Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY EYES 2 5 5 31   2nk 1nk (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.00 32% 2.20 1.70 W
TUFFIAN 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2nk (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 14% 5.90 4.70 P
GOOD ALTERNATIVE 5 3 31 4   5 34 (bird danny)DIAZ I 121 2.50 26% 2.80 2.00 S
CHECK SIX 4 2 4 5   4 4 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 6.00 7.10  
READY TO PLAY 3 4 2nk 2nk   3 5 (vazquez ivan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 8.00 21.10  
UNWRITTEN 1 6 6 6   6 6 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 4.30  
 
TDN-2   07/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABELLE 4 3 11 11   1 12 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 5.30  
ROSE KNOWS 5 2 21 21   2 22 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 115 3.50 10% 9.30 3.00 P
ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE 2 5 44 56   3 3 (brooks e)RIVERA R 115 2.50 39% 1.50 0.80 S
CURRENT CAUSE 1 6 6 610   510 410½ (fadlovich megan)LOPEZ ALBERT 117 3.00 21% 3.80 3.60  
SKIRTS KID 6 1 5 4   4 515¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 28.80  
STORMY BELLA 3 4 32 3   611 617¼ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 110 10.00 31.40  
 
TDN-3   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF LEGEND 2 5 5 4   1nk 1¾ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 27% 2.70 3.40 W
POOLSIDE COCKTAILS 6 2 4 31   3 2¾ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 2.50 24% 3.20 1.10 P
JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL 5 1 1nk 11   2nk 3 (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 4.20  
TELL ME A SECRET 3 3 2nk 21   42 4 (urieta johan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 3.60  
STREET OF JEWELS 1 4 3 5   54 5 (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 4.00 12% 7.20 9.10  
HUSH GORGEOUS 4 6 6 6   6 6 (rettele ric)CORREA L 119 15.00 35.40  
SCR  TACK WISE               (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
TDN-4   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:132     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALTARREVENGE 7 3 3 32 31 31 1½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 59% 0.70 2.20 W
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 5 2 1 12 1nk 1nk 2½ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00 5.20  
VENETIAN DREAM 3 4 2 22 2nk 2nk 3¾ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 1.50  
GALTERO 1 5 6 6 5 5 4 (inirio carlos)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 6% 15.60 8.40  
SAY HEY KID 2 7 78 5 6 6 5 (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 12.00 22.80  
ADANO 4 6 4 4 4 4 6 (yoder lo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 6.00  
PRETTY STORMY 6 1 5 7 7 711¼ 717¼ (murillo rodri)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 4.50 10% 9.10 11.70  
 
TDN-5   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:134     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARFAIT 3 6 6 65 5 2nk 1 (hamm timothy)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 3.50 0.70  
1A  LA ROSA 5 4 56 32 4 3.2 2 (hamm timothy)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50 0.70 P
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 4 2 23 2 21 4¼ 35 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 121 6.00 20% 4.00 6.90 S
COSTUME JEWELRY 6 3 35 42 31 5 4 (inirio carlos)RIVERA R 119 8.00 9.60  
PENNIESANDDIMES 2 1 13 1 11 1nk 5 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 4.50 12.20  
LINE DANCER 1 5 4 5 6 6 611½ (brafford mich)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 22% 3.50 1.90  
SCR  BUSYBEING FABULOUS               (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-6   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNATE FRIENDS 8 2 5 2   2½ 16 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 1.10  
THE COOKIE MAN 4 4 11 1   1½ 26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00 30.20 P
LAZARUS PROJECT 2 5 31 32   33 3 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 8% 11.60 7.30 S
ELGAR 1 6 21 42   43 49 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 4.00 4.20  
MON CAMO 7 1 4 5   5 510¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 10% 8.60 12.40  
DESOTO'S WAR 6 3 6 6   6 612¾ (forster grant)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 4.20  
GEHRIG 5 8 7 7   712 717¾ (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 55% 0.80 7.00  
OWN THE TOWN 3 7 8 8   812½ 817¾ (shanyfelt valer)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 72.50  
 
TDN-7   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONE BOY 2 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (bookman donald)KEISER CHELSEY 117 2.50 43% 1.30 4.20 W
COWTOWN BOSS 1 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 3.00 21% 3.80 2.20 P
VENTURE ON 6 2 3 32   3 3 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.50 9.00 S
RAGAZZO 5 7 7 7   7 4 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 15% 5.90 1.40  
RED HOT POWER 7 1 5 5   4 5 (gonzalez don)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 10.00 9.10  
BILLY BEACOUP 3 6 6 6   58 6 (bird danny)CORREA L 117 6.00 14.10  
ZAKARIA 4 5 4 4   6 717¾ (yoder lo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 20.90  
 
TDN-8   07/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:13 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNVEGAN DOLL 5 5 5 5 3.2 1½ 15 (fadlovich meg)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 3.00 0.80  
GRAY ROYALITY 2 2 2 2½ 1nk 2½ 25 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 15% 5.50 2.80 P
AFERDITA 1 3 3 4 4 3 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 4.00 18% 4.40 8.30 S
LEWD 6 6 6 6 5 46 4 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 115 4.50 5.00  
TEAM HOT LINE 4 4 4 3 6 59 515¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 115 5.00 27% 2.70 8.30  
MY D'VALENTINE 3 1 1 1½ 2nk 69 619 (casalinov)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 9% 10.20 27.70  
SCR  CHORIST               (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.