Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEAM HOT LINE Apr25         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 115 3.00 11% 8.30    
2  AFERDITA Apr15 Mar19       (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 4.50 ★    
3  VAVITE Apr27 Apr13 Apr02 Feb28   (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 ★    
4  ORBIT BOUND Apr26 Apr02 Mar22 Feb14 Jan15 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 115 15.00    
5  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Apr23 Apr03 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  EMILY LANE         (moores tehf)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
7  LEWD Apr26 Apr02 Feb22 Jan15   (vazquez ivan)FELICIANO R 115 12.00    
 
TDN-2   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAHRENHEIT Mar22 Jan24       (trevino stephe)COLON H 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.50 ★    
3  LOVE TREE         (shanyfelt vale)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 3.00 ★    
4  ICONIC         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 67% 0.50    
5  KING VALERO Apr25 Apr09       (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50    
6  OHIO MUNNY Feb20 Feb05 Jan19     (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY TAKEOVER Apr26         (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
2  TIDE RISING         (gorham )PILARES P 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  RELISH THE RIDE         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  POWERFUL PHIL         (radosevic)CORREA L 115 4.00 6% 15.00    
5  HITE         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 15.00 ★    
6  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Apr15 Mar14 Feb28 Feb14   (vazquez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
7  COWTOWN BOSS Apr04 Mar19       (meyers shane)COLON H 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
TDN-4   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HADLEN Apr27 Apr11 Apr02 Mar26 Mar10 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 50% 1.00    
1A  MY D'VALENTINE Apr27 Apr11 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 4.00    
2  EMITYAAZ Apr24 Mar05 Jan30     (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 2.00 ★    
3  TEST YOUR FAITH Apr13         (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
4  JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL Apr26 Apr13 Mar14 Feb23   (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  GREEDY ALGORITHM Apr11         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
6  SABELLE Apr23 Mar20 Mar09 Feb27 Jan22 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 ★    
7  TELL ME A SECRET Apr11         (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
8  CURRENT CAUSE Apr01 Mar11 Feb16     (fadlovich m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 14% 6.40    
 
TDN-5   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT POWER Apr26 Apr04 Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 (tu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Apr27         (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 ★    
3  SWEET JILL'S JACK Apr26 Jan11       (campbell antho)COLON H 119 10.00    
4  VOLUME LEADER Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Feb16 Jan15 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
5  CATMAN JACK Mar14 Feb28 Jan22 Jan05   (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 3.50 58% 0.70    
6  CADILLAC RIDE Apr04 Mar05       (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 115 4.50 ★    
7  WHO CAN WIN         (vazquez i)CORREA L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROUD MAID MARIAN         (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
2  LUMINAIRE         (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  COOL IRIS         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 ★    
4  FASHION FRAME Apr06         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.50 8% 12.20    
5  LILAC LACE Apr26 Mar19       (yoder lor)CORREA L 123 6.00    
SCR  JILLY FROM JERSEY Apr11 Mar22 Mar02 Jan21   (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
7  TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.00 9% 10.20    
 
TDN-7   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT TRAPPE Apr08 Mar20 Feb20     (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
1A  CLOSE TO ME Apr08 Feb21 Jan09     (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 116 2.50 14% 6.10    
2  CAUSE OF LOVE Apr27 Apr16 Apr06 Mar14 Jan24 (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00    
3  CATABOUT Apr28 Apr06 Mar26     (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  CURT'S ANGEL Apr06 Mar10 Jan25     (bernardini jay)COLON H 121 12.00    
5  ULTRA RAYS Apr27 Apr06 Feb19 Jan15   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
6  SHORE OF EDEN Apr27 Mar23 Feb16 Jan25   (urieta johann)TUNON JORDANO 119 5.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Apr06 Mar10 Feb23 Jan26   (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 119 8.00 24% 3.10    
8  FRIDAY May02 Apr06 Mar22 Mar10 Mar02 (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 7% 12.70    
9  FLAXEN Mar22 Mar08 Jan11     (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-8   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYHELLOTHENGOODBY         (moores tehf)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  CHILLVILLE         (vernino raymo)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
3  ANIMO STAR Apr25 Apr06 Feb21     (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 11% 8.10    
4  SASSY POWER Apr25 Apr13       (radosevic)CORREA L 119 8.00    
5  TRACY TARA SCARLET Jan04         (schuster rob)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00    
6  I'M JAC'D Apr25 Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 Jan14 (vazquez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00    
7  HOLLY'S PERFECTION Apr25         (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00    
8  LEONA'S PROMISE Apr13 Jan19 Jan04     (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  DEW IT WITH STYLE         (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 8% 10.80    
10  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Apr25 Mar15 Jan14     (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 123 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.