Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANHATTAN LADY Mar28 Mar15 Mar01 Jan21 Jan04 (brown t)VELEZ J 123 4.50 ★    
2  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Feb09 Jan29 Jan09     (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 123 2.00    
3  CHARM OF THE CITY Mar28 Mar09       (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
4  VELVET SAMI Mar28 Mar15 Mar01 Jan04   (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  TWO DIAMONDS Apr15 Mar28 Mar02     (erdel john)TAPARA BRANDON 123 15.00 ★    
6  PRINCESS TIZNOW         (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 14% 5.90    
 
TDN-2   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADMIRAL GLEN Apr09 Mar07 Feb16     (genovese )HOLLINGSWORTH L 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  SAMURAI WAY Apr06         (barton)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 45% 1.20    
3  NOSEY POWER Apr09 Mar19 Mar07     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.00 ★    
4  EL MEZCALITO         (flores israel)RIVERA R 123 8.00 ★    
5  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY         (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 ★    
6  REACHING FOR GOLD Apr27 Apr04 Mar19 Feb16 Jan15 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
 
TDN-3   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z U IN MY DREAMS Mar21 Feb14 Jan11     (skerrett )CORREA L 121 4.50 29% 2.50    
2  NATALIA'S TEMPLE Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 Feb18 Jan25 (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 ★    
3  HARD TO ACCESS Mar31 Mar23 Mar14 Feb18 Jan31 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 ★    
4  HOPES AND PRAYERS         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 7.90    
5  TALK DIRTY Apr15 Mar01 Feb14 Jan11   (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  BLAZING ZENNA Mar31 Mar14 Feb26 Jan11   (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
 
TDN-4   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THECHROMEWEKNOW Mar24 Feb21 Jan24     (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 121 4.50 ★    
2  FRITTONS GOLD Apr02 Mar15 Feb28 Jan31   (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 ★    
3  TARTAN THE BULL Apr09 Mar23 Feb01     (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
4  KHALFANI Apr12 Apr02 Feb21 Jan19   (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  ROSAS WAY Apr11 Mar19 Mar01 Feb14   (calderon iva)MAYTA J 121 3.00 ★    
6  TAMANRASSETT Apr09 Mar09 Feb14 Jan14   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   05/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO'S DANCE Apr19 Apr12 Apr05 Mar26 Mar18 (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 ★    
2  RULING EMPIRE Feb28         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 15% 5.80    
3  GEHRIG         (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  TIZ A RUSH         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
5  LAZARUS PROJECT Apr12 Feb15 Jan19     (bailey ricardo)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 8.00 11% 7.80    
6  MON CAMO Jan14         (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-6   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOSHA SHOSHA Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 Mar05 Feb16 (jones e)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 ★    
2  HAUGHTY PRAISE Apr06 Mar15       (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
3  GLIMMERGLASS         (radosevich )MARTINEZ R 119 6.00 19% 4.40    
4  BAREFOOT BEACH         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
5  SWEET EMPIRE Apr16 Mar02 Feb14 Jan12   (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  AUGMENTING ASSETS Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 Jan12   (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
7  PROPER ETIQUETTE         (gorham ro)CORREA L 119 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-7   05/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN GUY Apr25 Apr04 Mar19 Feb12 Jan01 (crumle)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00    
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST         (londono od)LONDONO III 118 5.00 20% 4.10    
3  CHURCHILLED Mar18         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
4  RISING OUTLAW Apr04 Mar17       (chapman james )HOUGHTON D 117 3.50    
5  TENCH Jan23 Jan08       (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 119 2.50 ★    
6  MEDICINE TAIL Mar19 Feb12       (kobiskie da)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 15.00 ★    
7  ASH FLAT         (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-8   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKING VIOLET         (manning richar)DIAZ I 119 10.00 ★    
2  TUFFIAN Mar21 Feb16 Jan15     (sweeting craig)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 ★    
3  VOODOOISM Apr26 Mar26 Mar10 Mar02 Feb23 (su)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 ★    
4  ROSA'S SOUL Apr09 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Jan11 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 56% 0.80    
5  PASATIME Apr13 Mar24 Mar08 Feb23 Feb14 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00    
6  ISLAND WINTER Apr09 Mar26 Mar08 Feb28 Feb14 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.80 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.