Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - May 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:214 :451 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEOMBRUNO 4 5 4 4   4 12 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 12% 7.20 7.50 W
VENETIAN DREAM 3 6 612½ 613½   6 22 (bailey ricardo)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00 6.10 P
TIP SHEET 1 4 59 511½   55 3 (urieta joha)CORREA L 123 5.00 9.50  
MR LIGHTNING BOY 2 3 23 23   21 4 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 2.20  
THE COOKIE MAN 5 1 13 13   11 5 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 16% 5.20 3.00  
COLOMBARD 6 2 3 33   3 6 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 37% 1.70 2.20  
 
TDN-2   05/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD ALTERNATIVE 2 5 5 3   1nk 1 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 27% 2.80 0.70 W
DUDES LAWYER 4 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 2 (urieta joha)CORREA L 119 5.00 3.40 P
TREASURED NIKKY 3 2 2nk 1nk   33 310¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 13% 6.50 6.70 S
TALK DIRTY 1 4 42 45   48 412 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
NATALIA'S TEMPLE 5 3 3 57   59 512¾ (bailey ricardo)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 23.70  
SCR  HOPES AND PRAYERS               (mann)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   05/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARMEN OHIO 4 1 11 1nk   1½ 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 28% 2.50 0.40 W
SWINDLE 2 3 21 2nk   2½ 2 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 2.90 P
SWEETALKINGJUSTICE 5 2 3 3   34 3 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 10.10  
PALI'S REWARD 1 4 45 4   4 410¼ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 11.10  
DOUBLE D'S REVENGE 3 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (brown t)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 8.00 9% 10.10 9.30  
SCR  FORTUNATE GINA               (fletcher jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  SO GO MY LUCEILLE               (brown t)VELEZ J 119 10.00    
 
TDN-4   05/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:123     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEND ME ON 3 6 6 6 4 3 1hd (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 7.10  
HANSENATION 6 5 4 35 3.2 12 2hd (juarez lorenz)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.50 36% 1.70 2.20 P
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 4 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 22 3 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.00 2.40  
OAKS HONEY 5 4 5 5 5 5 4 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50 12% 7.20 8.40  
EXPRIMIR 2 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 4 510 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 16% 5.10 2.00  
PAT'S KARMA 1 2 34 4 6 610½ 620 (bernardini p)COLON H 119 6.00 15.60  
 
TDN-5   05/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :461 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BETTY JOYCE 3 5 4 4   11 1 (suarez ja)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 4.30  
ST PATTY'S SONG 6 2 55 6   5 2 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.10 P
HIGH CUPPER 2 7 65 5   42 3 (brown glenro)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.50 10% 8.60 13.20 S
QUEEN AIR 5 3 2 31   21 4 (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 6.00 4.00  
BAY MAGIC 1 6 32 21   6 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50 55% 0.80 1.70  
QUEEN OF THE TILES 8 1 76 7   7 6 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 13.10  
SWEET CHELSEA 7 8 815 811¾   8 7 (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 28.40  
HOOS TAKING CHARGE 4 4 1 11   3 810¼ (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 4.80  
 
TDN-6   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRISTMAS 6 1 31 2½   2nk 13 (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 0.70  
LIONISTIC 2 4 11 1½   1nk 23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.50 50% 1.00 3.20 P
STARLIT SECRET 1 3 21 32   32 3 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 5.00 23% 3.30 3.10 S
ATTITUDE 4 5 6 68   69 4 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 13.00  
JUSTA COWGIRL 5 6 55 56   5 510¼ (poole m)MARTINEZ R 119 8.00 38.70  
MISSION GIRL 3 2 43 43   46 610¼ (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 4.00 11.50  
 
TDN-7   05/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:114     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR HAWK 7 2 55 42 2½ 1 1 (erdel john)RIVERA R 121 10.00 15.40  
LONGLIVEJUSTICE 6 7 712½ 65 5 3 2 (bailey ricardo)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.00 17% 4.70 3.30 P
PERFECT SENSE 4 5 45 32 3½ 4 3 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 14% 6.20 3.30 S
COSMIC TREASURE 2 4 2 2 41 54 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.00 41% 1.40 2.40  
STORM RISK 1 1 1 1 1½ 2 59 (sullivan elliott)COLON H 119 5.00 9.20  
GIZMO JONES 5 8 813 8 6 66 610¼ (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 7% 12.70 3.60  
HISTORICALLY 8 6 6 7 7 714 727¼ (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 12.90  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 3 3 32 5 812½ 820 840½ (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 35.20  
 
TDN-8   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANNFORD 3 5 11 11   12 1 (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 40% 1.50 0.60 W
GALACTIC 6 2 21 21   22 2 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 19% 4.20 2.50 P
QUALITY MAN 8 1 7 7   78 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00 19.50 S
EL MARRO 4 6 31 3   32 4 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 54.60  
OL' L B 2 7 5 5   54 5 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 12% 7.30 15.70  
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 7 4 4 44   4 6 (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 7% 13.40 6.90  
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 5 3 6 6   67 7 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 10.00 31.20  
SPIN DOCTOR 1 8 8 88   8 812 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 17.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.