Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - May 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIALED UP 5 5 6 6   11 1 (sipp k)LEON A 119 10.00 8.60  
TOUCHDOWN JESUS 2 6 53 5   4 2 (bookman donald)RIVERA R 121 3.00 2.60 P
CAPTURED BY FATE 4 4 31 31   31 3 (poole c)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 51% 1.00 2.30 S
AWESOME OX 3 3 42 4   6 4 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 4.00 4.90  
MAGIC MOUNTAIN 6 1 11 11   21 5 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 20% 4.00 2.20  
LONESOME PHIL 1 2 21 21   5 612 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 12.20  
 
TDN-2   05/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:141     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANSENATION 1 2 12 11 1 1 14 (juarez lorenz)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 28% 2.50 5.20 W
SEND ME ON 2 5 5 56 5 58 24 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 4.50 P
OAKS HONEY 4 6 35 43 4 4 3 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 12% 7.10 2.30 S
TWO EAGLES 3 4 22 21 2 2 4 (murillo rodr)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 20% 4.10 2.00  
JUDGE HEAD 5 1 45 33 3 3 5 (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 2.50 4.80  
GONE TOO SOON 6 3 6 6 6 69 6 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 6.00 10.30  
 
TDN-3   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 3 3 3 33   33 1hd (suar)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 13.30  
OL' NED 1 2 1 1   13 2hd (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 27% 2.70 0.80 P
STONE COLD CAT 4 5 6 57   4 3¼ (jackson r)COLON H 119 4.00 13.80 S
MANGA MAN 5 6 5 6   5 4 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.50 5.00  
ROMANTIC COWBOY 2 1 2 2   23 5 (mcdonald james)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 49% 1.10 2.10  
C K'S LUCKY DUCK 6 4 4 43   6 69 (poole m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 15.30  
 
TDN-4   05/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 :594     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANDIAMA 3 4 31 3½   1 1 (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.00 30% 2.40 1.60 W
OFFTHEROADAGAIN 5 1 2nk 2nk   2 2 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 115 2.50 1.70 P
SKY 1 3 5 5   5 3 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 4.50  
1A  MRS. ROBINSON 2 5 4 42   4 4 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 4.50  
AYKIZ 4 2 1nk 1nk   32 511½ (douaihy michel)LEZCANO ABEL 123 3.50 19% 4.40 2.40  
SCR  GOOD ALTERNATIVE               (calderon ivan)MAYTA J 119 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  TREASURED NIKKY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 13% 6.80    
 
TDN-5   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOLSCH 2 7 24 1nk   11 1¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.50 31% 2.30 2.10 W
ON HIS TOES 4 2 34 2nk   21 2¼ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.80 29% 2.40 1.50 P
ANGEL'S ENTRY 3 5 57 5   43 3 (hernandez rica)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00 22.10 S
FAST CALL 6 3 4 4   31 43 (bailey ricardo)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 20.00 28.60  
NATURAL CHARM 7 4 7 7   6 56 (hamm timothy)MARTINEZ R 123 4.50 6.30  
BIKO 1 6 6 6   56 6 (guciardo robert)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 18% 4.60 2.80  
OSBIN 5 1 14 3   710¼ 722 (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 123 15.00 26.80  
 
TDN-6   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BISCUITS AND GRITS 7 1 32 3½   1nk 1 (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 12% 7.60 1.40 W
TEAM HUCKY 8 2 54 52   3 2 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 10.00 10% 8.60 20.60 P
UPTOWN 4 8 4 41   4 38 (waltz brian)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 1.40  
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP 3 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 48 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 30% 2.30 1.50  
BIG ON BIG 5 7 6 7   6 510¾ (cowans d)RIVERA R 121 3.00 24% 3.20 4.10  
IT'S YOUR CALL 6 3 75 65   7 615¼ (rado)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 8.00  
DENNY M 1 4 1nk 1nk   5 716 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00 16.30  
SCHMULTZY 2 6 8 8   811¾ 824¾ (jackson r)COLON H 119 12.00 76.10  
 
TDN-7   05/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:134     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JLO CAN DANCE 5 4 5 62 5 4¾ 1¼ (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 11.90  
WINDY LU WHO 6 3 31 3½ 2½ 1nk 2¼ (anderson l)GONZALEZ A 121 5.00 5.10 P
MARKET SUCCESS 1 7 8 7 6 5 3 (jackson r)COLON H 119 4.50 11% 8.20 5.60 S
BALLROOM BLITZ 4 2 41 2½ 1½ 2nk 4 (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 4.00 43% 1.30 3.80  
BETHABARA 2 6 6 5 4 3½ 5 (grubbs jamie )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 15% 5.60 2.10  
FRIDAY 7 8 7 8 7 6 6 (bailey ricar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 20.00 20.80  
PLATINUM SKY 3 5 2½ 41 8 8 718¼ (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 11.50  
TIZ WHAT 8 1 1½ 1½ 31 7 822 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 4.40  
 
TDN-8   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEYED ON TOP 2 5 56 52   31 1 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.00 37% 1.70 1.60 W
ISTILLGOTIT 1 6 69 66   5 2 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 8.00 18.40 P
KOSCIUSZKO 3 4 4 4   4 3 (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 123 4.50 2.00  
THE COOKIE MAN 4 3 3 21   21 4 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 7% 12.40 7.60  
SPECTACULAR ROAD 5 1 11 11   11 58 (johnson gary )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 14% 6.40 3.70  
UNCLE MOMO 6 2 21 31   6 614½ (calderon iva)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00 6.50  
SCR  KITCHI               (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.