Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Wednesday - May 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIP SHEET         (urieta joha)CORREA L 123 5.00    
MR LIGHTNING BOY Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb16 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50    
VENETIAN DREAM May10 Apr28 Apr09 Mar23 Mar07 (bailey ricardo)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
LEOMBRUNO         (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
THE COOKIE MAN May02         (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 16% 5.20    
COLOMBARD Apr28 Apr04 Mar24 Mar05 Feb15 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-2   05/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK DIRTY May04 Apr15 Mar01 Feb14 Jan11 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
GOOD ALTERNATIVE Apr09 Mar26 Mar05 Feb16   (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 27% 2.80    
TREASURED NIKKY Apr19 Apr09 Mar21 Feb23 Feb16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
DUDES LAWYER Jan14         (urieta joha)CORREA L 119 5.00    
SCR  HOPES AND PRAYERS May04         (mann)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
NATALIA'S TEMPLE May04 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 Feb18 (bailey ricardo)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   05/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORTUNATE GINA May07 Apr05 Mar19 Mar09 Feb19 (fletcher jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
PALI'S REWARD Mar26 Mar09 Jan05     (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
SCR  SO GO MY LUCEILLE         (brown t)VELEZ J 119 10.00    
SWINDLE         (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00    
DOUBLE D'S REVENGE         (brown t)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 8.00 9% 10.10    
CARMEN OHIO Apr28 Jan01       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
SWEETALKINGJUSTICE May03 Mar26 Mar09 Feb19 Jan21 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   05/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT'S KARMA Feb23 Jan29       (bernardini p)COLON H 119 6.00    
EXPRIMIR Mar22 Feb26 Jan24     (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
SEND ME ON May02 Mar16       (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH May03 Mar24 Mar08 Feb14 Jan04 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
OAKS HONEY May02 Apr16 Mar16 Jan11   (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50 12% 7.20    
HANSENATION May02 Apr16 Mar24 Mar09 Feb19 (juarez lorenz)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.50 36% 1.70    
 
TDN-5   05/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY MAGIC Apr25 Mar23 Mar02 Jan31   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50 55% 0.80    
HIGH CUPPER May03 Apr25 Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 (brown glenro)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.50 10% 8.60    
SWEET BETTY JOYCE Apr28 Apr16 Mar26 Mar01 Feb18 (suarez ja)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
HOOS TAKING CHARGE         (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 3.50    
QUEEN AIR         (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 6.00    
ST PATTY'S SONG May03 Mar18 Feb28 Jan21 Jan05 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET CHELSEA May03 Apr12       (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
QUEEN OF THE TILES Mar18 Feb28 Jan15     (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00    
 
TDN-6   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLIT SECRET Apr28 Mar26       (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 5.00 23% 3.30    
LIONISTIC Apr12 Mar02 Jan24 Jan08   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.50 50% 1.00    
MISSION GIRL Apr25 Mar16 Mar02 Jan24 Jan08 (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 4.00    
ATTITUDE         (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
JUSTA COWGIRL Jan21 Jan05       (poole m)MARTINEZ R 119 8.00    
CHRISTMAS Apr28 Mar26       (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00    
 
TDN-7   05/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM RISK Apr27 Feb01 Jan12     (sullivan elliott)COLON H 119 5.00    
COSMIC TREASURE May03 Apr15 Mar26 Feb18 Jan22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.00 41% 1.40    
NOBLE BEHAVIOR         (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
PERFECT SENSE May03 Apr11 Jan22 Jan04   (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
GIZMO JONES May03 Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 Jan21 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 7% 12.70    
LONGLIVEJUSTICE May09 Apr27 Apr16 Mar26 Mar02 (bailey ricardo)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.00 17% 4.70    
STAR HAWK Apr11 Mar07 Feb16 Jan14   (erdel john)RIVERA R 121 10.00    
HISTORICALLY May03         (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00    
 
TDN-8   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIN DOCTOR         (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
OL' L B         (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 12% 7.30    
MANNFORD May03 Mar16 Jan04     (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
EL MARRO Apr28 Mar07 Jan22     (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
BUCKEYE RUCKUS Apr27 Mar24 Feb19 Jan24   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
GALACTIC May03 Apr05 Mar16 Mar08 Feb14 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED         (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 7% 13.40    
QUALITY MAN Apr13 Mar09 Feb19 Jan24 Jan11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.