The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Thistledown
Wednesday - May 04, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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TDN-1   05/04/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:234 :482 1:142     1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMBO DANCER 2 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 11¾ (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 123 2.00 1.90  
PRINCESS TIZNOW 6 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 22¾ (clouston edward)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 14% 5.90 5.20 P
MANHATTAN LADY 1 3 32 3 3 44 3(brown t)VELEZ J 123 4.50 11.10 S
VELVET SAMI 4 6 66 6 57 33 4(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 43% 1.30 3.10  
CHARM OF THE CITY 3 5 54 54 46 5511¾ (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 16% 5.10 1.70  
TWO DIAMONDS 5 1 43 4 6 613½ 624 (erdel john)TAPARA BRANDON 123 15.00 21.50  
 
TDN-2   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:224 :471 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MEZCALITO 4 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 1(flores israel)RIVERA R 123 8.00 3.60  
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 5 4 5 44   32 2(genovese l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 8.60 P
SAMURAI WAY 2 5 3.2 1nk   1nk 3(barton e)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 45% 1.20 0.70 S
NOSEY POWER 3 6 6 59   54(spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.00 12.10  
REACHING FOR GOLD 6 1 1nk 3½   4512 (faulkner c)DIAZ I 123 6.00 14.60  
ADMIRAL GLEN 1 2 4¼ 610½   613½ 621½ (genovese l)HOLLINGSWORTH L 123 2.50 20% 4.00 4.10  
 
TDN-3   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
:224 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO ACCESS 3 5 1nk 1½   11 11 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 1.40  
BLAZING ZENNA 6 3 3 31   21 21 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 2.00 1.30  
TALK DIRTY 5 2 2nk 2½   31 3(bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 27% 2.70 4.80 S
Z U IN MY DREAMS 1 6 5 42   44(skerrett jeffrey)CORREA L 121 4.50 29% 2.50 6.50  
NATALIA'S TEMPLE 2 4 6 67   65(bailey ricardo)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 23.30  
HOPES AND PRAYERS 4 1 4 55   5613¼ (casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 7.90 25.80  
 
TDN-4   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:221 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHALFANI 4 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 1(romero a)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 36% 1.80 1.40 W
ROSAS WAY 5 2 1nk 3½   32(calderon ivan)MAYTA J 121 3.00 4.00 P
TARTAN THE BULL 3 4 3.2 2nk   2nk 3(trevino g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 23% 3.30 4.10 S
TAMANRASSETT 6 1 4¼ 43   44(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5.20  
FRITTONS GOLD 2 6 5 511   510½ 5(mahan p)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 7.50  
THECHROMEWEKNOW 1 5 6100 6100   6100 6100 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 121 4.50 6.40  
 
TDN-5   05/04/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:224 :462 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MON CAMO 5 1 11 1   1½ 1(shanyfelt k)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 0.80  
GEHRIG 3 2 21 2   2½ 2(wolochuk david)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 51% 1.00 2.50 P
LAZARUS PROJECT 4 5 43 33   32 3(bailey ricardo)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 8.00 11% 7.80 7.20 S
HALO'S DANCE 1 4 5 5   44(smith osborne)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 9.40  
RULING EMPIRE 2 3 3 4   56 510 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 15% 5.80 4.70  
SCR  TIZ A RUSH               (shanyfelt k)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
 
TDN-6   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
:221 :462 1:001     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET EMPIRE 5 4 34 24   1½ 12 (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 30% 2.40 1.20 W
AUGMENTING ASSETS 6 2 6 614   522 (bookman donald)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.00 26% 2.90 11.30 P
BAREFOOT BEACH 4 6 4 512   332 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 3.10  
PROPER ETIQUETTE 7 1 1nk 14   2½ 4(gorham m)CORREA L 119 5.00 3.60  
SHOSHA SHOSHA 1 5 5 410½   45(jones e)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 5.70  
HAUGHTY PRAISE 2 7 712¼ 714   611 611½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 15.00 57.00  
GLIMMERGLASS 3 3 2nk 3   714 730 (radosevich jeff)MARTINEZ R 119 6.00 19% 4.40 12.00  
 
TDN-7   05/04/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:22 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHURCHILLED 2 5 2nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 53% 0.90 2.30 W
TENCH 4 2 3.2 2nk   2½ 2½ (hamm timothy)MARTINEZ R 119 2.50 6.50 P
MEDICINE TAIL 5 3 4¼ 3.2   33(kobiskie dane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 15.00 1.90 S
ASH FLAT 6 1 6 6   55 4(ewing ann)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50 4.40  
RISING OUTLAW 3 6 5 5   67 5(chapman k)HOUGHTON D 117 3.50 3.50  
UPTOWN GUY 1 4 1nk 4¼   44 6(crumley jevon)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00 22.70  
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST               (londono j)LONDONO III 118 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
TDN-8   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
:23 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFFIAN 2 2 5 21   31nk (sweeting craig)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 7.80  
ISLAND WINTER 6 1 1½ 11   12nk (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.80 1.70 P
VOODOOISM 3 3 6 31   23.2 (suarez javier)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 3.70 S
ROSA'S SOUL 4 5 2½ 4   54(urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 56% 0.80 1.20  
SEEKING VIOLET 1 4 3½ 5   45(manning c)DIAZ I 119 10.00 18.50  
PASATIME 5 6 41 6   6617¼ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00 31.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.