Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNWRITTEN Jan26         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 ★    
2  EASY EYES Jun01 May17 May09 Apr26 Apr09 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
3  READY TO PLAY Jun08 May24 May16 May02 Apr24 (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
4  CHECK SIX Jun22 Jun02 May04 Apr11 Mar22 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 6.00 ★    
5  GOOD ALTERNATIVE Jun01 May18 Apr09 Mar26 Mar05 (bird danny)DIAZ I 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  TUFFIAN Jun13 May26 May04 Mar21 Feb16 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 14% 5.90    
 
TDN-2   07/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURRENT CAUSE Jun14 May31 May11 Apr01 Mar11 (fadlovich mega)LOPEZ ALBERT 117 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Jun27 Jun14 May20 Apr16   (brooks e)RIVERA R 115 2.50 39% 1.50    
3  STORMY BELLA Jun14 Apr26 Apr02 Feb22 Jan22 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 110 10.00    
4  SABELLE Jun25 May31 May11 Apr23 Mar20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 ★    
5  ROSE KNOWS Apr26 Apr02 Feb22 Jan12   (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 115 3.50 10% 9.30    
6  SKIRTS KID Jun16 May21       (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET OF JEWELS Jun02         (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 4.00 12% 7.20    
2  HALF LEGEND Jun16         (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  TELL ME A SECRET Jun16 May11 Apr11     (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 ★    
4  HUSH GORGEOUS Jun16         (rettele r)CORREA L 119 15.00    
SCR  TACK WISE Jun25 Apr09 Mar14 Feb23   (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
6  JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL Jun25 May11 Apr26 Apr13 Mar14 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
7  POOLSIDE COCKTAILS Jun16 Jun02 May21 Apr26 Apr02 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-4   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALTERO Jun21 Jun07 May26 Apr27 Mar18 (inirio carlos)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 6% 15.60    
2  SAY HEY KID Jun02 May16 Apr12 Apr02 Mar09 (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 12.00 ★    
3  VENETIAN DREAM Jun25 Jun16 Jun07 May31 May18 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
4  ADANO Jun02 May24 May09 Mar18 Jan22 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 ★    
5  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Jun22 Jun08 May18     (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
6  PRETTY STORMY Jun24 Jun11 Jun02 May03 Apr04 (murillo rodr)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.50 10% 9.10    
7  PALTARREVENGE Jun13 May26 May03     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
 
TDN-5   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARFAIT Jun03         (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 3.50    
1A  LA ROSA Jun03 May20 Apr13     (hamm timothy)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50 ★    
SCR  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Jun25 May25 May10 Apr25 Jan31 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  LINE DANCER May20 Apr13 Mar15 Jan08   (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  PENNIESANDDIMES Jun13 May30 May16     (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 4.50 ★    
5  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Jun13 May26 May12 Apr16   (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  COSTUME JEWELRY Jun13 Jan25       (inirio carlos)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELGAR May21 Mar31 Mar10 Feb21 Jan19 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 4.00 ★    
2  LAZARUS PROJECT Jun25 Jun13 May23 May04 Apr12 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 8% 11.60    
3  OWN THE TOWN May31         (shanyfelt val)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00    
4  THE COOKIE MAN Jun13 Jun01 May18 May02   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00 ★    
5  GEHRIG May23 May04       (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 55% 0.80    
6  DESOTO'S WAR Mar25 Jan30 Jan13     (forster gra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00    
7  MON CAMO May23 May04 Jan14     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 10% 8.60    
8  FORTUNATE FRIENDS Jun14 May31 May12 Apr13 Apr02 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 6.00    
 
TDN-7   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWTOWN BOSS Jun14 May26 May11 Apr04 Mar19 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  LONE BOY Jun14 May26 May16 Apr27   (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 117 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  BILLY BEACOUP Jun14 May31 May16 Apr27 Apr04 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 117 6.00 ★    
4  ZAKARIA May26 Apr04 Mar19     (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
5  RAGAZZO Jun14         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 15% 5.90    
6  VENTURE ON Jun14 Apr15 Mar14 Feb16 Jan22 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.50 ★    
7  RED HOT POWER Jun11 May26 May11 Apr26 Apr04 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 10.00    
 
TDN-8   07/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFERDITA May11 Apr15 Mar19     (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  CHORIST May24 Mar24       (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 8.00    
3  GRAY ROYALITY Jun14 May23 Jan01     (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
4  MY D'VALENTINE Jun11 May24 May11 Apr27 Apr11 (casalin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 9% 10.20    
5  TEAM HOT LINE Jun13 May23 Apr25     (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 115 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL May14 May03 Apr10 Feb11   (fadlovich m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 3.00 ★    
7  LEWD Jun13 May23 May11 Apr26 Apr02 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 115 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.