Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - July 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/27/2022 10890ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANCIENT TIMES Jul11 Apr30       (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 156 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  PROVEN INNOCENT May14 Apr30       (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 5.00    
3  BEE MAJOR         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 156 6.00    
4  GREY GIANT Jul09         (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 145 12.00    
5  SPRING HEELED JIM (IRE) Apr30         (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 150 8.00 6% 14.70    
6  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE Apr30         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 6.00 29% 2.40    
7  STATE OF AFFAIR         (wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 152 5.00 ★    
8  WELSHMAN May14         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 150 4.50 17% 5.00    
9  TAKE PROFIT Jun26         (dowling will)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 10.00    
 
SAR-2   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOT ANYMORE Jun10 May27 Apr22 Mar26 Feb18 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  LONDON GOLD Jun04 May06 Apr22 Apr07 Mar27 (persaud rand)SAMUEL L 120 15.00    
3  BASTET Jun03 May06 Feb24 Feb06 Jan13 (rodriguez gus)CASTILLO AMIN 122 8.00 ★    
4  DAILY BRIEFING May06 Mar25 Mar05 Jan28 Jan08 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 ★    
5  BELLS ON HER TOES Jun12 May13 Feb26 Feb04   (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 ★    
6  BIG TONY'S GIRL Jun03 May06 Apr03 Feb25 Feb12 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-3   07/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWENTY SIX BLACK         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 8% 12.20    
2  DISARMED         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
3  GENERAL BANKER         (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 5% 17.30    
4  DISCO DEMOLITION         (lugovich ri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 17.30    
5  NOBLE HUNTSMAN         (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
6  WEYHILL FARM RD. Jun03         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50    
7  VINCE THE PRINCE         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Jun24         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
 
SAR-4   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANK'S ROCKETTE May14 Apr02       (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  BELLA SOFIA Jun10 May14       (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 125 0.50 ★    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of LOVE CONTRACT by CONSOLIDATOR)
3  AMADEVIL Jun03 May12       (wolochuk david)ORTIZ L 117 12.00 14% 6.30    
  (by DOMINUS out of PREACHETTE by PULPIT)
4  KIMARI May07 Apr09 Mar03     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of COZZE UP LADY by COZZENE)
 
SAR-5   07/27/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEOTROPIC Jun26 Jun01 Apr29     (toner j)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
2  FORWARDLY Jun18 May22       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  JARREAU Jun18 May22 Apr24 Mar10 Feb13 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  CURBSTONE Jul02 Jun09 May03 Mar04 Jan30 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
5  DANTE'S FIRE Jun30 May29       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 ★    
6  MOONEY LOVE (IRE)         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  HOMETOWN         (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 1.20 29% 2.40    
 
SAR-6   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBLING GIRL Jun25         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  BOOK AND CANCEL         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
2  RECOGNIZE Jun25         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 18% 4.40    
3  BERNING HONOR         (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
4  DANSEUR D'ORO Jun03         (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 20% 3.90    
5  SILVER SKILLET         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
6  DISRUPTION         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
7  MIRACLE         (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  AUGUST BLOOM         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
9  LUNA LOCA         (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00    
10  ALICE KRAMDEN         (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
11  BANTERRA         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  LITTLE LINZEE         (schettino do)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
 
SAR-7   07/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATARI Jun08 May12 Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 32% 2.20    
2  SPOOKY ROAD Jun30 Mar24 Feb28 Feb05   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
3  VINTAGE GIRL Jun30 Jun12 May22 Apr15 Mar18 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 118 4.50 ★    
4  FISH MOONEY Jun11 May06 Apr08 Mar12 Jan21 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Jun16 May25 Apr13 Mar09 Feb16 (hamm timoth)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
6  MISS INVINCIBLE Jun19 Jun12 May22 Apr24 Mar04 (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 118 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA COMMANDO Jun29 May13       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 ★    
2  KEEN DANCER Jul04 Jun25 May20 May08 Apr21 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
SCR  LADY YELLEN Jul10 Jun25 Jun02 May07 Apr10 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
4  HANDLE THE TRUTH Jul04 Jun05 May19 Apr28 Apr02 (metivier ric)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
5  PREPOSTEROUS Jun25 Apr29       (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  MAJESTIC SPIRIT Apr28 Mar25 Jan23 Jan01   (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
7  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Jul04 Jun27 Jun14 May20 Apr16 (trombetta mic)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
8  O'GOTTEN GIRL Jul02         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.00 43% 1.30    
9  UNLOCK Jul08 Jun02       (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★    
 
SAR-9   07/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH OPINION Jun14 May14 Apr16     (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 24% 3.20    
SCR  WHOLEBODEMEISTER Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 Mar12   (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 30.00    
3  PHANTOM VISION May20 Apr16 Mar10 Jan23   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
4  AMALFI PRINCESS Jun22 May13 Apr08     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 5% 18.10    
5  MESSIDOR (IRE) Jul03 Jun10 Apr16     (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 17% 5.00    
6  TASS (GB) Jun24 Jun10 May13     (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
7  EVVIE JETS Jul10 Jun12 May15     (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00    
SCR  MISTY VEIL Jul09 Jun12 May06 Feb27 Jan29 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 126 1.60 ★    
SCR  W W FITZY Jun12 May06 Apr01 Feb27 Jan23 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 124 1.20 29% 2.50    
 
SAR-10   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS. SOLVEIG         (antonacci phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
2  ADAM'S ANGEL         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  LIQUIDITY PROVIDER         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
4  COURSE RUNNER Jun26         (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
5  BACKYARD MONEY         (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  ALESSIA (GB) Apr28         (zito p)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 11% 8.00    
7  GLITTER UP Jun19 Jan13       (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 12% 7.40    
8  DOVER DREAMS         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
9  MATTAPOISETT Jul01         (mott william)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
10  SHE'S AWESOME         (klesaris)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
11  AQUILA MOON         (stewart dal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.