Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI BEACH Apr03 Feb09 Jan16     (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  NIGHT TIME RULER Apr28 Apr16 Mar23 Mar05   (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 ★    
3  LEXATOGA Apr15         (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 12.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  COMIN' BACK         (kobiskie da)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50    
5  BUNDLEDLIKE BERNIE Mar23 Mar07 Feb18     (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 115 6.00    
6  FLYING GUILLOTINE Apr13 Apr05 Mar21 Mar10 Mar05 (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  FAIT ACCOMPLI Apr07 Mar20 Feb21 Feb04   (silva jua)CORREA L 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-2   05/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENJOY BASEBALL Apr27 Apr02 Mar10 Feb26 Feb01 (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 5.00 ★    
2  ZITMAN Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Jan08 Jan01 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 2.50 ★    
3  FORTUNATE FRIENDS Apr13 Apr02 Mar09 Feb02   (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 4.00 19% 4.10    
4  PAT DADDY May03 Apr12 Mar26 Mar16 Feb28 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
5  SMASH Apr27 Apr15 Mar15 Feb01 Jan12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
6  SHELL FIRE May03 Apr15 Apr02 Mar15 Feb26 (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   05/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO COPY Apr28         (gorham )PILARES P 119 4.50 ★    
1A  STUNT MAN Apr02 Feb18 Jan25 Jan11   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 4.50 34% 1.90    
2  GIV'EM THE BIZ Apr26 Apr02 Mar02 Jan19   (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 8.00 25% 3.10    
3  TRAITOR AMONGST US Apr26 Mar24 Mar02 Feb14   (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
4  SAMMY'S SMILE Mar22 Mar05       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.00 8% 11.40    
5  SCORZA         (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
6  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Apr26 Apr02 Mar02 Feb14   (zielinski richa)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  COUNTRY RUCKUS Apr26 Apr02       (maddox ra)CORREA L 119 20.00    
8  RACIN' JACIN Mar02 Jan25 Jan11     (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00    
9  LITTLE BITA SMOKE         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00    
10  TURNING PAGES         (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVIS Apr09         (gorham )PILARES P 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  SIMONA'S CHOICE Apr22 Mar18 Feb21 Jan15   (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 12.00    
SCR  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Apr28         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
SCR  PIPER Apr16 Mar31 Feb28 Feb16 Jan26 (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 15.00    
SCR  ANGEL'S SASSY         (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  COMPANYS COMING Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
7  MOBIL LADY Apr28         (meyers shane)COLON H 119 6.00 ★    
8  GONNABEGOOD Apr27 Apr09 Mar10 Feb18 Jan05 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 4.50 ★    
9  AMADEVIL         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
TDN-5   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW TRACER Apr18         (jackson james )COLON H 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  AHIMELECH Feb28         (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00    
3  MACHISMO Mar16         (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 4.50 12% 7.40    
4  MO DONT NO Apr05         (johnson g)CORREA L 123 8.00 ★    
5  WICKED WARRIOR         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 7% 14.10    
6  DOUGIE D ORO Apr08         (sparks s)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  GLENNWOOD Apr15         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00    
8  AYE AYE SIR         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-6   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE OF FENWAY         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00    
2  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Apr26 Apr04 Mar15     (flores )PILARES P 119 12.00    
3  PRACTICAL MAN Apr10 Mar17       (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 4.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  POUR ME A DOUBLE Apr16 Feb25 Feb11 Jan07   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  SMUDGE THE CAT         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
SCR  PRETTY LOUD Mar28 Mar12 Mar02 Feb15 Feb01 (silva pab)DIAZ I 119 15.00 8% 11.60    
7  DRINKSONTHEBEACH Apr26 Mar12 Feb12     (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
8  TONKAWA SPRINGS Apr24 Mar18 Feb16 Jan14   (vecchio caryn)COLON H 119 3.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  JOE BRRRR Mar20         (chapman j)CORREA L 119 6.00    
10  NAMURACHI         (schuster r)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   05/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDGE OF NIGHT Apr28 Apr09       (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 4.50 20% 4.10    
2  WINDY LU WHO May02 Apr09 Mar07 Feb16 Jan26 (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SALLY STRONG         (rone mike)RIVERA R 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
4  HIGH FIRE         (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 118 6.00    
SCR  MOONLIT MISSION         (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  BALLROOM BLITZ May02 Apr06       (gorham )PILARES P 118 10.00 ★    
7  CALI DREAM Apr09         (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 20.00    
8  GRIZABELLA Apr28         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 116 8.00    
9  SHE'S CRAFTY Apr09 Mar22 Mar07 Feb19   (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 116 15.00    
10  MARKET SUCCESS May02         (jackson james )COLON H 119 5.00    
11  QUEEN HIGH (NZ) Apr13 Mar26 Mar14 Feb26   (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 113 30.00    
 
TDN-8   05/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUPITER ECLIPSE         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 30.00 10% 9.40    
2  HITCH CITY         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 30.00    
3  LADY FORTUNE Apr05 Mar16 Mar02 Jan08   (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
4  MISS ELLIE Apr26 Mar16 Mar02     (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  MACHEN REIGNS         (baird michael)LEON A 119 15.00 10% 9.40    
6  TALE OF THE LYON Apr26         (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 15.00    
7  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Apr26 Apr16 Apr05 Mar16   (gorham ro)CORREA L 119 8.00    
8  MARGARITA CINCO Apr26 Apr16 Mar16 Mar02 Feb14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
9  LAYITONTHICK Apr26 Apr16 Apr05 Mar05 Jan24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
10  TRULY INCLUSIVE         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00 36% 1.70    
11  DANZA MAGIC Apr16 Apr05 Mar23 Feb14 Jan24 (schuster ro)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.50 ★    
12  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Apr16         (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.