Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - May 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL THE BEST Mar14 Mar02 Jan31     (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 ★    
2  WELLOILEDCAT Apr11 Mar14 Mar08 Mar02 Jan31 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 5.00    
3  SWEETALKINGJUSTICE Mar26 Mar09 Feb19 Jan21   (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 12% 7.60    
4  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Apr11 Mar14 Mar02 Jan31 Jan22 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 ★    
5  BEST OF YOU Apr05 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 Feb01 (murillo ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  WAR MOON Apr06 Mar05 Feb14     (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 115 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
TDN-2   05/03/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANK'S LEGACY Feb18 Jan26       (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 113 3.50 ★    
1A  INSPIRING JUSTICE Mar23 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12   (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 113 3.50 11% 8.30    
2  FOREIGN Apr26 Apr05 Mar24 Mar08 Feb01 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 123 4.50 ★    
3  WAR CAT         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 113 6.00 ★    
4  SALT ON THE RIM         (barnes ba)HOLLINGSWORTH L 111 8.00    
5  GOLDEN NOLE         (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 113 3.00 ★    
6  IMMACULATE HEART Apr11 Mar08       (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.50 67% 0.50    
 
TDN-3   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLEE'S MAGIC Apr12 Mar09 Feb22     (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 ★    
1A  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Mar24 Mar08 Feb14 Jan04   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
2  MA MOO POWER Apr02 Feb26       (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 ★    
3  GALACTIC Apr05 Mar16 Mar08 Feb14 Jan04 (mcdonald james)RIVERA R 119 2.50 14% 6.00    
4  MANNFORD Mar16 Jan04       (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 1.80 40% 1.50    
5  SHOW SLIDING HOME Apr16 Mar24       (trevino stephe)COLON H 119 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-4   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLAATU Mar19 Mar08 Feb15 Jan21   (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 ★    
2  PRETTY STORMY Apr04 Mar23 Mar16 Feb21 Jan24 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 ★    
3  PARADE GRAND Mar24 Mar07 Feb01     (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
4  PALTARREVENGE         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
5  WINKING AT THEDUDE Apr12 Apr02 Mar09 Feb14 Jan25 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
6  BUFFALO MAX Apr02 Feb19 Jan30     (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
TDN-5   05/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAT DADDY         (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 4.50 36% 1.70    
2  PAT DADDY Apr12 Mar26 Mar16 Feb28 Feb15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 ★    
SCR  NOBLE BEHAVIOR         (londono od)LONDONO III 114 8.00 8% 12.00    
4  DOCTOR LEE Apr15 Mar31 Mar15 Feb26 Jan14 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
5  CALORIC Apr01 Mar12 Feb27 Feb05 Jan16 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
6  GIZMO JONES Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 Jan21   (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-6   05/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HISTORICALLY         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 ★    
2  SHELL FIRE Apr15 Apr02 Mar15 Feb26 Feb01 (bailey ricardo)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 8.00 11% 8.50    
3  ROYAL DRAGOON Apr11 Mar23 Feb23 Jan26   (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
4  COSMIC TREASURE Apr15 Mar26 Feb18 Jan22   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
5  PERFECT SENSE Apr11 Jan22 Jan04     (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 33% 2.00    
6  SURF AND TURF Apr01 Mar09 Feb18 Jan29   (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-7   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISUAL MISSION         (salcedo ra)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  I WANNA WIN         (jackson james )COLON H 119 6.00    
3  GOING WITH STYLE Apr17 Mar19 Feb27 Jan17   (young r)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 12% 7.10    
4  INDIAN FEVER         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 16% 5.20    
5  GOLDEN MONEY Apr15 Mar24 Mar07 Feb14 Jan22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
6  PRIVATE DRIVE Apr12 Apr05 Mar07 Jan22 Jan12 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 12.00    
7  MORESTRIDE Apr05         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
8  HENRY MAC Apr11         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50    
9  OVER ICCE Apr12 Apr05 Mar07 Feb14 Jan12 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARDON Jan24 Jan14       (suarez ja)CORREA L 119 1.40    
2  ST PATTY'S SONG Mar18 Feb28 Jan21 Jan05   (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  HIGH CUPPER Apr25 Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 Jan14 (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.50 11% 7.70    
4  RONNI'S DAY Mar18         (yoder d)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.00 ★    
5  SWEET CHELSEA Apr12         (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
6  APPEALING SENORITA Apr11 Mar23 Mar02     (echeverria hec)DIAZ I 123 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.