The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - April 12, 2022
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MVR-1   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:241 :471 1:123 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KITCHI 7 1 2½ 1nk 12½ 12 12½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 ★ 10.70  
4  SAY HEY KID 4 4 44 45½ 33½ 22 22½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 35.10  
6  DETERMINATOR 6 2 55 56½ 54½ 44 33¼ (buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 12% 7.60 3.80 S
5  GUCCISSIMO 5 7 77½ 714 65½ 54¼ 46 (bailey ricardo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 17.20  
3  DIDDLEY 3 5 1½ 2nk 22½ 32 58 (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 12% 7.60 2.00  
2  SKYCRAFT 2 8 815½ 820 715½ 77¼ 610¼ (husak robert)MONSERRATE A 124 5.00 19.60  
8  SILVER G T O 8 3 32 34 43½ 65¼ 713¾ (brown glenroy)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 18.50 10.80  
1  WINKING AT THEDUDE 1 6 67½ 67 815¾ 810¼ 816 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 3.00 44% 1.30 1.60  
 
MVR-2   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
:25 :494 1:154 1:291   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IRIE ISLAND MAN 5 1 11 1½ 11 12 1¾ (bailey ricardo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00 15% 5.60 4.30 DQ↓2
1  GOTSOMEMOJO 1 6 67 64 63¼ 42¼ 2¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 3.50 61% 0.70 3.50 W
3  FRED'S COUNTRY BOY 3 4 42½ 42 21 22 31 (livers charlie)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 2.50 ★ 1.60 S
2  VAN DAMME 2 2 32 32 52¾ 63¾ 42¾ (johnson l)LEON SONNY 126 3.00 ★ 1.70  
1A  FATHER DENNIS 4 5 55½ 53 41¼ 32 53¼ (haehn r)YARANGA Y 126 3.50 3.50  
5  SWEET N SILVER 6 3 21 2½ 31 52¾ 68¾ (hay r)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 ★ 11.90  
 
MVR-3   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
:233 :473 :60     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHARLEE'S MAGIC 6 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 11 (mcdonald james)HALDAR J 126 3.00 64% 0.60 1.60 W
5  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 5 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 21 (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 ★ 1.20 P
3  ROLLIN WAY OVER 3 4 36 35   34 31¾ (zielinski richard)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 8.00 23.30  
4  MOBIL AT LAST 4 3 47 47   58 47¼ (johnson l)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 ★ 7.60  
2  MURRY SPUR 2 6 58½ 57¼   46½ 57½ (smith larry)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 4.00 ★ 6.80  
1  PLATE IT UP 1 5 69½ 622¼   6100 6100 (murillo alejandro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 5.00 ★ 7.80  
SCR  THE MAN CAN               (faulkner c)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
:223 :463 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GALLANT STAR 3 6 42½ 42½   32 1nk (husak robert)MONSERRATE A 124 8.00 8.20  
5  BORN TO BE KING 4 5 21 1nk   1nk 2nk (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 11% 7.90 2.60 P
2  HALO'S DANCE 2 7 67 54½   52¾ 31 (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 11% 7.90 3.00 S
1  FLAMING HOT 1 3 11 2nk   2nk 43 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 8% 11.60 1.60  
6  STRETCH RUNNER 5 4 32½ 31½   42½ 54¾ (pappada a)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 18.80  
8  KENTUCKY COOL 7 1 77¼ 77½   77¾ 610¼ (zook s)CCAMAQUE M 124 8.00 8.50  
7  COTTON JIM 6 2 55½ 65   66¾ 711 (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 12.00 ★ 15.20  
SCR  ANYTIMEALLTHETIME               (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
 
MVR-5   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:234 :471 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TORPEDO MAX 5 1 12½ 1½   11 12½ (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 ★ 0.90  
1  MY MAE DAY 1 5 32½ 2½   32 22½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 13% 6.70 3.10 P
2  PAT DADDY 2 4 22½ 32½   21 34¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 33% 2.10 3.20 S
3  KHALFANI 3 2 52¾ 42½   44 46¼ (romero a)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★ 7.90  
5  LAZARUS PROJECT 4 3 42¾ 52¾   54 56¼ (clouston edward)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 23% 3.40 6.90  
SCR  QUALIFLY               (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
:234 :464 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUEEN CREED 4 4 11 22½   21½ 1¼ (anderson l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.00 ★ 9.90  
9  GRINS N' WINS 9 2 62½ 46½   34½ 2¼ (crumley jevon)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 7.60  
8  LIONISTIC 8 3 21 12½   11½ 31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 36% 1.80 1.40 S
2  DIAMONDS N DEW 2 8 84 78¼   66¾ 43 (meyers shane)LEON SONNY 124 6.00 14% 6.10 15.70  
3  SOMUCHSUGAR 3 6 52 56½   56½ 55¾ (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 9% 9.70 1.90  
6  DENIRO'SRUNFORFUN 6 1 41½ 68   79¼ 68 (faulkner c)DIAZ I 124 20.00 58.50  
1  THURSDAY FROST 1 9 31½ 35½   46½ 711¾ (pappada a)KEISER CHELSEY 126 5.00 11% 8.00 6.90  
7  ABIGAIL LEE 7 7 96 910¾   811¼ 812 (waltermire bruce)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 20.00 56.60  
5  CARSON CITY STORM 5 5 73 810¼   916¼ 921½ (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 18.30  
 
MVR-7   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:232 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY BALL 1 5 2nk 11½   12 1¼ (murillo alejandro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 ★ 2.50  
3  OVER ICCE 3 6 51¾ 21½   22 2¼ (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 23% 3.30 2.70 P
5  OAKEN 5 3 41¾ 42   34 32¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.60 S
4  MISTER MOBIL 4 4 62¼ 62¾   45½ 46¼ (johnson l)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★ 24.20  
6  PRIVATE DRIVE 6 1 31½ 52½   55½ 56¾ (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★ 3.90  
2  THIS MAN CAN 2 2 1nk 31½   66 614 (tumblin andrew)CORREA L 124 5.00 18.00  
 
MVR-8   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
:233 :463 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPECTACULAR ROAD 4 1 12 11½   16 14 (johnson l)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 1.60 21% 3.90 1.60 W
1  LOCK ON 1 5 33 32½   26 24 (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 49% 1.00 1.70 P
3  MARRIAGE COUNSELOR 3 3 56 53½   47 37½ (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 124 15.00 11.00  
6  ROBERTOS TICKET 6 2 22 21½   36 49 (pappada a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 5.80  
2  YO BERBS 2 6 44½ 43   57½ 512½ (brown t)VELEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
5  BARITONE 5 4 613 613½   614½ 614 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 ★ 3.50  
SCR  RED BLUE AND TRUE               (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-9   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
:232 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NORTHERN JOURNEY 4 2 22½ 21   22 12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 26% 2.80 3.00 W
2  CONGRATS JENSEN 2 3 12½ 11   12 22 (murillo alejandro)CORREA L 124 8.00 2.50  
5  STATUS SYMBOL 5 6 43 31   32 33¼ (vecchio caryn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 33% 2.00 2.20 S
1  CHECK OUT LINE 1 4 33 43   43 43¼ (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 4.50 4.40  
3  NATURAL BLING 3 5 55 56   57 56 (flick julia)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 3.00 ★ 5.10  
6  SWEET CHELSEA 6 1 67½ 611   613 616½ (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
SCR  SARAH JANE               (bates l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 15.00 7% 14.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.