Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEXATOGA 3 2 42 31 3½ 1nk 1 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 12.00 8% 10.80 1.10 W
FLYING GUILLOTINE 5 5 59 59 5 4 2 (bailey ricardo)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.50 16% 5.10 3.20 P
NIGHT TIME RULER 2 4 31 21 2nk 2nk 3 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 3.50 S
BUNDLEDLIKE BERNIE 4 1 11 11 1nk 3.2 4 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 115 6.00 5.60  
BALI BEACH 1 3 21 42 4 5 516½ (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 18% 4.60 5.70  
SCR  COMIN' BACK               (kobiskie dane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50    
SCR  FAIT ACCOMPLI               (silva juan )CORREA L 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-2   05/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:391   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNATE FRIENDS 3 3 12 1½ 1nk 2nk 1 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 4.00 19% 4.10 2.10 W
PAT DADDY 4 4 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 2 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 5.20  
ZITMAN 2 6 6 6 6 67 3 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 2.50 7.40 S
SMASH 5 5 53 4 3 3 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 42% 1.40 0.80  
SHELL FIRE 6 1 22 3 5 56 5 (bailey ricardo)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 32.20  
ENJOY BASEBALL 1 2 3 5 45 4 6 (zielinski ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 5.00 16.20  
 
TDN-3   05/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 6 5 6 5   3 1½ (zielinski richard)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 8% 11.10 5.10 W
1A  STUNT MAN 7 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 4.50 34% 1.90 1.70  
TRAITOR AMONGST US 2 10 72 83   5 32 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 17.20  
GIV'EM THE BIZ 1 6 1nk 1nk   1nk 42 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 8.00 25% 3.10 8.00  
CRYPTO COPY 3 9 8 73   7 55 (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 4.50 1.70  
SAMMY'S SMILE 4 8 10 10   8 6 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.00 8% 11.40 2.70  
RACIN' JACIN 8 4 9 93   106 77 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00 44.30  
SCORZA 5 7 4 62   43 8 (rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 18.70  
LITTLE BITA SMOKE 9 1 3.2 3.2   6 9 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 66.20  
10  TURNING PAGES 10 2 5 4   9 10 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.50 5% 19.00 4.50  
SCR  COUNTRY RUCKUS               (maddox rach)CORREA L 119 20.00    
 
TDN-4   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMADEVIL 5 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 48% 1.10 0.30 W
GONNABEGOOD 4 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 4.50 7.90 P
TIVIS 1 5 3 31   33 3 (gorham ro)PILARES P 121 3.50 25% 3.00 3.00 S
MOBIL LADY 3 2 44 44   49 48 (meyers shane)COLON H 119 6.00 16.20  
SIMONA'S CHOICE 2 4 5 5   5 5 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 12.00 22.20  
SCR  ANGEL'S SASSY               (anderson susa)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00    
SCR  CANDLELIGHT HOURS               (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
SCR  COMPANYS COMING               (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
SCR  PIPER               (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 15.00    
 
TDN-5   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:213 :442 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHISMO 2 5 4 32   2 1½ (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 4.50 12% 7.40 2.60 W
MO DONT NO 3 7 7 7   43 2½ (johnson gar)CORREA L 123 8.00 20.80 P
GLENNWOOD 6 6 6 4   32 31 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00 36.40  
WICKED WARRIOR 4 2 5 6   53 4 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 7% 14.10 1.80  
SHADOW TRACER 1 3 1nk 1nk   1 5 (jackson james )MEJIAS RICARDO 123 5.00 24% 3.20 3.70  
AYE AYE SIR 7 1 3 5   7 612½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00 8.20  
DOUGIE D ORO 5 4 2nk 2nk   65 714 (sparks s)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 35% 1.90 3.90  
SCR  AHIMELECH               (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00    
 
TDN-6   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKSONTHEBEACH 5 3 3 3   1½ 1¼ (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 5.90  
PRACTICAL MAN 3 5 64 5   32 2¼ (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 4.50 8% 11.50 8.20 P
TONKAWA SPRINGS 6 1 21 2nk   2½ 31 (vecchio caryn)COLON H 119 3.50 11% 8.30 0.90 S
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 2 4 4 4   5 47 (flores is)PILARES P 119 12.00 6.00  
DUKE OF FENWAY 1 6 5 6   66 5 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 3.50  
SMUDGE THE CAT 4 2 11 1nk   44 613¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 20.00 11.20  
10  NAMURACHI 7 7 710½ 717¼   726 744¾ (schuster rob)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 30.00 5% 19.00 45.20  
SCR  JOE BRRRR               (chapman jam)CORREA L 119 6.00    
SCR  POUR ME A DOUBLE               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  PRETTY LOUD               (silva pablo)DIAZ I 119 15.00 8% 11.60    
 
TDN-7   05/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14 1:404   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI DREAM 6 5 4 5 2½ 3.2 1hd (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 20.00 63.80  
SALLY STRONG 3 4 21 2½ 3½ 1nk 2hd (rone mike)RIVERA R 120 3.50 32% 2.20 2.00 P
10  MARKET SUCCESS 9 8 8 8 4 4 31 (jackson james )MEJIAS RICARDO 119 5.00 4.00  
SHE'S CRAFTY 8 9 9 9 8 8 4 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 116 15.00 21.30  
EDGE OF NIGHT 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 53 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 4.50 20% 4.10 6.50  
BALLROOM BLITZ 5 2 7 6 75 7 6 (gorham ro)PILARES P 118 10.00 6.00  
HIGH FIRE 4 10 10 10 9 5 7 (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 118 6.00 9.40  
WINDY LU WHO 2 6 52 4 53 6 8 (anderson susa)FRANKLIN MALCOM 116 20.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
11  QUEEN HIGH (NZ) 10 7 31 3½ 6 9 9 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 113 30.00 40.50  
GRIZABELLA 7 3 6 7 10 1012½ 1029½ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 116 8.00 17.60  
SCR  MOONLIT MISSION               (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-8   05/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:22 :464 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TRULY INCLUSIVE 9 1 34 33   1½ 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00 36% 1.70 3.60 W
TALE OF THE LYON 5 2 22 22   32 2 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 18.50  
LAYITONTHICK 8 5 7 44   4 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00 11.10  
12  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 11 11 9 910   910¾ 45 (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00 20.10  
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 6 6 10 1011   810½ 55 (gorham robe)CORREA L 119 8.00 22.50  
MARGARITA CINCO 7 3 5 55   5 66 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 31.80  
HITCH CITY 1 4 12 12   2½ 7 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 30.00 7.90  
LADY FORTUNE 2 7 4 78   7 8 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 14.00  
11  DANZA MAGIC 10 10 8 810   1112¾ 99 (schuster robi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.50 9.80  
MACHEN REIGNS 4 9 1114¾ 1114   1011¾ 109 (baird michael)LEON A 119 15.00 10% 9.40 37.90  
MISS ELLIE 3 8 6 6   6 11 (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 23% 3.30 1.20  
SCR  JUPITER ECLIPSE               (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 30.00 10% 9.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.