Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - April 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY JEWELS 3 6 65 58   44 1¼ (cowans d)RIVERA R 122 2.50 17% 5.00 2.60 W
ITSALLABOUTACTION 1 7 44 35   2 2¼ (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 1.60 44% 1.30 0.60 P
VAVITE 2 5 32 46   3 3 (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 6.00 29.40  
MAMA CHUY 5 2 11 15   1 4 (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 122 4.50 5.50  
PANGEA 4 4 5 610   68 5 (langley c)CCAMAQUE M 122 10.00 6% 15.20 46.20  
TEST YOUR FAITH 6 3 76 712   7 6 (campbell an)CORREA L 122 8.00 8.90  
JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL 7 1 21 25   55 79 (schuster robin)MAYTA J 122 12.00 11% 7.80 27.70  
 
MVR-2   04/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:142 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAITING ON WILLIAM 1 3 5 4 22 1nk 14 (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 39% 1.60 0.30 W
GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 6 1 11 12 12 2nk 24 (hamm timothy)MARTINEZ R 124 10.00 12% 7.60 22.20 P
MY WYNTER ECHO 2 6 612½ 610½ 5 47 3 (bayley randy)CCAMAQUE M 124 6.00 22.70 S
HIGH HEAVEN 4 2 21 22 3 35 4 (bernardini p)DIAZ I 119 3.00 6.10  
PASATIME 3 4 34 3 4 59 516¼ (sondej a)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 46.90  
TIGER JO 5 5 4 5 614½ 616 624¾ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60 20% 4.10 3.80  
 
MVR-3   04/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:142 1:28   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING GUILLOTINE 6 2 812¼ 815 4 12 1 (bailey ricardo)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 5.50  
SCAT SHACK 9 10 711¼ 612 5 32 2 (smith larry)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 3.50 20% 4.00 0.70 P
IN SEARCH OF 2 8 1019¼ 927 714½ 44 36 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 6% 16.80 21.40 S
RYEGATE STONE 5 3 1nk 21 1½ 22 4 (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 20% 3.90 4.40  
YANKEE GO HOME 8 4 918¼ 1027½ 816½ 7 5 (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 3.00 26% 2.80 5.30  
CAPTAIN BERNARDO 1 9 6 712 6 5 611¾ (poole c)MAYTA J 126 8.00 12.50  
BAY DEFENSE 3 7 43 35 3½ 65 713¾ (maver edu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00 96.00  
AWESOME BREAK 4 6 5 511 919½ 811½ 819¾ (bird danny)CORREA L 126 12.00 49.60  
1A  FAST CALL 10 5 2nk 11 2½ 913½ 929½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 5.50  
MARCH MAGIC 7 1 32 47 1020 1017½ 1031 (brown glenroy)CCAMAQUE M 126 20.00 5% 19.00 56.30  
 
MVR-4   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEYED ON TOP 5 1 2nk 1   12 16 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 2.00 37% 1.70 1.90 W
TOWARDS THE LIGHT 3 2 32 4   22 26 (spiess m)LEON SONNY 126 3.50 15% 5.80 2.90 P
NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) 2 4 4 3   34 3 (cannon jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 25% 3.00 2.10 S
NEW YEAR'S LUCK 1 6 5 5   5 412¼ (adams l)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 4.00 4.80  
SOUTHERN RULES 6 5 6 6   6 516¼ (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 16.20  
TWO STEP SLEW 4 3 1nk 2   45 617¼ (maver eduardo)DIAZ I 126 8.00 11.40  
 
MVR-5   04/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:14 1:272   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN HIGH (NZ) 7 3 41 2½ 3.2 3 1¼ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 4.90  
MINE ALONE 6 1 2½ 3½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (urieta johanna)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 16% 5.30 3.20 P
LINE DANCER 5 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk 3 (brafford mich)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.00 31% 2.30 1.10 S
SCARLETT'S AWISH 2 5 5 53 4 4 4 (zielinski rich)MAYTA J 124 10.00 8.20  
OHIO STORM 3 6 6 68 6 5 5 (brown glenroy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 13% 6.50 8.40  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 4 2 3½ 41 5 69 611¼ (vickers richard )DIAZ I 124 4.50 18% 4.50 8.70  
FORT SKYWALKER 1 7 710½ 7 715¼ 724 743¾ (barker w)DIAZ R 124 15.00 43.40  
SCR  PARFAIT               (hamm timothy)MARTINEZ R 117 8.00    
 
MVR-6   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :461 :592     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 2 5 2½ 1nk   1nk 1 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.50 11% 8.10 5.50 W
ASHLEYS CUPCAKE 1 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 2 (norris stephani)DIAZ I 119 2.50 27% 2.70 0.30 P
TILLY MANILLY 4 2 31 32   32 3 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 14.50  
BRICK OF HEARTS 6 3 43 48   45 4 (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 6.90  
1A  VEGAS CAT 5 4 53 515   514 521½ (kerr n)RIVERA R 119 6.00 6.10  
SWEETER THAN HONEY 3 6 66 615¼   616 625¾ (kerr rand)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 6.10  
SCR  KLEONA               (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  TV TIZ GORGEOUS               (tumblin andre)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 10.00 11% 8.40    
 
MVR-7   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OL' NED 2 1 1 13   13 1 (cline c)PAUCAR E 117 2.00 45% 1.20 1.00 W
DYNAMIC REACH 1 7 713 717   5 2 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 19.00 33.10 P
WILDCAT BILL 6 3 2 23   23 3 (radosevich jeff)GONZALEZ A 117 3.00 5.90 S
PECKS NOT BAD 5 4 4 47   47 4 (barker sc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 16.60  
QUALITY MAN 7 5 511½ 512   6 57 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 21% 3.80 2.40  
MONSTER HUNTER 3 6 612½ 615   710½ 6 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 4.00 7.80  
WHAT A RUSH 4 2 3 33   33 78 (cline c)HALDAR J 126 10.00 7% 14.00 9.80  
 
MVR-8   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY PIE 1 7 1½ 1   16 112 (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 26% 2.80 2.10 W
LATE DATE 3 2 4 4   26 212 (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 1.60 44% 1.30 2.20 P
CABARET FLEUR 5 4 5 3   3 312½ (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 12.00 20.70  
GIMME CLEARANCE 6 5 8 6   511½ 417¾ (silva fernan)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 2.00 4.20  
FOREVER FACTUM 7 1 2½ 2   4 519½ (kerr n)RIVERA R 119 20.00 28.20  
SASSY POWER 8 3 7 5   615½ 627¾ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 20.00 7.90  
LEONA'S PROMISE 2 8 3 710¾   727½ 747¼ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 10.00 7% 13.60 4.00  
LA TAINA 4 6 6 814¾   828½ 847¼ (salcedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00 58.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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