Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
1:382         1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIT ACCOMPLI 4 5 52 31 6 3 1 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 21% 3.80 1.70 W
BUHM'S CANDY BOY 2 1 31 6 5 42 2 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 3.00 7.30 P
DAREABIGDREAM 3 6 63 52 1nk 1nk 33 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.50 22% 3.60 1.10 S
SILVER KID 1 7 77 75 73 5 43 (mcdaniel )VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 25.50  
LUCKY CHAMP 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 5 (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 57.40  
FLYING CHARLIE 6 3 4 41 4¼ 64 6 (jensen kent)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 35% 1.90 4.10  
MR BUG Z 7 4 1½ 1½ 3.2 78 711¾ (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00 12.40  
 
TUP-2   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:223 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMAS 6 1 1nk 1nk   11 14 (scolamieri )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 12% 7.40 0.30 W
BETTY'S BAR 1 4 2nk 2nk   21 24 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 7% 14.40 6.00 P
MACLEAN'S BELLA 5 2 31 3.2   33 3 (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 6.00 43% 1.30 10.00 S
BUBBAS STREET GAL 4 6 4 4   43 4 (ferguson chad)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 12% 7.10 13.20  
LADY M 3 5 6 6   5 514 (george cy)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00 22.50  
DOWNTOWN CUTIE 2 3 54 5   67 615½ (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 124 4.50 5.60  
SCR  TEXAS WENDY               (denny travi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 15.00    
 
TUP-3   04/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:084     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEDROCK (GB) 6 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 1 (christian b)SCRIVER L 122 1.60 39% 1.50 1.10 W
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 7 2 3½ 4   32 2 (rycroft tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 6.40 P
PASSED BY PAUL 2 7 41 3   4 3 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 124 8.00 4.00  
SWAMP SOUFFLE 4 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 4 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 31% 2.20 2.80  
DUNE D'ORO 3 4 52 5   53 5 (brown r)MAWING A 122 8.00 15.00  
SOMETHING SUPER 5 5 6 6   69 68 (ferguson c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 9.80  
CAIRO KING 1 6 77 710¾   710½ 78 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 17.10  
 
TUP-4   04/07/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.006K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:121     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLIGHT TWIST 1 5 56 5 54 2 1 (wong jonathan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 50% 1.00 1.20 W
NOUMEA 2 2 3 43 4 4 2 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 11% 8.20 1.70 P
WILLING TO BURN 5 3 2 2½ 12 1 32 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 9% 9.90 6.90 S
AMERICAN ROYALTY 3 4 45 33 22 3 4 (van debbi)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 38.40  
SOJOURNER TRUTH 6 7 7 6 67 57 5 (gangidino lisa)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 9.80  
RED DAHLIA 4 1 1 1½ 3 69 611¾ (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 2.50 4.20  
FOXY CARMELA 7 6 6 718½ 7100 7100 7100 (belloc umbe)SCRIVER L 124 8.00 39.80  
 
TUP-5   04/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.612K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:103     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST STRING 8 1 3.2 1½   1 1¾ (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 3.50 3.50  
FULL VELOCITY 2 8 6 54   34 2¾ (buechler si)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 5.30 P
RANCHER 7 5 4 2½   2 34 (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 7.90  
RISE UP MOSCOW 3 7 712¼ 7   67 46 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
LUCKY CHANCE 6 6 812¾ 89   78 5 (nelson amy)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00 20.90  
JUNGLE ROAR 4 4 1nk 42   57 611½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 1.40  
BIG TONY 1 2 2nk 3½   46 713¼ (martinez a)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 42% 1.40 4.90  
INFATUATE 5 3 5 65   811 814 (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 22% 3.50 7.20  
SCR  SHAKELAS DESTINY               (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:10 1:22   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLICFLAC 8 4 3.2 12 1 14 11 (wong jonathan)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 12% 7.40 5.80 W
T BONES TRICK 6 9 9 8 2 24 21 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 22% 3.50 3.90 P
VICENTE'S SHADOW 7 6 7 7 5 35 3 (stevens sa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 12.70 S
GAGE HAS A GRAY 1 5 5 3 3 45 4 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 2.50  
RONAMO 2 8 6 53 6 56 57 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 5.00 5% 18.00 2.90  
COLORADO CANDY 4 1 2nk 43 7 710 613½ (loftin lind)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00 37.00  
FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM 5 3 4¼ 22 4 67 714½ (evans justin)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 38% 1.70 4.10  
CASCADE KING 9 7 84 9 810¼ 819 824½ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 10.00 13.50  
BLAME THE DEVIL 3 2 1nk 6 912¾ 921½ 927¼ (koler steve)SCRIVER L 116 20.00 51.80  
 
TUP-7   04/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:243 1:113 1:232     1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME FOR GOLD 4 4 5 4 32 21 1¼ (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 13.50  
LOOPY 3 1 1 1 11 11 2¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 24% 3.30 8.90 P
LADY COMMISSIONER 2 8 7 6 7 4 3½ (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 17% 4.90 1.80 S
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 6 7 65 7 5 54 4 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 124 5.00 9% 10.10 8.80  
LADY LANA 7 5 4 32 21 3 5 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 7.90  
HURRICAIN HUNTER 1 2 2 2 66 6 6 (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 22% 3.50 1.00  
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 5 3 33 53 4 7 7 (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 15.00 77.80  
YES PLEASE 8 6 8 8 812½ 8 810¼ (o'brien d)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 15.00 39.20  
 
TUP-8   04/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
See original race card.
:213 :44 :56     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZERO DOWN 6 3 11 1½   1nk 1 (silva jr)GARCIA F 122 5.00 9% 9.80 1.60 W
FREESTONE 5 6 21 2½   2nk 2 (garci)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00 7.20 P
STEPHEN JAMES 4 1 4 3   34 3 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 4.70  
ROCKTHEPULPIT 7 4 33 4   4 4 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 15.00 4.60  
ARUGULA 1 5 6 57   55 5 (nelson amy)MAWING A 122 12.00 18.40  
SKY CONFIDENTIAL 2 8 8 811¼   69 6 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 3.40  
COLAVITO 3 7 76 711   8 7 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 9.30  
STARZAN 8 2 54 6   7 89 (baze rober)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00 28.50  
SCR  SEEULATERGATOR               (green greg)CORBETT W 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  TENGO SED               (mitchell chris )CRUZ M 118 10.00    
SCR  VODKA TWIST               (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.