Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER KID Mar03 Feb07 Jan18     (mcdaniel )VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 ★    
2  BUHM'S CANDY BOY Mar03 Feb21 Feb01     (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 3.00 ★    
3  DAREABIGDREAM Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 Jan28 Jan12 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  FAIT ACCOMPLI Mar20 Feb21 Feb04     (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
5  LUCKY CHAMP Mar14 Feb21 Jan07     (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
6  FLYING CHARLIE Mar15 Feb24 Jan24 Jan07   (jensen kent)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
7  MR BUG Z Mar14 Feb19 Feb05     (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00    
 
TUP-2   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTY'S BAR         (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 7% 14.40    
2  DOWNTOWN CUTIE Mar17         (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 124 4.50 ★    
3  LADY M Mar17         (george cy)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00    
4  BUBBAS STREET GAL Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan06   (ferguson chad)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  TEXAS WENDY Feb02         (denny travi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 15.00    
6  MACLEAN'S BELLA Mar21 Feb07 Jan05     (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 6.00 43% 1.30    
7  OPTIMAS Feb25 Jan21       (scolamieri )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 12% 7.40    
 
TUP-3   04/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO KING Mar21 Mar09 Feb17 Jan25 Jan04 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
2  PASSED BY PAUL Mar25 Mar04 Jan20 Jan04   (hernandez l)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
3  DUNE D'ORO Jan25         (brown r)MAWING A 122 8.00 ★    
4  SWAMP SOUFFLE Mar21 Feb17 Feb04 Jan19 Jan11 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  SOMETHING SUPER Mar21 Mar02 Feb03 Jan13   (ferguson c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 ★    
6  BEDROCK (GB) Mar11 Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 Jan05 (christian b)SCRIVER L 122 1.60 39% 1.50    
7  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Mar21 Feb28       (rycroft tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   04/07/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.006K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLIGHT TWIST Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb11 Jan24 (wong jonathan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
2  NOUMEA Mar14 Feb22 Feb11 Jan18 Jan04 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 11% 8.20    
3  AMERICAN ROYALTY Mar15 Feb22 Feb04 Jan23 Jan07 (van debbi)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
4  RED DAHLIA Mar25 Feb18 Jan23 Jan07   (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 2.50 ★    
5  WILLING TO BURN Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb11 Jan12 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
6  SOJOURNER TRUTH Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Feb03   (gangidino lisa)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
7  FOXY CARMELA Mar16 Feb28 Feb03     (belloc umbe)SCRIVER L 124 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   04/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.612K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TONY Mar10 Feb22 Jan14     (martinez a)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 42% 1.40    
2  FULL VELOCITY Mar01 Feb07 Jan10     (buechler si)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  SHAKELAS DESTINY Mar23 Mar07 Feb10 Jan19   (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00    
4  RISE UP MOSCOW Mar07 Feb22 Feb04 Jan20   (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  JUNGLE ROAR Mar14 Mar03 Jan07     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 ★    
6  INFATUATE Jan10         (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
7  LUCKY CHANCE Mar07 Jan28 Jan20 Jan11   (nelson amy)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
8  RANCHER Mar10 Feb14 Jan24 Jan12   (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
9  FIRST STRING Mar15 Jan07       (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
 
TUP-6   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAGE HAS A GRAY Mar15 Feb28 Feb01 Jan11   (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
2  RONAMO Mar28 Feb28 Jan22     (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 5.00 5% 18.00    
3  BLAME THE DEVIL Mar23 Mar09 Feb15 Feb07 Jan24 (koler steve)SCRIVER L 116 20.00    
4  COLORADO CANDY Feb16 Jan04       (loftin lind)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00    
5  FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM Mar18 Feb24 Feb15     (evans justin)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
6  T BONES TRICK Mar21 Mar10 Feb03 Jan09   (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
7  VICENTE'S SHADOW Mar21 Feb28 Feb04 Jan19   (stevens sa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 ★    
8  FLICFLAC Feb19 Jan28 Jan09     (wong jonathan)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
9  CASCADE KING Mar11 Feb04 Jan21     (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   04/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICAIN HUNTER Mar15 Feb11 Jan27 Jan11   (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  LADY COMMISSIONER Mar27 Feb22 Feb11 Feb02 Jan17 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  LOOPY Mar15 Mar02 Feb22 Jan18 Jan06 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 24% 3.30    
4  TIME FOR GOLD Mar15 Feb15 Jan03     (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
5  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Mar15 Feb17 Jan19     (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 15.00    
6  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Mar14 Mar03 Feb11 Jan24 Jan06 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
7  LADY LANA Mar15 Jan27 Jan11     (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 ★    
8  YES PLEASE Mar15 Feb22       (o'brien d)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 15.00    
 
TUP-8   04/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARUGULA Mar08 Feb15       (nelson amy)MAWING A 122 12.00 ★    
2  SKY CONFIDENTIAL Feb10 Jan21 Jan06     (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
3  COLAVITO Mar07 Feb15 Feb07 Jan24 Jan03 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 ★    
4  STEPHEN JAMES Mar03 Feb03 Jan17     (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
5  FREESTONE Mar08         (garci)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  VODKA TWIST Feb15 Jan31 Jan17     (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 122 20.00    
7  ZERO DOWN Mar23 Mar02 Feb07     (silva jr)GARCIA F 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
8  ROCKTHEPULPIT Mar03 Feb03 Jan17     (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 15.00    
9  STARZAN Mar08 Feb15 Jan18     (baze rober)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
SCR  SEEULATERGATOR Mar22 Mar06 Jan23 Jan04   (green greg)CORBETT W 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  TENGO SED Mar10 Mar02 Feb07 Jan17   (mitchell chris )CRUZ M 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.