Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - April 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSALLABOUTACTION Mar16 Feb14       (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
2  VAVITE Apr02 Feb28       (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 6.00    
3  LADY JEWELS         (cowans d)RIVERA R 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  PANGEA Mar26 Feb28       (langley c)CCAMAQUE M 122 10.00 6% 15.20    
5  MAMA CHUY         (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
6  TEST YOUR FAITH         (campbell )CORREA L 122 8.00    
7  JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL Mar14 Feb23       (schuster rob)MAYTA J 122 12.00 11% 7.80    
 
MVR-2   04/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAITING ON WILLIAM Mar05 Feb11       (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  MY WYNTER ECHO Mar24 Mar08 Feb22 Jan25 Jan01 (bayley randy)CCAMAQUE M 124 6.00 ★    
3  PASATIME Mar24 Mar08 Feb23 Feb14 Jan18 (sondej)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
4  HIGH HEAVEN Mar26 Mar08 Feb22 Feb16 Jan15 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 119 3.00 ★    
5  TIGER JO Jan11         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60 20% 4.10    
6  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE Mar24 Mar08 Jan01     (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 124 10.00 12% 7.60    
 
MVR-3   04/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING GUILLOTINE Apr05 Mar21 Mar10 Mar05 Feb26 (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00    
1A  FAST CALL Apr04 Mar09       (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
2  CAPTAIN BERNARDO Apr05 Mar23       (poole c)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 8.00    
3  IN SEARCH OF Mar21 Mar07 Feb21     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 6% 16.80    
4  BAY DEFENSE Mar21 Feb21       (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
5  AWESOME BREAK Mar21 Mar07 Feb21     (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00    
6  RYEGATE STONE Mar21 Mar10 Feb15     (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
7  MARCH MAGIC Apr04 Mar19 Mar05 Feb06 Jan23 (brown glenroy)CCAMAQUE M 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  YANKEE GO HOME Mar17         (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
9  SCAT SHACK Mar25 Feb23 Jan07     (smith larry)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-4   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YEAR'S LUCK Mar31 Jan16 Jan02     (adams nancy)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 4.00    
2  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Feb11 Jan09       (cannon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  TOWARDS THE LIGHT Mar22 Feb22 Jan24     (spiess m)LEON SONNY 126 3.50 15% 5.80    
4  TWO STEP SLEW Mar24 Mar15 Feb28 Jan25 Jan12 (maver eduardo)DIAZ I 126 8.00 ★    
5  KEYED ON TOP Mar22 Mar07 Jan31 Jan14   (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  SOUTHERN RULES         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   04/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT SKYWALKER Mar02         (barker w)DIAZ R 124 15.00    
SCR  PARFAIT         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 117 8.00    
3  SCARLETT'S AWISH Mar15 Feb26       (zielinski ri)MAYTA J 124 10.00 ★    
4  OHIO STORM Mar18 Feb28 Feb01 Jan14   (brown glenro)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 13% 6.50    
5  MY PINK BABY BIRD Mar18 Feb28 Feb01 Jan21   (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
6  LINE DANCER Mar15 Jan08       (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
7  MINE ALONE Mar15 Feb26 Jan25     (urieta johanna)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
8  QUEEN HIGH (NZ) Mar26 Mar14 Feb26     (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEETER THAN HONEY         (kerr ra)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
1A  VEGAS CAT         (kerr n)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
SCR  KLEONA Mar15 Jan19 Jan04     (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
3  ASHLEYS CUPCAKE Mar15         (norris stephan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Mar15 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.50 11% 8.10    
5  TILLY MANILLY Mar15 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04   (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
SCR  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Mar15 Jan14       (tumblin and)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 10.00 11% 8.40    
7  BRICK OF HEARTS Feb16         (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC REACH Mar28 Mar18 Feb14 Jan26 Jan11 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  OL' NED Mar22 Feb28 Jan19     (cline c)PAUCAR E 117 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  MONSTER HUNTER Mar28 Feb26 Jan24 Jan11   (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 4.00    
4  WHAT A RUSH Mar14 Feb28 Jan26 Jan11   (cline robert)HALDAR J 126 10.00 7% 14.00    
5  PECKS NOT BAD Mar16 Feb18       (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
6  WILDCAT BILL Mar22 Mar05       (radosevich jef)GONZALEZ A 117 3.00 ★    
7  QUALITY MAN Mar09 Feb19 Jan24 Jan11   (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-8   04/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY PIE         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  LEONA'S PROMISE Jan19 Jan04       (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 10.00 7% 13.60    
3  LATE DATE Mar15         (gorham )PILARES P 119 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  LA TAINA Mar23 Mar05 Feb21     (salced)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00    
5  CABARET FLEUR Mar15 Jan14       (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 12.00    
6  GIMME CLEARANCE Mar01 Feb16 Jan14     (silva fern)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 2.00 ★    
7  FOREVER FACTUM Mar15 Jan19 Jan04     (kerr n)RIVERA R 119 20.00 ★    
8  SASSY POWER         (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.