Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - April 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINKING AT THEDUDE Apr02 Mar09 Feb14 Jan25 Jan05 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  SKYCRAFT Feb24 Jan30 Jan15 Jan06   (husak)MONSERRATE A 124 5.00    
3  DIDDLEY Feb10         (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 12% 7.60    
4  SAY HEY KID Apr02 Mar09 Feb14 Jan21   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
5  GUCCISSIMO Mar31 Mar24 Mar16 Mar01 Feb14 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
6  DETERMINATOR Apr02 Mar09 Feb14 Jan25   (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 12% 7.60    
7  KITCHI Mar10 Feb26 Jan25     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 ★    
8  SILVER G T O Mar31 Mar10 Jan04     (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 18.50    
 
MVR-2   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTSOMEMOJO Mar31 Mar16 Mar01 Jan26 Jan05 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 3.50 61% 0.70    
1A  FATHER DENNIS Jan26         (haehn r)YARANGA Y 126 3.50    
2  VAN DAMME Mar02 Jan05       (johnson l)LEON SONNY 126 3.00 ★    
3  FRED'S COUNTRY BOY Mar25 Feb26 Feb17 Jan22 Jan01 (livers charli)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 2.50 ★    
4  IRIE ISLAND MAN Apr05 Mar19 Mar05 Feb16 Jan04 (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00 15% 5.60    
5  SWEET N SILVER Mar15 Feb28 Feb18 Jan25 Jan05 (hay r)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATE IT UP         (murillo ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 5.00 ★    
2  MURRY SPUR         (smith larry)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 4.00 ★    
3  ROLLIN WAY OVER Apr04 Mar08       (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 8.00    
4  MOBIL AT LAST Apr04 Mar08 Feb26 Feb15   (johnson l)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 ★    
5  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Mar08 Jan12       (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 ★    
SCR  THE MAN CAN Apr04 Mar09 Feb14 Jan12 Jan05 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
7  CHARLEE'S MAGIC Mar09 Feb22       (mcdonald jam)HALDAR J 126 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
MVR-4   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAMING HOT Mar14 Feb21 Jan11     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 8% 11.60    
2  HALO'S DANCE Apr05 Mar26 Mar18 Feb28 Feb16 (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 11% 7.90    
3  GALLANT STAR Mar24 Mar11 Feb14 Jan10   (husak)MONSERRATE A 124 8.00    
SCR  ANYTIMEALLTHETIME Mar09 Feb21       (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
5  BORN TO BE KING Apr05 Mar14 Mar07 Jan19   (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
6  STRETCH RUNNER         (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00    
7  COTTON JIM Apr05 Mar18 Mar01 Feb14 Jan19 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 12.00 ★    
8  KENTUCKY COOL         (zook s)CCAMAQUE M 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAE DAY Apr02 Mar16 Feb28 Jan14   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 13% 6.70    
2  PAT DADDY Mar26 Mar16 Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
3  KHALFANI Apr02 Feb21 Jan19     (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  QUALIFLY         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
5  LAZARUS PROJECT Feb15 Jan19       (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
6  TORPEDO MAX Mar08 Jan11       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-6   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THURSDAY FROST Feb26         (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 126 5.00 11% 8.00    
2  DIAMONDS N DEW Mar26 Mar10 Jan05     (meyers shane)LEON SONNY 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  SOMUCHSUGAR Mar26 Mar10       (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 9% 9.70    
4  QUEEN CREED Mar26 Jan22       (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.00 ★    
5  CARSON CITY STORM Mar10 Jan05       (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
6  DENIRO'SRUNFORFUN Mar26 Mar10 Feb18 Jan05   (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
7  ABIGAIL LEE Jan05         (waltermire )FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 20.00    
8  LIONISTIC Mar02 Jan24 Jan08     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
9  GRINS N' WINS Mar31 Mar10 Feb19 Jan05   (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
 
MVR-7   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY BALL Feb28 Feb14 Jan12     (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 ★    
2  THIS MAN CAN Mar16 Feb22 Jan12 Jan05   (tumblin a)CORREA L 124 5.00    
3  OVER ICCE Apr05 Mar07 Feb14 Jan12   (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  MISTER MOBIL Mar07 Feb14 Jan12     (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
5  OAKEN Mar24 Mar08 Jan04     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  PRIVATE DRIVE Apr05 Mar07 Jan22 Jan12   (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★    
 
MVR-8   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCK ON Apr05 Mar15 Feb28 Feb15 Feb01 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  YO BERBS Apr05 Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Jan14 (brown t)VELEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MARRIAGE COUNSELOR Mar16 Mar07 Feb22     (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 124 15.00    
4  SPECTACULAR ROAD Mar15 Feb18 Feb01     (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 1.60 21% 3.90    
5  BARITONE Mar22 Mar08 Feb26 Jan12   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 ★    
6  ROBERTOS TICKET Mar16 Feb15       (pappada)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
SCR  RED BLUE AND TRUE Mar31 Mar16 Mar02     (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-9   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECK OUT LINE Mar23 Mar08       (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 4.50    
2  CONGRATS JENSEN Mar23         (murillo r)CORREA L 124 8.00    
3  NATURAL BLING Mar23 Feb26 Feb16 Jan24 Jan01 (flick julia)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 3.00 ★    
4  NORTHERN JOURNEY Mar23 Mar08 Jan24     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  STATUS SYMBOL Mar31 Mar23 Mar08 Feb16 Jan24 (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  SWEET CHELSEA         (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARAH JANE Mar18 Feb28 Jan21     (bates l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 15.00 7% 14.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.