SCR  SMART PRIZE               (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  TYVER               (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
 
SAR-5   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINEER 5 1 1 13   12 11 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 4.20  
MY GIRL LEXI 8 3 4 4   3 21 (ferraro ja)DAVIS A 124 15.00 14.20  
AIDANIKE 2 4 2 33   22 3 (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.95 S
BIG AL'S GAL 1 7 78 65   4 4 (dipri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
BAY JEWEL 3 2 5 5   6 5 (summers chad)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 17.20  
GREATEST LOVE 4 6 8 7   7 6 (rodriguez gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.50 33% 2.10 1.70  
GUNS BLAZING 7 5 3 23   5 7 (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 9% 10.30 6.30  
SONG OF HONOR 6 8 66 87   87 87 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 11.70  
 
SAR-6   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEREMY'S JET 6 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (mcentee paul)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 2.35  
A WESTERN YARN 2 2 46 4   4 2 (delacour arna)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 5.30  
BARZINI 1 3 3 3   35 312½ (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 26% 2.80 2.65 S
THREE ZERO 5 4 2½ 2½   2 413 (abreu fernando)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 6.00 5.00  
IN DETAIL 3 6 5 510   511 521¼ (camejo m)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 3.25  
CARA'S PRINCE 4 5 68 610   611½ 628½ (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 14.30  
SCR  EE YAH               (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  NOBLE CONNECTION               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   07/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:213 :443 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 4 1 11 11   13 1¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 60% 0.70 2.25 W
BIG PACKAGE 5 4 44 4   33 2¾ (donk david)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 1.65 P
SMOOTH B 1 3 21 21   23 34 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 15.90 S
PRINCIPLED STAND (GB) 2 2 3 31   4 4 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 13% 7.00 3.15  
IT'S A GAMBLE 3 5 5 5   5 5 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 3.70  
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00    
SCR  NOTHING BETTER               (duarte jr)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:132 1:393   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAGATE 3 5 21 2½ 2nk 11 1 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.80 W
MIA BEA STAR 6 3 5 5 42 3 2 (persaud randi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00 6.00  
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 2 4 31 31 3½ 21 3 (cash russell )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 6.50 S
U GUYS ARE NO FUN 1 2 4 42 5 4 410¼ (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 125 1.80 19% 4.10 2.75  
STIMULUS CHECK 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 512½ 535¾ (iorio jr)CARMOUCHE K 125 12.00 13% 6.90 10.40  
REIGNING CHICK 5 6 6 65 611¼ 637½ 685¾ (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 3.75  
SCR  ELEGANT LAOBAN               (o'brien ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-9   07/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:243 :50 1:15 1:384   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICE SQUAD 5 5 4 44 4 1½ 1nk (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 14% 6.20 5.30 W
DAKOTA GOLD 4 2 3 3 32 31 2nk (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 123 0.80 47% 1.10 0.35 P
COINAGE 3 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 2½ 33 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 8% 11.00 3.65 S
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 2 4 5 56 5 4 4 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 13.20  
STOP THE SPREAD 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 5 59 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 118 50.00 34.00  
SCR  COMPROMISER               (grossman r)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  SEAVER               (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  TIMBUKTU               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7% 14.20    
 
SAR-10   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:22 :461 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN ROCKETTE 5 9 7 7   5 1 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 21% 3.70 4.50 W
TELL ME WHEN 1 4 3 4   3 2 (hamm timothy)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 18% 4.50 3.80 P
DETERMINED JESTER 6 1 2 1nk   1 3 (schoenthal ph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 14.20  
11  BINSKY 9 8 812 913¼   7 4 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 6.50  
10  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY 8 7 914 811¼   8 5 (sideris nichol)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00 40.50  
GEORGEES SPIRIT 7 3 42 3.2   2 6 (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 3.65  
SUGAR MAMAS CAKERY 2 6 5 5   42 76 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 4.70  
FACTOR THAT 3 2 1 2nk   63 818¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 18% 4.60 8.30  
SHACKLED BY LUST 4 5 65 6   99 923 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 10.70  
SCR  MARGARET BURBIDGE               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  STRUT               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.