Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - May 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   05/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONESOME PHIL         (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
TOUCHDOWN JESUS Apr04 Mar18 Mar07 Feb23 Jan11 (bookman donald)RIVERA R 121 3.00    
AWESOME OX Apr15 Mar26 Mar18 Mar01 Feb14 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
CAPTURED BY FATE Mar26 Feb22 Jan19     (poole c)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
DIALED UP         (sipp k)LEON A 119 10.00    
MAGIC MOUNTAIN Apr15 Apr04 Mar23 Mar09   (welsh r)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-2   05/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANSENATION Apr16 Mar24 Mar09 Feb19 Jan11 (juarez lorenz)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
SEND ME ON Mar16         (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
TWO EAGLES Apr16 Apr04       (murillo rodr)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
OAKS HONEY Apr16 Mar16 Jan11     (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 12% 7.10    
JUDGE HEAD Mar16 Feb19 Jan11     (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 2.50    
GONE TOO SOON Mar07         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OL' NED Apr13 Mar22 Feb28 Jan19   (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
ROMANTIC COWBOY         (mcdonald james)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 49% 1.10    
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Jan15         (suar)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
STONE COLD CAT         (jackson r)COLON H 119 4.00    
MANGA MAN Mar16 Feb15 Jan15     (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.50    
C K'S LUCKY DUCK Mar22 Jan19       (poole m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   05/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY Mar14 Feb15 Jan21     (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
1A  MRS. ROBINSON Apr19 Mar31 Feb26     (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
ANDIAMA Apr02 Mar22 Mar01 Feb16 Jan01 (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.00 30% 2.40    
AYKIZ Apr15 Mar14 Jan23     (douaihy michel)LEZCANO ABEL 123 3.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  GOOD ALTERNATIVE Apr09 Mar26 Mar05 Feb16   (calderon ivan)MAYTA J 119 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  TREASURED NIKKY Apr19 Apr09 Mar21 Feb23 Feb16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 13% 6.80    
OFFTHEROADAGAIN Apr16 Mar14 Feb22     (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 115 2.50    
 
TDN-5   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIKO Apr16 Apr04 Mar10 Feb19 Jan22 (guciardo robert)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
KOLSCH Apr25 Mar15 Feb26     (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
ANGEL'S ENTRY         (hernandez rica)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00    
ON HIS TOES Mar13         (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.80 29% 2.40    
OSBIN         (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
FAST CALL Apr13 Apr04 Mar09     (bailey ricardo)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 20.00    
NATURAL CHARM Apr04         (hamm timothy)MARTINEZ R 123 4.50    
 
TDN-6   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPTOWN         (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50    
1A  BISCUITS AND GRITS Apr11         (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 12% 7.60    
DENNY M         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
SCHMULTZY         (jackson r)COLON H 119 12.00    
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Apr11 Mar16 Feb15 Jan24   (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
BIG ON BIG Apr11 Mar18 Feb18 Jan24   (cowans d)RIVERA R 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
IT'S YOUR CALL         (rado)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
TEAM HUCKY         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 10.00 10% 8.60    
 
TDN-7   05/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET SUCCESS         (jackson r)COLON H 119 4.50 11% 8.20    
BETHABARA Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Jan01   (grubbs jamie )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
PLATINUM SKY Mar11         (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
BALLROOM BLITZ Apr06         (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
JLO CAN DANCE Apr11 Mar26 Feb23 Jan19   (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
WINDY LU WHO Apr09 Mar07 Feb16 Jan26   (anderson susa)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 5.00    
FRIDAY Apr06 Mar22 Mar10 Mar02 Feb16 (bailey ricar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
TIZ WHAT Mar26         (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISTILLGOTIT Jan01         (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 8.00    
KEYED ON TOP Apr13 Mar22 Mar07 Jan31 Jan14 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
KOSCIUSZKO Apr25 Mar15 Feb21 Jan31 Jan19 (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
THE COOKIE MAN         (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 7% 12.40    
SPECTACULAR ROAD Apr12 Mar15 Feb18 Feb01   (johnson gary )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  KITCHI Apr12 Mar10 Feb26 Jan25   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
UNCLE MOMO Apr04 Mar19 Mar05 Feb15 Jan12 (calderon iva)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.