Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Wednesday - July 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/27/2022 10890ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
3:513         3:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREDDY FLINTSHIRE 6 7 8 7 7 1 1 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 6.00 29% 2.40 5.50 W
PROVEN INNOCENT 2 6 6 53 5 2 2 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 5.00 4.80  
GREY GIANT 4 5 5 6 63 49 311 (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 145 12.00 10.90  
SPRING HEELED JIM (IRE) 5 8 7 8 85 3 411¾ (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 150 8.00 6% 14.70 5.90  
STATE OF AFFAIR 7 44 4 4 4 510 518½ (wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 152 5.00 8.30  
TAKE PROFIT 9 33 2 2 31 717 624¾ (dowling will)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 10.00 13.00  
WELSHMAN 8 22 3 3 21 610½ 727½ (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 150 4.50 17% 5.00 6.70  
BEE MAJOR 3 97 9 9 9 922½ 831¼ (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 156 6.00 12.10  
ANCIENT TIMES 1 12 1 1 11 817½ 931¼ (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 156 4.00 26% 2.90 2.85  
 
SAR-2   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAILY BRIEFING 3 1 3½ 1   1 110½ (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 2.40  
BIG TONY'S GIRL 5 4 43 45   2 210½ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 3.80 P
BASTET 2 3 2½ 3   3 314½ (rodriguez gus)CASTILLO AMIN 122 8.00 3.60 S
BELLS ON HER TOES 4 5 5 58   510½ 415¾ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 4.40  
KNOT ANYMORE 1 2 1½ 2   4 522¼ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.00 66% 0.50 2.45  
SCR  LONDON GOLD               (persaud randi)RIDER TBA 120 15.00    
 
SAR-3   07/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :461 :574     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 5 6 42 3   1 1 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 7.50  
GENERAL BANKER 3 1 3½ 42   4 2 (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 5% 17.30 27.75 P
TWENTY SIX BLACK 1 2 5 53   2 3 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 8% 12.20 4.20 S
DISARMED 2 5 6 7   6 4 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 48% 1.10 0.85  
DISCO DEMOLITION 4 3 1nk 2nk   3 5 (lugovich ri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 17.30 14.50  
VINCE THE PRINCE 7 7 7 6   7 611½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 12.40  
WEYHILL FARM RD. 6 4 2nk 1nk   5 711¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 4.70  
SCR  SHORTSINTHEWINTER               (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
 
SAR-4   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:224 :454 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIMARI 4 3 3 31   2 1½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 3.05  
  (by MUNNINGS out of COZZE UP LADY by COZZENE)
FRANK'S ROCKETTE 1 4 44 1½   1 2½ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 36% 1.80 2.90 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BELLA SOFIA 2 1 2 2½   3 3 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 125 0.50 0.70 S
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of LOVE CONTRACT by CONSOLIDATOR)
AMADEVIL 3 2 1 4   410½ 446¾ (wolochuk david)ORTIZ L 117 12.00 14% 6.30 8.00  
  (by DOMINUS out of PREACHETTE by PULPIT)
 
SAR-5   07/27/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:24 :494 1:152 1:393 2:041 2:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONEY LOVE (IRE) 6 510½ 54 5 5 2½ 1 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.00 8% 12.10 1.75 W
JARREAU 3 410 4 3 2nk 1½ 2 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 17% 5.00 4.20 P
DANTE'S FIRE 5 38 3 4 33 35 3 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 6.20 S
NEOTROPIC 1 612½ 65 67 6 57 411½ (toner j)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 12.20  
CURBSTONE 4 2 2 21 4 611 517¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 8.50  
FORWARDLY 2 1 1 11 1nk 4 619 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10  
SCR  HOMETOWN               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 1.20 29% 2.40    
 
SAR-6   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRACLE 7 1 2½ 1nk   12 16 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 14.80  
11  BANTERRA 10 2 5 3   22 26 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 2.00 P
GAMBLING GIRL 3 6 94 87   5 3 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 41% 1.40 4.20 S
SILVER SKILLET 5 7 73 76   4 4 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 7.30  
RECOGNIZE 1 5 1½ 2nk   3 510¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 18% 4.40 9.90  
10  ALICE KRAMDEN 9 3 4 4   6 619¼ (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 16.70  
DISRUPTION 6 8 31 54   7 719½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 7.80  
DANSEUR D'ORO 4 4 6 65   810¾ 821¼ (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 20% 3.90 6.10  
BERNING HONOR 2 10 1013 1011½   912¾ 921¾ (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 25.25  
LUNA LOCA 8 9 8 98   1013¾ 1032½ (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 19.30  
SCR  AUGUST BLOOM               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  BOOK AND CANCEL               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
SCR  LITTLE LINZEE               (schettino do)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
 
SAR-7   07/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:131 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATARI 1 1 5 53 4 1½ 12 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 32% 2.20 2.60 W
FISH MOONEY 4 4 4 4 5 3 22 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 21% 3.80 4.30 P
MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 5 3 11 11 1½ 2½ 3 (hamm timoth)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 23% 3.30 2.40 S
MISS INVINCIBLE 6 5 21 21 2½ 52 4 (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 118 15.00 25.50  
VINTAGE GIRL 3 6 67 65 6 63 5 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 118 4.50 3.10  
SPOOKY ROAD 2 2 3 3 3½ 42 6 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5.40  
 
SAR-8   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O'GOTTEN GIRL 6 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.00 43% 1.30 0.70 W
PREPOSTEROUS 4 5 33 36   3 2 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.40 4.00 P
UNLOCK 7 2 2½ 2½   2½ 3 (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 4.70 S
KEEN DANCER 2 6 710½ 717   610½ 46 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00 33.75  
HANDLE THE TRUTH 3 4 68 610½   48 59 (metivier ric)HARKIE K 122 30.00 30.50  
ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE 5 7 56 510   510½ 622 (trombetta mic)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 12% 7.10 17.10  
SARATOGA COMMANDO 1 3 43 410   713½ 727¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 7.30  
SCR  LADY YELLEN               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC SPIRIT               (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
 
SAR-9   07/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:134     1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESSIDOR (IRE) 4 5 610½ 69 65 41 1 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 17% 5.00 3.55 W
EVVIE JETS 6 4 49 58 5 2½ 2 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00 3.60  
PHANTOM VISION 2 1 1 1 1½ 1½ 3 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 11.70  
HIGH OPINION 1 2 5 47 43 5 43 (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 24% 3.20 1.05  
AMALFI PRINCESS 3 3 3 36 3 6 54 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 5% 18.10 5.70  
TASS (GB) 5 6 2 2 2½ 3½ 64 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 21.00  
SCR  MISTY VEIL               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 126 1.60    
SCR  W W FITZY               (diodoro )SANTANA JR 124 1.20 29% 2.50    
SCR  WHOLEBODEMEISTER               (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 30.00    
 
SAR-10   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKYARD MONEY 5 1 21 31   2½ 1nk (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 23.60  
LIQUIDITY PROVIDER 3 3 3 2½   1½ 2nk (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 20% 4.10 3.35 P
MS. SOLVEIG 1 7 9 8   42 32 (antonacci phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00 26.00  
MATTAPOISETT 8 5 8 54   63 4 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 11.70  
DOVER DREAMS 7 10 1011¾ 109   85 5 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 9.80  
11  AQUILA MOON 10 6 65 6   74 6 (stewart dal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 4.50  
GLITTER UP 6 2 11 1½   3½ 76 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 12% 7.40 7.20  
ADAM'S ANGEL 2 4 52 41   5 8 (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 34% 2.00 2.80  
COURSE RUNNER 4 9 7 9   98 915¾ (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 7.50  
10  SHE'S AWESOME 9 8 42 75   1012 1036 (klesaris)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 28.00  
SCR  ALESSIA (GB)               (zito p)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 11% 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.