Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Wednesday - May 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:141     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE BIRD FLASH 4 2 5 5 3 2 13 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 1.80 40% 1.50 1.60 W
ORBIT BOUND 3 5 1 1 1 1 23 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 115 15.00 2.80  
AFERDITA 1 6 43 2 2 34 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 4.50 2.40 S
LEWD 6 4 6 6 5 47 411¼ (vazquez ivan)FELICIANO R 115 12.00 8.20  
VAVITE 2 1 2 3 4 58 519 (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 11.50  
EMILY LANE 5 3 3 4 6 614 633 (moores tehf)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 29% 2.50 7.70  
SCR  TEAM HOT LINE               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 115 3.00 11% 8.30    
 
TDN-2   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICONIC 3 4 44 4   3 11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 67% 0.50 0.50 W
FAHRENHEIT 1 2 21 2nk   1nk 21 (trevino stephe)COLON H 123 8.00 3.80 P
OHIO MUNNY 5 1 11 1nk   2nk 3 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 4.40 S
LOVE TREE 2 5 3 32   42 45 (shanyfelt vale)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 3.00 7.90  
KING VALERO 4 3 5 54   53 5 (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 9.80  
SCR  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.50    
 
TDN-3   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELISH THE RIDE 3 4 35 36   2 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.00 33% 2.00 3.10 W
COWTOWN BOSS 7 1 1nk 1   1 2 (meyers shane)COLON H 121 6.00 18% 4.60 1.20 P
TIDE RISING 2 5 5 5   4 3 (gorham )PILARES P 119 2.50 21% 3.80 7.70 S
HAPPY TAKEOVER 1 6 4 4   33 46 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 20.00 14.40  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 6 2 610¾ 613   67 5 (vazquez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 24.30  
POWERFUL PHIL 4 3 2nk 2   5 617 (radosevic)CORREA L 115 4.00 6% 15.00 4.10  
HITE 5 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 15.00 6.90  
 
TDN-4   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMITYAAZ 1 7 56 44   2nk 1 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 2.00 1.00  
CURRENT CAUSE 8 3 6 5   3½ 2 (fadlovich m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 14% 6.40 2.70 P
HADLEN 2 8 710½ 7   5 3 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 50% 1.00 4.60 S
SABELLE 5 4 1nk 2½   1nk 4 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 4.10  
1A  MY D'VALENTINE 6 5 44 34   65 510¼ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 4.00 4.60  
TELL ME A SECRET 7 2 3 6   7 611¼ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 15.00 31.10  
TEST YOUR FAITH 3 6 812 811¾   810½ 712 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 8.00 28.50  
JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL 4 1 2nk 1½   41 813½ (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 10% 8.90 39.10  
SCR  GREEDY ALGORITHM               (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :464 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADILLAC RIDE 5 2 1nk 1½   1 1 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 115 4.50 1.50  
CATMAN JACK 4 3 4 45   46 2 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.50 58% 0.70 3.40 P
RED HOT POWER 1 4 2nk 2½   2 3 (tu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 9% 10.70 2.10 S
WHO CAN WIN 6 1 32 3   35 4 (vazquez i)CORREA L 119 15.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
VOLUME LEADER 3 6 6 6   5 5 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 6.00  
SWEET JILL'S JACK 2 5 5 56   6 612¾ (campbell antho)COLON H 119 10.00 19.90  
SCR  CHOCOLATE RABBIT               (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 2.50    
 
TDN-6   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD MAID MARIAN 1 6 53 3½   32 1hd (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 21.10  
FASHION FRAME 4 5 1½ 2nk   1nk 2hd (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.50 8% 12.20 8.90 P
LILAC LACE 5 2 32 4   44 3 (yoder lor)CORREA L 123 6.00 1.20  
LUMINAIRE 2 4 64 5   5 45 (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 40% 1.50 4.90  
TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY 6 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.00 9% 10.20 1.60  
COOL IRIS 3 3 43 6   67 6 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 11.80  
SCR  JILLY FROM JERSEY               (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
TDN-7   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:133     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CLOSE TO ME 6 8 8 8 6 4 1¼ (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 116 2.50 14% 6.10 0.40 W
RIGHT TRAPPE 2 5 5 5 41 1nk 2¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 0.40  
CATABOUT 3 1 2 21 1½ 2nk 34 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 10.80  
CAUSE OF LOVE 1 4 4 4 5 52 4 (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00 22.10  
ULTRA RAYS 4 3 3 31 2½ 31 5 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 6.40  
FLAXEN 8 6 64 6 8 67 612½ (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 22% 3.60 6.10  
FRIDAY 7 7 75 7 7 7 715½ (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 7% 12.70 10.50  
SHORE OF EDEN 5 2 1 11 31 89 823½ (urieta johann)TUNON JORDANO 119 5.00 7% 12.70 18.00  
SCR  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL               (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 119 8.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  CURT'S ANGEL               (bernardini jay)COLON H 121 12.00    
 
TDN-8   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :471 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEW IT WITH STYLE 9 5 12 1½   13 1 (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 8% 10.80 6.90 W
10  TV TIZ GORGEOUS 10 2 22 2½   23 2 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 123 4.50 42% 1.40 0.90 P
I'M JAC'D 6 3 7 4   39 311 (vazquez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00 30.80  
ANIMO STAR 3 6 8 9   511 411 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 11% 8.10 3.40  
LEONA'S PROMISE 8 10 911¼ 7   611 511¾ (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 30.00 5% 19.00 63.50  
SASSY POWER 4 4 3 3   4 617¼ (radosevic)CORREA L 119 8.00 30.10  
SAYHELLOTHENGOODBY 1 7 6 8   814 719¼ (moores tehf)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 14% 6.30 3.70  
CHILLVILLE 2 8 55 5   712½ 820¼ (vernino raymo)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 43.00  
HOLLY'S PERFECTION 7 1 4 65   917 925¾ (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 40.40  
TRACY TARA SCARLET 5 9 1016¼ 1018¾   1032 1044¾ (schuster rob)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00 62.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.