Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - April 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREST CHATTER Apr05 Mar07 Feb01 Jan14   (johnson g)CORREA L 123 2.00 ★    
2  CAJUN CHAOS Feb01 Jan19       (calderon i)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 ★    
3  JOHNNY U Apr05         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  ROLLS ROYCE DEAL Apr05 Mar16 Feb22 Jan26   (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 119 2.50 ★    
5  GIO SAMMY Apr05 Mar14 Feb21 Jan19   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.60 51% 1.00    
 
TDN-2   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HADLEN Apr11 Apr02 Mar26 Mar10 Feb16 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 ★    
1A  MY D'VALENTINE Apr11 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Feb01 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  TEST YOUR FAITH Apr13         (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 6.00 6% 15.50    
3  PLAYFUL SUMMER         (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  IMA SURE BET Apr02 Mar14       (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00    
5  LITTLE EMPIRE Apr09 Apr02 Mar10     (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.50 ★    
6  VAVITE Apr13 Apr02 Feb28     (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 10% 8.90    
7  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Apr03 Mar09 Jan30     (barnes ba)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 4.00    
 
TDN-3   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPANYS COMING Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Jan15 (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 ★    
2  BLONDE BY NATURE Mar31 Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 Jan26 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 5.00 ★    
3  ONE GLAMOROUS GAL Apr06 Mar23 Mar14 Mar07 Jan24 (johnson l)LEON SONNY 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  NORTHERN JOURNEY Apr12 Mar23 Mar08 Jan24   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  ULTRA RAYS Apr06 Feb19 Jan15     (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 ★    
6  SHORE OF EDEN Mar23 Feb16 Jan25     (urieta johan)MAYTA J 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   04/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TOLERANCE Apr15 Apr05 Mar24 Mar09 Mar01 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 ★    
1A  SWINGIN FRIAR Apr15 Apr06 Mar18 Feb11 Feb05 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  IMTHEPRINCE Apr11 Mar18 Mar01 Feb21 Jan22 (jones e)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 8% 11.20    
3  LAS ANA Jan12         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
4  GALTERO Mar18 Mar01 Feb21     (suarez jav)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
5  TRACKING GOLD Apr15 Mar01       (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 8% 12.20    
6  MAN DOWN Apr15 Mar18 Mar01 Feb21 Jan25 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
7  GRITO DE PABLITO Apr15 Apr05 Mar24 Mar09 Jan22 (spiess m)LEON SONNY 123 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-5   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONNABEGOOD Apr09 Mar10 Feb18 Jan05   (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
1A  RAINBOW SHIP         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.00    
2  CAUSE OF LOVE Apr16 Apr06 Mar14 Jan24   (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.00 ★    
3  QUEEN CREED Apr12 Mar26 Jan22     (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  HAMPTON DANCER Jan24 Jan05       (anderson l)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 ★    
5  HAPPY AS YOU GO Apr06 Mar14 Jan24     (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 7% 12.90    
6  SPEAK LIGHTLY         (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
 
TDN-6   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFTEN ENOUGH Apr16 Apr09 Mar16 Mar07 Feb22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 5.00 38% 1.70    
2  REANIMATE Mar16 Feb22 Jan11     (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 7% 12.90    
3  RIDING IN THE WIND         (hall j)COLON H 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAPTAIN RILEY Apr06 Mar16 Feb26 Feb15 Jan24 (spiess m)LEON SONNY 123 8.00    
SCR  QUALITY MAN Apr13 Mar09 Feb19 Jan24 Jan11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 3.50 17% 4.80    
6  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Mar24 Feb19 Jan24     (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
7  THE MAN CAN Apr04 Mar09 Feb14 Jan12 Jan05 (faulkner rodne)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 6.00    
8  THIS MAN CAN Apr12 Mar16 Feb22 Jan12 Jan05 (tumblin a)CORREA L 121 12.00    
9  FUNNY BACHELOR Apr02 Mar16 Feb22 Jan19 Jan04 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00    
 
TDN-7   04/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENJOY BASEBALL Apr02 Mar10 Feb26 Feb01 Jan12 (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 6.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  PERFETTO Mar31 Mar16 Feb28 Jan25   (poole jami )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00    
3  STORM RISK Feb01 Jan12       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 119 2.50 ★    
4  JUSTENUFFTUFF Apr02 Mar08 Feb26 Jan14   (poole m)MAYTA J 119 12.00    
5  LONGLIVEJUSTICE Apr16 Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.00 49% 1.00    
6  SMASH Apr15 Mar15 Feb01 Jan12   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
7  COME SEE ABOUT IT Apr02 Mar22 Mar07     (smith larry)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 6% 17.20    
 
TDN-8   04/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDGE OF DESTINY Apr09         (radosevic)CORREA L 123 6.00    
2  THORMEISTER         (hurley mary )MAYTA J 123 30.00    
3  ZAROSHA         (poole m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00    
4  REACHING FOR GOLD Apr04 Mar19 Feb16 Jan15   (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
5  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Apr04 Mar09       (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 ★    
6  BILLY BEACOUP Apr04 Mar05 Feb16 Jan31 Jan15 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 ★    
7  MARCH MAGIC Apr13 Apr04 Mar19 Mar05 Feb06 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
8  DANES HEART Apr04 Mar19 Jan31 Jan22 Jan05 (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 10.00    
9  GOING PRIMETIME Apr06 Mar19       (gorham )PILARES P 119 3.50 73% 0.40    
10  KISS THE DEMON Apr04 Mar19 Mar07     (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 30.00 ★    
11  LONE BOY         (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 ★    
12  CHOCOLATE RABBIT         (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.