Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - May 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:16     1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST OF YOU 5 6 2 2nk 1nk 1 1 (murillo ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 28% 2.60 0.60 W
SWEETALKINGJUSTICE 3 4 5 43 4 2 2 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 12% 7.60 7.20 P
ALL THE BEST 1 5 3 5 54 5 36 (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 28.50 S
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 4 2 43 32 31 43 4 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 4.70  
WELLOILEDCAT 2 3 65 6 69 66 5 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 5.00 27.40  
WAR MOON 6 1 1 1nk 2nk 3 6 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 115 2.00 36% 1.80 3.20  
 
TDN-2   05/03/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:21         :21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN NOLE 4 1       1 1hd (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 113 3.00 7.20  
IMMACULATE HEART 6 5       42 2hd (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.50 67% 0.50 2.60 P
1A  INSPIRING JUSTICE 7 6       6 3½ (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 113 3.50 11% 8.30 0.70  
FOREIGN 1 3       2 4 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 123 4.50 14.70  
FRANK'S LEGACY 5 7       7 5 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 113 3.50 0.70  
SALT ON THE RIM 3 4       5 6 (barnes ba)HOLLINGSWORTH L 111 8.00 21.30  
WAR CAT 2 2       32 7 (rettele r)CORREA L 113 6.00 6.40  
 
TDN-3   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:214 :45 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANNFORD 5 2 2nk 1nk   13 1 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 1.80 40% 1.50 2.00 W
1A  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 4 5 45 4   36 2 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.00 24% 3.20 1.90  
GALACTIC 2 3 1nk 2nk   23 34 (mcdonald james)RIVERA R 119 2.50 14% 6.00 1.20 S
CHARLEE'S MAGIC 3 4 56 5   5 4 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 1.90  
MA MOO POWER 1 6 68 6   6 5 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 32.00  
SHOW SLIDING HOME 6 1 34 34   46 6 (trevino stephe)COLON H 119 3.00 10.50  
 
TDN-4   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:14     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINKING AT THEDUDE 5 3 4 3 3.2 1nk 1nk (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.00 28% 2.50 4.20 W
BUFFALO MAX 6 4 5 5 4 2nk 2nk (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 15% 5.50 1.30 P
PRETTY STORMY 2 1 2½ 2nk 1nk 31 3 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 3.00 S
PARADE GRAND 3 6 67 6 6 5 4 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 15.80  
PALTARREVENGE 4 5 32 42 5 46 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 30% 2.30 3.30  
KLAATU 1 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 6 616¾ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 15.00  
 
TDN-5   05/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:13 1:393   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR LEE 3 2 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 15% 5.80 5.40 W
GIZMO JONES 5 5 5 31 31 3½ 2½ (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 2.00 P
PAT DADDY 2 3 33 5 53 53 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 6.10 S
FAT DADDY 1 1 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 4 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 4.50 36% 1.70 1.10  
CALORIC 4 4 45 4 4 4 55 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 6.20  
SCR  NOBLE BEHAVIOR               (londono od)LONDONO III 114 8.00 8% 12.00    
 
TDN-6   05/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:112 1:39   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURF AND TURF 6 4 4 4 11 15 13 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 2.20  
COSMIC TREASURE 4 1 21 2½ 3 3 23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 21% 3.80 2.10 P
PERFECT SENSE 5 3 33 3 21 25 33 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 33% 2.00 4.00 S
ROYAL DRAGOON 3 6 65 6 5 411½ 413¼ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 5.50  
SHELL FIRE 2 5 55 5 6 512½ 514¾ (bailey ricardo)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 8.00 11% 8.50 21.40  
HISTORICALLY 1 2 11 1½ 47 613 623 (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 4.10  
 
TDN-7   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:122     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORESTRIDE 7 1 31 2nk 2nk 1nk 11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 17% 4.90 1.90 W
GOING WITH STYLE 3 7 6 6 5 3 21 (young r)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 12% 7.10 6.80 P
HENRY MAC 8 5 5 5 31 4 3 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 8.10  
I WANNA WIN 2 3 21 3.2 1nk 2nk 4 (jackson james )COLON H 119 6.00 1.70  
OVER ICCE 9 9 7 74 4 5 5 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 17.10  
GOLDEN MONEY 5 6 9 9 8 8 612¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 26% 2.90 10.20  
VISUAL MISSION 1 8 8 88 7 6 714¼ (salcedo ra)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 20.00 5% 19.00 34.10  
INDIAN FEVER 4 4 4 4¼ 6 7 819½ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 16% 5.20 11.80  
PRIVATE DRIVE 6 2 11 1nk 9 915¼ 934 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 12.00 35.80  
 
TDN-8   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONNI'S DAY 4 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 1 (yoder d)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.00 1.40  
HIGH CUPPER 3 3 32 33   34 2 (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.50 11% 7.70 2.40 P
CHARDON 1 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (suarez ja)CORREA L 119 1.40 8.00  
SWEET CHELSEA 5 6 6 610½   6 4 (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 15% 5.60 17.00  
APPEALING SENORITA 6 1 5 5   5 5 (echeverria hec)DIAZ I 123 8.00 6.70  
ST PATTY'S SONG 2 5 4 4   4 69 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 36% 1.80 3.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.