Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - April 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:123 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITCHI 7 1 2½ 1nk 1 12 1 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 10.70  
SAY HEY KID 4 4 44 4 3 22 2 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 35.10  
DETERMINATOR 6 2 55 5 5 44 3 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 12% 7.60 3.80 S
GUCCISSIMO 5 7 7 714 6 5 46 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 17.20  
DIDDLEY 3 5 1½ 2nk 2 32 58 (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 12% 7.60 2.00  
SKYCRAFT 2 8 815½ 820 715½ 7 610¼ (husak)MONSERRATE A 124 5.00 19.60  
SILVER G T O 8 3 32 34 4 6 713¾ (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 18.50 10.80  
WINKING AT THEDUDE 1 6 6 67 815¾ 810¼ 816 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 3.00 44% 1.30 1.60  
 
MVR-2   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:154 1:291   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRIE ISLAND MAN 5 1 11 1½ 11 12 1¾ (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00 15% 5.60 4.30 DQ↓2
GOTSOMEMOJO 1 6 67 64 6 4 2¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 3.50 61% 0.70 3.50 W
FRED'S COUNTRY BOY 3 4 4 42 21 22 31 (livers charli)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 2.50 1.60 S
VAN DAMME 2 2 32 32 5 6 4 (johnson l)LEON SONNY 126 3.00 1.70  
1A  FATHER DENNIS 4 5 5 53 4 32 5 (haehn r)YARANGA Y 126 3.50 3.50  
SWEET N SILVER 6 3 21 2½ 31 5 6 (hay r)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 11.90  
 
MVR-3   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:233 :473 :60     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLEE'S MAGIC 6 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 11 (mcdonald jam)HALDAR J 126 3.00 64% 0.60 1.60 W
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 5 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 21 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 1.20 P
ROLLIN WAY OVER 3 4 36 35   34 3 (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 8.00 23.30  
MOBIL AT LAST 4 3 47 47   58 4 (johnson l)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 7.60  
MURRY SPUR 2 6 5 5   4 5 (smith larry)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 4.00 6.80  
PLATE IT UP 1 5 6 622¼   6100 6100 (murillo ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 5.00 7.80  
SCR  THE MAN CAN               (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT STAR 3 6 4 4   32 1nk (husak)MONSERRATE A 124 8.00 8.20  
BORN TO BE KING 4 5 21 1nk   1nk 2nk (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 11% 7.90 2.60 P
HALO'S DANCE 2 7 67 5   5 31 (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 11% 7.90 3.00 S
FLAMING HOT 1 3 11 2nk   2nk 43 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 8% 11.60 1.60  
STRETCH RUNNER 5 4 3 3   4 5 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 18.80  
KENTUCKY COOL 7 1 7 7   7 610¼ (zook s)CCAMAQUE M 124 8.00 8.50  
COTTON JIM 6 2 5 65   6 711 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 12.00 15.20  
SCR  ANYTIMEALLTHETIME               (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
 
MVR-5   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :471 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORPEDO MAX 5 1 1 1½   11 1 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 0.90  
MY MAE DAY 1 5 3 2½   32 2 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 13% 6.70 3.10 P
PAT DADDY 2 4 2 3   21 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 33% 2.10 3.20 S
KHALFANI 3 2 5 4   44 4 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 7.90  
LAZARUS PROJECT 4 3 4 5   54 5 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 23% 3.40 6.90  
SCR  QUALIFLY               (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:234 :464 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN CREED 4 4 11 2   2 1¼ (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.00 9.90  
GRINS N' WINS 9 2 6 4   3 2¼ (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 7.60  
LIONISTIC 8 3 21 1   1 31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 36% 1.80 1.40 S
DIAMONDS N DEW 2 8 84 7   6 43 (meyers shane)LEON SONNY 124 6.00 14% 6.10 15.70  
SOMUCHSUGAR 3 6 52 5   5 5 (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 9% 9.70 1.90  
DENIRO'SRUNFORFUN 6 1 4 68   7 68 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 20.00 58.50  
THURSDAY FROST 1 9 3 3   4 711¾ (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 126 5.00 11% 8.00 6.90  
ABIGAIL LEE 7 7 96 910¾   811¼ 812 (waltermire )FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 20.00 56.60  
CARSON CITY STORM 5 5 73 810¼   916¼ 921½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 18.30  
 
MVR-7   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY BALL 1 5 2nk 1   12 1¼ (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 2.50  
OVER ICCE 3 6 5 2   22 2¼ (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 23% 3.30 2.70 P
OAKEN 5 3 4 42   34 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.60 S
MISTER MOBIL 4 4 6 6   4 4 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 24.20  
PRIVATE DRIVE 6 1 3 5   5 5 (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 124 4.50 3.90  
THIS MAN CAN 2 2 1nk 3   66 614 (tumblin a)CORREA L 124 5.00 18.00  
 
MVR-8   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :463 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTACULAR ROAD 4 1 12 1   16 14 (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 1.60 21% 3.90 1.60 W
LOCK ON 1 5 33 3   26 24 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 49% 1.00 1.70 P
MARRIAGE COUNSELOR 3 3 56 5   47 3 (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 124 15.00 11.00  
ROBERTOS TICKET 6 2 22 2   36 49 (pappada)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 5.80  
YO BERBS 2 6 4 43   5 512½ (brown t)VELEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
BARITONE 5 4 613 613½   614½ 614 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 3.50  
SCR  RED BLUE AND TRUE               (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
 
MVR-9   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:232 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN JOURNEY 4 2 2 21   22 12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 26% 2.80 3.00 W
CONGRATS JENSEN 2 3 1 11   12 22 (murillo r)CORREA L 124 8.00 2.50  
STATUS SYMBOL 5 6 43 31   32 3 (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 33% 2.00 2.20 S
CHECK OUT LINE 1 4 33 43   43 4 (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 4.50 4.40  
NATURAL BLING 3 5 55 56   57 56 (flick julia)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 3.00 5.10  
SWEET CHELSEA 6 1 6 611   613 616½ (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
SCR  SARAH JANE               (bates l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 15.00 7% 14.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.