Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF MAMA 5 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 1nk (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 14% 6.10 3.20 W
SMOOTH RITHMS 1 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 2nk (ortiz sr)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.50 47% 1.10 0.90 P
OUTLAW DAISY 3 5 53 33   3 37 (valerio g)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 10% 9.00 4.40 S
CRIMINAL RECORD 2 6 6 54   4 4 (asprino alf)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.50 9.20  
SPICY SOMMELIER 6 4 42 4   5 511 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00 8% 12.30 22.00  
CHANTAL 4 2 31 66   611½ 619½ (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 2.00 4.30  
 
TUP-4   03/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:112 1:24   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 5 4 43 42 31 13 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 2.30  
PERFECT WAGER 4 5 64 6 4 4 2 (wong jonathan)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.00 3.10 P
TOP OF THE GAME 2 6 54 53 5 33 3 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 54% 0.90 2.40 S
GRAY ADMIRAL 6 2 11 11 11 23 46 (rycroft tim)VERGARA P 124 2.50 14% 6.20 2.00  
PROVOST 1 3 21 21 21 5 514½ (mccartney jack)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 16.00  
IN THE DEEP 3 1 3 32 68 612¼ 620¾ (wise a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
 
TUP-5   03/16/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN BOURBON 4 1 15 16   14 1 (wong jonathan)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 42% 1.40 0.70 W
IF YOU WANT IT 6 4 4 5   3 2 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 3.70 P
IT'S ALEXUS 2 6 711 711   47 34 (rycroft riley)SCRIVER L 122 3.00 14.30  
SILLY NOTION 5 2 36 26   24 4 (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00 10% 9.00 12.30  
SURE ANGEL 3 3 25 4   5 56 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 122 5.00 8% 12.00 19.70  
PIPER ROSE 1 7 68 6   6 66 (woolley ben)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 10% 8.70 3.30  
LUCKY STEPPER 7 5 5 36   714½ 714½ (weaver gordon)CORBETT W 122 10.00 16.80  
 
TUP-6   03/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:221 :454       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ TENACIOUS 1 1 1nk 1½   13 1 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 1.20  
FOUR SCORE 5 3 6 6   33 2 (stubblefield )SCRIVER L 124 15.00 6% 16.80 30.90 P
MICKEY DOBBS 4 2 4 33   23 3 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 7.60 S
HAPPY AT SHADY 8 8 54 4   46 4 (schnell don)CRUZ M 118 4.50 55% 0.80 2.30  
WIN LIKE COACH P 6 6 75 8   57 56 (matt l)LARSEN S 124 12.00 6% 16.60 19.90  
SPECIAL LESSON 7 7 86 7   69 610¼ (stevens satchell)VERGARA P 124 10.00 12.60  
CANDY RUNNER 3 4 32 55   7 711¾ (scot)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00 13.10  
LA CAPRICHOSA 2 5 2nk 2½   810½ 814½ (silva l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 3.50 4.60  
 
TUP-7   03/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:17
See original race card.
:214 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF THE SKY 6 8 9 96   9 1 (esquibel mark)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 18% 4.40 6.70 W
THUNDER WOMAN 5 7 66 6   6 2 (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 16% 5.30 21.60 P
SUNRISE IN THE BAR 8 5 31 5   5 3 (barraza)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 8.00 25.50  
FOXY CARMELA 4 9 7 4   3.2 43 (belloc umbert)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 10.20  
FINISHED MY P H D 3 1 8 8   7 55 (kubinova elis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 20.20  
MADIGAN SQUEEZE 2 2 42 3½   2nk 6 (belvoir vann)MAWING A 124 5.00 0.80  
BULLICIOUS 9 6 53 74   8 7 (scot)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 14.70  
TWIRLY GIRL 1 10 1011¼ 107   10 86 (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 15.00 19.80  
MY LITTLE RIVER 7 4 2nk 1½   1nk 96 (williams dewey)LOPEZ E 124 15.00 38.10  
10  SONGOFTHEDESERT 10 3 1nk 2½   4¾ 10 (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 124 2.50 29% 2.50 3.10  
SCR  THECHAMPISFLORING               (bullene michael)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
TUP-8   03/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103 1:23   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THIRTY SECONDS OUT 9 1 2nk 1nk 11 14 1 (silva jose )VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 4.00  
WE'RE JUST SAYIN 3 9 913¾ 9 6 38 2 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 8% 11.40 3.50 P
RIDEO 8 7 58 33 21 24 38 (wong jonathan)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.00 41% 1.50 2.70 S
ROWDYROOSTER 7 8 7 6 78 510 410½ (leon)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 12.40  
PAYNTER'S BOY 5 5 810¼ 8 5 611½ 510¾ (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 12.00 18.00  
REAL GLITTER 6 4 4 5 35 410 613½ (sharp j)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00 7% 12.90 14.90  
SILENT MUSKETIER 4 3 35 7 811 815½ 716¼ (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 10.00 17.70  
OSTINI 2 6 6 4 4 712 817½ (weaver gordon)ZUNINO L 122 20.00 10.10  
MO BOB (IRE) 1 2 1nk 2nk 912 921½ 935¾ (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 122 5.00 21% 3.80 3.10  
SCR  DOODLE TIME               (vitali marcus)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 10.00    
SCR  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS)               (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.