Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Wednesday - July 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   07/27/2022 10890ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCIENT TIMES Jul11 Apr30       (kingsley archibald)WATTS MARK 156 4.00 26% 2.90    
PROVEN INNOCENT May14 Apr30       (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150 5.00    
BEE MAJOR         (young leslie)BESWICK HARRISON 156 6.00    
GREY GIANT Jul09         (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 145 12.00    
SPRING HEELED JIM (IRE) Apr30         (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 150 8.00 6% 14.70    
FREDDY FLINTSHIRE Apr30         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 6.00 29% 2.40    
STATE OF AFFAIR         (wyatt j)GARNER THOMAS 152 5.00    
WELSHMAN May14         (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 150 4.50 17% 5.00    
TAKE PROFIT Jun26         (dowling willia)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 10.00    
 
SAR-2   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOT ANYMORE Jun10 May27 Apr22 Mar26 Feb18 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  LONDON GOLD Jun04 May06 Apr22 Apr07 Mar27 (persaud randi)SAMUEL L 120 15.00    
BASTET Jun03 May06 Feb24 Feb06 Jan13 (rodriguez gusta)CASTILLO AMIN 122 8.00    
DAILY BRIEFING May06 Mar25 Mar05 Jan28 Jan08 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50    
BELLS ON HER TOES Jun12 May13 Feb26 Feb04   (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
BIG TONY'S GIRL Jun03 May06 Apr03 Feb25 Feb12 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
 
SAR-3   07/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWENTY SIX BLACK         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 8% 12.20    
DISARMED         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
GENERAL BANKER         (ferraro ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 5% 17.30    
DISCO DEMOLITION         (lugovich rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 17.30    
NOBLE HUNTSMAN         (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
WEYHILL FARM RD. Jun03         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50    
VINCE THE PRINCE         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
SCR  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Jun24         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
 
SAR-4   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANK'S ROCKETTE May14 Apr02       (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
BELLA SOFIA Jun10 May14       (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 125 0.50    
AMADEVIL Jun03 May12       (wolochuk david)ORTIZ L 117 12.00 14% 6.30    
KIMARI May07 Apr09 Mar03     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00    
 
SAR-5   07/27/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEOTROPIC Jun26 Jun01 Apr29     (toner j)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
FORWARDLY Jun18 May22       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
JARREAU Jun18 May22 Apr24 Mar10 Feb13 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
CURBSTONE Jul02 Jun09 May03 Mar04 Jan30 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
DANTE'S FIRE Jun30 May29       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
MOONEY LOVE (IRE)         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  HOMETOWN         (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 1.20 29% 2.40    
 
SAR-6   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMBLING GIRL Jun25         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  BOOK AND CANCEL         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
RECOGNIZE Jun25         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 18% 4.40    
BERNING HONOR         (schettino dominic)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
DANSEUR D'ORO Jun03         (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 20% 3.90    
SILVER SKILLET         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
DISRUPTION         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
MIRACLE         (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  AUGUST BLOOM         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
LUNA LOCA         (schosberg richa)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00    
10  ALICE KRAMDEN         (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
11  BANTERRA         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
SCR  LITTLE LINZEE         (schettino domi)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
 
SAR-7   07/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATARI Jun08 May12 Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 32% 2.20    
SPOOKY ROAD Jun30 Mar24 Feb28 Feb05   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
VINTAGE GIRL Jun30 Jun12 May22 Apr15 Mar18 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
FISH MOONEY Jun11 May06 Apr08 Mar12 Jan21 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Jun16 May25 Apr13 Mar09 Feb16 (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
MISS INVINCIBLE Jun19 Jun12 May22 Apr24 Mar04 (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
 
SAR-8   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA COMMANDO Jun29 May13       (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
KEEN DANCER Jul04 Jun25 May20 May08 Apr21 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
SCR  LADY YELLEN Jul10 Jun25 Jun02 May07 Apr10 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
HANDLE THE TRUTH Jul04 Jun05 May19 Apr28 Apr02 (metivier richa)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
PREPOSTEROUS Jun25 Apr29       (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  MAJESTIC SPIRIT Apr28 Mar25 Jan23 Jan01   (schosberg richa)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Jul04 Jun27 Jun14 May20 Apr16 (trombetta micha)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
O'GOTTEN GIRL Jul02         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.00 43% 1.30    
UNLOCK Jul08 Jun02       (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH OPINION Jun14 May14 Apr16     (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 24% 3.20    
SCR  WHOLEBODEMEISTER Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 Mar12   (hemingw)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 30.00    
PHANTOM VISION May20 Apr16 Mar10 Jan23   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
AMALFI PRINCESS Jun22 May13 Apr08     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 5% 18.10    
MESSIDOR (IRE) Jul03 Jun10 Apr16     (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 17% 5.00    
TASS (GB) Jun24 Jun10 May13     (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
EVVIE JETS Jul10 Jun12 May15     (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00    
SCR  MISTY VEIL Jul09 Jun12 May06 Feb27 Jan29 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 126 1.60    
SCR  W W FITZY Jun12 May06 Apr01 Feb27 Jan23 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 124 1.20 29% 2.50    
 
SAR-10   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. SOLVEIG         (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
ADAM'S ANGEL         (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
LIQUIDITY PROVIDER         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
COURSE RUNNER Jun26         (arnold r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
BACKYARD MONEY         (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  ALESSIA (GB) Apr28         (zito p)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 11% 8.00    
GLITTER UP Jun19 Jan13       (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 12% 7.40    
DOVER DREAMS         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
MATTAPOISETT Jul01         (mott i)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
10  SHE'S AWESOME         (klesaris s)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
11  AQUILA MOON         (stewart dalla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.