Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - April 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   04/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST CHATTER 1 4 2nk 11   15 1 (johnson gar)CORREA L 123 2.00 1.40  
GIO SAMMY 4 1 3 32   25 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.60 51% 1.00 0.60 P
JOHNNY U 3 2 1nk 21   35 311 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 16% 5.20 10.30 S
CAJUN CHAOS 2 3 43 4   47 414¼ (calderon iva)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 7.60  
SCR  ROLLS ROYCE DEAL               (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 119 2.50    
 
TDN-2   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:01     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAVITE 6 3 42 4   3.2 1 (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 10% 8.90 1.00 W
LITTLE EMPIRE 5 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 2 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.50 3.30 P
1A  MY D'VALENTINE 4 4 31 3.2   2nk 3 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 3.00 55% 0.80 1.60  
HADLEN 1 5 7 6   4 4 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 1.60  
IMA SURE BET 3 7 6 7   7 55 (tumblin a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00 46.40  
PLAYFUL SUMMER 2 6 5 5   6 67 (flores christi)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00 5% 19.00 37.00  
SOLDAT TEMPTATION 7 1 1½ 2nk   5 7 (barnes bart)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 4.00 10.90  
SCR  TEST YOUR FAITH               (campbell anthony)DIAZ I 119 6.00 6% 15.50    
 
TDN-3   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:22 :454 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLONDE BY NATURE 2 6 57 54   4¼ 11 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5.20  
ULTRA RAYS 5 5 6 44   2nk 21 (urieta johan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 6.70 DQ↓5
ONE GLAMOROUS GAL 3 1 2½ 21   1nk 31 (johnson l)LEON SONNY 119 1.80 42% 1.40 0.50 DQ↓6
SHORE OF EDEN 6 3 3 33   5 4 (urieta johanna)MAYTA J 119 15.00 41.00  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 4 4 45 6   6 5 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 2.50 30% 2.40 7.60 S
COMPANYS COMING 1 2 1½ 11   3.2 6 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 5.70  
 
TDN-4   04/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:14 1:41   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAN DOWN 6 2 5 3½ 1½ 12 13 (faulkner c)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 22% 3.60 3.80 W
IMTHEPRINCE 1 6 7 7 7 5 23 (jones e)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 8% 11.20 4.10 P
GALTERO 3 5 42 5 5 6 3 (suarez javier)MAYTA J 119 10.00 6.40  
1A  SWINGIN FRIAR 8 4 21 1nk 2½ 32 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 38% 1.60 0.90  
NO TOLERANCE 5 3 3 4¾ 42 43 58 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 0.90  
TRACKING GOLD 4 1 11 2nk 3½ 22 68 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 8% 12.20 25.20  
LAS ANA 2 7 6 6 6 7 712 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 34.60  
GRITO DE PABLITO 7 8 8 8 8 8 812¾ (spiess m)LEON SONNY 123 5.00 7.70  
 
TDN-5   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONNABEGOOD 2 4 2nk 2nk   1 1½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.00 50% 1.00 0.30 W
QUEEN CREED 3 5 4 31   3 2½ (anderson susan )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 19% 4.30 3.70 P
1A  RAINBOW SHIP 5 2 1nk 1nk   2 3 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.00 0.30  
HAPPY AS YOU GO 6 3 6 6   68 4 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 7% 12.90 18.00  
HAMPTON DANCER 4 6 53 54   4 5 (anderson l)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 13.20  
SPEAK LIGHTLY 7 1 31 43   5 6 (ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 17.50  
CAUSE OF LOVE 1 7 715¼ 716¼   714 715¼ (bookman donald)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.00 12.50  
 
TDN-6   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFTEN ENOUGH 1 6 4 3   3½ 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 5.00 38% 1.70 1.80 W
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 5 4 53 52   41 2 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 13% 6.50 3.50 P
FUNNY BACHELOR 8 1 3 4   2½ 3 (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00 55.30  
REANIMATE 2 3 1½ 1½   1½ 4 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 7% 12.90 1.70  
CAPTAIN RILEY 4 5 65 67   67 58 (spiess m)LEON SONNY 123 8.00 15.10  
THE MAN CAN 6 7 78 810¾   79 6 (faulkner rodney )LOPEZ ALBERT 114 6.00 15.60  
THIS MAN CAN 7 2 2½ 2½   53 7 (tumblin and)CORREA L 121 12.00 11.00  
RIDING IN THE WIND 3 8 8 710½   8 811 (hall j)COLON H 119 20.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
SCR  QUALITY MAN               (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-7   04/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:124     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMASH 5 5 5 3½ 11 12 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.00 17% 4.90 1.00 W
LONGLIVEJUSTICE 4 6 6 52 4 22 2 (bailey ri)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 49% 1.00 5.40 P
ENJOY BASEBALL 1 3 21 4 5 54 3 (zielinski ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 6.00 6% 15.50 14.50 S
STORM RISK 2 1 11 1½ 21 33 4 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 119 2.50 2.70  
COME SEE ABOUT IT 6 2 31 2½ 31 43 5 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 6% 17.20 3.40  
JUSTENUFFTUFF 3 4 4 63 6 610 612 (poole m)MAYTA J 119 12.00 34.40  
SCR  PERFETTO               (poole c)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   04/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CHOCOLATE RABBIT 12 1 1nk 1   1 1 (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 2.70  
11  LONE BOY 11 9 53 6   3 2 (bookman donald)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 3.20 P
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 5 5 2nk 2   2 3 (maddox rachael)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 3.80 S
GOING PRIMETIME 9 2 7 5   5 4 (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 3.50 73% 0.40 3.20  
MARCH MAGIC 7 4 4 4   4 5 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 39.30  
DANES HEART 8 10 8 7   6 610¾ (vazquez ivan)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 10.00 43.10  
EDGE OF DESTINY 1 7 11 10   912 717½ (radosevich )CORREA L 123 6.00 17.70  
REACHING FOR GOLD 4 8 9 9   811¾ 819¾ (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 15.00 70.30  
THORMEISTER 2 6 6 8   711¾ 922½ (hurley l)MAYTA J 123 30.00 28.20  
BILLY BEACOUP 6 3 32 3   1014 1022¾ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 8.10  
ZAROSHA 3 12 10 1110¼   1117 1124½ (poole m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00 72.90  
10  KISS THE DEMON 10 11 1214¼ 1217¼   1219 1229¼ (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 30.00 ######  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.